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Jonathan Can Afford To Ignore Boko Haram - Cynical Politics - Politics - Nairaland

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Jonathan Can Afford To Ignore Boko Haram - Cynical Politics by IleIfe2(m): 12:26pm On Jan 30, 2015
Relations between the Nigerian and US militaries have been strained with Nigeria cancelling training by US advisers of a unit that was supposed to fight the militants, who have captured towns and villages in the country’s northeast and vowed to create a hardline Islamic state.

Last week, in the face of demands that the world respond to the slaughter of civilians by Boko Haram the way it did after the killings of police and journalists at the French satirical weekly Charlie Hebdo by jihadist extremists, Nigeria again rejected both UN and African Union intervention. It said West Africans can deal with Boko Haram, though the militants have continued killing with impunity.

The conflict has left more than 13,000 people dead and one million homeless. General David Rodriguez, head of US Africa Command, said the Islamists’ gains on the battlefield are cause for concern and “the number of people displaced is just staggering.” Rodriguez said the Nigerian military’s response “was not working very effectively and actually in some places made it worse.” He added: “I hope that they let us help more and more.”

Nigeria has the largest army in west Africa but has come under criticism at home and abroad for failing to stop the advance of Boko Haram. But does Nigeria’s President Goodluck Jonathan know something the rest of us don’t? It seems, yes.

There is a popular view that unrest in the northeast improves the chances of Jonathan’s re-election. It is not unjustified.

As an insightful Brookings Institution paper by Jideofor Adibe noted: “The emergence of a viable opposition coincides with a period of great tension between north and south, arising from the decision of President Goodluck Jonathan to contest the 2011 elections at the head of the ruling People’s Democratic Party (PDP), a decision that has made many northerners feel cheated of their turn in producing the president and that induced some violence”.

The result of that election, as a stunning map of the outcome by Brookings shows, is that Jonathan didn’t win a plurality of the vote in any of the northern states, effectively cutting the country into two. Now with former general and president Muhammadu Buhari, a Muslim and northerner, in the race at the head of a surging opposition All Progressive Congress (APC) ticket, and the grievance over insecurity, Jonathan is all definitely set to do even worse in the north. A recent Buhari rally in Kano in the north that can only be described as mammoth, is said to have spooked the Jonathan camp further.

The people in the northeast who are now not going to vote because of the insurgency, are therefore effectively votes for Jonathan.

However, Nigeria also today also displays a common problem in Africa. When a country is large - as DR Congo for example is - and insurgencies happen far away from the capital and commercial nerve centres (in Nigeria’s case Abuja and Lagos respectively), it can afford to ignore it. At 923,768 square kilometres (356,669 square miles), Nigeria’s is the 14th largest African country.

Thirdly, though, Nigeria is Africa’s most populous nation, with nearly 180 million. I can shrug off Boko Haram killing 13,000 and displacing one million, in ways that small Sierra Leone with 6 million people and Liberia with 4 million couldn’t during their civil wars.

Thus the answer to what seems like the nonchalance of Abuja toward Boko Haram’s mayhem is an uncomfortable one - it can afford to, and its clever though deadly cynical electoral politics for Jonathan.

http://mgafrica.com/article/2015-01-28-inconvenient-truth-nigerias-jonathan-can-afford-to-ignore-boko-haram-and-its-good-election-politics/

6 Likes

Re: Jonathan Can Afford To Ignore Boko Haram - Cynical Politics by Seun(m): 1:13pm On Jan 30, 2015
Yikes. I hope such cynical political calculations are not actually the reasons for our lack of progress in the fight against Boko Haram.

I think the article is wrong to say that Jonathan didn't win the plurality of votes in any northern states. He won some PDP-dominated states.

28 Likes 3 Shares

Re: Jonathan Can Afford To Ignore Boko Haram - Cynical Politics by ba7man(m): 1:19pm On Jan 30, 2015
So that means its ok for a President to sit back and watch the slaughter of over 20,000 of his citizens.


What a failure that kind of President would be.

53 Likes

Re: Jonathan Can Afford To Ignore Boko Haram - Cynical Politics by MansaMoussa: 1:30pm On Jan 30, 2015
State Secrets too Plenty oh!
What does Jona know that we don't?
Its definitely out of Place for a Govt to be quiet on Issues of such Monumental Proportion!

There is definitely more to BH than meets the Eye!

