Wrong assertion. 14 Northern govenors does not mean 14 Northern States. Go and ponder on that.

person wey we go carry handicap-2 las las

Ennoloa:
If you think people still vote by Party in this hardship
You are deluded

I voted Adeleke over Oyetola but that doesn't mean I would vote Atiku over PO


First-time voter here with my household

It will end in tears

stev120:

Over the years PDP continues to win Nassarawa and Plateau in presidential elections
14-2 = 12
Pdp have a great share in northeast that is Atiku's region Adamawa and Sokoto. The remaining 4 north east will be shared.

In Northwest, if you deny the presence of Kwankwanso then you're planing to rigg this election. Kwankwanso represents the Northerner that are tired of both PDP and APC. There is a sure bet that Kwankwaso will beat 40% of northwest and even wining Kano. PDP also have presence in north west with this, the north block vote is scattered.

In northcentral only Niger state, Kogi, Kwara and Kaduna are APC states the rest are always won by PDP during presidential elections. But this time we see strong LP presence in Abuja, Benue, parts of Nassarawa and might blow huge part of Taraba because Taraba has always voted in line with southeast and south south.

In Southwest, APC will do well but not as expected, if you think that Nigerians are not sentimental in regards to religion then you have not been following Nigeria politics. PDP have 2 states in Southwest, APC have 4. both PDP, APC and LP will share Southwest will APC might slightly take the bigger potion.

The only region promising block vote is South east and south south and LP have strong presence there. PDP might have some share though but very poor.

3 gaint parties have shared the north (APC, PDP NNPP) in north Central LP join them, in south west LP got better share and might do better than PDP.

After looking at this and the requirement of the winner which is 25% in 24 states I see APC and LP in the front. If religion plays LP might surprise other parties in Christian dominated northern areas like Bauchi, Kaduna parts of Adamawa big shock in Platuea.

APC won nassarawa in 2019

AyeMoJuba:
The Odds Favors Tinubu To Win The 2023 Presidential Election

For those running around focusing on Tinubu’s age, certificates, alleged ill-health, bublubla and Muslim-Muslim ticket, that is an ineffective political tactic.

Here is Atiku’s challenge.

It is in the numbers!

The same applies to Peter Obi or Kwankwanso.

Below are 14 Northern states with APC governors.

Which one do you think Atiku's PDP, or Kwankwanso's NNPP or Peter Obi's Labour Party will win?

1. Borno state: Babagane Zulum
2. Gombe state: Inuwa Yahaya
3. Jigawa state: Badaru Mohammed
4. Kaduna state: Nasir El Rufai
5. Kano state: Umar Ganduje
6. Katsina state: Aminu Masari
7. Kwara state: Yahaya Bello
8. Nasarawa state: Abdulahi Sule
9. Niger state: Abubakar Bello
10. Plateau state: Simon Lalong
11. Zamfara state: Bello Matawalle
12. Kebbi state: Atiku Bagudu
13. Yobe state: Mai Mala Buni
14. Kogi State: Yaya Bello

At the Eagle Square in Abuja, 13 of them campaigned for and got Tinubu elected as the Presidential flagbearer of the APC.

Today, all these governors, including Yaya Bello of Kogi State are supporting Tinubu and there is no crack, in their ranks.

Not a single crack!

Can Atiku or Kwankwanso or Obi peel away any of these governors?

Can any of these opposition candidates win any of these states without the governor's support?

For emphasis I have also included the south-western states under APC control or in Tinubu’s electoral basket:

The South-Western APC state are:
1. Lagos: Sanwo-Olu
2. Ekiti: Abiodun Oyebanji
3. Ogun: Dapo Abiodun
4. Ondo: Rotimi Akeredolu
5. Osun
6. Oyo

Which of these states can Atiku or Kwankwanso or Obi win?

To complicate Atiku’s path to victory is the enthusiasm being generated mostly in some southern cities for Peter Obi's Candidacy.

In the south, the PDP is mostly dominant in the South South and South East.

Even 3 of the governors in these states are APC!

In 2015, the APC won mainly because all the opposition political parties merged and formed a formidable political platform whereas the ruling PDP was enmeshed in an intractable crisis and a political war of attrition with at least 5 sitting governors, the Senate President, Speaker of the House of Representatives, several senators and House of Representatives members including serving Ministers leaving the party.

The exact reverse scenario is playing out in 2023.

The APC is intact but the opposition is sinking deeper into opposition and is fragmented with Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwanso leaving the PDP.

