I am not an expert in politics and I wish Peter Obi would win but when I look at all the northern states ruled by APC as indicated with light blue in the attached image, it gives me a feeling Tinubu has an advantage in the north and will likely win most of the northern votes. The south West votes plus the little scraps he would get from the south-south and south-east might be enough to seal his victory.

Most of the uneducated voters are in the north. They don't know anything about Peter Obi because they don't follow the news media or social media where his ovation is loud. These are the kind of voters that can be scammed using religion or one stupid thing or the other. These are the kind of voters that gives Tinubu a chance. The fact that APC governors rule those states is enough to influence those voters to vote for APC/Tinubu.

If Tinubu eventually wins the election it will finally prove our problem is not about having bad leaders as many will always say, but having a large pool of uneducated voters who outnumber the educated ones. And these uneducated voters end up voting for bad leaders.

Day don dey break.

What exactly did PO did as a governor that will make we Nigerians to vote for him? You can continue to lie to yourself about the failure call Obi but we know the truth.

Nefort:


[b]Most of the uneducated voters are in the north. [/b]They don't know anything about Peter Obi because they don't follow the news media or social media where his ovation is loud.

Obi governed Anambra State,

Tinubu governed Lagos

Kwankwaso governed Kano State



Obi has a second class in Philosophy from Nsuka

Tinubu has a Bsc honours in Chicago state university

Kwankwaso has a PhD in Engineering UK

Tinubu worked with Delliote, ExxonMobil became a Senator and A Governor

Obi worked as a director in a commercial bank owned by his family

Kwankwaso worked as a Civil Servants, became a Senator, Governor and later a Minister


Do you in all honesty think Obi can fool everyone with all this annoying insult and propaganda?!

Make una dey fear God small small nau

I honestly tried to watch Obi on many platform since he began campaigning and I can tell you.. Atiku is far sound than Obi, Kwankwaso is not even in his class, even Sowore has far more indepth knowledge of Nigeria



.

IPOB should Just continue using Northerners in the SE for their Gunfire Practice

The North will definitely vote for you so you can slaughter them all once you sniff power

No be say he might, e go win. I don talk am before.

Dreaming is free

PO2023

Zombidients say each Governors has just one vote and they cant influence the voters.
I think the picture is getting clearer, IPOB sympathisers will soon return to Biafra or nothing when they eventually failed.

God bless Mazi Bola Tinubu, the incoming GCFR.

Nefort:
I am not an expert in politics and I wish Peter Obi would win but when I look at all the northern states ruled by APC as indicated with light blue in the attached image, it gives me a feeling Tinubu has an advantage in the north and will likely win most of the northern votes. The south West votes plus the little scraps he would get from the south-south and south-east might be enough to seal his victory.

Most of the uneducated voters are in the north. They don't know anything about Peter Obi because they don't follow the news media or social media where his ovation is loud. These are the kind of voters that can be scammed using religion or one stupid thing or the other. These are the kind of voters that gives Tinubu a chance. The fact that APC governors rule those states is enough to influence those voters to vote for APC/Tinubu.

If Tinubu eventually wins the election it will finally prove our problem is not about having bad leaders as many will always say, but having a large pool of uneducated voters who outnumber the educated ones. And these uneducated voters end up voting for bad leaders.

Your problem Obi supporters is that you are dumb, tribalistic and naive.

The way you carry your Obi madness for head thinking he is the best thing since the big bang occurred is the way other's genuinely feel their candidates are, this is not IPOB mad zone where Kanu's words are revelation from heaven. People have different perspectives and worldviews and they are not wrong when they don't support your view, learn to consider that.

The possibility of Tinubu or Atiku winning this election is 95%, Obi's victory is only remotely possible in your own alternate reality. The way you hype Obi to the high heavens is the same way others see him as worse than the devil. Learn to acknowledge different perspectives.

We know you guys with your devious strategies...

Tinubu is going to lose...

Put your finger on that and remember this comment.

Raheeqilmaktoom:


Your problem Obi supporters is that you are dumb, tribalistic and naive.

The way you carry your Obi madness for head thinking he is the best thing since the big bang occurred is the way other's genuinely feel their candidates are, this is not IPOB mad zone where Kanu's words are revelation from heaven. People have different perspectives and worldviews and they are not wrong when they don't support your view, learn to consider that.

The possibility of Tinubu or Atiku winning this election is 95%, Obi's victory is only remotely possible in your own alternate reality. The way you hype Obi to the high heavens is the same way others see him as worse than the devil. Learn to acknowledge different perspectives.

