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Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Investment / Investors Shun Nigeria’s $500 Million Eurobond (11921 Views)
GEJ's Reckless Spending Causes Investors To Shun Nigeria’s $500 Million Eurobond / Nigeria’s $500m Eurobond Yield More Than Ghana’s,jp Morgan Implies / Nigeria Plans $500 Million Eurobond Issue This Week - Discuss (2) (3) (4)
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Re: Investors Shun Nigeria’s $500 Million Eurobond by olaolabiy: 3:18am On Jan 22, 2011 |
tpia*: Sacarsm. It means the guy is playing 'ball'. |
Re: Investors Shun Nigeria’s $500 Million Eurobond by olaolabiy: 3:19am On Jan 22, 2011 |
fstranger1: Soludo ke. Only Sanusi, to an extent. But, I am not too sure about his 'Northern' Agenda. |
Re: Investors Shun Nigeria’s $500 Million Eurobond by ekubear1: 3:22am On Jan 22, 2011 |
@ola.olabiy: Nah, looks like he was balling: http://www.businessweek.com/news/2010-04-06/goldman-sachs-aganga-named-nigerian-finance-minister-update2-.html
Definitely not making chicken scratch money. Wouldn't be surprised if he was doing $1 million/year. |
Re: Investors Shun Nigeria’s $500 Million Eurobond by olaolabiy: 3:27am On Jan 22, 2011 |
eku_bear:Nah. Or maybe with bonuses. There are more than 100 managing directors at GS. It is not a biggie like that. |
Re: Investors Shun Nigeria’s $500 Million Eurobond by olaolabiy: 3:29am On Jan 22, 2011 |
^^It doesn't mean he was no1 or no2 in command. |
Re: Investors Shun Nigeria’s $500 Million Eurobond by Katsumoto: 3:34am On Jan 22, 2011 |
ola olabiy: Goldman Sachs MD's earn between $150k and $300k depending on location and unit. I would not be surprised if they make close to $1m per annum including bonuses and options. |
Re: Investors Shun Nigeria’s $500 Million Eurobond by ekubear1: 3:41am On Jan 22, 2011 |
ola olabiy: Hrm: http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2007/02/13/for-goldmans-highest-echelon-a-salary-to-match/ http://www.jobnob.com/goldman-sachs-co-salary http://news.efinancialcareers.com/NEWS_ITEM/newsItemId-8444 So $300k + bonuses? From that third link, 300k or 400k might be a good estimate of the bonuses. So more like $600k/year if he was only a managing director and not partner managing director. Not $1 mil/year. Certainly enough though to become comfortably a millionaire in a short period of time, assuming you save/invest some of it. |
Re: Investors Shun Nigeria’s $500 Million Eurobond by olaolabiy: 3:41am On Jan 22, 2011 |
Katsumoto: You are right. Close to a milla with bonuses. But, that's still before tax, remember that. A minister of state is still better off. Let alone a substantive one in a 'juicy' ministry like his . |
Re: Investors Shun Nigeria’s $500 Million Eurobond by ekubear1: 3:45am On Jan 22, 2011 |
ola olabiy: I think he can make up the money in Nigeria later on down the line. But in the short term, he is taking a big loss. Unless he is massively corrupt. . . which I doubt. Dude has too much reputation to lose if he gets caught. |
Re: Investors Shun Nigeria’s $500 Million Eurobond by olaolabiy: 3:51am On Jan 22, 2011 |
eku_bear: As if they ever get caught. rEPUTATION KO, REPUTE NI. He must have made more by now. Orisirisi allowee. |
Re: Investors Shun Nigeria’s $500 Million Eurobond by ekubear1: 3:59am On Jan 22, 2011 |
How much money could he steal that would be worth his while? You don't even need to be caught to ruin your reputation, just some hearsay. If I worked in the finance world, I'd not want to ever risk my integrity like that. If you don't steal, then when your tenure ends you can go back to private industry and jump up a couple paygrades. Unless Aganga has the opportunity to steal say. . . $20 mil, and do it with say 5 or 10% risk of ruining his reputation, it probably isn't worth it. And what opportunity will the guy have to even steal $20 million for himself Minister of Finance is not Minister of public works, where you can give your cousin contracts. Or NNPC president Anyway, I'm sort of curious about the career path to enter this industry. Management consulting is also somewhat attractive, but the pay scales are far inferior |
Re: Investors Shun Nigeria’s $500 Million Eurobond by olaolabiy: 4:03am On Jan 22, 2011 |
eku_bear: You really don't know much about juicy ministries in Naija. In fact, regions fight it out and reject not-so-juicy ones. LOL. He's rich but poor compared to Nigerian politiciaans. FACT! And, forget that reputation thingy. |
Re: Investors Shun Nigeria’s $500 Million Eurobond by ekubear1: 5:19am On Jan 22, 2011 |
