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Atiku Has No Mathematical Chance Of Winning Going By The Current Trend Of Result - Politics - Nairaland

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Atiku Has No Mathematical Chance Of Winning Going By The Current Trend Of Result by ahidjo: 6:07am On Feb 25, 2019
Well, after doing the some statistical extrapolations using the results so far, it is going to be a tough task for Atiku to win this. In doing this, I found the average of the margins of wins for each party so far in each state and extrapolated to all local governments in that state. Positive values indicate PDP margin of win (in Thousands). Negative values indicate APC margin of win. For example, for Abia, PDP is profected to win with a margin of about 150 thousand votes and APC is projected to win with a vote difference of 100 000 in Adamawa. These are conservative figures. The final figures can be slightly higher or lower but will not be significantly different unless something magical or untowed happens. I project that APC will win with at least 700 thousand votes.
State
Abia 150
Adamawa -100
Akwa ibom 150
Anambra 400
Bauchi -100
Bayelsa 100
Benue 50
Borno -300
Cross river 150
Delta 150
Ebonyi 300
Edo 100
Ekiti -65
Enugu 300
Fct 100
Gombe -150
Imo 150
Jigawa -600
Kaduna -200
Kano -700
Katsina -500
Kebbi -300
Kogi 40
Kwara -50
Lagos -50
Nasarawa 50
Niger -150
Ogun 50
ondo 100
osun -10
Oyo 50
Plateau 100
Rivers 300
Sokoto 50
Taraba -50
Yobe -150
Zamfara -150

Sum (-785) APC win by 785 000

2 Likes 1 Share

Re: Atiku Has No Mathematical Chance Of Winning Going By The Current Trend Of Result by Nobody: 6:31am On Feb 25, 2019
ahidjo:
Well, after doing the some statistical extrapolations using the results so far, it is going to be a tough task for Atiku to win this. In doing this, I found the average of the margins of wins for each party so far in each state and extrapolated to all local governments in that state. Positive values indicate PDP margin of win (in Thousands). Negative values indicate APC margin of win. For example, for Abia, PDP is profected to win with a margin of about 150 thousand votes and APC is projected to win with a vote difference of 100 000 in Adamawa. These are conservative figures. The final figures can be slightly higher or lower but will not be significantly different unless something magical or untowed happens. I project that APC will win with at least 700 thousand votes.
State
Abia 150
Adamawa -100
Akwa ibom 150
Anambra 400
Bauchi -100
Bayelsa 100
Benue 50
Borno -300
Cross river 150
Delta 150
Ebonyi 300
Edo 100
Ekiti -65
Enugu 300
Fct 100
Gombe -150
Imo 150
Jigawa -600
Kaduna -200
Kano -700
Katsina -500
Kebbi -300
Kogi 40
Kwara -50
Lagos -50
Nasarawa 50
Niger -150
Ogun 50
ondo 100
osun -10
Oyo 50
Plateau 100
Rivers 300
Sokoto 50
Taraba -50
Yobe -150
Zamfara -150

Sum (-785) APC win by 785 000
Pls stop permutation and combination PDP already have results from 176000 polling units. PDP prepared for this and APC and INEC have been caught in their game. The SVC is cloud based and 99.9% success.
Sensing that Buhari would not accent the Amended Electoral Act, PDP adopted an alternative scheme to checkmate INEC and APC.
it is game Over!

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Re: Atiku Has No Mathematical Chance Of Winning Going By The Current Trend Of Result by Honor10: 6:41am On Feb 25, 2019
Amitez:

Pls stop permutation and combination PDP already have results from 176000 polling units. PDP prepared for this and APC and INEC have been caught in their game. The SVC is cloud based and 99.9% success.
Sensing that Buhari would not accent the Amended Electoral Act, PDP adopted an alternative scheme to checkmate INEC and APC.
it is game Over!

They console urself

5 Likes 1 Share

Re: Atiku Has No Mathematical Chance Of Winning Going By The Current Trend Of Result by Nobody: 6:42am On Feb 25, 2019
Na these ones de work for NBS but give wrong statistics.. Wait for the final result.

3 Likes

Re: Atiku Has No Mathematical Chance Of Winning Going By The Current Trend Of Result by scantee(m): 6:44am On Feb 25, 2019
Fantasy analysis

4 Likes

Re: Atiku Has No Mathematical Chance Of Winning Going By The Current Trend Of Result by Nobody: 7:08am On Feb 25, 2019
Amitez:

Pls stop permutation and combination PDP already have results from 176000 polling units. PDP prepared for this and APC and INEC have been caught in their game. The SVC is cloud based and 99.9% success.
Sensing that Buhari would not accent the Amended Electoral Act, PDP adopted an alternative scheme to checkmate INEC and APC.
it is game Over!
Please how does the SVC work?

