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Nigeria’s Economy Under Threat As Debts Hit N11trillion - Politics (2) - Nairaland

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States’ Foreign Debts Hit $3.2bn , Cannot Repay In The Next 50 Years -Shehu Sani / Re: See What Is Happening To Nigeria’s Economy Under Buhari / See What Is Happening To Nigeria's Economy Under Buhari (2) (3) (4)

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Re: Nigeria’s Economy Under Threat As Debts Hit N11trillion by jingh(f): 6:40am On May 07, 2015
Waiting for ngozi to say our economy is booming again....only on paper

2 Likes

Re: Nigeria’s Economy Under Threat As Debts Hit N11trillion by Dyt(f): 6:41am On May 07, 2015
cheesy cheesy cheesy
This is just one of what we are yet to find out
grin grin
Re: Nigeria’s Economy Under Threat As Debts Hit N11trillion by jstriker442(m): 6:41am On May 07, 2015
Change has come nw

1 Like

Re: Nigeria’s Economy Under Threat As Debts Hit N11trillion by boman2014: 6:42am On May 07, 2015
OREMUSSANCTUS:
[s] Even china america dhe owe debts So nufin so special abt dis news Money was used for developmental projects Only dat u all fail to accept dat he worked very hard for dis country
Say no to "change" Say yes to transformation[/s]

6 Likes

Re: Nigeria’s Economy Under Threat As Debts Hit N11trillion by Nobody: 6:42am On May 07, 2015
Come, what's all this nonsense? Why the increase in debts when Senate have not authorised any borrowing recently and no capital intensive project is in progress? GEJ is really trying to spoiled a image he has painted so well... Shame!

1 Like

Re: Nigeria’s Economy Under Threat As Debts Hit N11trillion by babadee1(m): 6:43am On May 07, 2015
Truckpusher:
APC making series of 'I will fail' comments to have ready excuses to justify their imminent failure. grin




A barren woman will always blame a late marriage for her childlessness. grin

You dare to blame the APC for this Was it APC that created Nigeria's current debt profile or PDP? Hypocritical empty head.

10 Likes

Re: Nigeria’s Economy Under Threat As Debts Hit N11trillion by rill: 6:43am On May 07, 2015
just skip my comment
Re: Nigeria’s Economy Under Threat As Debts Hit N11trillion by Nobody: 6:44am On May 07, 2015
boman2014:

I now agree that the current tide of youths are not worthy to handle the affairs of the nation. The old one s should continue for the sake of the nation. Pity

2 Likes

Re: Nigeria’s Economy Under Threat As Debts Hit N11trillion by fyneboi79(m): 6:45am On May 07, 2015
Yet one idi0t spent 2Trillion for campaign in an election that even a f00l knows he will not win........That bigger f00l is Goodluck Ebele Jonathan,the most useless and clueless president Nigeria has ever had. Gej ought to rot in jail.

4 Likes 3 Shares

Re: Nigeria’s Economy Under Threat As Debts Hit N11trillion by danny301: 6:49am On May 07, 2015
Debt hits 11trillion apart from the the fact that they finished our foreign reserve and sovereign wealth fund, plus price of crude oil was very under this government compared to what it was under previous governments... For me, this government is the worst thing that has happened to Nigeria.... , Buhari, sure has a daunting task awaiting him.

1 Like

Re: Nigeria’s Economy Under Threat As Debts Hit N11trillion by ibkgab001: 6:51am On May 07, 2015
And that useless woman will open her wide big mouth that the economy is greater than south Africa own ... Then bacanister Nd temitemi1 will post achievement of female ministers in the last 4 years ... God will punish them all

8 Likes 1 Share

Re: Nigeria’s Economy Under Threat As Debts Hit N11trillion by ignis: 6:51am On May 07, 2015
baba, recover all stolen money without delay. ...

1 Like

Re: Nigeria’s Economy Under Threat As Debts Hit N11trillion by sukkot: 6:51am On May 07, 2015
how much did nwobodo stole ? tongue

4 Likes

Re: Nigeria’s Economy Under Threat As Debts Hit N11trillion by kent79: 6:52am On May 07, 2015
No matter what happens to d economy.

