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2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis - Politics - Nairaland

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2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by nigeriancritic1(m): 8:19pm On Oct 09, 2022
For a candidate that shocked the World with "Emilokan" phrase to defeat the veiled interest of a sitting President, his Vice, the Senate President, and the Party Chairman to clinch his party ticket.

He won't be coming to play ahead of the 2023 Presidential Election.

If Tinubu will get votes in Atiku's domain. Will Atiku get same in Tinubu's domain as he needs. Judging that Obi has shut Atiku from South -East.
Atiku won't meet up with the statutory 25% in 2/3 of states.

PDP is in disarray, their strong man just withdrew charges against an APC man and stalwart. Probably being enticed by Emilokan crooner.

Mr. Emilokan will give offers most people can't refuse. He will make these juicy offers nationwide to win allegiance and win the election.

Atiku is shut out of West and East. And dimly in SS. Atiku married our daughter but the stakes are higher beyond that.

Tinubu only has SE to worry about. His wife is SS and Remi has some jobs to do even as an experienced senator could get 25% in Delta given all resources.

You see Obi, he is a regional giant. Other aspirants should struggle if they can get 25% there. That's Obi's turf. Outside of SE, obi starts to get hundreds of votes while the main gladiators get their millions.

The main battle is the delicious and sumptuous Northern votes. Obi won't partake in this largesse.
The votes here are for Tinubu, Atiku and Kwankwaso.

For Tinubu, a leading figure in a ruling party and the time for intra-party compensation is here.
The hegemonic North will pay back his support for Buhari.
The North and West Alliance will come to play here.
The voting bloc and hegemonic North knows who they can trust as they cede power to the South.
Definitely not the Obi that attacked the North on CNN.

The albatross for Obi is the January 15, 1966. And the current IPOB agitations and killings in the East. Burning of INEC infrastructure and killings of security personnel.

The best influence obi can have is to push the election to a run-off between Tinubu and Atiku.

Obi still have Kwankwaso to beat for the 3rd position.

Obi's reliance on the middle-class is useless. Middle-class don't sway elections but efficient in opposition.

I have worked on local and foreign elections live analysis and calculations. Including Obama elections and primary.

And declared the winner of 2015 Presidential Election before Jega's INEC.

I predicted the winner of 2019 Presidential Election convincingly.

If you have an Obidient friend. Prepare a shoulder and tissue rolls for them. Next February will be pepperish.

4 Likes 2 Shares

Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by successmatters(m): 8:20pm On Oct 09, 2022
My brother, you cannot be more wrong than this.

The fact that you have worked in the past corrupt ridden elections doesn't give you any inkling of what is about to happen in 2023, Buharri has changed every parameters and those traditional block voters are now unsettled due to recent security reasons.

Peter Obi stands a much better chance than any other candidates in this election and that's why everyone is jittery. The coordinated attacks online and offline against Peter Obi indicates fear of a leading contestant, not because he did anything wrong.

I will return with my own regional analysis.

7 Likes

Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by JaneGray(f): 8:23pm On Oct 09, 2022
But Obi will still win it.

4 Likes

Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by nigeriancritic1(m): 8:24pm On Oct 09, 2022
JaneGray:
But Obi will still win it.
Do you need a set of eyeglasses?

1 Like

Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by JaneGray(f): 8:26pm On Oct 09, 2022
nigeriancritic1:

Do you need a set of eyeglasses?
No, I'm not you .

3 Likes

Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by successmatters(m): 8:26pm On Oct 09, 2022
Peter Obi won the south east and south South for PDP in 2019. There is no miracle that will stop him from repeating that feat in 2023 given the volume of water that has flown under the bridge since 2019. Tinubu wife is from the south south, so frigging what!, Where is Peter Obi wife from?

The south west will be more favourable to Peter Obi in 2023, forget the online hate attacks by propagandists trying to incite hate across the Niger, many moderate thinking yorubas will vote for equity, they all know that at some point, they will sow in another region for the sake of posterity. Afenifere are already leading this thought process. The south west is where most educated professionals live in Nigeria. These guys knows what is good for them and they can influence millions with their opinions, even if they will campaign secretly.

The North have a lot of voters, and also a lot of hurt population which have borne the brunt of terrorist attacks. These Middle belt voters will vote for a change from their current situation. They will vote for Peter Obi. The core North may not vote significantly for Peter Obi, but he can get his required 25% votes from Liberal states like Kaduna, Bauchi and Niger. Abuja is a walkover in favour of Peter Obi.

1 Like

Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by Eriokanmi: 8:27pm On Oct 09, 2022
nigeriancritic1:
If Tinubu will get votes in Atiku's domain. Will Atiku get same in Tinubu's domain as he needs. Judging that Obi has shut Atiku from South -East.
Atiku won't meet up with the statutory 25% in 2/3 of states.

Atiku is shut out of West and East. And dimly in SS. Atiku married our daughter but the stakes are higher beyond that.