19 Likes

Re: Jonathan Can Afford To Ignore Boko Haram - Cynical Politics by siraj1402(m): 1:34pm On Jan 30, 2015
The fact is Jonathan has deployed all his best but has failed Why don't we allow someone who is more capable to take charge?Jonathan benefit more as far as Boko haram is concern in terms of embezzled money all in the name of fighting terrorist.

GMB is the answer
Jonathan is free to go back to Otuoke.

55 Likes 3 Shares

Re: Jonathan Can Afford To Ignore Boko Haram - Cynical Politics by scribble: 1:35pm On Jan 30, 2015
America is always conspiring

***

We shouldn't trust them too much

Case in point: Iraq, Egypt, Libya, Cuba, Venezuela, Iran, Ecuador...

The list really is endless...

They know and they only use said knowledge to their advantage

Heck....They spied on Angela Merkel phone and she is a main ally.

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Re: Jonathan Can Afford To Ignore Boko Haram - Cynical Politics by 9jahubcom(m): 1:35pm On Jan 30, 2015
brb
Re: Jonathan Can Afford To Ignore Boko Haram - Cynical Politics by Nobody: 1:35pm On Jan 30, 2015
Interesting....Cynicisim

Two points from the article.

1.The crisis in the North , while not caused by the government is allowed to fester so as to prevent a large mass of opposition voters voting for the APC. I am not sure whether to beleive that...Boko does not pay attention to elections, or to abuja power play.....and this enemy is a far different one from the ones the Nigerian Army has faced over the years.

2.Distance makes the heart grow less fonder. Now maiduguri is not that far from abuja (9 hours by road on a good day).....so not much of an excuse.

I think that blaming the insurgency on the govt is a misunderstanding. Boko is not your usual African rebel group...these are guys who have learned tactics from gents schooled in Afghnistan's harsh crucible.Govts do not crush insurgencies immediately.....see Rhodesia, China, Iraq, Syria, the UK, etc.....especially when your enemy is a ghost using ghost tactics.

Also, there is a lot to be said about the incompetence of local leaders.....ie governors, LG chairmen. Someone described his LG chair on another thread as someone who just dishes money among his guys.And sadly most Nigerians seem to think that govt begins and ends in Abuja. Nigerians have to make their governors work for them...because if we did ages ago....there would have been no Boko.

Of course....Abuja needs to stop running a Dutch diseased economy....and instead go for an industrial economy which means more jobs and an increased value for education. ......even among Boko's constituency.

25 Likes 3 Shares

Re: Jonathan Can Afford To Ignore Boko Haram - Cynical Politics by moderatorr1: 1:35pm On Jan 30, 2015
great

Re: Jonathan Can Afford To Ignore Boko Haram - Cynical Politics by KidProgrammer(m): 1:35pm On Jan 30, 2015
GEJ All The Way..

6 Likes

Re: Jonathan Can Afford To Ignore Boko Haram - Cynical Politics by gen2briz(m): 1:35pm On Jan 30, 2015
Ok
Re: Jonathan Can Afford To Ignore Boko Haram - Cynical Politics by Seun(m): 1:35pm On Jan 30, 2015
This is probably propaganda written by US gov to pressure Nigeria to accept their military intervention, but I think they have some points.

4 Likes 1 Share

Re: Jonathan Can Afford To Ignore Boko Haram - Cynical Politics by mgbeketoto: 1:35pm On Jan 30, 2015
Let the LAZY NORTHERNERS deal with BOKO HARAM!
Na their people!
Period! kiss
Wetin Borno State take their money dey do? undecided
Mtcheeeeeeeeeew!!!!!

IBB nor dey for Minna with im own private army?
Nonsense!!!!

7 Likes 1 Share

Re: Jonathan Can Afford To Ignore Boko Haram - Cynical Politics by 9jahubcom(m): 1:35pm On Jan 30, 2015
kk
Re: Jonathan Can Afford To Ignore Boko Haram - Cynical Politics by pekeyim: 1:35pm On Jan 30, 2015
Let's see how it's gonna be


The West always trying to cast doubts on the ability of President Jonathan.

Basically saying if not for Boko Haram President Goodluck Ebele Jonathan will lose this year's election is RUBBISH!!!


If not for this menace we'ld have used most of the Billions going to fight insurgency on other meaningful project and by this time people we would have been cruising on autopilot to Victory.


So saying this is like the President is fighting Himself


America keep your lies to yourself, You armed ISIS, U armed rebels in Libya, one can only wonder where Boko Haram and their loyalists are getting there weapons from.

