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How The Presidential Election Tribunal May Rule:tentative Analysis - Politics - Nairaland

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How The Presidential Election Tribunal May Rule:tentative Analysis by garfield1: 3:02pm On Jul 01, 2023
Notwithstanding the headline,this is surely how the court will rule.this is based on what the petitioners tendered in court.ill write the final analysis once the defence close their case.just as the court combined or consolidated atiku and obi petitions,I'll attempt to do so.the petition is hinged on five grounds namely;
1) that obi and atiku won the elections and that their votes were suppressed.

2) that there was massive violation of inec guidelines necessitating in irregularities which calls for outright cancellations and a rerun.

3) that tinubu should be disqualified based on a conviction or punishment by u.s court

4) that shettima is guilty of double nomination

5) that 25% requirement in FCT is mandatory
6) that tinubu is not qualified by being a citizen of guinea and he is also guilty of perjury and inconsistencies in his educational qualifications

Ground one: Peter obi has not proven that he won the election and has not brought any proof to that effect.all his evidences points to the fact that tinubu won and that there was irregularities.even the mathematician prof ofoedu's analysis showed the only difference in the overall results was in benue,rivers and 18,000 units that were blurred.no evidence points to peter winning.it is safe to say that obi has abandoned this prayer and wants fresh polls.
For atiku,most of his evidences points to irregularities.a watery report akin to the 2019 server debacle focusing on 26 states tendered by Sam oduntan showed he won but did not give details as to how and was based only on irev data.atiku is focusing on disqualifying tinubu and declaring himself winner or a rerun.

Ground 2:it is settled law that one will not only prove irregularities but do so substantially and show how it affected the overall results.lp lawyers claim inec promised electronic transmission but has failed to prove that inec failed to transmit electronically.the only called one witness to that effect who claimed that elections was free abd fair.atiku called five adhoc staffs who also testified to that effect.this unfortunately only affects the polling units they worked as evidence in election cases are restricted to each units.inec can easily call 10 staffs who will testify that results were sucessfully transmitted.in any case,the electoral act plus a fhc judgment gives inec the leeway to transmit anyhow.inotger words,both manual and electronic transmission are allowed.those witnesses that said they couldn't transmit didn't blame inec but the bvas and eventually sent the results to the collation units.the purpose of electronic transmission by virtue of section 60-65 of the EA2022 is to aid collation.no collation officer was called to testify.again,the law says the collation officer will compare the hardcopy with the transmitted results.the transmitted result that was uploaded is still on the bvas in image form so the collation staff can easily look at the bvas image and form ec8a.
Lp also called an amazon staff to show that there was no glitch.apart from the fact that she is partisan and on her own frolic without AWS permit,she confirmed that they could be localized glitch within inec.even if there was a glitch,it does not prove anything.the adeleke vs oyetola supra case placed reliance on physical evidence and tagged online evidences as thirdhand and unreliable.
The only somewhat concrete evidence of irregularities obi provided was from 18000 units of blurred results which was based only on irev which are secondary results.lp lawyers should have verified with primary hardcopies.if they could he a victory,it will be here as 9 mil voters are domiciled here and 2.5 mil voters came out during the last polls.in another rerun,fewer will come out.outside this,no substantial infraction has been proven.notjing compelling has been tendered.see okereke vs umahi 2015 supra.obi petition is full of mere allegations and averments and these are not evidence.see uzodinma vs pdp supra 2020.most of the evidences tendered were not pleaded.see the above case laws...
To further destroy obi's case,the apex court has severally stated that guidelines cannot be a ground for election petition.see wike vs dakuku, okereke vs supra,pdp vs yari...

Ground four: no arguments has been canvassed on the fct matter so it can be seemed abandoned.but if not,a community reading of section 28,section 42 and 299 of the constitution has placed fct as a state.the body language,orbiter dictum,innuendoes of the court has shown where they will stand.again,the principle of legal ambiguity presupposes that where an ambiguity in law exists,the jurists will choose the most sensible, meaningful option for the lawmakers are not confusuonists or intent to create chaos.
In reality,fct is less than a state and cannot all of a sudden be elevated above a state without bringing equality first.moreover,other similar democracies do not practice such absurd voting system...

