The presidential election is a few days away and the battleline is already drawn between President Jonathan, the Peoples Democratic Party candidate, and General Buhari, his opposition All Progressives Party challenger. In no zone is the contest between the duo more fierce than the South-west with its about 10.5 million votes. Ordinarily, the South-west is the traditional strongholds of the APC and should be called for the opposition party. But with PDP’s victory in the June 21 governorship election in Ekiti State, the recent defection of Ondo State Governor Olusegun Mimiko from Labour Party to PDP and the unusual vigorous attempts to capture Lagos this time, the battle in the zone promises to be tight, even ferocious. WESTERN POST Correspondents across South-west – SAMUEL OGUNDIPE, ADEOLA OLADELE, KOLAWOLE OLAYINKA, DEMOLA ATOBABA and TEMITOPE ADEDEJI- look at the chances of Jonathan and Buhari in the election and give their verdict…

OYO

Oyo State has always had a mish-mash of PDP and APC governments (or APC precursor) since 1999. The state set out with Chief Lam Adesina as governor on the platform of Alliance for Democracy but the late Lam lost to Senator Rashidi Ladoja then of the Peoples Democratic Party in 2003. And by 2007, Otunba Adebayo Alao-Akala had supplanted his boss as PDP candidate no thanks to the 11-month absence of Ladoja from the saddle in 2005 based on his illegal impeachment. Alao-Akala himself could not come back as governor in 2011. With a sitting All Progressives Congress Governor Abiola Ajimobi now on the saddle, Oyo State can easily be called in favour of the APC candidate, General Muhammadu Buhari. The performance of the governor, described in some quarters as sterling, particularly in the areas of provision of infrastructure like road network, urban renewal and beautification of cities, is also likely to rub off on General Buhari’s chances in the state. But President Jonathan is also widely expected to do very well in the state. Beside the PDP governorship candidate, Senator Teslim Folarin, who will pull his supporters behind Jonathan in the presidential poll, other gladiators of the party who had left PDP in search of tickets to pursue their governorship ambitions like former governor of the state, Alao-Akala, and Mr. Seyi Makinde aka Omituntun and Accord Party Leader in the state, former governor Ladoja, are all united in their support for President Jonathan. The trio have been reported to be saying something like-though we will all battle in separate parties for the governorship of the state, but for the presidential poll we will all work for the president to return on February 14. Also to rally support for President Jonathan in the state is the influential Alaafin of Oyo, Oba Lamidi Adeyemi, who is known not to have hidden his preference and backing for the president. President Jonathan had visited him several times in his palace, including during his controversial visits to select traditional rulers in the country two years ago, and had also met the traditional ruler at Dodan Barracks in Lagos a couple of times.

•Verdict: Its 50-50 for Buhari and Jonathan, though Buhari has a slight edge

See full analysis for Osun, Lagos, Ondo, Ogun, etc.

HERE: http://www.westernpostnigeria.com/south-west-jonathan-buhari-fierce-battle/

Pipedream.
This writer is not strong on the ground. You throw up a lot of names who were/are in the PDP and then try to approach a 50% support for Goodluck on the basis of these personalities being able to deliver for Good luck. Pipedream. Most people are in PDP not for ideological reasons but to get into office. PDP's victory in the governorship in Ondo and Ekiti wont be replicated for the presidency.

Lies....

GMB till you....

100% correct. NW and NE is for GMB and SS and SE is for GEJ. Middle belt and SW will determin who will win.

the fact is that more than half of sw's votesrs are in Lagos which happens to be avery cosmopolitan city with huge non-yoruba populations.

That Awkward moment your realize u've finished the university but clamouring to vote someone who didn't even finish secondary to be ur President!

Lies!!
PDP are getting 80% of the vote in the presidential elections.
PDP is also going to win Lagos and Ogun states!
You can take this to the bank.
Oyo state is too close to call now,
but we are working on it.
Insha Allahu we will come out very victorious there too.

Likewise, South-South
But Northwest and Northeast are no go area for Goodluck.
Vote Good Government not Good Luck.
Buhari and Osinbanjo represent Good government

Change

chukwudi44:
the fact is that more than half of sw's votesrs are in Lagos which happens to be avery cosmopolitan city with huge non-yoruba populations.

like 49.9% Igbo in Lagos.
Anyways this writer does not know whats on ground in Oyo state. Alaafin cannot help Jonathan. 30% is a reasonable score for GEJ in Oyo state.

Truth24:
That Awkward moment your realize u've finished the university but clamouring to vote someone who didn't even finish secondary to be ur President!

Yeah, especially when the PhD holder you had so much hope in couldn't provide job for you after finishing university.

Anyone who thinks Oyo is 50-50 needs a check

Even PDP and accord candidates are trying their best to dissociate themselves from Jonathan

One Accord Senatorial candidate was reported to be supporting Jonathan like 3 weeks ago, His aides came on Social media to deny the claims vehemently, The best they could say was Accord was neutral. ANy form of association with Jonathan by any Politician is hidden

Ondo and Ekiti state where Jonathan appears strong also have the least voting population in the SW.

Fayose won the Givernorship election with 200,000 votes, Fayemi had 100,000 + votes assuming all these even vote for Jonathan thats just 300,000 plus

If quota system is applied in admission into schools and federal jobs/appointments to give unqualified Northerners a say,

We must apply quota system in ensuring that ethnic groups of few thousands are given a say


What is good for A is also good for B

Say No To Internal colonialism

Say No To Political Slavery

Say No To Born To Rule


Hypocrisy must not be allowed to thrive