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What 2023 Election May Look Like: A Southerner - Politics - Nairaland

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"Next Election May Be Worse Unless..." - Femi Hamzat / Osigwe Omo-Ikirodah: I Have Not Seen The North Love A Southerner Like Tinubu / What 2023 Election Results May Look Like: A Notherner (2) (3) (4)

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What 2023 Election May Look Like: A Southerner by mrrandomguy: 1:44pm On Aug 26, 2022
Judging from the trend so far, the 2023 election is a 3-horse race between Atiku Abubakar, Bola Ahmed Tinubu and Peter Obi.

Kwankwaso will work for Atiku.

I used:
1. The political developments in all 36 states including the FCT
2. Opinion: private and public.
3. New developments: alliances etc

Atiku was second to Buhari in 2019 and so far will inherit the votes of nothern youths, INCLUDING THE MAJORITY VOTES OF NORTHERN CHRISTIANS.

Tinubu will sweep the southwest and garner votes in the north. But he won't do well in the South-South and South-East.

Peter Obi will sweep the South-East and South-South, and put up a good fight in the Christian dominated parts of North-Central.


Below is the prediction.

NORTHWEST:
PDP 58%.
APC 25%
LP 2%
NNPP 15%

NORTH-EAST
PDP 61%
APC 29%
LP 3%
NNPP 7%

NORTH-CENTRAL
PDP 41%
APC 31%
LP 24%
NNPP 4%

SOUTH-WEST
PDP 31%
APC 45%
LP 22%
NNPP 2%

SOUTH-SOUTH
PDP 33%
APC 17%
LP 48%
NNPP 2%

SOUTH-EAST
PDP 13%
APC 4%
LP 82%
NNPP 1%

ADDITIONAL COMMENTS
1. Obi will not do well in the North-Central as speculated on social media, despite the huge population of Christians in Plateau, Benue, Nasarawa and FCT. Atiku will get most of the votes in this region, followed by Tinubu.
2. Kwara and Kogi is for Tinubu.
3. Niger is for Atiku.
4. There will be a run-off if and only if voter turnout in the south is up to 80%
5. Run-off will be between Atiku and either Tinubu or Obi.

©mrrandomguy

Cc
Mynd44 mynd44 Seun seunmsg
Re: What 2023 Election May Look Like: A Southerner by Nobody: 1:47pm On Aug 26, 2022
mrrandomguy:
Judging from the trend so far, the 2023 election is a 3-horse race between Atiku Abubakar, Bola Ahmed Tinubu and Peter Obi.

Northerners will order Kwankwaso to work for Atiku and he will obey his people.

I used:
1. The political developments in all 36 states including the FCT
2. People's opinion: private and public.
3. New developments: alliances etc

Atiku was second to Buhari in 2019 and so far will inherit the votes of nothern youths, including northern Christians.

Asiwaju will sweep the southwest and garner votes in the north but won't do well in the South-South and South-East.

Peter Obi will sweep the South-East and South-South, put up a fight in the Christian dominated parts of North Central.


Below is the prediction.

NORTHWEST:
PDP 58%.
APC 25%
LP 2%
NNPP 15%

NORTH-EAST
PDP 61%
APC 29%
LP 3%
NNPP 7%

NORTH-CENTRAL
PDP 41%
APC 31%
LP 24%
NNPP 4%

SOUTH-WEST
PDP 31%
APC 45%
LP 22%
NNPP 2%

SOUTH-SOUTH
PDP 33%
APC 17%
LP 48%
NNPP 2%

SOUTH-EAST
PDP 13%
APC 4%
LP 82%
NNPP 1%

ADDITIONAL COMMENTS
1. Obi will not do well in the North-Central as speculated on social media, despite the huge population of Christians in Plateau, Benue, Nasarawa and FCT. Atiku will get most of the votes in this region, followed by Tinubu.
2. Kwara and Kogi is for Tinubu.
3. Niger is for Atiku.
4. There will be a run-off if and only if voter turnout in the south is up to 80%
5. Run-off will be between Atiku and Tinubu/Obi.

©mrrandomguy

Cc
Mynd44 mynd44 Seun seunmsg

PDP!!
Re: What 2023 Election May Look Like: A Southerner by mrrandomguy: 1:52pm On Aug 26, 2022
Most of the northern Christians I know are supporting Atiku.

Tinubu has the grassroots in the Southwest locked down for him.

Obidients should not rely on social media hype. They are mainly educated southern Christian youths. This is not enough number to win.

1 Like

Re: What 2023 Election May Look Like: A Southerner by MadamExcellency: 1:57pm On Aug 26, 2022
Are you getting your perception from where?

Where are you located?