Ground three: section 182 d and e clearly says within a period of 10 years,he has been imprisoned or convicted by any court in nigeria.tinubu forfeiture wasn't a conviction and even if,10 years has elapsed and the judgment wasn't registered in Nigeria

Ground four; the shettima issue has been buried by the supreme court.they clearly stated that it was a pre election matter and internal to a party and that it can only extend beyond if he was nominated by 2 parties.sectiin 84 of the electoral act clearly makes nomination a pre election matter and only aspirants have locus standi.double nomination is not a constitutional matter and only constitutional matters pertaining to qualifications can be raised at a tribunal.again,the apex court found out that shettima was never guilty of double nomination and lp has no new evidence necessitating a review.

6) concerning perjury,the inec form has two questions on nationality.whether one has ever changed nationality? This is a no for tinubu.secondly,whether tinubu has ever voluntarily acquired citizenship elsewhere.this is a no because he never sought for guinean citizenship,he was only conferred and given a diplomatic passport to that effect.
On the so-called evidences supplies by atiku witness,the witness a lawyer rubbished most of them.the Female gender was recorded in his transcript and he never submitted transcript to inec as it's not a constitutional requirement.adekunle has been in his name and the apex court has severally ruled on name variations.the age differences is of no effect as the apex court noted that as far as a candidate is up to 40 years,he is good to go.see AGI vs ayade supra..



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Re: How The Presidential Election Tribunal May Rule:tentative Analysis by Millimann: 3:12pm On Jul 01, 2023
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adekolaelect:
And your comprehensive =0

See this olodo that came to correct someone grin grin
You don't know the difference between 'comprehensive' and 'comprehension'

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Re: How The Presidential Election Tribunal May Rule:tentative Analysis by JasonScoolari: 3:15pm On Jul 01, 2023
Copy and paste from Agbado WhatsApp group.


Shekpé, burukutu, and kparàja inspired Analysis.

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Re: How The Presidential Election Tribunal May Rule:tentative Analysis by helinues: 3:16pm On Jul 01, 2023
Toh
Re: How The Presidential Election Tribunal May Rule:tentative Analysis by danijesus(m): 3:17pm On Jul 01, 2023
E go shock you

10 Likes 1 Share

Re: How The Presidential Election Tribunal May Rule:tentative Analysis by Tinubucocainesn: 3:18pm On Jul 01, 2023
helinues:
Toh

See if to say you get work you for normal my guy

21 Likes 1 Share

Re: How The Presidential Election Tribunal May Rule:tentative Analysis by helinues: 3:19pm On Jul 01, 2023
Tinubucocainesn:


See if to say you get work you for normal my guy

Would you receive free senses we have been begging you to take for years on this forum today Satuday?

Why the obsession, why the years of trolling?

Cant you do something meaningful with your life, with your time?

If you can't respond like normal NL, ignore without responding in a robotic way

2 Likes

Re: How The Presidential Election Tribunal May Rule:tentative Analysis by Tinubucocainesn: 3:21pm On Jul 01, 2023
helinues:


Would you receive free senses we have been begging you to take for years on this forum today Satuday?

Why the obsession, why the years of trolling?

Cant you do something meaningful with your life, with your time?

If you can't respond like normal NL, ignore without responding in a robotic way

At 47 you are dirty jobless and frustrated.

Let me help you helinues

19 Likes 3 Shares

Re: How The Presidential Election Tribunal May Rule:tentative Analysis by Bigkoko: 3:37pm On Jul 01, 2023
A CLOSE ANALYSIS OF THE TRIBUNAL OUTCOME

Clearly some Batists and even LP supporters do not understand what just played out over the last month in court.

To break it down so many will begin to get it clearer.

These are PO and Atiku's prayers

Note that All the prayers will be DETERMINED in the FINAL JUDGMENT.

Now let's look at the brief Summary of prayers pleaded in court:

1. Eligibility
That It be determined that:

A. At the time of the Presidential Elections, the 2nd & 3rd Respondents (Tinubu & Shettima) were unqualified to contest

➡️ What was tendered in court.

▪️BAT has multiple nationalities (The Guinean President was invited today 1st july,2023.....see how important this is?). Atiku's witness presented his Guinean passport - Fact
Derisively BATs lawyer contended it had expired. But the truth is that Nationality does not expire with passports, period.

