Already we are noticing how the SW and SE have reduced the presidential contest to their usual regional pissing contest and will be voting purely on ethnic sentiments.

For those who think the SS is for their Agbado master or their Pinocchio IPOB replacement candidate , lest I remind you that the SS has been the only region that has been consistently voting the PDP since 1999 without ethnic sentiments.

It is for this reason that Atiku went for a SS running mate and jettisoned the disastrous liability SE option of 2019 which got the usual voter apathy they are known for.

But we are now seeing how the SE has rallied round the same running mate to Atiku in 2019. All this because , Obi, whom the SE showed lacklustre enthusiasm for in 2019 is now running as a substantive presidential candidate.

So we are seeing an ethnic dimension in the frenzied support of Obi supporters who are 99.9999% Igbo and the SW is responding to this by voting the Yoruba candidacy of Bola Tinubu.

At the end, the SW and SE will vote on ethnic grounds while Atiku will sweep the votes in the north, middle bent and SS just as Shagari did in 1979.

You idiots can keep dragging each other and reduce the elections to your usual dik measuring contest.

The 1979 result below should guide you on how Atiku will win the elections

If you check those statistics very well, I will make the following observations;

Anambra had more voters than Kano. (Before states creation when the two states were divided.

Anambra had twice the number of voters Lagos had,

ThrownBack:
If you check those statistics very well, I will make the following observations;

Anambra had more voters than Kano. (Before states creation when the two states were divided.

Azikiwe was a master of rigging , and he knew the only place he could have a good result was his east, so he inflated the results . This does not mean he didn't win the SE but that he stuffed the ballot to inflate his votes

NuclearWinter:


Azikiwe was a master of rigging , and he knew the only place he could have a good result was his east, so he inflated the results . This does not mean he didn't win the SE but that he stuffed the ballot to inflate his votes

And Buhari didn't stuff the ballot boxes in the North in 2015 and 2019?

Bros stop deflecting, let's face the figures in front of us.

NuclearWinter:
Already we are noticing how the SW and SE have reduced the presidential contest to their usual regional pissing contest and will be voting purely on ethnic sentiments.

For those who think the SS is for their Agbado master or their Pinocchio IPOB replacement candidate , lest I remind you that the SS has been the only region that has been consistently voting the PDP since 1999 without ethnic sentiments.

It is for this reason that Atiku went for a SS running mate and jettisoned the disastrous liability SE option of 2019 which got the usual voter apathy they are known for.

But we are now seeing how the SE has rallied round the same running mate to Atiku in 2019. All this because , Obi, whom the SE showed lacklustre enthusiasm for in 2019 is now running as a substantive presidential candidate.

So we are seeing an ethnic dimension in the frenzied support of Obi supporters who are 99.9999% Igbo and the SW is responding to this by voting the Yoruba candidacy of Bola Tinubu.

At the end, the SW and SE will vote on ethnic grounds while Atiku will sweep the votes in the north, middle bent and SS just as Shagari did in 1979.

You idiots can keep dragging each other and reduce the elections to your usual dik measuring contest.

The 1979 result below should guide you on how Atiku will win the elections

Did you see the rally that happened in Calabar yesterday?

Abi Calabar is now in Middle Belt?

The things that have been happening in Edo that got even the governor worried, are also a joke to you abi?

I am surprised how you people are able to live in denial of the reality staring you in the face.

Lets see how it goes

ThrownBack:


And Buhari didn't stuff the ballot boxes in the North in 2015 and 2019?

Bros stop deflecting, let's face the figures in front of us.

Edo

Oshiomole's Akoko-Edo Yoruba region will vote massively for APC.
This APC will get votes in other parts of the state but this won't be enough to win the state.

Atiku will carry the state with a slight margin of 55-60% against APC which will poll at least 45%.

Obi is going nowhere and will be lucky if he gets votes in the hundreds.

Northerners will alwys vote their own.... Atiku was told not to take the case to court in 2019 that he should work his way to get the PDP ticket and that will be all. He is well positioned to win the whole North

Delta

The Itsekiri who make up at least 20% population of the state will vote APC owing to their Yoruba heritage and also because of Tinubu's wife being an Itsekiri.

