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Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / Question: Realistically, Can Bola Tinubu Actually Win This Election? (3298 Views)
Realistically, Can Nigeria Ever Get Better? / Can Bola Tinubu, Nigeria’s Ailing Kingmaker, Win The Presidency? - AL JAZEERA / The Analysis, Can Tinubu Actually Win Lagos? (2) (3) (4)
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Re: Question: Realistically, Can Bola Tinubu Actually Win This Election? by Olaoluwa122: 12:28pm On Jul 21, 2022 |
vicdom:U dey mind him...highest tinubu is seeing in SW is 60%...so he should better defeat Atiku with a very large margin, if he will even think of having a chance in 2023... 2 Likes |
Re: Question: Realistically, Can Bola Tinubu Actually Win This Election? by Gbogbowa: 12:28pm On Jul 21, 2022 |
truthsayer009:osun youth that destroy Tinubu billboard will not vote Tinubu many of us Yoruba will not vote Tinubu 2 Likes |
Re: Question: Realistically, Can Bola Tinubu Actually Win This Election? by Gbogbowa: 12:32pm On Jul 21, 2022 |
Throwback:Any spoiler NNPP will play in the north affect Tinubu more than Atiku, Tinubu cannot win up to 5 state in the north 1 Like |
Re: Question: Realistically, Can Bola Tinubu Actually Win This Election? by garfield1: 1:07pm On Jul 21, 2022 |
vicdom: For me,the nortch central is not always decisive.they share votes.what gave buhari victory is the massive votes in the nw/ne and victory in sw.he has alwats gotten 40% in nc.he just needed that spread down south and he got it with sw...all tinubu needs is to win sw and win ne/nw nartowly.nc will be divided. You cannot use a handful of northerners in kogi to determine.I met a lot of northerners who preferred atiku in 2019...do you know that gej got more votes in the north than atiku? Do you know that atiku won only northern states dominated by Christians in 2019 except Adamawa and the Christian area there gave him bloc votes? He lost woefully in Muslim areas? What does this mean? They hate atiku.they love fanatics,atiku is not a fanatic.Even yaradua divided the north,a whole atiku couldn't win north east.. |
Re: Question: Realistically, Can Bola Tinubu Actually Win This Election? by Goke7: 1:15pm On Jul 21, 2022 |
Okoroawusa:That's the truth cos all the noise about the MM ticket validates the fear of Tinubu 1 Like |
Re: Question: Realistically, Can Bola Tinubu Actually Win This Election? by Joey4321: 1:20pm On Jul 21, 2022 |
ASAPFERG1: I don't use twitter. |
Re: Question: Realistically, Can Bola Tinubu Actually Win This Election? by garfield1: 1:20pm On Jul 21, 2022 |
Olaoluwa122: In rivers it was 1.4 million to 69,000.in 2019 it was 450,000 to 150,000.two LGAs that apc won were stepped down if not it would have exceeded 350,000.nowthat wike dey neutral and Peter is threatening imagine the results...all tinubu needs is a narrow win up north and south west.peter can only win se.se will either go to peter or atiku narrowly.tinubu is sure of three zones,others arent |
Re: Question: Realistically, Can Bola Tinubu Actually Win This Election? by Workch: 1:26pm On Jul 21, 2022 |
Throwback:this one is from Cameroon |
Re: Question: Realistically, Can Bola Tinubu Actually Win This Election? by ASAPFERG1: 1:38pm On Jul 21, 2022 |
Joey4321:ok facebook |
Re: Question: Realistically, Can Bola Tinubu Actually Win This Election? by Workch: 1:39pm On Jul 21, 2022 |
I really do not see how Tinubu can win if this election is free and fair. In a free and fair election, Tinubu cannot even win Lagos state and I am damn sure about this after the Muslim-Muslim ticket. Tinubu cannot win southwest flawlessly, he doesn’t have the charisma to do that. He’s irritating southwest Christians and because of his antecedents of godfatherism and fraud. Tinubu’s hope is in the north and I doubt if he can win Atiku in the core northern states. He will not win any local government in south south and southeast. Tinubu will no win abuja, Taraba, Plateau and Benue and Saraki is ready to give him a run for PDP in kwara state. So tell me how he wants to win this election? |
Re: Question: Realistically, Can Bola Tinubu Actually Win This Election? by Olaoluwa122: 1:42pm On Jul 21, 2022 |
garfield1:so according to this P.D.P win with a margin of 70% to 30%, now imagine...A.P.C with a M.M ticket...with almost all Big wigs defecting....Man its not a rocket science for you to know that there is nothing for A.P.C in Rivers state...even labour has more chance than them in Rivers. |
Re: Question: Realistically, Can Bola Tinubu Actually Win This Election? by garfield1: 1:49pm On Jul 21, 2022 |