The PDP G-5 governors have crossed the rubicon and will not be supporting Atiku’s candidacy in the presidential election.

They are expected to declare their support for either Tinubu or less likely Peter Obi in the coming days.

This will be fatal to Atiku’s chances and unlikely to shore up Peter Obi's chances in any significant manner.

Until we see a crack in the APC governor's support, Tinubu is sitting pretty well and the odds are clearly in his favour to win.

The opponents of the APC Candidate say the Buhari administration has not done well but this is vehemently contested by APC party stalwarts who insisted that Buhari is the best thing to happen to Nigeria.

Will this count during the 2023 Presidential election?

The answer so far is No using Ekiti Governor election as a barometer, even though it is a very small sample size.

Even the Osun election was won by PDP simply because Ogbeni Rauf Aregbesola and his faction of the APC are alleged to have worked against the candidate of the APC.

Those opposed to Tinubu, rather than hold him to a campaign of issues are wasting their time with his age, alleged ill-health, his Muslim choice as running mate etc. They even want the courts and INEC to disqualify Tinubu. None of these will work or even happen!

Indeed, Tinubu has so far campaigned more hungrily and more comprehensively than any of his challengers.

From the UK to Saudi Arabia, then Kano and Edo states and then back to Kano...all in 4 days! On monday, 9th January, he will be in Adamawa state with President Muhammadu Buhari leading the charge for votes in the state and other core northern states in quick succession putting a lie to the claim by the PDP that Buhari has vowed not to join the Asiwaju campaign train.

The supposedly fitter candidates are all lagging behind Asiwaju.

The only way to defeat Tinubu will be at the ballot by all the opposition candidates stepping down for only one of them but this will also never happen.

Tinubu is still in pole position for now and coasting to victory.

Atiku lacks the bite... majority of southerners are also unlikely to stomach a potential 16 years of a northerner presidency.

In a very commendable display of statesmanship, patriotism and to guarantee national cohesion stability, the political leaders of Northern Nigeria also desire to respect the North-South power rotation on which plank President Goodluck Jonathan was defeated in the North and then eventually nationally in 2015.

It is almost late in the day to upstage the entrenched political system in Nigeria and by the current political and electoral system and in a free and fair contest, Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu appears unstoppable and a Jagaban presidency looms large.

Written by Dr. Philip Ugbodaga,
Citizen of the Federal
Republic of Nigeria (CFRN)

*Many analysts predicted a united PDP and a divided APC*

Unfortunately for them, There's a united APC and a divided PDP

Deep insights.

AyeMoJuba:
The Odds Favors Tinubu To Win The 2023 Presidential Election

OP you have a point but that is what we want to change, voting candidates for reasons other than the good of Nigeria and all Nigerians.

Every thing you’ve said is about the same structure of criminality. If Tinubu wins, nothing will change, his children and cabal will loot the treasury and shettima will eventually take over. Government will be as usual, no fiscal discipline or intelligence, no plan and no direction.

Christianity will also be threatened in Nigeria, the effect will not be immediately but smarter Nigerians know what could happen.
Already some fanatics are calling it a jihad, they are more savvy than the olodo Christians shouting Asiwaju when even some Muslims have denounced the Muslim Muslim ticket.

Whether 30 or 50 governors support Tinubu, I, my relatives and my friends will vote Peter Obi. Even if he doesn’t win, I will not feel guilty the way I feel for supporting Buhari.

politician ieds the next prez of Nigeria

Ennoloa:
If you think people still vote by Party in this hardship
You are deluded

I voted Adeleke over Oyetola but that doesn't mean I would vote Atiku over PO


First-time voter here with my household

Your delusion is top notch. Nigerian politics isn’t what you are talking about. Nigerian politics is astutely about what am I going to get. It is about the so called structures you people are denying. Structures is vital. Leaders and Govs will move their sub leaders to deliver. For relevance, the leaders will do anything to deliver their units to wards and local governments then state governor will deliver the state. This is Nigeria where politicians will always want to remain relevant and be in government. Do you know the number of cards carrying members of APC nationwide?. These people depend on their unit leaders for school fees of their children, feeding occasionally, even to the payment of hospital bills. These leaders are the people they run to occasionally. Nigerian system hasn’t grown to a level where a poor man can survive on his own. Or depend on the government as it is in the USA and Canada.

If they betray their leaders and vote for Obi, which Labour Party( structureless party ) leaders are they going to run to after elections must have come and gone and yet their situations remain the same?

