MrEverest:


If this is what you guys are praying for then Tinubu has lost woefully. If Atiku wins NW, he is definitely going to win NE too. He will equally get votes from SW. He will get more votes in SS
and SE than Tinubu.

Are you guys too blind to see that Atiku is the only challenger Obi has now!!!

Peter Obi is no doubt going to succeed Buhari.

PDP will win the north west and north east but they won't do well in SW,SE ans SS. They won't have the required 25% in 24 states. Only Obi can still pull that feat.

fortunateme:
What a bias analysis. PDP will win Katsina and zamfara and share Kaduna with LP 30: 30 APC NNPP 20 10.
Kaduna state is our only hope in North West but notwithstanding, obi to the world.

On what basis will pdp win zamfara

AmehTsaev:
Even your analysis doesn't look too good for APC, I don't see any bloc votes figures for APC here...I appreciate your honesty though

How? Apc doesnt need bloc votes from the north

garfield1:
Sokoto
Apc 35%
Pdp 40%
Nnpp 23%
Lp 2%

Kebbi
Apc 40%
Pdp 35%
Nnpp 20%
Lp 5%

Zamfara
Apc 65%
Pdp 20%
Nnpp 15%

Katsina
Apc 33%
Pdp 33%
Nnpp 33%
Lp 1%

Jigawa
Apc 35%
Pdp 30%
Nnpp 30%
Lp 5%

Kaduna
Apc 40%
Lp 30%
Pdp 18%
Nnpp 12%

Kano
Apc 32%
Pdp 20%
Nnpp 43%
Lp 5%


Mynd44
Lalasticlala
Nplfmod
Seun
Seunmsg
Kyase
Quotasystem
Itstutsi
Kahal
Legendhero

I can't still see APC winning Kaduna sha
Still very open

Kyase:


I can't still see APC winning Kaduna sha
Still very open

Why?

garfield1:
Sokoto
Apc 35%
Pdp 40%
Nnpp 23%
Lp 2%

Kebbi
Apc 40%
Pdp 35%
Nnpp 20%
Lp 5%

Zamfara
Apc 65%
Pdp 20%
Nnpp 15%

Katsina
Apc 33%
Pdp 33%
Nnpp 33%
Lp 1%

Jigawa
Apc 35%
Pdp 30%
Nnpp 30%
Lp 5%

Kaduna
Apc 40%
Lp 30%
Pdp 18%
Nnpp 12%

Kano
Apc 32%
Pdp 20%
Nnpp 43%
Lp 5%


Mynd44
Lalasticlala
Nplfmod
Seun
Seunmsg
Kyase
Quotasystem
Itstutsi
Kahal
Legendhero

You guys are always operating this NNPP

fortunateme:
What a bias analysis. PDP will win Katsina and zamfara and share Kaduna with LP 30: 30 APC NNPP 20 10.
Kaduna state is our only hope in North West but notwithstanding, obi to the world.

Hahahahaha
This is laughable. Keep consoling yourself.

Obi will not win a single state but will be a spoiler for Atiku.

Tinubu is the next president

MrEverest:


If this is what you guys are praying for then Tinubu has lost woefully. If Atiku wins NW, he is definitely going to win NE too. He will equally get votes from SW. He will get more votes in SS
and SE than Tinubu.

Are you guys too blind to see that Atiku is the only challenger Obi has now!!!

Peter Obi is no doubt going to succeed Buhari.

Obi can't win any state in NW,NE, struggle to win 1 state in NC (most likely Benue), won't win any state in SW, depending on South East that won't give him 4 million votes, he can't win half of SA but u are deIuded he will win.

garfield1:


Why?

RMK will steal apc votes in kano, Kaduna and jigawa
Not much sha but ......

Obi won't do well outside chikun LGA
Atiku will sweap southern Kaduna

MrEverest:


Lol, so you can't see that Tinubu has failed even with that?

If that's all he can get from NW, without winning SW convincingly and near zero presence in SE and SS, how the hell is he going to win?

consentrate on yours or are you just here to say Nill Sayers without having hope of yours?

Kyase:


I can't still see APC winning Kaduna sha
Still very open

Who will,
LP? I agree that apc will win. Lp will hurt pdp. Nnpp isnt that formidable. Hunkuyi was once accused of working for apc by nnpp.

Kyase:


I can't still see APC winning Kaduna sha
Still very open

Kaduna is giving problems this election.

fergie001:
Kaduna is giving problems this election.

Big one

Svoboda:


Who will,
LP? I agree that apc will win. Lp will hurt pdp. Nnpp isnt that formidable. Hunkuyi was once accused of working for apc by nnpp.

