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CNN-ORC Poll: Donald Trump Leading Us Presidential Polls - Foreign Affairs - Nairaland

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CNN-ORC Poll: Donald Trump Leading Us Presidential Polls by coolslim: 12:16pm On Jul 25, 2016
(CNN)The bounce is back.

Donald Trump comes out of his convention ahead of Hillary Clinton in the race for the White House, topp four-way matchup including Gary Johnson (9%) and Jill Stein (3%) and by three points in a two-way head-to-head, 48% to 45%. That latter finding represents a 6-point convention bounce for Trump, which are traditionally measured in two-way matchups.

There hasn't been a significant post-convention bounce in CNN's polling since 2000. That year Al Gore and George W. Bush both boosted their numbers by an identical 8 points post-convention before ultimately battling all the way to the Supreme Court.


The new findings mark Trump's best showing in a CNN/ORC Poll against Clinton since September 2015. Trump's new edge rests largely on increased support among independents, 43% of whom said that Trump's convention in Cleveland left them more likely to back him, while 41% were dissuaded. Pre-convention, independents split 34% Clinton to 31% Trump, with sizable numbers behind Johnson (22%) and Stein (10%). Now, 46% say they back Trump, 28% Clinton, 15% Johnson and 4% Stein.
Donald Trump's plan to win the week
The poll also reflects a sharpening of the education divide among whites that has been prevalent throughout the campaign. Among white voters with college degrees, Clinton actually gained ground compared with pre-convention results, going from an even 40% to 40% split to a 44% to 39% edge over Trump. That while Trump expanded his lead with white voters who do not hold a college degree from a 51% to 31% lead before the convention to a 62% to 23% lead now.

Beyond boosting his overall support, Trump's favorability rating is also on the rise (46% of registered voters say they have a positive view, up from 39% pre-convention), while his advantage over Clinton on handling top issues climbs. He now holds double-digit margins over Clinton as more trusted on the economy and terrorism. Trump also cut into Clinton's edge on managing foreign policy (50% said they trusted her more, down from 57% pre-convention).
The convention also helped Trump make strides in his personal image. A majority (52%) now say Trump is running for president for the good of the country rather than personal gain, just 44% say the same about Clinton. He's increased the share who call him honest and trustworthy (from 38% to 43%), and who would be proud to have him as president (from 32% to 39%). And nearly half now say he's in touch with the problems ordinary Americans face in their daily lives (46% say so, 37% did before the convention).
Despite Democratic criticism of the Republican convention's message as divisive, the percentage who say Trump will unite the country rather than divide it has increased to 42%, compared with 34% pre-convention.

Clinton's ratings on these same measures took a hit, though in most cases her drop-off was not quite as large as Trump's gain. Perhaps most troubling for the Clinton supporters gathering in Philadelphia this week: 68% now say Clinton is not honest and trustworthy, her worst rating on that measure in CNN/ORC polling.
Those positives for Trump come despite some sharply negative reviews for the convention itself. Almost 6 in 10 (58%) said the Republican convention spent too much time attacking Democrats, and 18% called Trump's speech "terrible," the highest by far since CNN started began the question in 1996. Still, 40% called the speech excellent or good and about half of voters (45%) said Trump's speech reflected the way they feel about things in the U.S. today; 48% said it did not reflect their views.

The public rendered a split decision on whether the convention made them more or less likely to back Trump, 42% said more likely while 44% said less so, but the shift in voter preferences suggests the "more likely" side carried more weight. And most came away feeling ready to decide about Trump's fitness for the job: 78% say they already know enough to know whether he'd be a good president. Another 20% think they need more information.
Two prominent convention speakers saw their stock rise post-convention as well. Favorability ratings for Trump's wife, Melania, climbed from 27% pre-convention to 43% post-convention, despite news that her Monday night speech contained passages lifted from Michelle Obama's 2008 Democratic convention speech. Vice Presidential nominee Mike Pence, whose Wednesday speaking slot was largely overshadowed following Ted Cruz's defiant stand on the convention stage, also bolstered the electorate's impression of him, landing at a 39% favorable rating overall, up from 26% pre-convention.