▪️ BAT committed perjury by submitting a Chicago University degree that was shown to be forged - Fact
The Tinubu Bola A. Who was admitted to CSU for a degree was shown to be a woman and American citizen - Notarized document shows the Tinubu Bola A. is a woman and American citizen. The Americans are meticulous. A lot of folks back then use people identity to obtain admission, jobs, etc. Seem like the drug mule did likewise.
Let the courts decide

▪️Shettima was shown to have been nominated as VP, 4 days before he withdrew from the senate nomination.

Most people who are unaware point to the Supreme Court Judgment in May 2023 that merely threw out the case on a technicality
However it's important we clarify that the technicality was that PDP challenged Shetima's double nomination as a pre-election matter whereas the matter can only be done by a fellow APC candidate. The true position of the law is that both PO and Atiku can only challenge it as a post election matter.; and at the PEPT.

Now that PO has just done that, let the PEPT tribunal decide this incontrovertible fact.

B. All the votes recorded to Tinubu were wasted due to qualification/disqualification of Tinubu and Shettima
- See above

AB. On the basis of the remaining votes after discountenancing Tinubu and Shettima, it is clear that Obi scored majority of the lawful votes cast in 2/3rd of the States and the FCT, therefor met the requirements to be declared winner.

This proof was submitted in the documents and evidence filed before the PEPT. That was why INEC and APC fought their own CTC documents

The LP lawyers submitted their written arguments and are not required to plead it in court. That's why you never heard much about it. They only submitted INEC CTC of the forms EC8A, EC8B, EC8C, and EC8D to butTress their assertions. Even if the Justices like to help Prof Yaks president select, they'd be totally debased, inhuman and unmitigatedly unashamed to validate this fraud of a thing.

▪️In addition, PO challenged the results of 32 states, including Abuja, where his votes were under counted.
Once these votes are fully allocated to him, and votes removed from BAT, it will become apparent he won the popular vote and met the spread requirements

▪️2) 25% in Abuja
That it be determined that Tinubu failed to score 25% in the FCT and hence ought not to have been declared winner.
▪️ Supreme Court in 2007 held that 25% of Abuja is a sine qua none. Thus, BAT and Atiku can not be declared as winners. I heard the totally unschooled INEC staff have increased it to 23%. Don't rope your self with a stone heading straight down to disgrace of monumental proportions.

▪️3) In Alternate, a Fresh Election
Order the cancellation of the elections and order INEC to conduct a fresh one that Tinubu & Shettima shall not participate in

▪️ This will only happen if BAT is disqualified and PO can not be declared absolute winner due to PO not meeting the spread (25% in 2/3 states).

Atiku can not be declared winner since he didn't get 25% in Abuja

▪️4) Alternatively , they get elected by the majority of lawful votes cast

That it be determined that

🟩 A) That Tinubu was not duly elected by a majority. Therefore, his declaration as winner is unlawful, unconstitutional, and of no effect

🟪 B) Based on the valid votes cast, Obi scored the highest number of votes in 2/3rd of the States and the FCT and ought to be declared winner

🟦C) An order directing INEC to issue Certificate of Return to Obi as duly elected President be issued.

In Further Alternative to 1-4 Above:

🟥 5) Void

▪️A) That the Presidential elections conducted on Feb 25th, 2023 is void on the grounds that it was not conducted in accordance to the Electoral Act 2022 and the Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria 1999 as amended

- This was shown by INECs shenanigans. By INEC Prof Okoye open confessions that all other results were uploaded real time except the that of the presidential election because of some "GLITCHES"...lol

▪️B) Order the cancellation of the Presidential Elections and order INEC to conduct fresh presidential elections.

Only comes in if PO can not be declared absolute winner. Only LP and PDP will contest this

I hope this brings all those who are unaware up to speed of what happened at the PEPT.

Regards.

My name na Bigkoko Group Inc.....we dey go place wey hard for others!

garfield1:
Notwithstanding the headline,this is surely how the court will rule.this is based on what the petitioners tendered in court.ill write the final analysis once the defence close their case.just as the court combined or consolidated atiku and obi petitions,I'll attempt to do so.the petition is hinged on five grounds namely;
1) that obi and atiku won the elections and that their votes were suppressed.

2) that there was massive violation of inec guidelines necessitating in irregularities which calls for outright cancellations and a rerun.

