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Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / Peter Obi’s Road To The Presidency. (706 Views)
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Peter Obi’s Road To The Presidency. by alsudan: 6:04pm On Jul 09, 2022 |
A State by State analysis of Peter Obi’s chances in every State and why his Presidency Hangs in the Balance. Abia - 90% Obi wins Adamawa 10%, Atiku wins Comfortably Akwa Ibom 75% Obi wins Anambra 90%, Obi wins Bauchi 25%, Atiku wins Bayelsa 65% Obi wins Benue 70% Obi wins Borno 5% Tinubu Wins Confortably Cross River 65% Obi wins Delta 50% Obi wins slightly Ebonyi 75% Obi wins Edo 75 % Obi wins Enugu 90% Obi Wins Ekiti 25% Tinubu Gombe 25% Atiku Edges IMO 65% Obi wins Jigawa 5% Kwankwaso wins Kaduna 30% Atiku wins Kano 10% Kwankwaso by a huge Margin Katsina 5% Atiku Wins Kebbi 15% Tinubu Wins Kogi 20% Tinubu Wins Kwara 15% Tinubu Wins easily Lagos 35% Tinubu Wins Nasarawa 35% Tinubu Edges Niger 15% Atiku Wins slightly from Tinubu Ogun 25% Tinubu Wins Ondo 20 Tinubu Osun 15% Tinubu Oyo 25% Tinubu Plateau 65% Obi wins Rivers 55% Obi Wins Sokoto 5% Atiku wins easily Taraba 30% Atiku wins Yobe 3% Tinubu Wins Zamfara 5% Tinubu FCT 40% Obi Wins With the following, it’s a straight out battle between Obi and Tinubu. Obi will win the popular votes but might just not have the 25% in 2/3 of the zones to be declared President Elect. While Tinubu will have the 2/3 spread but won’t win with the Popular votes, because of the good showing Atiku will put up in states Tinubu would have won convincingly. For the First time, Nigerians might just be having a Rerun Elections to elect its President. 5 Likes |
Re: Peter Obi’s Road To The Presidency. by ademasta(m): 6:05pm On Jul 09, 2022 |
You sure say na tarred road? Sad but truth, money (�) alone will modify this statistics on the day of election. |
Re: Peter Obi’s Road To The Presidency. by obyrich(m): 6:28pm On Jul 09, 2022 |
alsudan:God has the final say |
Re: Peter Obi’s Road To The Presidency. by Nigeriafirstlad(m): 6:49pm On Jul 09, 2022 |
Pls Edo state is 98% Those people can die for obi. Even the Governor is voting for Peter obi 6 Likes |
Re: Peter Obi’s Road To The Presidency. by Parachoko: 6:50pm On Jul 09, 2022 |
The 2023 election is between APC and PDP. 1 Like |
Re: Peter Obi’s Road To The Presidency. by majole: 7:03pm On Jul 09, 2022 |
You giving Obi too much votes. Reduce Peter Obi vote share by 15% in each of the SE, SW & SS states, then reduce plateau to 45%, Benue 40%, Bauchi 10%, rest of analysis in the North almost right. Peter Obi wins Nassarawa state with 35%, wins Kaduna win 35% |
Re: Peter Obi’s Road To The Presidency. by FuckkME(f): 7:14pm On Jul 09, 2022 |
alsudan:well I can say this is the best prediction on 2023 going by current realities Tho it might still change as time goes on Cc: Penguin2 what donuts abbot say about this |
Re: Peter Obi’s Road To The Presidency. by ImmaculateJOE(m): 7:22pm On Jul 09, 2022 |
alsudan: Obi will get in Bauchi is 10%, Gombe 15%, kebbi 10%, Benue 50%, Plateau 40% Nasarrawa 30%. 25% is sure for him in Adamawa.. Ondo.. Kogi.. 1 Like |
Re: Peter Obi’s Road To The Presidency. by ImmaculateJOE(m): 7:29pm On Jul 09, 2022 |
Parachoko:The highest number of states pdp will win next year is 7... Adamawa, Gombe, Taraba, Bauchi, Sokoto, Bayelsa, Kebbi.... And they will win these states with a slight margin.. 1 Like |
Re: Peter Obi’s Road To The Presidency. by Penguin2: 10:25pm On Jul 09, 2022 |
FuckkME: The prediction is quite realistic except that Tinubu will not win Kebbi, Niger and Zamfara. Again the winning margin for Peter Obi in his stronghold was slightly reduced. I understand the OP is trying to be cautious but Obi will win with higher margins in his stronghold. As much as I think there might be a run off election, Peter Obi might still win at first ballot. 2 Likes |
Re: Peter Obi’s Road To The Presidency. by Gbogbowa: 11:07pm On Jul 09, 2022 |
obyrich:Tinubu can never will Oyo osun and ondo because Muslims Muslims ticket 3 Likes |
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