Olaoluwa122: I am from ss so leave that argument.in ss,they don't vote.vote doesn't country,party structure and rigging bring votes.people hardly vote so you see Muslim Muslim won't have any impact.apc is very strong in rivers,apc has gradually captured many LGAs in rivers.in 2019,it was only amechi that supported buhari but now magnus and amechi with wike neutral.who will rig for labour party? |
Re: Question: Realistically, Can Bola Tinubu Actually Win This Election? by Olaoluwa122: 1:52pm On Jul 21, 2022 |
garfield1:Mention the local government that A.P.C captured in 2019...you said more than this in Osun election...and we all know the result...(Your Oga state oh) |
Re: Question: Realistically, Can Bola Tinubu Actually Win This Election? by vicdom(m): 2:42pm On Jul 21, 2022 |
garfield1:Kai!! Which three zones is Tinubu sure of winning, can you mention them?? Lol.... sw, ?? |
Re: Question: Realistically, Can Bola Tinubu Actually Win This Election? by garfield1: 2:44pm On Jul 21, 2022 |
Olaoluwa122: Oga,osun is 50 50.it has alwats been a difficult place to win.that is why I never opened any thread about osun,I wasn't sure.I was scared of adeleke not PDP.any party adeleke was,he would still have won.... Free and fair elections take place in sw and nc,it is difficult to rig there.nw/ne and ss/se are alwats rigged.... In 2019,buhari won abua odual LGA with 42,0000 to 10,000.he won opobo by 1k,won asari toru and akuku toru lgas. he lost in ogoni because magnus was neutral.magus won his senate seat in 2016 rerun by 125,000 to 25000.polling units were kept in his house..in delta,ugborodo ward gave buhari 24,000 votes.no LGA in ss/se gave buhari this kind of votes.only few lgas in sw gave that kind of votes.it shows that apc owns that ward so if you do free and fair polls, they will still rig but they need to win to increase.they will simply go and bring the voters to the polling unit and accredit but not vote.if the accredited votes is 200,they will write apc 195 pdp 5... |
Re: Question: Realistically, Can Bola Tinubu Actually Win This Election? by garfield1: 2:49pm On Jul 21, 2022 |
vicdom: My brother,do not he deceived by online noise.an average Nigerian is tribalistic.yiy saw what fayose said.theres no way atiku or obi will win tinubu in the west.even if its by 1 vote,tinubu will win.based on the strength of apc,they will still win nw/ne even if its narrowly.atiku can only win Adamawa, taraba narrowly.gombe is 50 50 same as bauchi but bauchi people are fanatic,they might just vote nnpp.yobe borno will be one way so tinubu wins ne aggregate. Atiku will win sokoto narrowly.he night win kebbi narrowly.zamfara is tinubu,katsina too.kano is nnpp followed by tinubu.jigawa is tinubu.Kaduna will be divided so you see,its tinubu. |
Re: Question: Realistically, Can Bola Tinubu Actually Win This Election? by vicdom(m): 3:28pm On Jul 21, 2022 |
garfield1:SW is only sure for Tinubu now. I wish we could stake on bet on that. It's just like saying because there's PDP strong presence in the east means Atiku will win Obi in the east. Let me tell you something, this election will be largely be determined by ethnicity and religion. Atiku and Kwankwaso will overrun Tinubu in the North, ge won't even come close. it's just like saying because Osun and Oyo have PDP governors now means that Atiku will win there, no matter what, Tinubu will win all the 6 SW states. Atiku will win the majority votes cast in the northern region. If you are so confident, let's stake 200k bet on that. If Tinubu wins Atiku in the North even if by 1 vote, you take the 200k, otherwise, I will take your 200k. APC thought that what happened in Kaduna governorship election 2019 when El rufai picked a Muslim deputy to whip the sentiment of religion. Muslims saw it as a religious contest, that's why majority of Muslims voted in his favor and he won. But it has appeared that what APC bargained before flying Muslim Muslim ticket is no happening. Most northern Muslims are still siding kwankwaso and Atiku. |
Re: Question: Realistically, Can Bola Tinubu Actually Win This Election? by Assetosky(m): 3:45pm On Jul 21, 2022 |
IamAtikulate: Which one is "will not get any vote" ,I am voting apc |
Re: Question: Realistically, Can Bola Tinubu Actually Win This Election? by Naijabad: 4:43pm On Jul 21, 2022 |
Throwback: He will vomit all the money he stole from lagos state treasury....Bode George |
Re: Question: Realistically, Can Bola Tinubu Actually Win This Election? by Goke7: 5:25pm On Jul 21, 2022 |
vicdom: I hope you won't cry when you find out after the elections that atiku can't win convincingly in the North. Na rigging una go shout at the end of the day |
Re: Question: Realistically, Can Bola Tinubu Actually Win This Election? by Nobody: 8:54pm On Jul 21, 2022 |
vicdom: Bros you get money oh, 200k for online argument? Everybody knows Atiku & Kwankwanso will sweep the north in votes, no need to argue that one. Even in my post, I already stated it. |
