Lack of a united front

Either MASSOB or IPOB fail to offer a united front with which to present their case in a way deemed legal, within the constitution of the country. Inciting hate and violence, which essentially rally a hostile situation, through a a radio station in London is hardly a decent direction for a potential neighbour.

The recent Catalan referendum is such a prime example of one path which Eastern Nigeria would have pressured the government to act. By conducting a howbeit, illegal vote count, they would have effectively placed a number on the amount wanting separation.

But until the IPOB provides, that majority indeed wants separation The Government’s stance would still remains; they are viewed as a rebels to the peace of the country.

Ambiguity of claim

The Biafran prospective state line worries everyone. The last attempt at Independence had most of the now South-South part of the country lumped together as Eastern Region. But recently, that water has become a little more murky.

The bulk of the then Eastern Region have followed through with an organic partitioning , to create more states for minorities and ethnic groups — not too dissimilar from the Igbos. These parts, The now new separatists still claims even with explicit rejection frm those regions.

The Nigerian Government is hardly going to hand over the oil rich regions and it’s non agreeing citizens anytime soon ( although they did that with Bakassi but that is for another day ) a situation which IPOD has little plan over.

The Biafra war and men who fought it

The vanguard of the winning Nigeria side in the Biafran war, transitioned into government with some now controlling the country in one faction or another. Given that they were around to receive the then surrender of the breakaway region and the Vice president of Biafra in his speech[1] declared that Biafra ceases to exist. They — the former generals and now government— view the current agitation with disdain, and as a sign of betrayal.

Even more so, the exiled leader of Biafra Dr Ojukwu was pardoned on the grounds of those terms, even allowed to compete in the presidential election of the country in a bit to smooth thing over.

Limited understanding of the geopolitical situation

Nigeria is a power struggle between the Southern and Northern protectorates (colonial terms) . The South subdivides into Eastern and Western region with the Niger delta, a cacophony of smaller ethnicities groups as south south.

The North partitions into, Core North, with the middle belt as another area with large minority. But any true Nigeria would tell you, the real power lies with the major ethnic groups which the Igbo is part.

Instead of a dual power structure, Nigeria is essentially a Triumvirate between Yoruba, Hausa ( sometimes lumped with Fulani) and Igbo with other groups stacking neatly behind.

To gain any significant traction, they have to appeal with the other major groups with reasons to support their independence which the Igbo are yet to accomplish.

Then again there is the old nemesis precedence. Nigeria isn’t currently the happiest place , and The Government, guessing correctly understands that handling Biafara a hall pass would end Nigeria as a state and institution.

Other regions would want to follow suit. And this would be a disaster. It would break the country into small states, demolish the relevance of the country on the continent, and open a chance at going again at each other in a bid to settling old scores during the civil war. This, nobody wants.

One, no one gives you independence or allows you to secede just like that. You will have to work diligently for it. No Nigerian President even if he is Igbo will want to enter the history books as one who supervised the break up of Nigeria.

Two, there isn't the right approach and organization yet. First Ojukwu wanted to achieve it by force under military rule; now others want to achieve it through sentiments under a democracy. There isn't a well worked out plan for its actualization.

Three, the struggle isn't consistent. While there are cases when it looks like a genuine struggle, there are many others when it looks like a politico-sentimental propaganda. The struggle is more emotional than ideological. Its agigatators mostly intensify the struggle when the political equation in the country doesn't favour their interests.

Four, we don't even know what constitutes Biafra. Is it the South East or the SE and South South included? There is no strong leadership and coordination behind the whole project. Even to collectively support APGA, an Igbo party, is a problem. How can you create a country?

Five, it doesn't enjoy the active support of the Igbo elites that matter politically and economically. Governors, Senators, Business men, etc from Igbo land appear not to give a damn about it, at least not openly

[s]

tallfish145:
One, no one gives you independence or allows you to secede just like that. You will have to work diligently for it. No Nigerian President even if he is Igbo will want to enter the history books as one who supervised the break up of Nigeria.