The rest of the state will vote massively for PDP. The Igboid parts of Delta north will vote Atiku over Okowa. Obi gets zilch

Results will be: PDP win with at least 70-80% of the votes.

NuclearWinter:
Already we are noticing how the SW and SE have reduced the presidential contest to their usual regional pissing contest and will be voting purely on ethnic sentiments.

For those who think the SS is for their Agbado master or their Pinocchio IPOB replacement candidate , lest I remind you that the SS has been the only region that has been consistently voting the PDP since 1999 without ethnic sentiments.

It is for this reason that Atiku went for a SS running mate and jettisoned the disastrous liability SE option of 2019 which got the usual voter apathy they are known for.

But we are now seeing how the SE has rallied round the same running mate to Atiku in 2019. All this because , Obi, whom the SE showed lacklustre enthusiasm for in 2019 is now running as a substantive presidential candidate.

So we are seeing an ethnic dimension in the frenzied support of Obi supporters who are 99.9999% Igbo and the SW is responding to this by voting the Yoruba candidacy of Bola Tinubu.

At the end, the SW and SE will vote on ethnic grounds while Atiku will sweep the votes in the north, middle bent and SS just as Shagari did in 1979.

You idiots can keep dragging each other and reduce the elections to your usual dik measuring contest.

The 1979 result below should guide you on how Atiku will win the elections

When did they introduce the 12 ⅔ in Nigeria? Cos with this kind of result there should have been a rerun

Bayelsa, Rivers, Akwa Ibom and Cross River

I have lumped these states together because they have a very strong PDP structure on ground with no ethnic affiliation to any of the candidates.

That said, they will be voting PDP as usual because of the PDP structure on ground.

Even in Rivers , with Wike at daggers end with Atiku's camp, the PDP in the state will not follow him to wherever he wants to decamp to for they risk having their structures dismantled if the likes of Tinubu wins who will want to supplant the APC over the PDP leadership.

With no structure on ground, Obi's Labour party has zero chances here.

Attending already pre gathered church halls or filling town halls is not a sign of massive support as his minions will like to tell us.

The results will see Atiku clinch the votes in these states with a wide margin of at least 90% just as he did in 2019.

Tinubu will do woefully here. Obi may see his first significant votes outside the SE in places like Rivers but this will be in the tens of thousands and not enough to secure the 1/3 .

Dreams..... Its obvious you are just consoling yourself.

Nigerians are daily growing to be independent minded and not the bandwagon "what my master says" mentality of old "Thanks to social media" that has left them forgotten and poor the moment the master takes position... majority of northerners can testify.

I forsee a major voters apathy in the north due to buhari's incompetence on those whom are still grieving on the losses of past 7 years, the core Northern muslims may be skeptical on the brand of muslim, while the Arewas (ACF) with their core member as VP candidate for LP cajoles them with lines of "balancing leadership" there would be no point having every region against the "Fulani". The liberal muslims would be skeptical on a shettima being evidently attached to BH, the christians would be angered on exclusion.. The focus would majorly be on Atiku in the NW and NE except for the ones who ascribe him as a thief.. Obi would get a very very good sizable chunk in the MB, and a good measure on the NW and NE, Atiku would win the North, but has a lot of work to do on character cleansing.

Majority of the SW whom may not want to vote outside ethnic lines would rather stay home than bear the grudge of putting an evidently incapacitated (healthwise) aspirant in position that has a shetima as VP (Buhari 2015).. The Ethnic jingoist would obviously opt for Tinubu, but the numbers won't make the much needed mark, The Christians, liberals and business owners would opt for Obi due to deliberate exclusion.. with the diluted and woke population of the SW, Obi is sure to clinch a very very very good margin.

The SS may be a little empathetic with Okowa on the saddle, but not enough to dent the Obi brigade... OBI would make a major impact in the SS, a wike would have given Obi a run. Okowa's performance was below par for an oil-rich delta while the populace are independent minded and not clannish. Moreover Osibanjo's VP position has made it evidently clear an Obi would make more impact than an Okowa, alongside the "Fulani" straight 16years rule would not augur well with many.

The SE would fall in line traditionally, there would be little reason for voters apathy like previous as the candidate of their choice just like Yar-adua and GEJ is on the ballot this time as president. OBI would be a tsunami in the SE, Atiku might struggle for breath, but Tinubu would be missing..