You don't just sleep, wake up and conjure a figure. Some have posted videos of street polls in Ibadan and Kaduna metropolis and Peter Obi won.

We need videos of samples from cities and suburbs. Not your imaginations.

1 Like

Re: What 2023 Election May Look Like: A Southerner by Obojuju: 1:57pm On Aug 26, 2022
A vote for PO will deliver a New Nigeria. Currently Nigeria needs a man who operates in these 3 pillars;
1.) Globally aligned blue print
2.) Human Capital Development
3.) Conscious capitalism

1.) Globally Aligned blueprint.
Good governance is NOT hard, thieves make an argument for one. Over the past two decades, a thin consensus has been emerging on what countries should do to foster economic development & growth. The consensus revolves around 3 building blocks;
✅Human Capital Development
✅"Needed" Infrastructure
✅ Leadership by example
PO is head & shoulders above all with regards to the awareness of the 3 building blocks needed to foster economic growth for a country - all thanks to his updated Education. When he talks about the feat made by countries such as Singapore, Thailand etc.. PO used this framework has a governor and he is ready to use it at the national level.
2.) Human Capital Development
Public servants should be focused on serving the public - not any special interest group, & good governance should be an expectation - not an exception. Not surprised that the FIRST building block of the global framework for economic growth is HDI. Human capital fuels economic growth & contributes significantly to higher labor productivity. It's also crucial for innovation & the absorption of ideas from around the world. No country can grow without an accompanying commitment from its govt to investing in human capital. Aside PO, none of the major contenders has boldly profess his commitment to a principle of PEOPLE DEVELOPMENT then infrastructure. Aside PO, none of the main contenders has spoken against why young graduates with laptops are profiled criminals when we should invest in them more
3.) Conscious Capitalism
Many have argued what economic & political philosophy describes Peter Obi. Is he a socialist, communist or capitalist? PO is a conscious capitalist. Conscious capitalism refers to a socially responsible economic and political philosophy. In other words, it builds on the foundations of capitalism of building values however those values are for the gains of the PEOPLE & the Environment. There are 4 traits of a conscious capitalist: Higher Purpose, Stakeholder Orientation, Conscious Leadership & Conscious Culture. From not collecting pension after office, to not accepting land offered to him as governor, to cutting cost of governance, to giving senior citizens allowance, to diverting security votes to education & healthcare, to investing in education & health facilities in different zones of the country from his PERSONAL POCKETS, Peter Obi is surely a conscious capitalist and this is what LEADERSHIP BY EXAMPLE is about. Nigeria needs such person with empathy, conscience & love for others. To everyone with a good conscience.
Re: What 2023 Election May Look Like: A Southerner by mrrandomguy: 2:01pm On Aug 26, 2022
MadamExcellency:
Are you getting your perception from where?
Are you located where?
I interract and move around the country a lot.
MadamExcellency:
Are you getting your perception from where?

Where are you located?


You don't just sleep, wake up and conjure a figure. Some have posted videos of street polls in Ibadan and Kaduna metropolis and Peter Obi won.

We need videos of samples from cities and suburbs. Not your imaginations.
Ok, be watching internet videos and pictures. It will do you like magic.
Re: What 2023 Election May Look Like: A Southerner by MadamExcellency: 2:04pm On Aug 26, 2022
mrrandomguy:

I interact and move around the country a lot.

See the type of projection we need now. We don't need imaginary poll numbers or opinions.

Do a video of the samples and post.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jtTLGgwAkeY

1 Like

Re: What 2023 Election May Look Like: A Southerner by mrrandomguy: 2:07pm On Aug 26, 2022
Unless Peter Obi get bloch votes from Northern Christians in addition to the votes from Yoruba Christians, he won't get close to victory.
Re: What 2023 Election May Look Like: A Southerner by MadamExcellency: 2:08pm On Aug 26, 2022
mrrandomguy:

Ok, be watching internet videos and pictures. It will do you like magic.

Okay, this wasn't even an academic exercise but political opinion from a lout.

Be serious for once and make an on-the-street assessment.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jtTLGgwAkeY
Re: What 2023 Election May Look Like: A Southerner by MadamExcellency: 2:11pm On Aug 26, 2022
mrrandomguy:
Unless Peter Obi get bloch votes from Northern Christians in addition to the votes from Yoruba Christians, he won't get close to victory.

This is the only truth you have said.
Re: What 2023 Election May Look Like: A Southerner by MrBachelor: 2:19pm On Aug 26, 2022
You just edited what had been posted here earlier and repost with little modification.

Mtchw.
Re: What 2023 Election May Look Like: A Southerner by ItsTutsi(m): 2:23pm On Aug 26, 2022
Lol like how every SE presidential candidates have been winning on social media ba!
MadamExcellency:
Are you getting your perception from where?