When they say structure it is not about mobilizing for campaigns or votings only. It is way beyond that and a pole long analysis.
The endsars generation rooting for Obi are unserious elements and follow me I follow you type of Imbeciles-not sorry to say.

There are so many factors that is favoring Tinubu right now that I can’t relay out.

I have said it long ago, anyone who knows Tinubu will know that he won the elections the day he won the primary election. He’s such a man who knows exactly what he wants and has done calculations and will keep building on the already established standards till the election is over. He won’t rest until the election is over.

Typicool8:


Lol you want to give residents urchins like ihordspy, , madridguy, ngeneukwenu, pandoraobi, seunmsg, tinubuadvocate, etc heart attack this early morning

one local government vote in borno will cancel all your madness

BATified2023:
one local government vote in borno will cancel all your madness

Don't worry las las you will jump inside Lagos lagoon when election results are announced by February

Typicool8:


Don't worry las las you will jump inside Lagos lagoon when election results are announced by February

isn’t it funny that u igbos with no backing n coordinated home is the one that is threatening everyone

AyeMoJuba:
The Odds Favors Tinubu To Win The 2023 Presidential Election

For those running around focusing on Tinubu’s age, certificates, alleged ill-health, bublubla and Muslim-Muslim ticket, that is an ineffective political tactic.

Here is Atiku’s challenge.

It is in the numbers!

The same applies to Peter Obi or Kwankwanso.

Below are 14 Northern states with APC governors.

Which one do you think Atiku's PDP, or Kwankwanso's NNPP or Peter Obi's Labour Party will win?

1. Borno state: Babagane Zulum
2. Gombe state: Inuwa Yahaya
3. Jigawa state: Badaru Mohammed
4. Kaduna state: Nasir El Rufai
5. Kano state: Umar Ganduje
6. Katsina state: Aminu Masari
7. Kwara state: Yahaya Bello
8. Nasarawa state: Abdulahi Sule
9. Niger state: Abubakar Bello
10. Plateau state: Simon Lalong
11. Zamfara state: Bello Matawalle
12. Kebbi state: Atiku Bagudu
13. Yobe state: Mai Mala Buni
14. Kogi State: Yaya Bello

At the Eagle Square in Abuja, 13 of them campaigned for and got Tinubu elected as the Presidential flagbearer of the APC.

Today, all these governors, including Yaya Bello of Kogi State are supporting Tinubu and there is no crack, in their ranks.

Not a single crack!

Can Atiku or Kwankwanso or Obi peel away any of these governors?

Can any of these opposition candidates win any of these states without the governor's support?

For emphasis I have also included the south-western states under APC control or in Tinubu’s electoral basket:

The South-Western APC state are:
1. Lagos: Sanwo-Olu
2. Ekiti: Abiodun Oyebanji
3. Ogun: Dapo Abiodun
4. Ondo: Rotimi Akeredolu
5. Osun
6. Oyo

Which of these states can Atiku or Kwankwanso or Obi win?

To complicate Atiku’s path to victory is the enthusiasm being generated mostly in some southern cities for Peter Obi's Candidacy.

In the south, the PDP is mostly dominant in the South South and South East.

Even 3 of the governors in these states are APC!

In 2015, the APC won mainly because all the opposition political parties merged and formed a formidable political platform whereas the ruling PDP was enmeshed in an intractable crisis and a political war of attrition with at least 5 sitting governors, the Senate President, Speaker of the House of Representatives, several senators and House of Representatives members including serving Ministers leaving the party.

The exact reverse scenario is playing out in 2023.

The APC is intact but the opposition is sinking deeper into opposition and is fragmented with Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwanso leaving the PDP.

The PDP G-5 governors have crossed the rubicon and will not be supporting Atiku’s candidacy in the presidential election.

They are expected to declare their support for either Tinubu or less likely Peter Obi in the coming days.

This will be fatal to Atiku’s chances and unlikely to shore up Peter Obi's chances in any significant manner.

Until we see a crack in the APC governor's support, Tinubu is sitting pretty well and the odds are clearly in his favour to win.

The opponents of the APC Candidate say the Buhari administration has not done well but this is vehemently contested by APC party stalwarts who insisted that Buhari is the best thing to happen to Nigeria.

Will this count during the 2023 Presidential election?

The answer so far is No using Ekiti Governor election as a barometer, even though it is a very small sample size.