^-- Maybe. I personally much prefer the Aganga model to wealth-building than the Nigerian politician model. To each his own, I guess. |
Re: Investors Shun Nigeria’s $500 Million Eurobond by olaolabiy: 5:23am On Jan 22, 2011 |
^^^^^ |
Re: Investors Shun Nigeria’s $500 Million Eurobond by MShittu: 10:41am On Jan 22, 2011 |
The only way to resolve this is through the FT article itself: http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/3f1333a6-2590-11e0-8258-00144feab49a.html#axzz1BktkZOPP
|
Re: Investors Shun Nigeria’s $500 Million Eurobond by 4Play(m): 1:51pm On Jan 22, 2011 |
I don't know the details about this offering but an oversubscribed bond offering does not necessarily mean it was a success. You have to look at the yield, that's what matters. The yield is the interest rate Nigeria has to pay to the investors. The lesser the yield, the more successful the offering. Investors with huge risk appetite always lap up bonds with high yield. Pretty much every Greek and Irish bond issue was oversubscribed. Here is an excerpt from an article about Greek bond issues weeks before they required a bailout: Athens. Debt-ridden Greece raised 1.56 billion euros ($2.1 billion) in a heavily oversubscribed auction for 26-week and 52-week bonds on Tuesday, its first attempt to borrow since details of a euro-zone and International Monetary Fund rescue package were revealed at the weekend. http://www.thejakartaglobe.com/business/greek-bond-auction-oversubscribed/369236 As you can see, over-subscription is not necessarily a mark of a successful bond issue in a world awash with liquidity. It is merely a sign of investors chasing risk. Nigeria paying higher interest rates than Ghana for bonds of the same duration is not something to pat ourselves on the back for. |
Re: Investors Shun Nigeria’s $500 Million Eurobond by 4Play(m): 1:59pm On Jan 22, 2011 |
For the significance of a managing director in GS, I have to note that a Managing Director position does not have the same cachet as it would have in the Nigerian corporate world. GS has hundreds, possibly over a 1 thousand MDs. Last year alone saw 321 people made MDs. Goldman Sachs Group Inc., the most profitable securities firm in Wall Street history, promoted a record number of employees to managing director, boosting their pay and status as investment banks recover from the financial crisis. http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-11-18/goldman-sachs-promotes-321-to-managing-director-up-from-last-year-s-272.html |
Re: Investors Shun Nigeria’s $500 Million Eurobond by Nsiman(m): 2:59pm On Jan 22, 2011 |
So now that it has been over subscribed, what is the other propaganda? Unscrupulous fellows |
Re: Investors Shun Nigeria’s $500 Million Eurobond by Katsumoto: 3:05pm On Jan 22, 2011 |
Nsiman: Did you read 4 play's post? |
Re: Investors Shun Nigeria’s $500 Million Eurobond by MaJBlige(f): 8:56pm On Jan 22, 2011 |
4 Play: You dont know the details, yet you speak on it. Wether over subscription is a mark of success or not, that is not the issue, but t is surely not a sign that investors shun the bond. That is the point. |
Re: Investors Shun Nigeria’s $500 Million Eurobond by 4Play(m): 10:23pm On Jan 22, 2011 |
Ma_J_Blige: Yes, I can comment on the naive notion that over-subscription is the mark of a successful bond issue when the key issue for the borrower is the interest rate he has to pay to the lenders. If Gabon and Ghana can issue 10 year bonds at 5.8% and 6.2% respectively, why do you rubes fall for the idea that borrowing at 7% p/a is to be celebrated? If you offer sovereign bonds at punitive yields, there will inevitably be over-subscription but that is not a mark of success. Think of it this way, supposing a trader wanted to sell a car and cars of the same make and in similar condition are going for $4,000. However, due to the seller's less than wholesome reputation, he can only offer to sell at $3400. Inevitably, if potential buyers hear that a car which they have to pay $4000 is being offered at a steep discount, the dealer will have more buyers. However, from the dealer's perspective, the trade is not a success. This is how bond issues are assessed. For people like you, if they hear that NNPC has been sold for $10m and that the Govt claimed the bid process to be a success because loads of investors were interested, you will swallow it hook, line and sinker. They're playing on your ignorance. |
Re: Investors Shun Nigeria’s $500 Million Eurobond by 4Play(m): 10:28pm On Jan 22, 2011 |