Simple deception you cannot pull off...

Keep your opinion to yourself because you are not relevant in the final analysis..

Hmm... God knows best.

But they are all unworthy.

The great emperor 'The Unity' is one true leader I know. We await his coming

maestroferddi:
Simple deception you cannot pull off...

Keep your opinion to yourself because you are not relevant in the final analysis..

Deception? Lol, ok.

Reality? That your hyped fraud won't win election? February is just around the corner, till then enjoy the noise.

What did Tinubu do as governor? Or you think this propaganda of Tinubu built Lagos will fly?

Tinubu is too shady to be president of any country! There's no way Nigerians will knowingly elect a fraudulent and extremely corrupt person

madridguy:
What exactly did PO did as a governor that will make we Nigerians to vote for him? You can continue to lie to yourself about the failure call Obi but we know the truth.

Delliote said they don't know Tinubu, Chicago State University gave a black American female as Bola A. Tinubu. Breeze go soon blow for fowl yansh to open

Moh247:



Obi governed Anambra State,

Tinubu governed Lagos

Kwankwaso governed Kano State



Obi has a second class in Philosophy from Nsuka

Tinubu has a Bsc honours in Chicago state university

Kwankwaso has a PhD in Engineering UK

Tinubu worked with Delliote, ExxonMobil became a Senator and A Governor

Obi worked as a director in a commercial bank owned by his family

Kwankwaso worked as a Civil Servants, became a Senator, Governor and later a Minister


Do you in all honesty think Obi can fool everyone with all this annoying insult and propaganda?!

Make una dey fear God small small nau

I honestly tried to watch Obi on many platform since he began campaigning and I can tell you.. Atiku is far sound than Obi, Kwankwaso is not even in his class, even Sowore has far more indepth knowledge of Nigeria



.

Continue kidding yourself. By the time Tinubu resumed office you will go back to biafra or death.

DMerciful:
What did Tinubu do as governor? Or you think this propaganda of Tinubu built Lagos will fly?

Tinubu is too shady to be president of any country! There's no way Nigerians will knowingly elect a fraudulent and extremely corrupt person

The way Nigerians are waiting for elections to start you’ll think Tinubu will win because of how they are trying to downcast Obi but they don’t know that we Nigerians are just waiting for the final whistle then premium tears shall begin. Obi will win I can feel it from the silence in the air has the year goes down. If you agree with my like if you don’t share

madridguy:
What exactly did PO do as a governor that will make we Nigerians to vote for him? You can continue to lie to yourself about the failure call Obi but we know the truth.

First of all we need to be specific about what qualifies as DO and what the possibilities are. Even the worst governor in Nigeria must DO something. But doing something depends on what resources you have at your disposal. Lagos State for instance has a lot of money and the performance of the Lagos State governor should be directly proportional to the wealth of Lagos. Anambra State is not as rich as Lagos so you shouldn't expect any Anambra State governor to run more bigger projects than what you have in Lagos or turn Anambra to Dubai in 8 years. Peter Obi achieved as much as the wealth of Anambra allowed him to achieve. The truth is Peter Obi would have performed far better than Tinubu if he had the resources of Lagos at his disposal.

The next thing to consider is also personality and behaviour. It's not hard to see that Peter Obi has a more refined personality than Tinubu. This is also something important worth considering before choosing whom to vote for.

Anyway, this not the purpose of this thread. The purpose of this thread is to look into Tinubu's chances of winning considering the reasons I mentioned above.

Nefort:
I am not an expert in politics and I wish Peter Obi would win but when I look at all the northern states ruled by APC as indicated with light blue in the attached image, it gives me a feeling Tinubu has an advantage in the north and will likely win most of the northern votes. The south West votes plus the little scraps he would get from the south-south and south-east might be enough to seal his victory.

Most of the uneducated voters are in the north. They don't know anything about Peter Obi because they don't follow the news media or social media where his ovation is loud. These are the kind of voters that can be scammed using religion or one stupid thing or the other. These are the kind of voters that gives Tinubu a chance. The fact that APC governors rule those states is enough to influence those voters to vote for APC/Tinubu.

If Tinubu eventually wins the election it will finally prove our problem is not about having bad leaders as many will always say, but having a large pool of uneducated voters who outnumber the educated ones. And these uneducated voters end up voting for bad leaders.

You can say that again especially the last paragraph!

Raheeqilmaktoom:


Your problem Obi supporters is that you are dumb, tribalistic and naive.