Re: Question: Realistically, Can Bola Tinubu Actually Win This Election? by JoeNL22(m): 11:48am On Jul 23, 2022 |
garfield1:Bro......that might not happen. I actually also thought of it(Tinubu's 25%). But with everything that has happened. Am not sure he will see it. The fake bishops shenanigans hit the nail on the head. He can't win anywhere with a landslide. He can't get 25% from the south east or the south south. An average Nigerian is anti-APC. How does he want to win this election? |
Re: Question: Realistically, Can Bola Tinubu Actually Win This Election? by garfield1: 11:54am On Jul 23, 2022 |
JoeNL22: Oga,people will forget about that before September.February is very far away.most voters are at the rural areas and won't see most of these media stunts.do not be deceived or swayed by anything in the media.what gave adeleke victory is the family name and good deeds among the grassroots...most people in 2019 were against apc.an average southerner is against apc not an average northerner.most of those against apc will divide votes and some of them may later be swayed to vote apc |
Re: Question: Realistically, Can Bola Tinubu Actually Win This Election? by JoeNL22(m): 12:04pm On Jul 23, 2022 |
garfield1:I don't agree with your statement. People now vote personalities over party politics. We saw that in Osun (they voted adeleke not pdp). We saw that in Ekiti (they voted segun oni not sdp). The youths are for obi, the Christian are for obi. We just need to continue the momentum, that's all 1 Like |
Re: Question: Realistically, Can Bola Tinubu Actually Win This Election? by garfield1: 12:07pm On Jul 23, 2022 |
JoeNL22: True people vote personalities but not so in the rural areas.obi will fail woefully in the north...what is good about adeleke personality |
Re: Question: Realistically, Can Bola Tinubu Actually Win This Election? by JoeNL22(m): 12:18pm On Jul 23, 2022 |
garfield1:Osun state has rural areas too. Yet they voted adeleke over oyetola. Secondly, the Osun people did not vote adeleke because of his goodness, they voted him because they are tired of oyetola and want a breath of fresh air for their economy. And what happened in Osun will definitely happen in February. If you think obi is all about social media. Then that is a lie, people are spending their time, energy, money and resources available to them to campaign for obi and to send a message to people that we don't the same set of recycled old fools that call themselves politicians to rule over us again. Obi started from a protest-to-a-force-to-a-movement-now-to-a-revolution!. #GetYourPvc |
Re: Question: Realistically, Can Bola Tinubu Actually Win This Election? by majole: 3:52pm On Jul 23, 2022 |
Throwback: The issue is how does Tinubu win Kebbi, Nasarawa, Kaduna? How does he get 25% in any SS/SE state? Yes including Edo how does he get 25%, how does he get 25% in plateau, Taraba & maybe Benue? |
Re: Question: Realistically, Can Bola Tinubu Actually Win This Election? by jumas(m): 3:57pm On Jul 23, 2022 |
Hon. Shetima and Gov. Zulum, you professed to love Christians in Borno, tell the world why there is no CRK in Primary Schools but you sponsor IRK with the state money? Tell the world why you did not pick christians as your deputies? Tell the world why you deny the Southern Borno Tertiary instirutions apart from the missionary college of Education, what have you done in Southern Borno? Tell the world your stand on the recent demolished EYN Church that led to Luka's death? Zulum tell us why you imposed a muslim chairman on Chibok that is 90% christians? How many of your commisioners are christians? Is the religious fanatism you are bringing to Nigeria? Is this sectionalism, tribalism, nepotism you are bringing to the Nigerians? |
Re: Question: Realistically, Can Bola Tinubu Actually Win This Election? by Mrfixitt(m): 4:13pm On Jul 23, 2022 |
Throwback:Calculation of a drunkard. Tinubu will be crushed in 5 of the 6 geopolitical zones in Nigeria. Bookmark this comment |
Re: Question: Realistically, Can Bola Tinubu Actually Win This Election? by Mrfixitt(m): 4:15pm On Jul 23, 2022 |
Throwback:Political genius that was beaten in his home state ? You're a big joker. Osun case is a tip of what's coming to hit him next year February |
Re: Question: Realistically, Can Bola Tinubu Actually Win This Election? by Mrfixitt(m): 4:21pm On Jul 23, 2022 |
garfield1:You guys supporting Tinubu need to go for mental evaluation. It's suicidal to hand over a country in coma to a sick old man like Tinubu. Buhari's tenure will be child's play compared to what Tinubu will put Nigerians through if elected. |
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