Even the Osun election was won by PDP simply because Ogbeni Rauf Aregbesola and his faction of the APC are alleged to have worked against the candidate of the APC.

Those opposed to Tinubu, rather than hold him to a campaign of issues are wasting their time with his age, alleged ill-health, his Muslim choice as running mate etc. They even want the courts and INEC to disqualify Tinubu. None of these will work or even happen!

Indeed, Tinubu has so far campaigned more hungrily and more comprehensively than any of his challengers.

From the UK to Saudi Arabia, then Kano and Edo states and then back to Kano...all in 4 days! On monday, 9th January, he will be in Adamawa state with President Muhammadu Buhari leading the charge for votes in the state and other core northern states in quick succession putting a lie to the claim by the PDP that Buhari has vowed not to join the Asiwaju campaign train.

The supposedly fitter candidates are all lagging behind Asiwaju.

The only way to defeat Tinubu will be at the ballot by all the opposition candidates stepping down for only one of them but this will also never happen.

Tinubu is still in pole position for now and coasting to victory.

Atiku lacks the bite... majority of southerners are also unlikely to stomach a potential 16 years of a northerner presidency.

In a very commendable display of statesmanship, patriotism and to guarantee national cohesion stability, the political leaders of Northern Nigeria also desire to respect the North-South power rotation on which plank President Goodluck Jonathan was defeated in the North and then eventually nationally in 2015.

It is almost late in the day to upstage the entrenched political system in Nigeria and by the current political and electoral system and in a free and fair contest, Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu appears unstoppable and a Jagaban presidency looms large.

Written by Dr. Philip Ugbodaga,
Citizen of the Federal
Republic of Nigeria (CFRN)

*Many analysts predicted a united PDP and a divided APC*

Unfortunately for them, There's a united APC and a divided PDP

Trash!

Atiku will win NE.
Kwankwaso or Atiku will win NW.
Peter Obi will win SS, SE and NC.
Tinubu will win SW.

Yet you believe that Tinubu will win? How?

FYI, Tinubu will come 3rd or 4th.

BATified2023:
isn’t it funny that u igbos with no backing n coordinated home is the one that is threatening everyone

Senseless urchin!

So everyone who is against Tinubu automatically becomes Igbo?!

AyeMoJuba:
The Odds Favors Tinubu To Win The 2023 Presidential Election

For those running around focusing on Tinubu’s age, certificates, alleged ill-health, bublubla and Muslim-Muslim ticket, that is an ineffective political tactic.

Here is Atiku’s challenge.

It is in the numbers!

The same applies to Peter Obi or Kwankwanso.

Below are 14 Northern states with APC governors.

Which one do you think Atiku's PDP, or Kwankwanso's NNPP or Peter Obi's Labour Party will win?

1. Borno state: Babagane Zulum
2. Gombe state: Inuwa Yahaya
3. Jigawa state: Badaru Mohammed
4. Kaduna state: Nasir El Rufai
5. Kano state: Umar Ganduje
6. Katsina state: Aminu Masari
7. Kwara state: Yahaya Bello
8. Nasarawa state: Abdulahi Sule
9. Niger state: Abubakar Bello
10. Plateau state: Simon Lalong
11. Zamfara state: Bello Matawalle
12. Kebbi state: Atiku Bagudu
13. Yobe state: Mai Mala Buni
14. Kogi State: Yaya Bello

At the Eagle Square in Abuja, 13 of them campaigned for and got Tinubu elected as the Presidential flagbearer of the APC.

Today, all these governors, including Yaya Bello of Kogi State are supporting Tinubu and there is no crack, in their ranks.

Not a single crack!

Can Atiku or Kwankwanso or Obi peel away any of these governors?

Can any of these opposition candidates win any of these states without the governor's support?

For emphasis I have also included the south-western states under APC control or in Tinubu’s electoral basket:

The South-Western APC state are:
1. Lagos: Sanwo-Olu
2. Ekiti: Abiodun Oyebanji
3. Ogun: Dapo Abiodun
4. Ondo: Rotimi Akeredolu
5. Osun
6. Oyo

Which of these states can Atiku or Kwankwanso or Obi win?

To complicate Atiku’s path to victory is the enthusiasm being generated mostly in some southern cities for Peter Obi's Candidacy.

In the south, the PDP is mostly dominant in the South South and South East.

Even 3 of the governors in these states are APC!