I shall always be favoured! What about u?

2 Likes

Re: Nigeria’s Economy Under Threat As Debts Hit N11trillion by abokikhalifa: 6:52am On May 07, 2015
It shall not be well with jonathan and all dos pple that did this evil to nigerians

3 Likes

Re: Nigeria’s Economy Under Threat As Debts Hit N11trillion by osesx: 6:54am On May 07, 2015
why borrow money wen we have printing machine..u .

1 Like

Re: Nigeria’s Economy Under Threat As Debts Hit N11trillion by adebisiolumide5(m): 6:55am On May 07, 2015
Naija is in trouble.... God please intervene....

1 Like

Re: Nigeria’s Economy Under Threat As Debts Hit N11trillion by makwonda(m): 6:57am On May 07, 2015
LocalChamp:
Nigeria’s economy under threat as debts hit N11tr
May 6, 2015
Written by SIMEON EBULU, Group Business Editor


The growing profile of Nigeria’s debt has become a source of concern, given the Federal Government’s penchant to add to its stock. The latest addition of N473 billion, has once again opened the floodgate of the spiral rise, with its attendant consequences, reports SIMEON EBULU, Group Business Editor

FEAR may well be the word to describe the state of Nigeria’s debt profile, hovering at N11.24 trillion as at December 31, 2014 and still rising.

The level which the nation’s debt overhang has attained is like a death-knell. Yet it keeps climbing.

The revelation by the Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister for the Economy, Dr. Ngozi Okonjo-Nweala, that the Federal Government has borrowed N473 billion in the first quarter of this year to execute the 2015 National Budget, is another clear case of one-more borrowing too many, so to speak.

Dr. Okonjo-Iweala said yesterday that of the N882 billon budgetary provision for borrowing, the Federal Government had already accessed N473 billion to fund Recurrent Expenditure, such as salaries and other overheads. The obvious reason for this development, she stressed, is the 50 per cent decline in the spot market of crude prices .which has inadvertently resulted in a cash crunch for the country.

To remain focused on keeping the economy stable and the government running, the government has embarked on “front-loaded borrowing programme to manage the cash crunch in the economy,” she said.

Nigeria’s borrowing profile from independence, is a study in itself. Going by the data available to The Nation, there appears to be more questions than answers when it comes to x-raying how the nation arrived at this point in time, where nothing gets done unless it is powered by external revenue sources, rather than internally generated funds, or revenues earned from known government sources, such as taxes, oil and non-oil exports.

The hint that Nigeria would go a borrowing again, was given by Mrs. Okonjo-Iweala in far- away America in April during the last International Monetary Fund (IMF)/World Bank Group Spring meetings in Washington DC, United States (U.S.).

On prospects of further borrowing, she said: “Government is considering and in fact taking steps to actualise this with the World Bank Group and the African Development Bank (AfDB).” The other option of tapping the capital markets would be left for the incoming government. She said the government decided to look outside the nation’s shores for the next round of borrowing because it has reached, and almost exceeded taking the ceiling for local debts.

Mrs. Okonjo-Iweala said: “Our borrowing strategy is very prudent, and what we will do is that we have a lot of domestic borrowing than we want, so we are trying to switch and have a little more of external borrowing, but by drawing heavily on the multilateral institutions. So we will be going to the World Bank and the AfDB, and we will also look into the markets. But for the multilaterals, we’ve already embarked on discussions.”

Her disclosure that N473 billion has been borrowed is a confirmation that the proposal has eventually been actualised.

In its 2014 Debt Sustainability Analysis (DSA), the nation also adopted a subsisting debt management strategy as captured in the approved Nigeria’s Medium-Term Debt Management Strategy (MTDS), for 2012-2015, which seeks to achieve an optimal mix in the debt portfolio of 60:40 for domestic and external debts respectively as against the current mix of 83:17 through a gradual substitution of relatively more expensive domestic borrowing with cheaper external financing. Thus, the 2014 DSA has already incorporated government’s policy objective of reducing the overall cost of government borrowing at an acceptable level of risks. This may have informed the minister’s statement of government’s preference for approaching multilateral agencies.