3) that tinubu should be disqualified based on a conviction or punishment by u.s court

4) that shettima is guilty of double nomination

5) that 25% requirement in FCT is mandatory
6) that tinubu is not qualified by being a citizen of guinea and he is also guilty of perjury and inconsistencies in his educational qualifications

Ground one: Peter obi has not proven that he won the election and has not brought any proof to that effect.all his evidences points to the fact that tinubu won and that there was irregularities.even the mathematician prof ofoedu's analysis showed the only difference in the overall results was in benue,rivers and 18,000 units that were blurred.no evidence points to peter winning.it is safe to say that obi has abandoned this prayer and wants fresh polls.
For atiku,most of his evidences points to irregularities.a watery report akin to the 2019 server debacle focusing on 26 states tendered by Sam oduntan showed he won but did not give details as to how and was based only on irev data.atiku is focusing on disqualifying tinubu and declaring himself winner or a rerun.

Ground 2:it is settled law that one will not only prove irregularities but do so substantially and show how it affected the overall results.lp lawyers claim inec promised electronic transmission but has failed to prove that inec failed to transmit electronically.the only called one witness to that effect who claimed that elections was free abd fair.atiku called five adhoc staffs who also testified to that effect.this unfortunately only affects the polling units they worked as evidence in election cases are restricted to each units.inec can easily call 10 staffs who will testify that results were sucessfully transmitted.in any case,the electoral act plus a fhc judgment gives inec the leeway to transmit anyhow.inotger words,both manual and electronic transmission are allowed.those witnesses that said they couldn't transmit didn't blame inec but the bvas and eventually sent the results to the collation units.the purpose of electronic transmission by virtue of section 60-65 of the EA2022 is to aid collation.no collation officer was called to testify.again,the law says the collation officer will compare the hardcopy with the transmitted results.the transmitted result that was uploaded is still on the bvas in image form so the collation staff can easily look at the bvas image and form ec8a.
Lp also called an amazon staff to show that there was no glitch.apart from the fact that she is partisan and on her own frolic without AWS permit,she confirmed that they could be localized glitch within inec.even if there was a glitch,it does not prove anything.the adeleke vs oyetola supra case placed reliance on physical evidence and tagged online evidences as thirdhand and unreliable.
The only somewhat concrete evidence of irregularities obi provided was from 18000 units of blurred results which was based only on irev which are secondary results.lp lawyers should have verified with primary hardcopies.if they could he a victory,it will be here as 9 mil voters are domiciled here and 2.5 mil voters came out during the last polls.in another rerun,fewer will come out.outside this,no substantial infraction has been proven.notjing compelling has been tendered.see okereke vs umahi 2015 supra.obi petition is full of mere allegations and averments and these are not evidence.see uzodinma vs pdp supra 2020.most of the evidences tendered were not pleaded.see the above case laws...
To further destroy obi's case,the apex court has severally stated that guidelines cannot be a ground for election petition.see wike vs dakuku, okereke vs supra,pdp vs yari...

Ground four: no arguments has been canvassed on the fct matter so it can be seemed abandoned.but if not,a community reading of section 28,section 42 and 299 of the constitution has placed fct as a state.the body language,orbiter dictum,innuendoes of the court has shown where they will stand.again,the principle of legal ambiguity presupposes that where an ambiguity in law exists,the jurists will choose the most sensible, meaningful option for the lawmakers are not confusuonists or intent to create chaos.
In reality,fct is less than a state and cannot all of a sudden be elevated above a state without bringing equality first.moreover,other similar democracies do not practice such absurd voting system...

Ground three: section 182 d and e clearly says within a period of 10 years,he has been imprisoned or convicted by any court in nigeria.tinubu forfeiture wasn't a conviction and even if,10 years has elapsed and the judgment wasn't registered in Nigeria

Ground four; the shettima issue has been buried by the supreme court.they clearly stated that it was a pre election matter and internal to a party and that it can only extend beyond if he was nominated by 2 parties.sectiin 84 of the electoral act clearly makes nomination a pre election matter and only aspirants have locus standi.double nomination is not a constitutional matter and only constitutional matters pertaining to qualifications can be raised at a tribunal.again,the apex court found out that shettima was never guilty of double nomination and lp has no new evidence necessitating a review.