PS: What this means is that the investors will get 7% p/a of the loan amount, $35m per year for 10 years and the full amount, $500m, upon maturity. In total, $850m. A juicy return for fund managers when you will get less lending to Ghana. |
Re: Investors Shun Nigeria’s $500 Million Eurobond by ekubear1: 10:33pm On Jan 22, 2011 |
Is the 1 or 2% difference that big a deal? Plus the effective interest rate will fluctuate on the open market with the confidence that others have in the Nigerian economy, yes? The most useful thing about the bond to me is that it will make it easier for Nigerian organizations to borrow from foreign ones (if I understand things correctly.) Easier for foreign banks to price a loan if they have this Eurobond as a reference point, I think. |
Re: Investors Shun Nigeria’s $500 Million Eurobond by olaolabiy: 11:08pm On Jan 22, 2011 |
eku_bear:So 1 or 2 % is not a big deal when we are talking about hundreds of millions. This is 5 to 10 million of 500 million. Eku, why are u saying this? Oya, go sleep. |
Re: Investors Shun Nigeria’s $500 Million Eurobond by ekubear1: 11:47pm On Jan 22, 2011 |
Well, paying slightly higher than others for something is unfortunate, but probably not the end of the world. And who knows, maybe there is an early buyout clause the FG can take advantage of if the value of the bonds increase. Anyway, overall the benefits outweigh the costs if the end result is cheaper credit for Nigerian banks, corporations, and individuals. |
Re: Investors Shun Nigeria’s $500 Million Eurobond by ADint(m): 4:05am On Jan 23, 2011 |
^^ You are quite right and I agree with you here, you seem to have grasped the essence of the bond issue - which is to open up Nigeria to the international bond market to assess cheaper funds. I doubt that the Nigerian govt really needs the $500m being raised here, but are looking to create an international appetite for Nigerian bonds and they had to come to the market with a decent amount and I guess $500m was just about right. Currently the Nigerian govt issues bonds locally in Nigeria (naira) at up to 14%, the naira has not moved too much against the dollar in the last 5 years (apart from a deliberate action by the CBN a few years ago), so it makes sense to start raising funds in dollars at around 7% and set this as a benchmark for other corporate/private/governmental institutions in Nigeria who can now take advantage of this opening. The foreign exchange risk btw the naira and the dollar has been historically low, and can be quite easily managed and mitigated with the right financial instruments and clever planning, since the interest and the principal repayments in most cases would be generated in naira and subsequently converted to dollars. The bottomline is - why borrow in naira at 14% when we can borrow in dollars at 7%?? |
Re: Investors Shun Nigeria’s $500 Million Eurobond by ekubear1: 4:55am On Jan 23, 2011 |
^-- Yep. Cheap credit is part of what makes the Western world so great. If this bond helps us bring cheap credit to Nigeria, we all win. |
Re: Investors Shun Nigeria’s $500 Million Eurobond by MaJBlige(f): 7:11am On Jan 23, 2011 |
Mr. 4 Some people just speak English as if that is all that matters. You can speak all the English in this world and yet make no sense. That is exactly what is happening here. Who is talking of the percentage or whether it is better than Ghana or not. The topic of the propaganda was that investors shunned the bond, and the simple question, devoid of all the abracadabra english and foul economic terminologies is this, how can the Eurobond said to have been shunned come out at the end of the day to be over subscribed? Save all your English for another day - Mr man and stick to the issue at hand. |
Re: Investors Shun Nigeria’s $500 Million Eurobond by Hodaya(m): 8:30am On Jan 23, 2011 |
I don't see this as a success because of the high yield, it did just ok, |
Re: Investors Shun Nigeria’s $500 Million Eurobond by Probity100: 8:43am On Jan 23, 2011 |
Hodaya: It will be a huge success. Those that invested have already know their gains. It is a business way of stealing money (Accepted means). If I had money, I would have participated. How much is the whole money? something we can even pay off even if it fails. Think, think think my brothers! |
Re: Investors Shun Nigeria’s $500 Million Eurobond by MaJBlige(f): 9:07am On Jan 23, 2011 |
Nothing done in Nigeria by Nigerians is seen to be good by Nigerians, especially the ones who can die for their adopted foreign country. |
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