The objective of the 2014 DSA is to assess the country’s capacity to finance its projects/programmes and service its debt obligations, without undue large adjustments that may compromise its macroeconomic stability, overall growth and development.

The government’s avowed confidence that it can continue to borrow on the argument that it falls within a safe threshold, is punctured when examined under an uncertain economic regime, as being faced by Nigeria. Even the government admitted this by its own record. It underlined the risks inherent on its path.

“The pessimistic scenario ( where Nigeria is presently), assumes a reduction in the growth of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP), increase in the rate of inflation, decline in revenue accruing to the Federal Government as a result of a fall in crude oil prices, deterioration in fiscal deficit and current balance, amongst others. Unlike in the previous years, which made pessimistic scenario revenue-specific, this years DSA considered deterioration in a broad range of macroeconomic indicators and variables that could impact negatively on the debt portfolio,” the sustainability analysis annual report said.

Although the results indicate that the country will still remain at a low risk of debt distress under the pessimistic scenario, it also shows a rising trend for all the debt indicators throughout the projection period. This means that a prolonged deterioration in one or two of the variables could increase the risk of debt sustainability.

The growing concern over the country’s debt overhang has been on the front burner for years, but often times, government officials have always argued that the nation’s debt level has not gone out of a safe trajectory. However, the lid over this confidence margin, appears to be weakening and increasingly contested.

A lecturer at the Pan Atlantic University, Lagos, Dr. Austin Nweze, pointed out a grave danger in accumulating excessive foreign debts as such would place undue burden on future generations, especially if the loans are not channeled into capital projects.

He said that the danger lies ahead for the economy, should the existing level of borrowing from big nations continue, which could make the country to depend on lending nations.

Nweze, however, said that there is nothing wrong in borrowing provided the funds are well utilised or invested in the provision of infrastructure.

According to him, the fall in oil prices has reduced revenue receipts, forcing the government to look for money to run the economy.

He urged the government not to leave behind a heavy foreign debt burden for the present and unborn generations. He cautioned that Nigeria, already under a heavy burden of foreign debts could be in great danger.



He urged the ruling class and the older generations to set good example and educate the coming generations for a better and secured future. According to him, such example should be set by not accumulating debt for future generations to inherit.

He urged the government to invest borrowed money in projects that will benefit the economy, instead of consuming the money.

Dr. Isaac Nwaogwugwu, a lecturer at Department of Economics, University of Lagos, said there is no way we are going to finance capital budget without borrowing.

He said: “That is why the allocation to capital account or expenditure is very small unless the government says it not ready to invest or provide for the future then it’s going to borrow.

“If government is committed to developmental issues there is no way it can run away from that? So, the volume of borrowed amount, or our debt stock wouldn’t matter so much. They can always try to cut down what they have borrowing and not that they can’t borrow.”



Leakages



Nwaogwugwu went on: “The danger on borrowing lies on fiscal leakages. If government can block leakages, that will be fine and that is the task for the new government, though the president-elect will find his hands tight on many issues.

“We can’t run away from borrowing but all we have to do is to ensure that we block all leakages. All we have to do is that we become bold enough to address some fiscal issues involved in recurrent spending. Many things we spend on recurrent expenditures are simply used to maintain some people who run government.



Funds not tied to

specific projects



“That issue started under former President Olusegun Obasanjo. If you look at the letter which Soludo (the former Central Bank of Nigeria Governor) wrote when he was talking about the Jonathan administration and how he mismanaged the economy, he raised the issue of using the budget to finance consumption expenditure.

“Basically, Soludo called the budget under President Jonathan a consumption appropraition. In as much as I agree with Soludo totally, I also hold him accountable for some of the mistakes. It was when Obasanjo was in the office that Soludo was the CBN Governor, before Sanusi Lamido, took over with this minister of state for finance, who replaced Okonjo-Iweala . “It was after that we borrowed money, they called it capital receipt and we used that money to pay salaries and wages; we used that money for recurrent expenditure. We borrowed money and we don’t tie it to capital projects. That is one of the biggest issue and where the dangers lie. Such loans must be tied to the budget and if we don’t, we’ll be mortgaging the future of Nigerians.



