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Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / Obi's Kano Rally: Realistically, I Think Obi Will Be 4th In Kano (2458 Views)
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Obi's Kano Rally: Realistically, I Think Obi Will Be 4th In Kano by FatherOfJesus: 9:34am On Jan 23, 2023 |
Obi's path to presidency should not include Kano at all for obvious reasons. Irrespective of the turnout in the rally, Obi will still be 4th in Kano. Kwankwaso will win the state, while Atiku will be 2nd, with Tinubu as 3rd. I do not even think Obi can get 25% in Kano. However, Kano for us, should be a place to get more figures and not a place to get 25%. If Obi can do well and get 10-15% in kano, he would have done so well. That's enough for me. Kano is not in the equation, it's a mission impossible. Not jusy kano, all NW states. Obi should just fight for 10% in NW, that will be good enough to win the election. Getting 10% in Northwest, guarantees him about 1m votes in that region which is not bad in a region where you are not accepted. Knowing fully well that others will be splitted almost evenly between kwankwaso, Tinubu and Atiku. Obi can then finish the job in SS,, NC and SE and then become 2nd in SW. 8 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Obi's Kano Rally: Realistically, I Think Obi Will Be 4th In Kano by naijapikin2(m): 9:36am On Jan 23, 2023 |
Maybe 4th in kano. But 1st in nigeria. By God's grace 44 Likes 5 Shares |
Re: Obi's Kano Rally: Realistically, I Think Obi Will Be 4th In Kano by Opinedecandid(m): 9:36am On Jan 23, 2023 |
You are being honest 15 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Obi's Kano Rally: Realistically, I Think Obi Will Be 4th In Kano by BigSarah(f): 9:36am On Jan 23, 2023 |
Ok |
Re: Obi's Kano Rally: Realistically, I Think Obi Will Be 4th In Kano by FatherOfJesus: 9:39am On Jan 23, 2023 |
BigSarah:I am obedient and a very realistic person. Obi cannot get majority votes in Kano. See, the best Obi can do in kano is 10%. I'm being realistic, 10% in Kano is not bad at all considering that he will get majority votes in SS and SE and probably NC and become 2nd in SW. Obi will get more votes on SW than NW 10% in NW will win him thr election or push him to the rerun. 13 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Obi's Kano Rally: Realistically, I Think Obi Will Be 4th In Kano by BigSarah(f): 9:42am On Jan 23, 2023 |
Ok |
Re: Obi's Kano Rally: Realistically, I Think Obi Will Be 4th In Kano by Ezeama400: 9:43am On Jan 23, 2023 |
FatherOfJesus: I was even expecting Obi to be stonned in the north if he steps feet because urchings created a lot of terrible impression about him, they created east north hatred, infact they even said that Obi's billboards were not in the north when he deputized Atiku, that even northerners refused to Vote for Atiku because of Obi.. Urchings are very senseless mamals 41 Likes 6 Shares |
Re: Obi's Kano Rally: Realistically, I Think Obi Will Be 4th In Kano by ambale(m): 9:52am On Jan 23, 2023 |
Considering the hardship in the country, I really want to see how APC would scale through this election, cos the tin don touch everyone patapata Big men sef don dey fight over fuel for station now 4 Likes |
Re: Obi's Kano Rally: Realistically, I Think Obi Will Be 4th In Kano by Anambra1stSon(m): 9:53am On Jan 23, 2023 |
FatherOfJesus:Obi might win in Kaduna State, the turnout in Northern Kaduna is very impressive, Southern Kaduna is fully Obidient, Obi will be visiting Zaria incoming days for special invitation, he will do well in other Northwest states FLASH It is my honor to also inform you once again that the incoming President Peter Obi will be going back to Kaduna incoming days on the invite of residents of Zaria and Emirs of ZauZau. He will also be having a special time with traders in Kano as well. They are all demanding a new Nigeria different from what rogues are offering. 16 Likes |
Re: Obi's Kano Rally: Realistically, I Think Obi Will Be 4th In Kano by dat9jaguy(m): 9:56am On Jan 23, 2023 |
FatherOfJesus: Nigerian elections are not won by majority votes alone but by having 25% votes in at least 24 states. Remove NW states from 37 states, how many are remaining? In the remaining regions can he get 25% in all the states? Consider these things first. 2 Likes
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Re: Obi's Kano Rally: Realistically, I Think Obi Will Be 4th In Kano by Kyase(m): 9:58am On Jan 23, 2023 |
Ezeama400: The Hausa's/Fulanis are not barbaric like iPob and their gangs that stone people when they come for campaign, they will welcome you as visitor but will vote differently on election day 5 Likes |
Re: Obi's Kano Rally: Realistically, I Think Obi Will Be 4th In Kano by bender79: 10:01am On Jan 23, 2023 |
We know he cannot win Kano but let us try and scrape anything. If we get 25% that will be huge. 1 Like 1 Share |
Re: Obi's Kano Rally: Realistically, I Think Obi Will Be 4th In Kano by Ezeama400: 10:01am On Jan 23, 2023 |