Tinubu only has SE to worry about. His wife is SS and Remi has some jobs to do even as an experienced senator could get 25% in Delta given all resources.

You see Obi, he is a regional giant. Other aspirants should struggle if they can get 25% there. That's Obi's turf. Outside of SE, obi starts to get hundreds of votes while the main gladiators get their millions.

The main battle is the delicious and sumptuous Northern votes.
The best influence obi can have is to push the election to a run-off between Tinubu and Atiku.

Obi still have Kwankwaso to beat for the 3rd position.

I have worked on elections live analysis and calculations.
This must have been written out emotions. I'm here in Lagos and all I hear is Peter Obi. Forget what urchins are saying . February is the judgement day.
Obi will win the entire south east and south east. You dodged plateau and benue. Kaduna won't make a mistake of voting apc or pdp. It's Datti-Baba Ahmed's state. Taraba will declare for obi. Go to oyo and see makinde's body language. I see him defecting to Labour after declaring oyo for Obi. Obi will win abuja.

Pdp and apc can share the rest.

4 Likes

Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by Afamed: 8:28pm On Oct 09, 2022
Obi is just a spectator . Obi has no electoral value. His total electoral value in Anambra to become a Gov years ago was less than 90k

7 Likes

Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by Omesbrit(m): 8:28pm On Oct 09, 2022
You will still do another analysis after February, when Obi have won the election. Rubbish.

4 Likes

Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by Timatayo1: 8:28pm On Oct 09, 2022
Different different types of wrong analysis

1 Like

Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by MadeInTokyo: 8:30pm On Oct 09, 2022
grin grin grin
Another confused myopic Tinubu zombie with another janja-weed illiterate analysis that only his fellow Tinubu zombies will believe and digest

2 Likes

Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by Afamed: 8:30pm On Oct 09, 2022
Eriokanmi:
This must have been written out emotions. I'm here in Lagos and all I hear is Peter Obi. Forget what urchins are saying . February is the judgement day.

All you hear from the 20m population in lagos is Obi? This IpOBh jokes too much

7 Likes

Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by nigeriancritic1(m): 8:30pm On Oct 09, 2022
This analysis pain people o. It's all over Facebook and tested.

I am afraid for Obi

2 Likes

Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by Nijablast: 8:30pm On Oct 09, 2022
Eriokanmi:
This must have been written out emotions. I'm here in Lagos and all I hear is Peter Obi. Forget what urchins are saying . February is the judgement day.
Which Lagos are u?
E go soon clear for ur eyes

2 Likes

Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by kcnwaigbo: 8:31pm On Oct 09, 2022
I stopped reading when I read Remi could secure 25% in Delta

7 Likes

Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by basybasy: 8:33pm On Oct 09, 2022
nigeriancritic1:
If Tinubu will get votes in Atiku's domain. Will Atiku get same in Tinubu's domain as he needs. Judging that Obi has shut Atiku from South -East.
Atiku won't meet up with the statutory 25% in 2/3 of states.

Atiku is shut out of West and East. And dimly in SS. Atiku married our daughter but the stakes are higher beyond that.

Tinubu only has SE to worry about. His wife is SS and Remi has some jobs to do even as an experienced senator could get 25% in Delta given all resources.

You see Obi, he is a regional giant. Other aspirants should struggle if they can get 25% there. That's Obi's turf. Outside of SE, obi starts to get hundreds of votes while the main gladiators get their millions.

The main battle is the delicious and sumptuous Northern votes.
The best influence obi can have is to push the election to a run-off between Tinubu and Atiku.

Obi still have Kwankwaso to beat for the 3rd position.

I have worked on elections live analysis and calculations.
Obituaries will not be happy with this ooo. They will start crying now.

1 Like

Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by Eriokanmi: 8:36pm On Oct 09, 2022
Nijablast:

Which Lagos are u?
E go soon clear for ur eyes
That's why I said February is the judgement day. No need to argue. Apc bragged more than this in Tinubu's home state. They even dared Aregbe. We saw what happened in the end.

Osun's experience would be a tip on the iceberg

1 Like

Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by Eriokanmi: 8:38pm On Oct 09, 2022
Afamed:


All you hear from the 20m population in lagos is Obi? This IpOBh jokes too much
When you wake up tomorrow. Do this....just ask people around you politely whom they'd vote and hear what they'd say.
Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by Afamed: 8:40pm On Oct 09, 2022
Eriokanmi:
When you wake up tomorrow. Do this....just ask people around you politely whom they'd vote and hear what they'd say.

You joke too much

5 Likes

Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by Abdu81: 8:41pm On Oct 09, 2022
nigeriancritic1:
If Tinubu will get votes in Atiku's domain. Will Atiku get same in Tinubu's domain as he needs. Judging that Obi has shut Atiku from South -East.
Atiku won't meet up with the statutory 25% in 2/3 of states.

Atiku is shut out of West and East. And dimly in SS. Atiku married our daughter b ofut the stakes are higher beyond that.