1 Like

Re: Atiku Has No Mathematical Chance Of Winning Going By The Current Trend Of Result by Rochasstatue(f): 7:10am On Feb 25, 2019
Amitez:

Pls stop permutation and combination PDP already have results from 176000 polling units. PDP prepared for this and APC and INEC have been caught in their game. The SVC is cloud based and 99.9% success.
Sensing that Buhari would not accent the Amended Electoral Act, PDP adopted an alternative scheme to checkmate INEC and APC.
it is game Over!


You are an adult with the mind of a child.
Not just any child.
A retarded child.
If PDP had all the results from a cloud based platform, they would have released it through 3rd parties.
You opted to remain a slowpoke when the handwriting on the wall can be read by a monkey.

2 Likes

Re: Atiku Has No Mathematical Chance Of Winning Going By The Current Trend Of Result by dodoniyi: 7:14am On Feb 25, 2019
ATIKURIG MUST LOSE and all the evil supporters of this EVIL BASTARD must cry this week

1 Like 1 Share

Re: Atiku Has No Mathematical Chance Of Winning Going By The Current Trend Of Result by jaxxy(m): 9:11am On Feb 25, 2019
Fictitious figures lol

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Re: Atiku Has No Mathematical Chance Of Winning Going By The Current Trend Of Result by rusher14: 9:16am On Feb 25, 2019
You dey give people hypertension.
grin

1 Like

Re: Atiku Has No Mathematical Chance Of Winning Going By The Current Trend Of Result by johnad01(m): 9:41am On Feb 25, 2019
ahidjo:
Well, after doing the some statistical extrapolations using the results so far, it is going to be a tough task for Atiku to win this. In doing this, I found the average of the margins of wins for each party so far in each state and extrapolated to all local governments in that state. Positive values indicate PDP margin of win (in Thousands). Negative values indicate APC margin of win. For example, for Abia, PDP is profected to win with a margin of about 150 thousand votes and APC is projected to win with a vote difference of 100 000 in Adamawa. These are conservative figures. The final figures can be slightly higher or lower but will not be significantly different unless something magical or untowed happens. I project that APC will win with at least 700 thousand votes.
State
Abia 150
Adamawa -100
Akwa ibom 150
Anambra 400
Bauchi -100
Bayelsa 100
Benue 50
Borno -300
Cross river 150
Delta 150
Ebonyi 300
Edo 100
Ekiti -65
Enugu 300
Fct 100
Gombe -150
Imo 150
Jigawa -600
Kaduna -200
Kano -700
Katsina -500
Kebbi -300
Kogi 40
Kwara -50
Lagos -50
Nasarawa 50
Niger -150
Ogun 50
ondo 100
osun -10
Oyo 50
Plateau 100
Rivers 300
Sokoto 50
Taraba -50
Yobe -150
Zamfara -150

Sum (-785) APC win by 785 000
statistics wey you fail for school......

1 Like

Re: Atiku Has No Mathematical Chance Of Winning Going By The Current Trend Of Result by sultangoro(m): 10:07am On Feb 25, 2019
Teach them my brother Buhari dole
Re: Atiku Has No Mathematical Chance Of Winning Going By The Current Trend Of Result by TAxposer: 10:15am On Feb 25, 2019
rIVERS STATE
Oyigbo LGA
APC - 3520
PDP - 16102

Asari Toru LGA
APC - 18180
PDP - 3175

Omuma LGA
APC - 2494
PDP - 15322

ONELGA LGA
APC -10996
PDP - 28536

Obia/Akpor LGA
APC - 6875
PDP - 69981
Re: Atiku Has No Mathematical Chance Of Winning Going By The Current Trend Of Result by haladadon: 10:22am On Feb 25, 2019
Guys have you ever heard of PVT It's called parallel vote Tabulation.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Parallel_vote_tabulation


I've not heard of the Transition monitoring Group this year.
Re: Atiku Has No Mathematical Chance Of Winning Going By The Current Trend Of Result by Tvegas(m): 10:39am On Feb 25, 2019
Amitez:

Pls stop permutation and combination PDP already have results from 176000 polling units. PDP prepared for this and APC and INEC have been caught in their game. The SVC is cloud based and 99.9% success.
Sensing that Buhari would not accent the Amended Electoral Act, PDP adopted an alternative scheme to checkmate INEC and APC.
it is game Over!

Wetin this one dey talk? How that one con affect the thrashing Atiku is getting in Bornu,Yobe,Kaduna,Jigawa,Niger or the good performance Buhari is putting up in SS/SE?. grin

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