Cruz's move, however, appears to have backfired. While 60% of Republican voters had a positive impression of the former presidential candidate before the convention, just 33% have one now.
The Trump campaign has claimed the visceral negative reaction to Cruz reflected the unity the party feels behind Trump himself. But the poll suggests a large share of Republican voters still need to be won over. The share of Republicans who say their party is "united now" climbed from 16% pre-convention to 24% post-convention, but about half (49%) say it's not united now, but will be by November, and there are still about a quarter who say the party won't unite at all. Further, 45% continue to say they'd prefer someone other than Trump as the nominee.
The CNN/ORC Poll was conducted by telephone July 22-24 among a random national sample of 1,001 adults. Results for the sample of 882 registered voters have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.


http://www.cnn.com/2016/07/25/politics/donald-trump-hillary-clinton-poll/index.html

5 Likes

Re: CNN-ORC Poll: Donald Trump Leading Us Presidential Polls by NwaNimo1(m): 12:17pm On Jul 25, 2016
Trump will never be president.......this is just a game they're playing for the ignorant.

Hillary has been selected as the next US presido.....she's a daughter of the NWO.

66 Likes 3 Shares

Re: CNN-ORC Poll: Donald Trump Leading Us Presidential Polls by LORDOFAFONJAS: 12:18pm On Jul 25, 2016
NwaNimo1:
Trump will never be president.......this is just a game they're playing for the ignorant.

Hillary has been selected as the next US presido..
just wait and see son, you think its INEC that is in charge of their election?

320 Likes 28 Shares

Re: CNN-ORC Poll: Donald Trump Leading Us Presidential Polls by rayblast(m): 12:18pm On Jul 25, 2016
I seriously dnt want him to win . Buh d way everything is going , there s no stopping Trump

23 Likes 1 Share

Re: CNN-ORC Poll: Donald Trump Leading Us Presidential Polls by jaybee3(m): 12:19pm On Jul 25, 2016
coolslim:
DONALD TRUMP LEADING US PRESIDENTIAL POLE.
Donald Trump comes out of his convention ahead of Hillary Clinton in the race for the White House, topping her 44% to 39% in a four-way matchup including Gary Johnson (9%) and Jill Stein (3%) and by three points in a two-way head-to-head, 48% to 45%. That latter finding represents a 6-point convention bounce for Trump, which are traditionally measured in two-way matchups.
Read full story

I'm not going to take your post serious until he starts leading the Vault tongue tongue tongue

9 Likes

Re: CNN-ORC Poll: Donald Trump Leading Us Presidential Polls by seedgreen(m): 12:19pm On Jul 25, 2016
NwaNimo1:
Trump will never be president.......this is just a game they're playing for the ignorant.

Hillary has been selected as the next US presido..
you truly understand the politics.....Trump will never be US president.

36 Likes 1 Share

Re: CNN-ORC Poll: Donald Trump Leading Us Presidential Polls by coolslim: 12:31pm On Jul 25, 2016
I think Trump stands a better chance .World security challenges has made it easy for him.America wants to be sure they can freely hangout without being attacked. - that's what trump is offering.Believe it or not more Americans are buying !

156 Likes 13 Shares

Re: CNN-ORC Poll: Donald Trump Leading Us Presidential Polls by Nature8(m): 12:52pm On Jul 25, 2016
I just love this man (Donald Trump), he's a no nonsense man.. I pray he becomes the American next president..

92 Likes 9 Shares

Re: CNN-ORC Poll: Donald Trump Leading Us Presidential Polls by bonechamberlain(m): 12:56pm On Jul 25, 2016
The Democrats shot themselves on the foot by picking Clinton rather than Sanders. As for me let trump win, prefer him to Clinton

68 Likes 5 Shares

Re: CNN-ORC Poll: Donald Trump Leading Us Presidential Polls by jaybee3(m): 12:56pm On Jul 25, 2016
coolslim:
I think Trump stands a better chance .World security challenges has made it easy for him.America wants to be sure they can freely hangout without being attacked. - that's what trump is offering.Believe it or not more Americans are buying !
Stand a chance, how?