However you are not mad, but blind.

Enjoy your blindness.

Tinubu only has SE to worry about. His wife is SS and Remi has some jobs to do even as an experienced senator could get 25% in Delta given all resources.

You see Obi, he is a regional giant. Other aspirants should struggle if they can get 25% there. That's Obi's turf. Outside of SE, obi starts to get hundreds of votes while the main gladiators get their millions.

The main battle is the delicious and sumptuous Northern votes.
The best influence obi can have is to push the election to a run-off between Tinubu and Atiku.

Obi still have Kwankwaso to beat for the 3rd position.

I have worked on local and foreign elections live analysis and calculations. Including Obama elections and primary.

And declared the winner of 2015 Presidential Election before Jega's INEC.

I predicted the winner of 2019 Presidential Election convincingly.

If you have an Obidient friend. Prepare a shoulder and tissue rolls for them. Next February will be pepperish.
Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by successmatters(m): 8:41pm On Oct 09, 2022
Afamed:
Obi is just a spectator . Obi has no electoral value. His total electoral value in Anambra to become a Gov years ago was less than 90k

That was then. Peter Obi was written off before he won Anambra. Watch as he creeps into every one's consciousness as he always does.

1 Like

Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by successmatters(m): 8:43pm On Oct 09, 2022
Afamed:


You joke too much

It's no longer a joke. Peter Obi has been growing in the hearts of those who had lost hope in Nigeria.

1 Like

Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by Afamed: 8:44pm On Oct 09, 2022
successmatters:


That was then. Peter Obi was written off before he won Anambra. Watch as he creeps into every one's consciousness as he always does.

He won Anambra Govship election with less than 90k, with the aids of Ojokwu. How is that a new news?

5 Likes

Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by Afamed: 8:46pm On Oct 09, 2022
successmatters:


It's no longer a joke. Peter Obi has been growing in the hearts of those who had lost hope in Nigeria.

The same hope he put in those who elected him as a Gov years ago in Anambra state.

4 Likes

Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by successmatters(m): 8:47pm On Oct 09, 2022
Afamed:


He won Anambra Govship election with less than 90k, with the aids of Ojokwu. How is that a new news?

He will win Nigeria votes with a thin margin with the help of masses that loves Nigeria, not killers who have looted Nigeria.

Same scenario.
Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by tuniski: 8:48pm On Oct 09, 2022
successmatters:
Peter Obi won the south east and south South for PDP in 2019. There is no miracle that will stop him from repeating that feat in 2023 given the volume of water that has flown under the bridge since 2019. Tinubu wife is from the south south, so frigging what!, Where is Peter Obi wife from?

The south west will be more favourable to Peter Obi in 2023, forget the online hate attacks by propagandists trying to incite hate across the Niger, many moderate thinking yorubas will vote for equity, they all know that at some point, they will sow in another region for the sake of posterity. Afenifere are already leading this thought process. The south west is where most educated professionals live in Nigeria. These guys knows what is good for them and they can influence millions with their opinions, even if they will campaign secretly.

The North have a lot of voters, and also a lot of hurt population which have borne the brunt of terrorist attacks. These Middle belt voters will vote for a change from their current situation. They will vote for Peter Obi. The core North may not vote significantly for Peter Obi, but he can get his required 25% votes from Liberal states like Kaduna, Bauchi and Niger. Abuja is a walkover.
PDP had their worst voters return in 2019 when obi was on the card In the SS/SE.

1 Like

Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by successmatters(m): 8:48pm On Oct 09, 2022
Afamed:


The same hope he put in those who elected him as a Gov years ago in Anambra state.

How is this Peter obi fault?
Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by successmatters(m): 8:50pm On Oct 09, 2022
tuniski:

PDP had their worst voters return in 2019 when obi was on the card In the SS/SE.

Imagine how bad it would have been if Peter Obi wasn't on the ballot with Atiku.
Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by Afamed: 8:50pm On Oct 09, 2022
successmatters:


He will win Nigeria votes with a thin margin with the help of masses that loves Nigeria, not killers who have looted Nigeria.

Same scenario.

Unfortunately Govship election is not same as Presidential election . Go and ask Atiku Abubakar, he will educate you

4 Likes

Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by successmatters(m): 8:51pm On Oct 09, 2022
Afamed:


Unfortunately Govship election is not same as Presidential election . Go and ask Atiku Abubakar, he will educate you

Or Goodluck Jonathan, he was also a governor.
Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by Afamed: 8:52pm On Oct 09, 2022
successmatters:


Imagine how bad it would have been if Peter Obi wasn't on the ballot with Atiku.

Do you understand grammar at all, or you are being clever by half?

4 Likes

Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by kcnwaigbo: 8:53pm On Oct 09, 2022
Afamed:


Unfortunately Govship election is not same as Presidential election . Go and ask Atiku Abubakar, he will educate you
Has Tinubu ever contested and won elections as president before? There are all former Governors

6 Likes

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