A State by State analysis of Peter Obi’s chances in every State and why his Presidency Hangs in the Balance.

Abia - 90% Obi wins
Adamawa 10%, Atiku wins Comfortably
Akwa Ibom 75% Obi wins
Anambra 90%, Obi wins
Bauchi 25%, Atiku wins
Bayelsa 65% Obi wins
Benue 70% Obi wins
Borno 5% Tinubu Wins Confortably
Cross River 65% Obi wins
Delta 50% Obi wins slightly
Ebonyi 75% Obi wins
Edo 75 % Obi wins
Enugu 90% Obi Wins
Ekiti 25% Tinubu
Gombe 25% Atiku Edges
IMO 65% Obi wins
Jigawa 5% Kwankwaso wins
Kaduna 30% Atiku wins
Kano 10% Kwankwaso by a huge Margin
Katsina 5% Atiku Wins
Kebbi 15% Tinubu Wins
Kogi 20% Tinubu Wins
Kwara 15% Tinubu Wins easily
Lagos 35% Tinubu Wins
Nasarawa 35% Tinubu Edges
Niger 15% Atiku Wins slightly from Tinubu
Ogun 25% Tinubu Wins
Ondo 20 Tinubu
Osun 15% Tinubu
Oyo 25% Tinubu
Plateau 65% Obi wins
Rivers 55% Obi Wins
Sokoto 5% Atiku wins easily
Taraba 30% Atiku wins
Yobe 3% Tinubu Wins
Zamfara 5% Tinubu
FCT 40% Obi Wins

With the following, it’s a straight out battle between Obi and Tinubu.

Obi will win the popular votes but might just not have the 25% in 2/3 of the zones to be declared President Elect.

While Tinubu will have the 2/3 spread but won’t win with the Popular votes, because of the good showing Atiku will put up in states Tinubu would have won convincingly.

For the First time, Nigerians might just be having a Rerun Elections to elect its President.

You sure say na tarred road?


Sad but truth, money (�) alone will modify this statistics on the day of election.

alsudan:
A State by State analysis of Peter Obi’s chances in every State and why his Presidency Hangs in the Balance.

Abia - 90% Obi wins
Adamawa 10%, Atiku wins Comfortably
Akwa Ibom 75% Obi wins
Anambra 90%, Obi wins
Bauchi 25%, Atiku wins
Bayelsa 65% Obi wins
Benue 70% Obi wins
Borno 5% Tinubu Wins Confortably
Cross River 65% Obi wins
Delta 50% Obi wins slightly
Ebonyi 75% Obi wins
Edo 75 % Obi wins
Enugu 90% Obi Wins
Ekiti 25% Tinubu
Gombe 25% Atiku Edges
IMO 65% Obi wins
Jigawa 5% Kwankwaso wins
Kaduna 30% Atiku wins
Kano 10% Kwankwaso by a huge Margin
Katsina 5% Atiku Wins
Kebbi 15% Tinubu Wins
Kogi 20% Tinubu Wins
Kwara 15% Tinubu Wins easily
Lagos 35% Tinubu Wins
Nasarawa 35% Tinubu Edges
Niger 15% Atiku Wins slightly from Tinubu
Ogun 25% Tinubu Wins
Ondo 20 Tinubu
Osun 15% Tinubu
Oyo 25% Tinubu
Plateau 65% Obi wins
Rivers 55% Obi Wins
Sokoto 5% Atiku wins easily
Taraba 30% Atiku wins
Yobe 3% Tinubu Wins
Zamfara 5% Tinubu
FCT 40% Obi Wins

With the following, it’s a straight out battle between Obi and Tinubu.

Obi will win the popular votes but might just not have the 25% in 2/3 of the zones to be declared President Elect.

While Tinubu will have the 2/3 spread but won’t win with the Popular votes, because of the good showing Atiku will put up in states Tinubu would have won convincingly.

For the First time, Nigerians might just be having a Rerun Elections to elect its President.

God has the final say

Pls Edo state is 98%
Those people can die for obi.
Even the Governor is voting for Peter obi

The 2023 election is between APC and PDP.

You giving Obi too much votes. Reduce Peter Obi vote share by 15% in each of the SE, SW & SS states, then reduce plateau to 45%, Benue 40%, Bauchi 10%, rest of analysis in the North almost right. Peter Obi wins Nassarawa state with 35%, wins Kaduna win 35%

alsudan:
A State by State analysis of Peter Obi’s chances in every State and why his Presidency Hangs in the Balance.

