Munamoqel:
stup up again . VAT is paid to state and local govt over 80 percent where it is generated so your beer vat is in your erosions ravaged Abia and Ebony . While other to the federal government consodated account .tiny percentage that will slip in will be used for rehab of beer victims .sin income from tobacco and beer and hotels and brothel .

CoronaVirusRelo:


I will do after election. That I can promise you. It will be foolish of me mentioning names and strategies.

If you take a deeper look at what stands with APC at the moment, it shouldn’t be difficult for you to find!

The power brokers are aligned….

SmartPolician:


This is not true. To be declared the winner, you MUST get the highest number of votes and 25% in 26 states.

That analogy you posted will lead to a runoff because it didn't satisfy the provision of the electoral act.

MikeofAfrica:



The power brokers in APC are Buhari , Tinubu and the APC Governors.

During the primary, Buhari and his men were neutral while Tinubu aligned with the Governors to get the ticket.

The general election is a different ball game. Some of the APC northern Governors that backed Tinubu at the primary have sympathies for Atiku. Have you seen the Governors of Kebbi, Jigawa, Yobe, Gombe and Niger moving around with Tinubu lately.
They are all APC by day and PDP by night.

Have you not also seen how Buhari is tactically withdrawing himself from Tinubu.

Even if Buhari and the Governors back Tinubu, there is no guarantee that northerners will leave their sons, Atiku and Kwankwaso and vote Tinubu.

Emeraldicon:


You are not making sense so no need to argue with you

Emeraldicon:


I am not against Atiku winning because he is more coherent than Tinubu. But I still don't see the possibility of him winning, if he does congratulations to him

MikeofAfrica:


NW States are not APC strongholds but Buhari strongholds. PDP has won Governorship elections in Jigawa, Katsina, Kebbi, Kano, Kaduna and Sokoto.

It is the Buhari factor that turn most of these States to APC. Without Buhari on ballot in 2023, Atiku will win some of these States because he has the same Fulani root like Buhari.

Remember that Yaradua who is also a Fulani won most of these States for PDP in 2007.

chrisxxx:
People should know that numbers do not always determine who wins in Nigeria election but number of states won.
If you win all the votes in Kano and another won in ekiti and Bayelsa even with less cumulative votes to Kano with the person who won in Kano unable to get 25% if votes in Ekiti and Bayelsa, the winner of Ekiti and Bayelsa will be declared the president even with the person who won in Kano having the highest number of votes.

drlateef:




In which constitution are you reading your own? Simple majority is the first consideration, not the number of states with at least 25% of votes. Nigeria does not run electoral college system. If the majority winner cannot get 25% in 2/3 of states, then it goes for rerun.

omonnakoda:
Not true. Simple majority is NOT the first consideration
There are TWO considerations that BOTH must be met not EITHER OR
25% in 24 states PLUS simple majority
If both conditions are not met there will be a run off between the first two when simple majority will be the determinant

frank14011991:
Mr man forget that anap rubbish, I am a northerner, I vote in kano, I am telling you what is on ground, how can you believe obi got more votes than kwankwaso in NW according to Anap

drlateef:




I thought you understood english. How is what I stated different from yours? Don’t you see INEC first announcing the winner of majority vote followed by geographical spread?

drlateef:




In which constitution are you reading your own? Simple majority is the first consideration, not the number of states with at least 25% of votes. Nigeria does not run electoral college system. If the majority winner cannot get 25% in 2/3 of states, then it goes for rerun.

Svoboda:


In 1999, apart from Kano and Kaduna, all the NW states were app and Buhari wasnt in reckoning as at then. It took the pdp rigging machine for the tides to change in 03 and 07.

No doubt, Buhari is a factor, but he wasnt the originator of the modern day progressive politics in the NW.

omonnakoda:
Not true. Simple majority is NOT the first consideration
There are TWO considerations that BOTH must be met not EITHER OR
25% in 24 states PLUS simple majority
If both conditions are not met there will be a run off between the first two when simple majority will be the determinant

Carmal90:


Are you saying if Atiku has the highest number of votes but couldn't win 25% in 26 States and the next challenger couldn't meet the 25% in 26 States as well, there will be rerun?

SmartPolician:


This is not true. To be declared the winner, you MUST get the highest number of votes and 25% in 26 states.

That analogy you posted will lead to a runoff because it didn't satisfy the provision of the electoral act.

Munamoqel:
stup up again . VAT is paid to state and local govt over 80 percent where it is generated so your beer vat is in your erosions ravaged Abia and Ebony . While other to the federal government consodated account .tiny percentage that will slip in will be used for rehab of beer victims .sin income from tobacco and beer and hotels and brothel .

1Dray:


24 states not 26

chrisxxx:
People should know that numbers do not always determine who wins in Nigeria election but number of states won.
If you win all the votes in Kano and another won in ekiti and Bayelsa even with less cumulative votes to Kano with the person who won in Kano unable to get 25% if votes in Ekiti and Bayelsa, the winner of Ekiti and Bayelsa will be declared the president even with the person who won in Kano having the highest number of votes.

MikeofAfrica:


The NW does not practice any progressive politics. If they do, the region will not be in the present mess. They vote along tribal and religion bigotry. That is the reason Tinubu went for muslim- Muslim ticket so as to convince NW/ NE to vote him.

In 1999, PDP had 3 states in NW ( Kaduna, Kano and Katsina) while APP has four states ( Jigawa, Sokoto, Zamfara and Kebbi). Hence the NW was almost equally divided btw the two parties.

PDP lost Kano to ANPP in 2003 due to Buhari popularity while winning Jigawa in 2007. PDP later lost Kaduna, Kastina and Jigawa to APC in 2015 due to the same Buhari factor.

Without Buhari on ballot, Atiku can win at least 3 NW states ( Katsina, Kaduna , Sokoto & Jigawa) while Kwankwaso will likely win Kano. Presently, Tinubu can only boast of Zamfara and Kebbi which are APC strongholds.

chrisxxx:

Ok. What i am saying is as much as Kano would give anyone huge number of votes same person should also crave for Bayelsa and Ekiti votes

drlateef:




In which constitution are you reading your own? Simple majority is the first consideration, not the number of states with at least 25% of votes. Nigeria does not run electoral college system. If the majority winner cannot get 25% in 2/3 of states, then it goes for rerun.

sevenhundred:
that is the reason people should not underate nnpp because of nw votes can triggers his votes, and make him king maker.

ImDStar:
i cannot be praying for a better country and still be supporting APC and PDP, that's Foolishness in the highest other.

It's pure evil to support Buhari in 2015 and still come back to support Tinubu after all the suffering.
Are you cursed with suffering?

Planning to vote APC or PDP is not an opinion, It's pure wickedness and evil, after all the suffering Nigerians are going through.

133million people leaving in abject poverty out of 200million is not a joke!!!

omonnakoda:
Where did you get your 80% from ? It is not true
https://www.vanguardngr.com/2021/09/vat-what-states-generated-received-in-past-8-months/
https://www.nairaland.com/6759988/vat-what-states-generated-received/1

HIGHESTPOPORI:
Peter Obi will start North campaign in January, so what are you saying.And North is Overated.Jonathan didn't win North in 2011 and still won the election.North won't give block votes to any candidate this time around.Atiku, Kwankwanso would split Northern votes, so it's not a threat

Munamoqel:
you are confused vat collection vs vat generation are two different things .if I buy MTN recharge card in Kano the vat is collected In Lagos MTN head office vat accounts but actual consumption happens in Kano not Lagos .it too hard for una comprehension.