The way out



Nwaogwugwu said: “We have to be fiscally discipline. We saw the Senate pass the bill; we saw the House of Representatives pass the bill and what did we see? The budget has increased. It has gone up to N4.5 trillion. But, what we discovered that National Assembly increased spending and mark up expenditure on things that might not be necessary. That has always been the problem. If the National Assembly can look at the budget critically and say, ‘we don’t need this; we don’t need that; let us start with their own remuneration; begin to cut them down, look at how much they are collecting’.

“Look at the severance allowances… unless you cut these down, there is no way out. You look at the state bureaucrat today; the havoc they have caused to the economy is huge. Look at the monetisation policy of Obasanjo, they have abandoned it completely. Unless we have a National Assembly that is bold enough to say, ‘lets block this and that’, then we will move forward. The way out is that those we have elected should block all leakages. If the politicians do the right thing we won’t have any problem.

http://thenationonlineng.net/new/nigerias-economy-under-threat-as-debts-hit-n11tr/
God has a way of turning around this misfortune

1 Like

Re: Nigeria’s Economy Under Threat As Debts Hit N11trillion by lilflipnerd: 6:58am On May 07, 2015
Truckpusher:
APC making series of 'I will fail' comments to have ready excuses to justify their imminent failure. grin




A barren woman will always blame a late marriage for her childlessness. grin
u are just a fool

7 Likes

Re: Nigeria’s Economy Under Threat As Debts Hit N11trillion by chidiebere2020(m): 6:58am On May 07, 2015
When will nigeria get better

1 Like

Re: Nigeria’s Economy Under Threat As Debts Hit N11trillion by Nobody: 6:59am On May 07, 2015
barcanista:
I have not been comfortable on reading that the FG borrowed money to pay wages and salaries of workers. This is sad and a shame that saner countries borrow to fund developmental project, ours is to consume and loot. One of our challenges in this country has been fiscal indiscipline, and it is appearing like we aren't getting better. Jonathan administration with due respect has done little or nothing to better the situation, and the APC program is more of consumption than long term development. Truth must be said, we are in a dire situation. The incoming administration have lots of work to do.

Now you are talking..This is really sad

1 Like

Re: Nigeria’s Economy Under Threat As Debts Hit N11trillion by Jaabioro(m): 7:00am On May 07, 2015
My dear Madam Okonjo Wahala,you told us few weeks ago that Nigeria does nw broke as a nation,infact her economy was doing in ocean of world market..Can you explain to the in simple term,l mean a lay man language that would make the half bake and street man to undertand why borrowing for recurrent expenditure? Do you want to tell us that our internally revenue apart oil generat'd fund is nt enough to take of salaries and sundry?Pls madam you can resign nw.
Re: Nigeria’s Economy Under Threat As Debts Hit N11trillion by Nobody: 7:01am On May 07, 2015
jayfolarin:
Should jonathan in connivance with okonjo be given the green light to milk the nation dry just because he conceded to an election he obviously lost and congratulated the winner? No, I don't think so.

GMB and the APC have been crying out about jonathan's steals and economy ruins but some pathetic heads think they should shut up and allow nigeria plunge into more problems just coz they desperately want the APC to fail.

This supporters of impunity both online and offline are the nation's worst enemies. They'd rather see nigeria burn than progress. I think a lengthy jail term or outright execution of this set will do this country a world of good!

Until secession which I believe every region is prepared for right now, nigeria remains your country as well as mine. crimes and perpetrators should be condemned in strong terms by all.

I pray and hope buhari succeeds in bringing corrupt politicians to book and recovers stolen funds and institutions, 50% recovery is more than enough seff. Cant wait!


Will buhari bring tinubu, Atiku n their likes to book And recover 50% of their stolen funds...

2 Likes

Re: Nigeria’s Economy Under Threat As Debts Hit N11trillion by Flets: 7:02am On May 07, 2015
Ok
Re: Nigeria’s Economy Under Threat As Debts Hit N11trillion by Nobody: 7:02am On May 07, 2015
ShaddyTerese:
That's the more reason why GMB must leave no stone unturned in recovering stolen funds. #No mercy#

Lol. I hope GMB will start by probing himself n the APC thieves surrounding him...