I hope so
But to me, Kaduna is open between Atiku and Tinubu

Kyase:
Big one

I called my friend who lectures in ABU and he is more confused on the pendulum. Katsina & Jigawa are other funny States as well.

PDP's traction is that they chose stronger Guber Candidates this term and naturally people are upset with the Party (APC) itself not even their Candidates per se.

By this time tomorrow, things don dey happen.

APC will have more votes than PDP in Jigawa

fergie001:
I called my friend who lectures in ABU and he is more confused on the pendulum.

Katsina & Jigawa are other funny States as well.

Especially jigawa
I expect PDP to win there or 50/50

Katsina? With Buhari body language and the recent Hausa broadcast he did the other day, APC may win there
But just like I said
RMK will get APC votes in those areas and no where else
Same as obi eating PDP votes in SE and SS

As for Kaduna, if APC wins then el Rufia did a magic

From the stable of garfield beer parlour and nkwobi joint

Kyase:


RMK will steal apc votes in kano, Kaduna and jigawa
Not much sha but ......

Obi won't do well outside chikun LGA
Atiku will sweap southern Kaduna

On the contrary,I think southern kad will divide.zangon kataf usually vote Like chikun,they will give obi bloc.apc will take kaduna central and share kad north with nnpp

Atiku will win by land slide.....Yoruba people wan vote tinubu....Igbo go vote obi so na Hausa Fulani no go vote there own in mass abi.....

garfield1:


On the contrary,I think southern kad will divide.zangon kataf usually vote Like chikun,they will give obi bloc.apc will take kaduna central and share kad north with nnpp

And PDP?

You still are under rating Atiku
I just dey laugh

I hope tinubu is not under rating him either

Kyase:


I hope so
But to me, Kaduna is open between Atiku and Tinubu

Yes, its between tinubu and atiku. Notice there havent been big name defections from apc to pdp in kd in a while.

Svoboda:


Yes, its between tinubu and atiku. Notice there havent been big name defections from apc to pdp in kd in a while.

Yeah
There is not major defection from APC, unlike 2019

garfield1:
Sokoto
Apc 35%
Pdp 40%
Nnpp 23%
Lp 2%

Kebbi
Apc 40%
Pdp 35%
Nnpp 20%
Lp 5%

Zamfara
Apc 65%
Pdp 20%
Nnpp 15%

Katsina
Apc 33%
Pdp 33%
Nnpp 33%
Lp 1%

Jigawa
Apc 35%
Pdp 30%
Nnpp 30%
Lp 5%

Kaduna
Apc 40%
Lp 30%
Pdp 18%
Nnpp 12%

Kano
Apc 32%
Pdp 20%
Nnpp 43%
Lp 5%


Mynd44
Lalasticlala
Nplfmod
Seun
Seunmsg
Kyase
Quotasystem
Itstutsi
Kahal
Legendhero

Hours away so just relax. You'd be shocked

Kyase:


Yeah
There is not major defection from APC, unlike 2019

That should tell us something. When Tinubu wins, he has to pen a letter of appreciatoon to obi.

Kyase:


And PDP?

You still are under rating Atiku
I just dey laugh

I hope tinubu is not under rating him either

I am not underrating,I fear him.the core north is 50 50.am scared.I dey collation centre and from feelers I am getting,ayade will deliver

Svoboda:


Yes, its between tinubu and atiku. Notice there havent been big name defections from apc to pdp in kd in a while.

True.most defections are in katsina,jigawa,bauchi,Adamawa,sokoto so I'll give those states to atiku narrowly.unlike 2015 and 2019,no governor has defected

garfield1:


I am not underrating,I fear him.the core north is 50 50.am scared.I dey collation centre and from feelers I am getting,ayade will deliver

Let him

As I said
Tinubu should work on his region
The north will try for him, 35% should be enough
He should get 70% from his house to win this

Svoboda:


That should tell us something. When Tinubu wins, he has to pen a letter of appreciatoon to obi.

Factos

xpiranza88:
Atiku will win by land slide.....Yoruba people wan vote tinubu....Igbo go vote obi so na Hausa Fulani no go vote there own in mass abi.....

Atiku is not Hausa nor a full fulani

Kyase:


Let him

As I said
Tinubu should work on his region
The north will try for him, 35% should be enough
He should get 70% from his house to win this

I'll prefer they give him 40% but with 35%,he will need just 60% in sw,win nc and get some votes in se ss

garfield1:


I'll prefer they give him 40% but with 35%,he will need just 60% in sw,win nc and get some votes in se ss

if he gets 40% then 60%/ his appointments should come from them

South west will make or mar his chances

40% against two of northern sons

That's too generous abeg