Exits:

Conservative 314 (12 short of majority)

Labour 266

Lib Dem 14

SNP 34

UKIP 0

updated at 5pm EDT

Recap of expected seats:

YouGov, election model: CON 302 and a hung Parliament.

Britain Elects, election model: CON 353.

Lord Michael Ashcroft, British pollster and former deputy Conservative Party leader: CON 357.

Martin Baxter, British psephologist: CON 361.

Washington Post Monkey Cage: CON 361.

Chris Hanretty, University of East Anglia: CON 371.

PM and Pendulum, election model: CON 372.

Matt Singh, who correctly predicted polling inaccuracies in the 2015 election: CON 374.

Thomas Scotto, University of Strathclyde, in interview: CON 380-390.

Iain Dale, British talk-show host and former Norfolk North MP candidate: CON 386.

Ian Warren, British political consultant who has advised all parties: CON 387.

Our own Nathan Wurtzel, CON 359-379.