FatherOfJesus:
The only place Tinubu can win in northern central in Kogi and kwara.

Tinubu will lose in Kogi

My brother, not everything you must be proud to post, the idea of it's my choice to choose whoever I want many times doesn't end well mostly for Nigerians. Inability to make right decision doesn't equate to ones choice.

This country needs progress, not some it's choice it's my choice noise.

Felimax:


I am among the 25% votes Atiku will get from South South, at least my wife and I.

post=115804139:

Tinubu will lose in Kogi

maybe but he will get significant numbers there

post=115804139:

Tinubu will lose in Kogi

The funniest thing here in Kogi state is that Okun people who have affinity with Yoruba culture are mainly christians. Say 75% christians to 25% Muslims do not really fancy Tinubu's candidacy. Only the Ebiras who are largely Muslims that I have seen lending their voice for Tinubu. Igalas who constitute up to 45% of the entire kogi population are in loggerhead with Bello, now they are aligning with PDP. Ogorigomango who are minority share same culture with Ebiras. So with Igala votes and divided votes from Okun, Atiku will win very narrowly. Ordinarily, Tinubu should have best Atiku here, but the reality is different. I was even thinking Obi would have done better here due to high population of christians here in Kogi almost 50% - 50% and closer to the Enugu and Anambra, but Atiku is the man here.

tunjiajayi:
Father of jesus

Jesus must have gotten his good genes from his mother's side.

Foooool

CHAI... you pieces the guy

So SE and SS will stay politicians to referendum for atifku

Nijablast:
You better care about why Obi will come distant third...

Obi is coming 4th.
Kwankwaso is 3rd

Nyamiri:


Obi is coming 4th.
Kwankwaso is 3rd

You mean agbado master to finish 4th?

Bendeco02:

You mean agbado master to finish 4th?

I know you are mentally handicapped like your fellow Mkpurumiri pigs but let me hammer it into your empty flat head.

Obi is coming 4th after Kwankwaso who will be 3rd.

No election in Anambra, Obi's loss will start from there.

BEFORE NKO
APC IS DEAD

The BOULLION VAN and INEC factors.

Nice analysis

'

Nyamiri:


I know you are mentally handicapped like your fellow Mkpurumiri pigs but let me hammer it into your empty flat head.

Obi is coming 4th after Kwankwaso who will be 3rd.

No election in Anambra, Obi's loss will start from there.

You be illiterate still come be mumu join.

Why you keep crying on every thread mentioning Obi when his supporters don't even see your agbado master as rival because he will even struggle to win one region which is only SW.

Since you know that he will finish 4th, then why killing yourself on Obi's matter. You supposed to be happy that your self acclaimed enermy will finish 4th but instead you're restless.

FatherOfJesus:
The only place Tinubu can win in northern central in Kogi and kwara.

and Niger State too.

FatherOfJesus:
Niger state reason like the Typical core north.
Nassarawa vote in a similar manner like Abuja and Peter Obi will get more votes in Abuja than Tinubu.
Even Buhari lost here

Did I say he would win or I said he would get 25%? Come Wetin dey work you?

FatherOfJesus:
Tinubu is depending heavily on northern coalition to win the election but he has a huge problem with the emergence of Atiku who will give him a run for his money upnorth.

Tinubu is ignoring the significance of southeast and southsouth in this election. The simple case here is that; Tinubu is depending on beating Atiku on his turf by ignorantly ignoring the relevance Southeast and southsouth to help him buffer some loses he could incure upnorth.

He's also depending on Southwest votes which has been historically known for voter's apathy (check figures from previous elections). Meanwhile, he can't even boast of a sloppy win in Southwest for now.

The mathmatics for me is against Tinubu for now and mostly in favour of Atiku. Peter Obi will make sure that Tinubu never gets enough votes in the south to nullify the fight Atiku will give him in the north.

Atiku stands a better position of getting more votes in South South and south east than Tinubu hence may beat Tinubu overall. I don't see Obi or Tinubu winning this election yet unless Peter Obi somehow finds a way to break the core north

Imagine if Tinubu had south east and south souht on his side and then goes to battle Atiku in the north, it would have been a walkover for him.

What are your thoughts?

You are correct. I share same thoughts.

ImDStar:
My brother, not everything you must be proud to post, the idea of it's my choice to choose whoever I want many times
doesn't end well mostly for Nigerians. Inability to make right decision doesn't equate to ones choice.

This country needs progress, not some it's choice it's my choice noise.

Go hug transformer!

Another IPOB analysis

FatherOfJesus:
Tinubu is depending heavily on northern coalition to win the election but he has a huge problem with the emergence of Atiku who will give him a run for his money upnorth.

Tinubu is ignoring the significance of southeast and southsouth in this election. The simple case here is that; Tinubu is depending on beating Atiku on his turf by ignorantly ignoring the relevance Southeast and southsouth to help him buffer some loses he could incure upnorth.

He's also depending on Southwest votes which has been historically known for voter's apathy (check figures from previous elections). Meanwhile, he can't even boast of a sloppy win in Southwest for now.

The mathmatics for me is against Tinubu for now and mostly in favour of Atiku. Peter Obi will make sure that Tinubu never gets enough votes in the south to nullify the fight Atiku will give him in the north.

Atiku stands a better position of getting more votes in South South and south east than Tinubu hence may beat Tinubu overall. I don't see Obi or Tinubu winning this election yet unless Peter Obi somehow finds a way to break the core north

Imagine if Tinubu had south east and south souht on his side and then goes to battle Atiku in the north, it would have been a walkover for him.

What are your thoughts?

Your thread should have read "Why Tinubu WOULD lose this election"