The postulations you gave is based on a 1979 election, where Nigeria was just coming out of a civil war a few years ago. Decimated populations etc.. The dynamics dont apply to todays politics.

Atiku what?

If atiku win one state in d ss make ona flog me 124 .d best he can get from d middle belt is one state

jkpbestseries:
Northerners will alwys vote their own.... Atiku was told not to take the case to court in 2019 that he should work his way to get the PDP ticket and that will be all. He is well positioned to win the whole North

And Atiku didn't go to the election tribunal?

Why bothering yourself about same OBI whom you said is going nowhere?
Are you trying to suppress what you mind is telling you?

We shall meet at the poll!

jkpbestseries:
Northerners will alwys vote their own.... Atiku was told not to take the case to court in 2019 that he should work his way to get the PDP ticket and that will be all. He is well positioned to win the whole North

lies

Atiku went to court

NuclearWinter:
Already we are noticing how the SW and SE have reduced the presidential contest to their usual regional pissing contest and will be voting purely on ethnic sentiments.

For those who think the SS is for their Agbado master or their Pinocchio IPOB replacement candidate , lest I remind you that the SS has been the only region that has been consistently voting the PDP since 1999 without ethnic sentiments.

It is for this reason that Atiku went for a SS running mate and jettisoned the disastrous liability SE option of 2019 which got the usual voter apathy they are known for.

But we are now seeing how the SE has rallied round the same running mate to Atiku in 2019. All this because , Obi, whom the SE showed lacklustre enthusiasm for in 2019 is now running as a substantive presidential candidate.

So we are seeing an ethnic dimension in the frenzied support of Obi supporters who are 99.9999% Igbo and the SW is responding to this by voting the Yoruba candidacy of Bola Tinubu.

At the end, the SW and SE will vote on ethnic grounds while Atiku will sweep the votes in the north, middle bent and SS just as Shagari did in 1979.

You idiots can keep dragging each other and reduce the elections to your usual dik measuring contest.

The 1979 result below should guide you on how Atiku will win the elections

Sorry to say; you myopic.
In 2019, Buhari never got 25% of vote in most south east states but got 25% in all south south states except Rivers state.
So, which region is pro-PDP?

SW

Ekiti APC majority of at least 90%. Atiku gets the remaining. Obi will not get zilch

Ondo
This state has always gone against mainstream Yoruba politics in preference to national appeal. The PDP structure on ground is very strong but we can consider Ondo as one of the major swing states in Nigeria.

The Fulani menace has however reared anti northern sentiments and the state is at the centre of Yoruba seccesionist movement.

It will be extremely difficult to say how Ondo results will swing but I will give it to Tinubu who will win with a comfortable margin. Atiku and the PDP may poll up to 20% . Obi gets zilch.

Osun
With an incoming PDP governor, this state will be a battle ground with the elections being a replay of the gubernatorial elections which the APC will be baying for blood.

Tinubu will win the state with a considerable margin but Atiku may pull a surprise of at least 25% of the votes.

Oyo

With a PDP governor in place , the PDP will do well but lose owing to tribal sentiments being fueled by both the Tinubu and Obi camp.

I see the result pattern similar to Osun.

Ogun
This is one of the states Tinubu is sure to clinch with a resounding victory like in Ekiti.

APC will get at least 90% of the votes here.

Obi gets zilch.

Lagos
Being Tinubu's stronghold, I see him winning it hands down but not without his usual deployment of thugs, ballot snatching and voter disenfranchisement in areas where there are high Igbo concentrations.

One can even say that igbos will be intimidated before the elections proper not to come out and vote.

I am giving Lagos to Tinubu with at least 85% win. Obi may get at least 5% here .

Creeknigga:

Sorry to say; you myopic.
In 2019, Buhari never got 25% of vote in most south east states but got 25% in all south south states except Rivers state.
So, which region is pro-PDP?

Go and check results again and see how you osus gave Buhari more votes than the SS.

It is for this reason the PDP jettisoned the SE running mate and came to see the SE as more of a liability .

ThrownBack:


And Buhari didn't stuff the ballot boxes in the North in 2015 and 2019?

Bros stop deflecting, let's face the figures in front of us.

Was buhari on the ballot in 1979?

NuclearWinter:


Was buhari on the ballot in 1979?

