The handwriting is on the
wall. The bold imprints
are seen in the failings of
this government. Now the
dashed expectations of
the Jonathan’s
presidency all seem to be
leading to one predictable
end — he may not be re-
elected by Nigerians in
2015.
There are strong
reasons to believe his
fairy tale journey to the
Presidency may end in
his first term...
Apart from the unfolding
infighting threatening to
tear his party apart,
President Goodluck
Jonathan appears to
have squandered the
goodwill that ensured his
becoming Nigeria’s first
minority president. There
is a depressing sense in
which one cannot just
imagine that this country
would endure another
term of this
administration for
another four years in
office ending in 2019.
This will be suicidal.
Even now, 2015 looks
too distant into the future
in the eyes of ordinary
Nigerians. In 2011, the
president won the
election by playing the
underdog card.
The 2011 presidential
election was won because
ordinary Nigerians
insisted on voting en
masse for the country’s
first minority president —
the man who said he
walked barefooted as a
child; the man who also
became the symbol of an
end to the North’s
bragging right to power
since Nigeria’s
independence from British
rule. In 2015, Jonathan
will not have the luxury
of leveraging on the
sentiments that swept him
to power in his first term.
Now, he will have to look
for other reasons.
Except that this time, he
will not be able to whip up
emotions based on his
poverty as a child.
His ethnic background will
also not matter. If he
does, no one will believe
him again. Rather in 2015,
the President will be
confronted with the
record of his
performance. He will have
to answer hard questions
about his first term in
office. And if truth be
told, if the present
situation in the polity is
anything to go by,
President Jonathan will
be heading back to his
hometown in Otuoke come
May 29, 2015.
The President will not
stand a chance against a
formidable opposition with
the right candidate in a
free and fair election. But
even at that, it still does
not matter because it
appears any type of
candidate will still beat
this President. His
performance so far
makes him vulnerable to
defeat in a free and fair
election. He just has not
lived up to the
expectations of
Nigerians. And I suspect
the President and his
party are in for a
surprise. Perhaps, for
the first time, Nigerians
will witness the power of
their votes.
The incumbency factor
will not matter in 2015
because the President is
poised to lose the
election. But President
Jonathan should not
blame anybody for his
predicament if he loses.
He has so far been the
architect of his own
misfortune as a
President. He had no
excuse not to perform.
Let’s face it, the
President has fallen
short of expectations
that Nigerians had of his
presidency.
There is no better
expression to measure
his performance since
2011. For a President
that came into office to
have squandered the
enormous goodwill and
support from Nigerians is
evidence of opportunities
gone awry; of hopes
deferred. The only
people who will support
the President are the
army of praise singers
from his ethnic group who
have been singing his
praises to no end. And
this brings me to the
attitude of the so-called
Niger Deltan activists and
leaders. The leaders of
the region have been so
disappointing to say the
least. This attitude of it-
is-either-Jonathan-for-
a-second term-or-we-
will-all-perish does their
ethnic group no good. It
is even an
embarrassment to the
office of the President.
Why do they act as if
Jonathan is the President
of only the Niger Delta?
Why are they threatening
to bring Nigeria down if
Jonathan does not get a
second term? Did the
President emerge in his
first term only by the
region’s votes? Can
threats make a non-
performing President
stay in office in
perpetuity? The culture
of entitlement that
pervades the region is
the reason why the Niger
Delta might still be
backward even if
Jonathan gets a second
term. They should know
that it was the support of
Nigerians that got the
President a first term.
Nigerians thus have the
right to demand
performance from him.
And right now, the
situation in our country
today does not look
good. In 2015, President
Jonathan will have to
present his scorecard.
Nigerians will ask him
why corruption which he
promised to tackle in his
inaugural address has
become a hydra-headed
monster in his
administration. He will
have to explain why his
administration has not so
secured a single
conviction in spite of
massive corruption in the
land.

All these while,this write up explains the position of the incumbent president.People are going to vote with anger to get him out,but that will solely depend on the opposition.If they present Buhari, GEJ will wins only if only PDP nominates him during the primaries.There the big politics will be played by the opposition.
1.They will take a survey of voters.
2.They will know the popularity of the incumbent
3.They will follow up and get their people into monitoring INEC.
4.INEC will then have to conduct a free and fair election except PDP will then rig for cancellation.(so many permutation and possibilities)
5.Then the problem for the opposition starts.
6.Who will ACN/APC/CPC/ANPP nominate as flag bearer?

Nigerians will in
2015 ask this President
why all the cases of
corruption involving
individuals in his
government have all died
a natural death. The
President will explain why
all the anti-corruption
agencies have all become
toothless bulldogs. It has
become glaring that
President Jonathan has
lost the trust and
goodwill of Nigerians. The
dominant view of
Nigerians is that this
government has failed.
The impunity that has
become a culture in the
country today is because
the president has not
been decisive in the fight
against corruption.
That is why all the
agencies of government
have been left to their
own devices. The culture
of impunity has been so
pervasive. Take the
power sector for
example. The President
has not arrested the
unending conundrum that
has dogged the
unbundling of the sector.
This should not continue
beyond 2015. Meanwhile,
the power situation
continues to get worse.
The 2015 elections
should be about
performance and the
President has a lot of
questions to answer
about his stewardship
unless something drastic
happens between now
and the election date.
The President also has
to explain why million of
Nigerian youths cannot
find jobs. All we hear
from this government is
how the economy is
growing at an
unbelievable rate. Pray,
how can the economy
grow while millions are
unemployed? What kind
of voodoo economy is
that? Didn’t the Minister
of Finance and
Coordinating Minister for
the Economy say the last
time that the
unemployment figures
give her sleepless night?
What further evidence do
Nigerians need that this
government is not
providing an enabling
environment for job
creation?
The millions of youths
who had hoped in this
government will ask hard
questions in 2015. The
security situation in the
country is a cause for
grave concern. The other
day, about 40 pupils
were murdered by
suspected terrorists in
Yobe State. As I write,
nobody has been
apprehended for
perpetrating the
dastardly act.
The Jos crisis continues
to claim more lives. In
many parts of the
country, lives and
property are not secure.
Yet, the government
blames everybody else
except itself. How can a
government whose
primary duty is to
safeguard lives and
property fail woefully in
performing the same
duty? Meanwhile, the
country also lags behind
in all development
indexes. The argument
advanced by the
supporters of this
government is that our
problems are not created
by President Jonathan.
But has the
administration
demonstrated the political
will to tackle the problems
head on? Does
government not exist to
solve problems no matter
how old they have
existed?
However, there has been
some good news lately.
The President recently
inaugurated the
construction of the
Lagos-Ibadan
Expressway. Let’s just
hope the project will not
become abandoned like
the previous attempts.
The federal roads across
the country are also said
to be getting the
attention they deserve.
This is not forgetting the
ongoing rehabilitation in
the nation’s airports.
But all this will pale into
insignificance when
compared to the dashed
expectations of this
government. It is for
these reasons that
Jonathan may lose in
2015. All things being
equal, anyway.
From
www.naijaonpoint.com/2013/07/will-president-jonathan-win-second-term.html?m=1