2 Likes

Re: Nigeria’s Economy Under Threat As Debts Hit N11trillion by Nobody: 7:05am On May 07, 2015
coputa:
The economy will soon bleed to death from the monumental waste that is perpetrated by okonjo wahala.What of the excess crude accout and the sovereign wealth fund,have they been depleted,this woman has succeded in deceiving Nigerians.

Only if u Nigerians can step up in knowledge n understand things wen they happen.

Try as much as possible to accept the fact that okonjo iweala didn't come here to stealnur money.

She left her position @ d world bank as a Director n came here to help Nigeria.

Anyone who is intelligent enough should avoid baseless n thrash statements against her.

As if u don't know why n how Nigeria got to this point.

4 Likes

Re: Nigeria’s Economy Under Threat As Debts Hit N11trillion by idu1(m): 7:05am On May 07, 2015
barcanista:
I have not been comfortable on reading that the FG borrowed money to pay wages and salaries of workers. This is sad and a shame that saner countries borrow to fund developmental project, ours is to consume and loot. One of our challenges in this country has been fiscal indiscipline, and it is appearing like we aren't getting better. Jonathan administration with due respect has done little or nothing to better the situation, and the APC program is more of consumption than long term development. Truth must be said, we are in a dire situation. The incoming administration have lots of work to do.
. You were campaigning for jonathan to continue transformation us na...heheheheheheheheheh
Re: Nigeria’s Economy Under Threat As Debts Hit N11trillion by aziddam1001(m): 7:05am On May 07, 2015
OREMUSSANCTUS:
Even china america dhe owe debts So nufin so special abt dis news Money was used for developmental projects Only dat u all fail to accept dat he worked very hard for dis country
Say no to "change" Say yes to transformation
Whatever you are high on must be stopped.
Re: Nigeria’s Economy Under Threat As Debts Hit N11trillion by lastmessenger: 7:08am On May 07, 2015
Coming from an APC propaganda unit to exonerate the general from the any form of blame when he eventually fails.
I pity you guys. The only way to save this country is to stop giving people free money. Is time for every state to be an independent, source for thier fund with whatever resources they have and develop at their own pace.
Re: Nigeria’s Economy Under Threat As Debts Hit N11trillion by bosunjohns(m): 7:08am On May 07, 2015
These people have killed us!
Re: Nigeria’s Economy Under Threat As Debts Hit N11trillion by PassingShot(m): 7:08am On May 07, 2015
4Play:


Now that oil prices have fallen, it's hilarious seeing people asking for recourse to the savings. Just a few months ago when oil prices were still high, the short-sighted demands of the opposition was that we should have no such savings.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2014-09-30/nigeria-s-opposition-wants-to-scrap-sovereign-oil-funds

Now that our economic illiteracy is bearing fruit, the person who was warning about the need for fiscal prudence and savings is receiving abuse whilst the people who wanted it depleted are seeking to gain political capital from a relative lack of savings. You people are dolts.

Do not pretend not to know the reason for the governors asking for the savings to be shared. If you sincerely do not know, it's because the reserves got depleted without their knowledge and without good explanation for such depletion. If FG had not stolen from the reserves, those governors would not have insisted on sharing it.

All in all, GEJ/NOI/FG are responsible for this mess we are now.

4 Likes

Re: Nigeria’s Economy Under Threat As Debts Hit N11trillion by skyisthelimit(m): 7:10am On May 07, 2015
Yes other countries borrow and are in debts too but the question is what did you do with the money you borrowed...you imagine yourself borrowing from a bank with such high interest after which you then begin to spend on having fun not remembering you will pay back...why can't we all just agree things are messed up..Obasanjo handed over savings..now this is handing over an empty treasury after selling oil at a record 114pb...forget d opposition, there was a President so he takes the flacks same way he enjoyed the pecks of office...a wake up call for personal responsibility for all instead of looking for who to blame.

3 Likes

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