In 2015, the APC won mainly because all the opposition political parties merged and formed a formidable political platform whereas the ruling PDP was enmeshed in an intractable crisis and a political war of attrition with at least 5 sitting governors, the Senate President, Speaker of the House of Representatives, several senators and House of Representatives members including serving Ministers leaving the party.

The exact reverse scenario is playing out in 2023.

The APC is intact but the opposition is sinking deeper into opposition and is fragmented with Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwanso leaving the PDP.

The PDP G-5 governors have crossed the rubicon and will not be supporting Atiku’s candidacy in the presidential election.

They are expected to declare their support for either Tinubu or less likely Peter Obi in the coming days.

This will be fatal to Atiku’s chances and unlikely to shore up Peter Obi's chances in any significant manner.

Until we see a crack in the APC governor's support, Tinubu is sitting pretty well and the odds are clearly in his favour to win.

The opponents of the APC Candidate say the Buhari administration has not done well but this is vehemently contested by APC party stalwarts who insisted that Buhari is the best thing to happen to Nigeria.

Will this count during the 2023 Presidential election?

The answer so far is No using Ekiti Governor election as a barometer, even though it is a very small sample size.

Even the Osun election was won by PDP simply because Ogbeni Rauf Aregbesola and his faction of the APC are alleged to have worked against the candidate of the APC.

Those opposed to Tinubu, rather than hold him to a campaign of issues are wasting their time with his age, alleged ill-health, his Muslim choice as running mate etc. They even want the courts and INEC to disqualify Tinubu. None of these will work or even happen!

Indeed, Tinubu has so far campaigned more hungrily and more comprehensively than any of his challengers.

From the UK to Saudi Arabia, then Kano and Edo states and then back to Kano...all in 4 days! On monday, 9th January, he will be in Adamawa state with President Muhammadu Buhari leading the charge for votes in the state and other core northern states in quick succession putting a lie to the claim by the PDP that Buhari has vowed not to join the Asiwaju campaign train.

The supposedly fitter candidates are all lagging behind Asiwaju.

The only way to defeat Tinubu will be at the ballot by all the opposition candidates stepping down for only one of them but this will also never happen.

Tinubu is still in pole position for now and coasting to victory.

Atiku lacks the bite... majority of southerners are also unlikely to stomach a potential 16 years of a northerner presidency.

In a very commendable display of statesmanship, patriotism and to guarantee national cohesion stability, the political leaders of Northern Nigeria also desire to respect the North-South power rotation on which plank President Goodluck Jonathan was defeated in the North and then eventually nationally in 2015.

It is almost late in the day to upstage the entrenched political system in Nigeria and by the current political and electoral system and in a free and fair contest, Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu appears unstoppable and a Jagaban presidency looms large.

Written by Dr. Philip Ugbodaga,
Citizen of the Federal
Republic of Nigeria (CFRN)

*Many analysts predicted a united PDP and a divided APC*

Unfortunately for them, There's a united APC and a divided PDP

You have expressed common sense but that isn't very common these days.

The fact is that if APC remain united they will win the presidential election.

Some naive campaigners will say people are not going to vote party but that is lack of political education. People will vote party because only parties are voted in Nigeria.....identifying party logo or being able to read the party acroymn is key to casting a valid vote. Not every vote will be valid.

The national assembly elections happening on thesame day as presidential election means that local politicians will have no choice but to campaign for their own party. Telling voters to vote PDP for president and APC for senate is recepie for disaster. The AD/PDP alliance in the Southwest in 2003 settled this.

BATified2023:
isn’t it funny that u igbos with no backing n coordinated home is the one that is threatening everyone

So anyone not supporting your old and incoherent drug baron is automatically an Igbo.. shows your level of thinking is below that of a chicken

SAMJAY7:
Chinedu

The millions of Almajaris who make up the single largest voting block in Africa and the world at large are not on social media. They do not know if Obi exist. The millions of Almajiris, fulanis and aboki will rather vote a stone than to vote Nyamuri

The same 14 northern aboki governors insisted that the presidency must come down to south through JAGABAN the city Boy and SHETTIMA the Golden boy

I laughed in Kiswahili
Obi miscreants will be shocked

[sup][/sup]

PrinceOfLagos:

Allow them to continue to fool themselves

There rented crowds in Kano will disappoint them on election just like it happened in Osun state

I thank President Muhammadu Buhari for the BVAs and electronic transmission of results thag will be used in this election in February. We Nigerians will do the rest with our PVC for our preferred candidate Mr Peter Obi.