What you allege to have happened in 1979 could also have happened in 2015 and 2019.

SE

Obi all the way.

Ebonyi state governor has said he will not support Obi so expect some rigging there in favour of Atiku because the Governor who had pledged to support Tinubu after the convention is seeing signs that Tinubu will not get the much needed northern votes.

Hope will also do same but for Tinubu .

At the end, Obi wins the region with at least 95% votes.

NuclearWinter:
SW

Ekiti APC majority of at least 90%. Atiku gets the remaining. Obi will not get zilch

Ondo
This state has always gone against mainstream Yoruba politics in preference to national appeal. The PDP structure on ground is very strong but we can consider Ondo as one of the major swing states in Nigeria.

The Fulani menace has however reared anti northern sentiments and the state is at the centre of Yoruba seccesionist movement.

It will be extremely difficult to say how Ondo results will swing but I will give it to Tinubu who will win with a comfortable margin. Atiku and the PDP may poll up to 20% . Obi gets zilch.

Osun
With an incoming PDP governor, this state will be a battle ground with the elections being a replay of the gubernatorial elections which the APC will be baying for blood.

Tinubu will win the state with a considerable margin but Atiku may pull a surprise of at least 25% of the votes.

Oyo

With a PDP governor in place , the PDP will do well but lose owing to tribal sentiments being fueled by both the Tinubu and Obi camp.

I see the result pattern similar to Osun.

Ogun
This is one of the states Tinubu is sure to clinch with a resounding victory like in Ekiti.

APC will get at least 90% of the votes here.

Obi gets zilch.

Lagos
Being Tinubu's stronghold, I see him winning it hands down but not without his usual deployment of thugs, ballot snatching and voter disenfranchisement in areas where there are high Igbo concentrations.

One can even say that igbos will be intimidated before the elections proper not to come out and vote.

I am giving Lagos to Tinubu with at least 85% win. Obi may get at least 5% here .

Using hate to do analysis will always make you sound myopic

ThrownBack:


What you allege to have happened in 1979 could also have happened in 2015 and 2019.

.

You said Anambra had more votes than Kano back then and I said it was Azikiwe's rigging machine at work.

What is bringing 2015/2019 rigged elections for Buhari info the discuss?

ThrownBack:


Using hate to do analysis will always make you sound myopic

That's the hard reality .

If you don't like what people say that does not mean it is hate directed at you.

We just pray you people accept the results in good faith and not start another one of your foolishness .

NuclearWinter:
SE

Obi all the way.

Ebonyi state governor has said he will not support Obi so expect some rigging there in favour of Atiku because the Governor who had pledged to support Tinubu after the convention is seeing signs that Tinubu will not get the much needed northern votes.

Hope will also do same but for Tinubu .

At the end, Obi wins the region with at least 95% votes.

Ebonyi state governor will support atiku? Guy na nonsense you dey cap!!! Indeed you know shit bout politics!!!!

NuclearWinter:
.

You said Anambra had more votes than Kano back then and I said it was Azikiwe's rigging machine at work.

What is bringing 2015/2019 rigged elections for Buhari info the discuss?

Because buharri rigging machinery also worked in 2015 and 2019.

ThrownBack:


Because buharri rigging machinery also worked in 2015 and 2019.

They learnt from Azikiwe how to stuff the ballot

Middle-Belt
Atiku all the way.

The only state APC would have a good showing would have been Kwara but Saraki is back in town and he will deliver his state.

Atiku gets a minimum of 85% votes here with the APC clinching the rest.

NuclearWinter:


They learnt from Azikiwe how to stuff the ballot

The North should also learn good governance from Peter obi insha Allah

NuclearWinter:
Middle-Belt
Atiku all the way.

The only state APC would have a good showing would have been Kwara but Saraki is back in town and he will deliver his state.

Atiku gets a minimum of 85% votes here with the APC clinching the rest.

After Atiku's fulani brothers has wiped out over 200,000 middle belt people from the world?

No be juju be that?

Don't worry, we middle belt people are waiting on ambush for Atiku with our pvc.

NE

Other than Bornu where Shettima will have to win to prove his worth, the entire region is going to Atiku.

Bornu will see APC win with a slight majority of at least 60%.

The rest of the region will vote Atiku.

Obi gets zilch here