Kyase: This one don switch to another narrative How come they stonned Tinubu? You want to forcefully put words in my mouth 9 Likes 2 Shares |
Re: Obi's Kano Rally: Realistically, I Think Obi Will Be 4th In Kano by AdaojoTheUrchin: 10:19am On Jan 23, 2023 |
Kyase: But you claimed Atiku lost 2019 elections because he choose Obi as VP. Why Una wey be urchins dey change mouth now? The thing shock Una abi? #GuguwarObi2023. 5 Likes 2 Shares |
Re: Obi's Kano Rally: Realistically, I Think Obi Will Be 4th In Kano by Vischy: 10:28am On Jan 23, 2023 |
Kyase: But you claimed Peter Obi is not known in the north, what changed?? 2 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Obi's Kano Rally: Realistically, I Think Obi Will Be 4th In Kano by Nobody: 10:30am On Jan 23, 2023 |
FatherOfJesus: Nothing is impossible. That is the mindset Obi presidency will give to Nigeria. Grace is available to all irrespective of who and what has written you off 4 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Obi's Kano Rally: Realistically, I Think Obi Will Be 4th In Kano by FatherOfJesus: 10:31am On Jan 23, 2023 |
dat9jaguy:i know about the 25% acceptance. And yes, he can. He will get 25% in Kaduna, Taraba, Nasarawa, plateau, Abuja, Kogi, benue, Niger. |
Re: Obi's Kano Rally: Realistically, I Think Obi Will Be 4th In Kano by FatherOfJesus: 10:31am On Jan 23, 2023 |
Thanksful:nope, I don't see Obi getting 25% in Kano. I would not place a bet on that 1 Like |
Re: Obi's Kano Rally: Realistically, I Think Obi Will Be 4th In Kano by Nobody: 10:34am On Jan 23, 2023 |
FatherOfJesus: Forget what you see. Just believe |
Re: Obi's Kano Rally: Realistically, I Think Obi Will Be 4th In Kano by Urchinpainer: 10:36am On Jan 23, 2023 |
FatherOfJesus:No Obidient expects Obi to win Kano. What the outing had shown is that he will poll more votes than the leading opposition parties thought. Coming 4th with a 10% share of a state that is already highly share is a big achievement! 2 Likes |
Re: Obi's Kano Rally: Realistically, I Think Obi Will Be 4th In Kano by FatherOfJesus: 10:37am On Jan 23, 2023 |
Thanksful:I don't work with belief, I'm an empiricist. Obi cannot empirically get 25% in kano. Let's plan with that reality, just 10% in kano and other states in NW is okay to win the election. 2 Likes |
Re: Obi's Kano Rally: Realistically, I Think Obi Will Be 4th In Kano by FatherOfJesus: 10:39am On Jan 23, 2023 |
Urchinpainer:exactly, now you see what I am talking about. 1 Like |
Re: Obi's Kano Rally: Realistically, I Think Obi Will Be 4th In Kano by Nobody: 10:40am On Jan 23, 2023 |
FatherOfJesus: Anything is something once is boils down to a win. |
Re: Obi's Kano Rally: Realistically, I Think Obi Will Be 4th In Kano by Kyase(m): 10:43am On Jan 23, 2023 |
Vischy: Na still Igbo people go that rally Oga and some few Christians Nothing has changed |
Re: Obi's Kano Rally: Realistically, I Think Obi Will Be 4th In Kano by TheChameleon: 10:48am On Jan 23, 2023 |
Kano is OBIDENT. Obi will get 95% votes ... count on it. |
Re: Obi's Kano Rally: Realistically, I Think Obi Will Be 4th In Kano by garfield1: 10:49am On Jan 23, 2023 |
FatherOfJesus: Tinubu will finish 2nd in kano |
Re: Obi's Kano Rally: Realistically, I Think Obi Will Be 4th In Kano by Svoboda(m): 10:58am On Jan 23, 2023 |
post=120305509: Obi cant win jack in kd or any nw states. Confine your grandeur to ss and se. He cant win any state in the nc. Lower your expectations. Southern kd has always been pro pdp but pdp has lost kd since 2015. |
Re: Obi's Kano Rally: Realistically, I Think Obi Will Be 4th In Kano by FatherOfJesus: 10:59am On Jan 23, 2023 |
post=120305509:if you ask me if Obi will get 25% in Kaduna, I will say yes, but I do not think Obi can win Kaduna. |
Re: Obi's Kano Rally: Realistically, I Think Obi Will Be 4th In Kano by FatherOfJesus: 11:00am On Jan 23, 2023 |
Svoboda:If you say Obi cannot win Kaduna, I will agree but I would bet that he will win get 25% there. I will also bet that Obi will win Benue, plateau, Abuja and maybe (not sure) Nasarawa state. I can also bet that Obi will get 25% in Taraba 2 Likes |
Re: Obi's Kano Rally: Realistically, I Think Obi Will Be 4th In Kano by BluntTheApostle(m): 11:10am On Jan 23, 2023 |
FatherOfJesus: In what states can Obi get 25%? Can he get 25% of votes in 24 states? 6 South South states, 5 south east states, 6 north central states = 17 states. That is provided he gets 25% in all the North Central states. In southwest, supposing he gets 25% in all the five States, that is 22 states. He would still need 3 more states to win, irrespective of his total votes. Every region is thus very important, and should not be overlooked. |
Re: Obi's Kano Rally: Realistically, I Think Obi Will Be 4th In Kano by blowjohn(m): 11:11am On Jan 23, 2023 |
FatherOfJesus: South East done come out much to vote. And with the insecurity there e go drop low |
Re: Obi's Kano Rally: Realistically, I Think Obi Will Be 4th In Kano by dat9jaguy(m): 11:12am On Jan 23, 2023 |
FatherOfJesus: OK, so the only remaining is to wait and see how it plays out.
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