Two, there isn't the right approach and organization yet. First Ojukwu wanted to achieve it by force under military rule; now others want to achieve it through sentiments under a democracy. There isn't a well worked out plan for its actualization.

Three, the struggle isn't consistent. While there are cases when it looks like a genuine struggle, there are many others when it looks like a politico-sentimental propaganda. The struggle is more emotional than ideological. Its agigatators mostly intensify the struggle when the political equation in the country doesn't favour their interests.

Four, we don't even know what constitutes Biafra. Is it the South East or the SE and South South included? There is no strong leadership and coordination behind the whole project. Even to collectively support APGA, an Igbo party, is a problem. How can you create a country?

Five, it doesn't enjoy the active support of the Igbo elites that matter politically and economically. Governors, Senators, Business men, etc from Igbo land appear not to give a damn about it, at least not openly

[/s]

tallfish145:
[s]Lack of a united front

Either MASSOB or IPOB fail to offer a united front with which to present their case in a way deemed legal, within the constitution of the country. Inciting hate and violence, which essentially rally a hostile situation, through a a radio station in London is hardly a decent direction for a potential neighbour.

The recent Catalan referendum is such a prime example of one path which Eastern Nigeria would have pressured the government to act. By conducting a howbeit, illegal vote count, they would have effectively placed a number on the amount wanting separation.

But until the IPOB provides, that majority indeed wants separation The Government’s stance would still remains; they are viewed as a rebels to the peace of the country.

Ambiguity of claim

The Biafran prospective state line worries everyone. The last attempt at Independence had most of the now South-South part of the country lumped together as Eastern Region. But recently, that water has become a little more murky.

The bulk of the then Eastern Region have followed through with an organic partitioning , to create more states for minorities and ethnic groups — not too dissimilar from the Igbos. These parts, The now new separatists still claims even with explicit rejection frm those regions.

The Nigerian Government is hardly going to hand over the oil rich regions and it’s non agreeing citizens anytime soon ( although they did that with Bakassi but that is for another day ) a situation which IPOD has little plan over.

[/s]Thrash

tallfish145:
[s]The Biafra war and men who fought it

The vanguard of the winning Nigeria side in the Biafran war, transitioned into government with some now controlling the country in one faction or another. Given that they were around to receive the then surrender of the breakaway region and the Vice president of Biafra in his speech[1] declared that Biafra ceases to exist. They — the former generals and now government— view the current agitation with disdain, and as a sign of betrayal.

Even more so, the exiled leader of Biafra Dr Ojukwu was pardoned on the grounds of those terms, even allowed to compete in the presidential election of the country in a bit to smooth thing over.

Limited understanding of the geopolitical situation

Nigeria is a power struggle between the Southern and Northern protectorates (colonial terms) . The South subdivides into Eastern and Western region with the Niger delta, a cacophony of smaller ethnicities groups as south south.

The North partitions into, Core North, with the middle belt as another area with large minority. But any true Nigeria would tell you, the real power lies with the major ethnic groups which the Igbo is part.

Instead of a dual power structure, Nigeria is essentially a Triumvirate between Yoruba, Hausa ( sometimes lumped with Fulani) and Igbo with other groups stacking neatly behind.

To gain any significant traction, they have to appeal with the other major groups with reasons to support their independence which the Igbo are yet to accomplish.

Then again there is the old nemesis precedence. Nigeria isn’t currently the happiest place , and The Government, guessing correctly understands that handling Biafara a hall pass would end Nigeria as a state and institution.

Other regions would want to follow suit. And this would be a disaster. It would break the country into small states, demolish the relevance of the country on the continent, and open a chance at going again at each other in a bid to settling old scores during the civil war. This, nobody wants.

[/s]

Trassssshhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh
TTTTTTTTTTTTTrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrraaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaasssssssssssssssssshhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh
Trash
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