He is already disadvantaged with the electoral college map

He is always going to be disadvantaged with popular votes

He is disadvantaged with the minority votes

He is disadvantaged with the educated white votes

He is disadvantaged with the women votes

40 Likes 3 Shares

Re: CNN-ORC Poll: Donald Trump Leading Us Presidential Polls by Landloard01(m): 12:57pm On Jul 25, 2016
ok

1 Like

Re: CNN-ORC Poll: Donald Trump Leading Us Presidential Polls by Kenzico(m): 1:00pm On Jul 25, 2016
TRUMP becoming the president is the END for America

9 Likes

Re: CNN-ORC Poll: Donald Trump Leading Us Presidential Polls by LORDOFAFONJAS: 1:02pm On Jul 25, 2016
Kenzico:
TRUMP becoming the president is the END for America
or the end of ISLAM(IC) STATE OF SAUDI ARABIA cool

117 Likes 10 Shares

Re: CNN-ORC Poll: Donald Trump Leading Us Presidential Polls by chadwickcollins(m): 1:35pm On Jul 25, 2016
Trump all d way, he must win

37 Likes 1 Share

Re: CNN-ORC Poll: Donald Trump Leading Us Presidential Polls by ganisucks(f): 1:44pm On Jul 25, 2016
NwaNimo1:
Trump will never be president.......this is just a game they're playing for the ignorant.

Hillary has been selected as the next US presido..
Sorry, but it is Trump who has been selected. The way to tell which candidate is likely to win, is to check which candidate has more media attention, irrespective of if it is postive or negative

63 Likes 6 Shares

Re: CNN-ORC Poll: Donald Trump Leading Us Presidential Polls by Nobody: 1:50pm On Jul 25, 2016
If trump wins welcome to world war III

15 Likes

Re: CNN-ORC Poll: Donald Trump Leading Us Presidential Polls by Nobody: 1:51pm On Jul 25, 2016
I CAN SEE TRUMP AS THE NEXT US PRESIDENT.

21 Likes

Re: CNN-ORC Poll: Donald Trump Leading Us Presidential Polls by Nobody: 1:53pm On Jul 25, 2016
seedgreen:
you truly understand the politics.....Trump will never be US president.
all these rukus na just cover up. U go tell me say hilary that woman never buy that seat tey tey?
Re: CNN-ORC Poll: Donald Trump Leading Us Presidential Polls by Cutezt(m): 1:58pm On Jul 25, 2016
As much as I don't want Trump to win, but it seems he will sadly be the next US president.

11 Likes 1 Share

Re: CNN-ORC Poll: Donald Trump Leading Us Presidential Polls by jaybee3(m): 2:01pm On Jul 25, 2016
ganisucks:
Sorry, but it is Trump who has been selected. The way to tell which candidate is likely to win, is to check which candidate has more media attention, irrespective of if it is postive or negative
Politics is a game of numbers. Demographics and historical trend plays a large role in deciding elections.

Trump was always going to get a bounce immediately after their convention so it isn't unexpected

6 Likes

Re: CNN-ORC Poll: Donald Trump Leading Us Presidential Polls by iPrevail(m): 2:06pm On Jul 25, 2016
I told someone, many Americans don't like this Trump guy, but they feel the don't have a choice. America is the most threatened nation in the world and Trump sounds like someone who could be a savior.

35 Likes

Re: CNN-ORC Poll: Donald Trump Leading Us Presidential Polls by 2sexynet: 2:13pm On Jul 25, 2016
coolslim:
I think Trump stands a better chance .World security challenges has made it easy for him.America wants to be sure they can freely hangout without being attacked. - that's what trump is offering.Believe it or not more Americans are buying !
True. It is just pathetic how things are playing out in favour of Trump. Even if he lost, he go down in history as the one of the greatest presidential candidate that America has ever had.

22 Likes 1 Share

Re: CNN-ORC Poll: Donald Trump Leading Us Presidential Polls by proxillin(m): 2:15pm On Jul 25, 2016
Team DTrump!!!!

grin grin grin grin grin grin

18 Likes 1 Share

Re: CNN-ORC Poll: Donald Trump Leading Us Presidential Polls by Rossikk(m): 2:19pm On Jul 25, 2016
Anyone who supports Trump must have a death wish. This is a man who said he is prepared to use NUCLEAR WEAPONS against his enemies. Do these dumb, brainless, and stupi.d Trump supporters think they will survive a global nuclear conflict? Trump, a demented monster and racist who takes everything personal, is the man they are willing to hedge their families' lives on, by granting him access to the US nuclear codes? I mean, it's just unbelievable. I always knew the average American was dumb and ignorant, but surely, not this dumb.