Abia - 90% Obi wins
Adamawa 10%, Atiku wins Comfortably
Akwa Ibom 75% Obi wins
Anambra 90%, Obi wins
Bauchi 25%, Atiku wins
Bayelsa 65% Obi wins
Benue 70% Obi wins
Borno 5% Tinubu Wins Confortably
Cross River 65% Obi wins
Delta 50% Obi wins slightly
Ebonyi 75% Obi wins
Edo 75 % Obi wins
Enugu 90% Obi Wins
Ekiti 25% Tinubu
Gombe 25% Atiku Edges
IMO 65% Obi wins
Jigawa 5% Kwankwaso wins
Kaduna 30% Atiku wins
Kano 10% Kwankwaso by a huge Margin
Katsina 5% Atiku Wins
Kebbi 15% Tinubu Wins
Kogi 20% Tinubu Wins
Kwara 15% Tinubu Wins easily
Lagos 35% Tinubu Wins
Nasarawa 35% Tinubu Edges
Niger 15% Atiku Wins slightly from Tinubu
Ogun 25% Tinubu Wins
Ondo 20 Tinubu
Osun 15% Tinubu
Oyo 25% Tinubu
Plateau 65% Obi wins
Rivers 55% Obi Wins
Sokoto 5% Atiku wins easily
Taraba 30% Atiku wins
Yobe 3% Tinubu Wins
Zamfara 5% Tinubu
FCT 40% Obi Wins

With the following, it’s a straight out battle between Obi and Tinubu.

Obi will win the popular votes but might just not have the 25% in 2/3 of the zones to be declared President Elect.

While Tinubu will have the 2/3 spread but won’t win with the Popular votes, because of the good showing Atiku will put up in states Tinubu would have won convincingly.

For the First time, Nigerians might just be having a Rerun Elections to elect its President.

well I can say this is the best prediction on 2023 going by current realities

Tho it might still change as time goes on

Cc: Penguin2 what donuts abbot say about this

alsudan:
A State by State analysis of Peter Obi’s chances in every State and why his Presidency Hangs in the Balance.

Abia - 90% Obi wins
Adamawa 10%, Atiku wins Comfortably
Akwa Ibom 75% Obi wins
Anambra 90%, Obi wins
Bauchi 25%, Atiku wins
Bayelsa 65% Obi wins
Benue 70% Obi wins
Borno 5% Tinubu Wins Confortably
Cross River 65% Obi wins
Delta 50% Obi wins slightly
Ebonyi 75% Obi wins
Edo 75 % Obi wins
Enugu 90% Obi Wins
Ekiti 25% Tinubu
Gombe 25% Atiku Edges
IMO 65% Obi wins
Jigawa 5% Kwankwaso wins
Kaduna 30% Atiku wins
Kano 10% Kwankwaso by a huge Margin
Katsina 5% Atiku Wins
Kebbi 15% Tinubu Wins
Kogi 20% Tinubu Wins
Kwara 15% Tinubu Wins easily
Lagos 35% Tinubu Wins
Nasarawa 35% Tinubu Edges
Niger 15% Atiku Wins slightly from Tinubu
Ogun 25% Tinubu Wins
Ondo 20 Tinubu
Osun 15% Tinubu
Oyo 25% Tinubu
Plateau 65% Obi wins
Rivers 55% Obi Wins
Sokoto 5% Atiku wins easily
Taraba 30% Atiku wins
Yobe 3% Tinubu Wins
Zamfara 5% Tinubu
FCT 40% Obi Wins

With the following, it’s a straight out battle between Obi and Tinubu.

Obi will win the popular votes but might just not have the 25% in 2/3 of the zones to be declared President Elect.

While Tinubu will have the 2/3 spread but won’t win with the Popular votes, because of the good showing Atiku will put up in states Tinubu would have won convincingly.

For the First time, Nigerians might just be having a Rerun Elections to elect its President.

Obi will get in Bauchi is 10%, Gombe 15%, kebbi 10%, Benue 50%, Plateau 40% Nasarrawa 30%.

25% is sure for him in Adamawa.. Ondo.. Kogi..

Parachoko:
The 2023 election is between APC and PDP.

The highest number of states pdp will win next year is 7... Adamawa, Gombe, Taraba, Bauchi, Sokoto, Bayelsa, Kebbi....
And they will win these states with a slight margin..

FuckkME:
well I can say this is the best prediction on 2023 going by current realities

Tho it might still change as time goes on

Cc: Penguin2 what donuts abbot say about this

The prediction is quite realistic except that Tinubu will not win Kebbi, Niger and Zamfara.

Again the winning margin for Peter Obi in his stronghold was slightly reduced. I understand the OP is trying to be cautious but Obi will win with higher margins in his stronghold.

As much as I think there might be a run off election, Peter Obi might still win at first ballot.

obyrich:
God has the final say

Tinubu can never will Oyo osun and ondo because Muslims Muslims ticket