The way you carry your Obi madness for head thinking he is the best thing since the big bang occurred is the way other's genuinely feel their candidates are, this is not IPOB mad zone where Kanu's words are revelation from heaven. People have different perspectives and worldviews and they are not wrong when they don't support your view, learn to consider that.

The possibility of Tinubu or Atiku winning this election is 95%, Obi's victory is only remotely possible in your own alternate reality. The way you hype Obi to the high heavens is the same way others see him as worse than the devil. Learn to acknowledge different perspectives.

So, OBJ, Adebanjo, and other prominent Obidient Nigerians, are dumb, naive and tribalistic because they are not accepting your own 'reality' as a clairvoyant, man of superior understanding of political matters in modern day Nigeria? Wonders have ended.

Las, Las February will clear all doubts. Most supporters on all divides are emotional about 2023.In the end only one set of supporters will be right. So, quit the lecture about 'reality', which you obviously don't know is highly subjective in relation to humans. Even you can get to the polling booth on that day, and vote someone else, in the spur of the moment.


#Events occur in real time.

Raheeqilmaktoom:


Your problem Obi supporters is that you are dumb, tribalistic and naive.

The way you carry your Obi madness for head thinking he is the best thing since the big bang occurred is the way other's genuinely feel their candidates are, this is not IPOB mad zone where Kanu's words are revelation from heaven. People have different perspectives and worldviews and they are not wrong when they don't support your view, learn to consider that.

The possibility of Tinubu or Atiku winning this election is 95%, Obi's victory is only remotely possible in your own alternate reality. The way you hype Obi to the high heavens is the same way others see him as worse than the devil. Learn to acknowledge different perspectives.

But how come a large percentage of the educated voters prefer Peter Obi? What do you think is the reason? Doesn't it tell you something?

Nefort:

But how come a large percentage of the educated voters prefer Peter Obi? What do you think is the reason? Doesn't it tell you something?

Educated voters my foot.

Go and do real research, not depending on social media hype to make inferences.

Christistruth00:
IPOB should Just continue using Northerners in the SE for their Gunfire Practice

The North will definitely vote for you so you can slaughter them all once you sniff power

Ok
I believe with your moniker, you represent the truth....but it I am ashamed you aren't a truth lover.

Easterners suffered in the hands of northerners years back; Kano crisis, Jos crisis and other northern states....these crisis destroyed lives and properties......yet you voted in Buhari in 2015.

Christians have suffered in the hands of Fulani herdsmen during the farmers herders clash...before we could understand clearly that these weren't just herdsmen, but bandits....though it took your buhari years to declare and treat them terrorists....you voted buhari in 2019.

What has northerners not done, yet they are in power....another northerner is here....I trust you will still support him.

You and I knows that the terrorists in the east are inflicting injury on all.

Northerners have suffered it, easterners have suffered more.....
If you Don't want to vote Obi, it fine, you have a candidate you should vote.....vote him in peace.....Obi wins or not, all lives will keep moving.....you are in Nigeria, you must feel the
Impact of who ever you voted....

But please stop linking the issue in the east to the Igbos....
That's not who we are.....you know the truth about everything happening.....you know how it started....

Stop being a fool.....

The battle is between Tinubu and Atiku in the North.

aspher:


So, OBJ, Adebanjo, and other prominent Obidient Nigerians, are dumb, naive and tribalistic because they are not accepting your own 'reality' as a clairvoyant, man of superior understanding of political matters in modern day Nigeria? Wonders have ended.

Las, Las February will clear all doubts. Most supporters on all divides are emotional about 2023.In the end only one set of supporters will be right. So, quit the lecture about 'reality', which you obviously don't know is highly subjective in relation to humans. Even you can get to the polling booth on that day, and vote someone else, in the spur of the moment.


#Events occur in real time.

Obj, Adebanjo and co have their reasons for supporting Obi, some say Obj supports Obi to dilute Atiku's votes from SE&SS (this claim may not be entirely false knowing Obj as he is, a vengeful and egoistic individual). Adebanjo never even believed the north or Buhari will give Tinubu the chance to be Apc candidate, he has been making noise right from 2015.

But one thing is certain, both men and their silent backers are very politically worthless. People erroneously think Obj contributed to Buhari's victory in 2015, it's false. Obj aligned with popular choice and had he stood against it, he would have been swallowed by the tide, just like what happened in 2019 when he thought he could influence the election. .