30 Likes 3 Shares

Re: CNN-ORC Poll: Donald Trump Leading Us Presidential Polls by proxillin(m): 2:22pm On Jul 25, 2016
Rossikk:
Anyone who supports Trump must have a death wish. This is a man who said he is prepared to use NUCLEAR WEAPONS against his enemies. Do these dumb, brainless, and stupi.d Trump supporters think they will survive a global nuclear conflict?

Donald trump does not want war.
Clinton has created many war.


She endorsed Bush Iraqi war
She endorsed the removal of Ghadafi
She is war Monger.

Forget what all the shiity media says about Trump. he is the best president for the world.

82 Likes 6 Shares

Re: CNN-ORC Poll: Donald Trump Leading Us Presidential Polls by Rossikk(m): 2:28pm On Jul 25, 2016
proxillin:


Donald trump does not want war.
Clinton has created many war.


She endorsed Bush Iraqi war
She endorsed the removal of Ghadafi
She is war Monger.

Forget what all the shiity media says about Trump. he is the best president for the world.
Use your brain. Trump SAID in his own words that he is prepared to use nuclear weapons. Hillary Clinton has never suggested the use of nukes. The only world leader that has threatened nuclear conflict is Kim Jong-un of North Korea.

14 Likes 2 Shares

Re: CNN-ORC Poll: Donald Trump Leading Us Presidential Polls by Nobody: 2:33pm On Jul 25, 2016
I hope he doesn't win.

He's racist, inconsiderate and clearly doesn't understand how the world works. 0_o

7 Likes

Re: CNN-ORC Poll: Donald Trump Leading Us Presidential Polls by proxillin(m): 2:34pm On Jul 25, 2016
Rossikk:
Use your brain. Trump SAID in his own words that he is prepared to use nuclear weapons. Hillary Clinton has never suggested the use of nukes. The only world leader that has threatened nuclear conflict is Kim Jong-un of North Korea.

Do you have to reference my brain before you make an argument?


People like you think screaming, cursing, insulting will drive your point home.

You are not in a zoo. To argue your point home, give facts, logics.

He says "he is gonna drop nuclear bomb". He has nt killed a single person.

And a woman helped created ISIS which has killed thousands of people.

She sacrificed a whole ambassador because of muslims.

She supported Bush wars.

Please who is the blood sucking war monger here? may be you should use the so-called "brain"

65 Likes 4 Shares

Re: CNN-ORC Poll: Donald Trump Leading Us Presidential Polls by Ratello: 2:37pm On Jul 25, 2016
proxillin:


Donald trump does not want war.
Clinton has created many war.


She endorsed Bush Iraqi war
She endorsed the removal of Ghadafi
She is war Monger.

Forget what all the shiity media says about Trump. he is the best president for the world.
I doff my hat for your vast knowledge on American politics. You will live long sir. Trump is the need of the hour.

31 Likes 1 Share

Re: CNN-ORC Poll: Donald Trump Leading Us Presidential Polls by Rossikk(m): 2:40pm On Jul 25, 2016
proxillin:


Do you have to reference my brain before you make an argument?


People like you think screaming, cursing, insulting will drive your point home.

You are not in a zoo. To argue your point home, give facts, logics.

He says "he is gonna drop nuclear bomb". He has nt killed a single person.

And a woman helped created ISIS which has killed thousands of people.

She sacrificed a whole ambassador because of muslims.

She supported Bush wars.

Please who is the blood sucking war monger here? may be you should use the so-called "brain"
You are the dumbest person on this forum. Get off Fox News and start using your brain. If a man tells you he is prepared to start a nuclear war, you do NOT vote him in as president unless you want to die in a nuclear conflict. Understood? Dunce.

11 Likes 1 Share

Re: CNN-ORC Poll: Donald Trump Leading Us Presidential Polls by Nobody: 2:43pm On Jul 25, 2016
jaybee3:

Stand a chance, how?

He is already disadvantaged with the electoral college map

He is always going to be disadvantaged with popular votes

He is disadvantaged with the minority votes

He is disadvantaged with the educated white votes

He is disadvantaged with the women votes


He is also disadvantaged with the black votes

13 Likes

Re: CNN-ORC Poll: Donald Trump Leading Us Presidential Polls by Rossikk(m): 2:47pm On Jul 25, 2016
Bluetooth2:


He is also disadvantaged with the black votes
More than. I saw some polls, like in the state of Ohio for instance, where he actually scored 0% among African Americans.

2 Likes 1 Share

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