This game would be won along Religious and Regional lines.

Religious wise, Yemi Osinbajo has a bigger political capital compared to Bola Tinubu.

Majority of the Christians would vote for him across all regions.

And as for Regional votes, Buhari's support would deliver the North to Osinbajo as Atiku and Kwankwaso have already fragmented the North.

Coming to the South, Osinbajo would enjoy the support of his people in the South West and also enjoy the support of the Christians in South East and South South.

Some Easterners won't even vote for Obi because he is seen as a stingy man.

Osibanjo being a weaker personality compared to Tinubu would be appealing to the oligarchies in Nigeria as he would allow status quo to continue. They can cage him with god or Adeboye with Hell Rufai closely watching him as the Vice President.

Muslim - Muslim ticket of Tinubu won't sell for now. They can promise him second term while Osinbajo steps down for him or they expose his corrupt deeds to bring him down. Which would be a lie anyway. They would never hand over to a strong man.


In any case, Osinbajo/El Rufai or Zulum ticket mathematically speaking is APC's best bet for them to win the next election.

But that is if the Judgment does not start before then.

I'm rooting for him

Abeg Nigerian politics don tire me, I see all political parties in Nigeria as the same. They got nothing to offer.



All I want this time around is a selfless leader that would take Nigeria to the next level irrespective of the party they emerge from.

Am a Yoruba , honestly Osinbajo is a better choice for us the yorubas than Tinubu

The media has made a lot of money and views from the APC presidential primary intrigues.
Before, it was Rotimi Amaechi that was Buhari anointed candidate, afterward, it turns to Onu, from Onu to Jonathan, from Jonathan to Osibanjo.
They will just sit in their comfort zone to formulate news that will catch the attention of the people. Hardly before you will see a verifiable news to read. Anonymous person says is the order the day.