12 Likes 1 Share

Re: Jonathan Can Afford To Ignore Boko Haram - Cynical Politics by siegfried99(m): 1:36pm On Jan 30, 2015
Hian!
Re: Jonathan Can Afford To Ignore Boko Haram - Cynical Politics by GBTYO: 1:36pm On Jan 30, 2015
US has just downgraded the Taliban to an armed insurgency and not a terrorist group!

Obama I hail ohh!
Re: Jonathan Can Afford To Ignore Boko Haram - Cynical Politics by hazyfm: 1:36pm On Jan 30, 2015
pls tell him
Re: Jonathan Can Afford To Ignore Boko Haram - Cynical Politics by Nobody: 1:37pm On Jan 30, 2015
This government. undecided
Re: Jonathan Can Afford To Ignore Boko Haram - Cynical Politics by iGeneral: 1:37pm On Jan 30, 2015
Ogogoro president
Re: Jonathan Can Afford To Ignore Boko Haram - Cynical Politics by Bsc(m): 1:38pm On Jan 30, 2015
No matter how a Nigerian politician smiles @ u...prays with u ....u are like...hhhmmm dis man is a nice man... Politicians are very very heartless ... The diff blw a Nig politician and I is..." When I kill, my conscience wnt let me sleep...but they do...they feel nothing..they sleep without guilt...
For sometime now my broda have been in office ...we still don't knw who is sponsoring Boko Haram. I still do not knw why our mighty Army cnt end this terror...we have prayed a lot. Lord pls inflict pains on this sponsors of Boko haram...if it is ma father inflict pain..who so ever be it, if it is ma president inflict pain.. Amen. imagine in Ghabon dey call a Nigerian Boko haram..

4 Likes

Re: Jonathan Can Afford To Ignore Boko Haram - Cynical Politics by Firefire(m): 1:38pm On Jan 30, 2015
undecided


ALL the conspiracy theories against Dr. Goodluck Jonathan shall fail.


Finito!

7 Likes 3 Shares

Re: Jonathan Can Afford To Ignore Boko Haram - Cynical Politics by OrlandoOwoh(m): 1:39pm On Jan 30, 2015
GMB till GEJ stops using his football age of 57.

2 Likes

Re: Jonathan Can Afford To Ignore Boko Haram - Cynical Politics by Avedon: 1:39pm On Jan 30, 2015
GEJ intentionally cast a blind eye on boko haram atrocities hoping to gain some sympathy from the south and northern Christians but it backfired.

It's only a foolish president that will use the blood of his subject for political gain.

The blood of the innocent is too strong to be toed with.

Am not accusing GEJ for boko haram atrocities but a leader, the blame will be on him.

It's the duty of every responsible father to provide and protect his household once he's healthy.

It's unfortunate GEJ as a father of the nation has failed in that capacity.

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Re: Jonathan Can Afford To Ignore Boko Haram - Cynical Politics by Nobody: 1:39pm On Jan 30, 2015
That one no touch me,#GEJ till 2019

7 Likes

Re: Jonathan Can Afford To Ignore Boko Haram - Cynical Politics by mysyto(m): 1:40pm On Jan 30, 2015
good watch. out for a p c documentary.
Re: Jonathan Can Afford To Ignore Boko Haram - Cynical Politics by Nobody: 1:40pm On Jan 30, 2015
GEJ and PDP might be the sponsors of Boko Haram.

The voting strength of the North has been drastically reduced by this menace. Millions of people have been displaced.

I also think GEJ is trying to capitalise on what GMB said in 2011. They want to use it to discredit him, so it would seem as if GMB is the sponsor of Boko Haram all in a bid to ensure that Nigerians detest him

7 Likes

Re: Jonathan Can Afford To Ignore Boko Haram - Cynical Politics by mathskill: 1:40pm On Jan 30, 2015
The truth shall always prevail no mattet how hard it has been suppressed
Re: Jonathan Can Afford To Ignore Boko Haram - Cynical Politics by DrPrickson: 1:40pm On Jan 30, 2015
And what have America done to checkmate ISIS? You think its easy to halt these religious extremist? God bless Nigeria and Punish all our Enemies.

7 Likes 1 Share

Re: Jonathan Can Afford To Ignore Boko Haram - Cynical Politics by mysyto(m): 1:40pm On Jan 30, 2015
good watch. out for jona documentary....

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