The greatest voting base of Nigeria in this election is divided between the 2 individuals, there is no way Obi will garner a few hundred thousand votes and think he can challenge Tinubu or Atiku, no objective permutation supports that.

Most of Obi's hype is in SE, he will struggle to make a dent in the SS and won't make any significant inroads in the north (NC inclusive), how will he win election?

Nefort:
I am not an expert in politics and I wish Peter Obi would win but when I look at all the northern states ruled by APC as indicated with light blue in the attached image, it gives me a feeling Tinubu has an advantage in the north and will likely win most of the northern votes. The south West votes plus the little scraps he would get from the south-south and south-east might be enough to seal his victory.

Most of the uneducated voters are in the north. They don't know anything about Peter Obi because they don't follow the news media or social media where his ovation is loud. These are the kind of voters that can be scammed using religion or one stupid thing or the other. These are the kind of voters that gives Tinubu a chance. The fact that APC governors rule those states is enough to influence those voters to vote for APC/Tinubu.

If Tinubu eventually wins the election it will finally prove our problem is not about having bad leaders as many will always say, but having a large pool of uneducated voters who outnumber the educated ones. And these uneducated voters end up voting for bad leaders.

tinubu will win only in your dream urchins

Raheeqilmaktoom:


Educated voters my foot.

Go and do real research, not depending on social media hype to make inferences.

Where should I do the research if not social media? Social media is heavily dominated by very enlightening people. If social media prefers Peter Obi then it obvious the educated and sensible ones prefer Peter Obi. How else do I do the research then?

@ Nefort A sitting governor was defeated in Osun state ruled by APC, Tinubu's supposed stronghold. Don't forget that

There is no single state in South East and SS ruled by LP yet Peter Obi will likely win many of those states with a very high margin

Raheeqilmaktoom:


Obj, Adebanjo and co have their reasons for supporting Obi, some say Obj supports Obi to dilute Atiku's votes from SE&SS (this claim may not be entirely false knowing Obj as he is, a vengeful and egoistic individual). Adebanjo never even believed the north or Buhari will give Tinubu the chance to be Apc candidate, he has been making noise right from 2015.

But one thing is certain, both men and their silent backers are very politically worthless. People erroneously think Obj contributed to Buhari's victory in 2015, it's false. Obj aligned with popular choice and had he stood against it, he would have been swallowed by the tide, just like what happened in 2019 when he thought he could influence the election. .

The greatest voting base of Nigeria in this election is divided between the 2 individuals, there is no way Obi will garner a few hundred thousand votes and think he can challenge Tinubu or Atiku, no objective permutation supports that.

Most of Obi's hype is in SE, he will struggle to make a dent in the SS and won't make any significant inroads in the north (NC inclusive), how will he win election?

Lol. Obi will struggle to make a dent in south south you say? You are not serious and you know it. Well whatever makes you sleep well at night.

Nefort:

Where should I do the research if not social media? Social media is heavily dominated by very enlightening people. If social media prefers Peter Obi then it obvious the educated and sensible ones prefer Peter Obi. How else do I do the research then?

Read this to understand why the 2023 election is different: https://www.nairaland.com/7482917/why-should-take-peter-obis

You guys are insulting and disregarding social media like the Republicans in the US disregarded the Gen Z people but they turned out in big numbers and voted democrats in the mid-terms

blahc007:

Ok
I believe with your moniker, you represent the truth....but it I am ashamed you aren't a truth lover.

Easterners suffered in the hands of northerners years back; Kano crisis, Jos crisis and other northern states....these crisis destroyed lives and properties......yet you voted in Buhari in 2015.

Christians have suffered in the hands of Fulani herdsmen during the farmers herders clash...before we could understand clearly that these weren't just herdsmen, but bandits....though it took your buhari years to declare and treat them terrorists....you voted buhari in 2019.

What has northerners not done, yet they are in power....another northerner is here....I trust you will still support him.

You and I knows that the terrorists in the east are inflicting injury on all.

Northerners have suffered it, easterners have suffered more.....
If you Don't want to vote Obi, it fine, you have a candidate you should vote.....vote him in peace.....Obi wins or not, all lives will keep moving.....you are in Nigeria, you must feel the
Impact of who ever you voted....

But please stop linking the issue in the east to the Igbos....
That's not who we are.....you know the truth about everything happening.....you know how it started....

Stop being a fool.....

You mentioned all the crisis but you chose to ignore IPOB/ESN killings. I mean you igbos killing igbos. You're killing yourselves. Whose fault is that?