Where are you located?


You don't just sleep, wake up and conjure a figure. Some have posted videos of street polls in Ibadan and Kaduna metropolis and Peter Obi won.

We need videos of samples from cities and suburbs. Not your imaginations.
Re: What 2023 Election May Look Like: A Southerner by Bendeco02: 2:28pm On Aug 26, 2022
mrrandomguy:

I interract and move around the country a lot. Ok, be watching internet videos and pictures. It will do you like magic.
You that just posted imaginary results in favour of your preferred candidate, what have you been watching?

People sef undecided
Re: What 2023 Election May Look Like: A Southerner by LadyExcellency: 2:29pm On Aug 26, 2022
ItsTutsi:
Lol like how every SE presidential candidates have been winning on social media ba!

You are a bitter person.
Re: What 2023 Election May Look Like: A Southerner by Bendeco02: 2:32pm On Aug 26, 2022
ItsTutsi:
Lol like how every SE presidential candidates have been winning on social media ba!
This mumu just see everything in tribal view... No go hustle, carry tribe for head.

As if any of your village person or relations were among those contesting from your tribe.

Maybe your work for this life is to be fighting for them online..

You want to die poor like your father ni?

1 Like

Re: What 2023 Election May Look Like: A Southerner by ItsTutsi(m): 2:34pm On Aug 26, 2022
Lol grin
Bendeco02:

This mumu just see everything in tribal view... No go hustle, carry tribe for head.

You want to die poor like your father ni?

1 Like

Re: What 2023 Election May Look Like: A Southerner by Penguin2: 2:38pm On Aug 26, 2022
mrrandomguy:
Judging from the trend so far, the 2023 election is a 3-horse race between Atiku Abubakar, Bola Ahmed Tinubu and Peter Obi.

Kwankwaso will work for Atiku.

I used:
1. The political developments in all 36 states including the FCT
2. Opinion: private and public.
3. New developments: alliances etc

Atiku was second to Buhari in 2019 and so far will inherit the votes of nothern youths, INCLUDING THE MAJORITY VOTES OF NORTHERN CHRISTIANS.

Tinubu will sweep the southwest and garner votes in the north. But he won't do well in the South-South and South-East.

Peter Obi will sweep the South-East and South-South, and put up a good fight in the Christian dominated parts of North-Central.


Below is the prediction.

NORTHWEST:
PDP 58%.
APC 25%
LP 2%
NNPP 15%

NORTH-EAST
PDP 61%
APC 29%
LP 3%
NNPP 7%

NORTH-CENTRAL
PDP 41%
APC 31%
LP 24%
NNPP 4%

SOUTH-WEST
PDP 31%
APC 45%
LP 22%
NNPP 2%

SOUTH-SOUTH
PDP 33%
APC 17%
LP 48%
NNPP 2%

SOUTH-EAST
PDP 13%
APC 4%
LP 82%
NNPP 1%

ADDITIONAL COMMENTS
1. Obi will not do well in the North-Central as speculated on social media, despite the huge population of Christians in Plateau, Benue, Nasarawa and FCT. Atiku will get most of the votes in this region, followed by Tinubu.
2. Kwara and Kogi is for Tinubu.
3. Niger is for Atiku.
4. There will be a run-off if and only if voter turnout in the south is up to 80%
5. Run-off will be between Atiku and either Tinubu or Obi.

©mrrandomguy

Cc
Mynd44 mynd44 Seun seunmsg

When last did you treat malaria sir?

The 17% percent of votes you gave to Tinubu in Southsouth, where will it come from?

Meanwhile, Atiku will not score up to 15% of votes in Southwest.

Peter Obi is winning 90% of Southeast votes.

70% of Southsouth votes.

40% of Southwest votes.

Benue, Plateau, Nasarawa, Abuja, Taraba…

Southern Kaduna, even in Adamawa.

Make I no talk plenty sha… just check for malaria first.

2 Likes

Re: What 2023 Election May Look Like: A Southerner by kay1one(m): 2:41pm On Aug 26, 2022
Penguin2:


When last did you treat malaria sir?

The 17% percent of votes you gave to Tinubu in Southsouth, where will it come from?

Meanwhile, Atiku will not score up to 15% of votes in Southwest.

Peter Obi is winning 90% of Southeast votes.

70% of Southsouth votes.

40% of Southwest votes.

Benue, Plateau, Nasarawa, Abuja, Taraba…

Southern Kaduna, even in Adamawa.

Make I no talk plenty sha… just check for malaria first.


cheesy cheesy cheesy

How the guy put SW Obi votes at 22%, I'm still confused

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