6) concerning perjury,the inec form has two questions on nationality.whether one has ever changed nationality? This is a no for tinubu.secondly,whether tinubu has ever voluntarily acquired citizenship elsewhere.this is a no because he never sought for guinean citizenship,he was only conferred and given a diplomatic passport to that effect.
On the so-called evidences supplies by atiku witness,the witness a lawyer rubbished most of them.the Female gender was recorded in his transcript and he never submitted transcript to inec as it's not a constitutional requirement.adekunle has been in his name and the apex court has severally ruled on name variations.the age differences is of no effect as the apex court noted that as far as a candidate is up to 40 years,he is good to go.see AGI vs ayade supra..



Mynd44
Lalasticlala
Nplfmod
Vicdom
Helinues
Calmobserver
Kyase
Afamed
Yarimo
Donphilopus
Famology
Seanfer
Muykem
Aiel123
Ogodigbodigbo

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Re: How The Presidential Election Tribunal May Rule:tentative Analysis by Adurax: 3:38pm On Jul 01, 2023
All eyes on the tribunal
Re: How The Presidential Election Tribunal May Rule:tentative Analysis by Femmyfamous4u(m): 3:39pm On Jul 01, 2023
Dey play. Obi and Atiku won? The first one is funny. Two people can't win.
Re: How The Presidential Election Tribunal May Rule:tentative Analysis by garfield1: 4:01pm On Jul 01, 2023
Millimann:
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Prediction 200% correct

3 Likes

Re: How The Presidential Election Tribunal May Rule:tentative Analysis by garfield1: 4:03pm On Jul 01, 2023
Adurax:
All eyes on the tribunal

Take your eyes off the tribunal
Re: How The Presidential Election Tribunal May Rule:tentative Analysis by garfield1: 4:06pm On Jul 01, 2023
Bigkoko:
A CLOSE ANALYSIS OF THE TRIBUNAL OUTCOME

Clearly some Batists and even LP supporters do not understand what just played out over the last month in court.

To break it down so many will begin to get it clearer.

These are PO and Atiku's prayers

Note that All the prayers will be DETERMINED in the FINAL JUDGMENT.

Now let's look at the brief Summary of prayers pleaded in court:

1. Eligibility
That It be determined that:

A. At the time of the Presidential Elections, the 2nd & 3rd Respondents (Tinubu & Shettima) were unqualified to contest

➡️ What was tendered in court.

▪️BAT has multiple nationalities (The Guinean President was invited today 1st july,2023.....see how important this is?). Atiku's witness presented his Guinean passport - Fact
Derisively BATs lawyer contended it had expired. But the truth is that Nationality does not expire with passports, period.

▪️ BAT committed perjury by submitting a Chicago University degree that was shown to be forged - Fact
The Tinubu Bola A. Who was admitted to CSU for a degree was shown to be a woman and American citizen - Notarized document shows the Tinubu Bola A. is a woman and American citizen. The Americans are meticulous. A lot of folks back then use people identity to obtain admission, jobs, etc. Seem like the drug mule did likewise.
Let the courts decide

▪️Shettima was shown to have been nominated as VP, 4 days before he withdrew from the senate nomination.

Most people who are unaware point to the Supreme Court Judgment in May 2023 that merely threw out the case on a technicality
However it's important we clarify that the technicality was that PDP challenged Shetima's double nomination as a pre-election matter whereas the matter can only be done by a fellow APC candidate. The true position of the law is that both PO and Atiku can only challenge it as a post election matter.; and at the PEPT.

Now that PO has just done that, let the PEPT tribunal decide this incontrovertible fact.

B. All the votes recorded to Tinubu were wasted due to qualification/disqualification of Tinubu and Shettima
- See above

AB. On the basis of the remaining votes after discountenancing Tinubu and Shettima, it is clear that Obi scored majority of the lawful votes cast in 2/3rd of the States and the FCT, therefor met the requirements to be declared winner.

This proof was submitted in the documents and evidence filed before the PEPT. That was why INEC and APC fought their own CTC documents

The LP lawyers submitted their written arguments and are not required to plead it in court. That's why you never heard much about it. They only submitted INEC CTC of the forms EC8A, EC8B, EC8C, and EC8D to butTress their assertions. Even if the Justices like to help Prof Yaks president select, they'd be totally debased, inhuman and unmitigatedly unashamed to validate this fraud of a thing.

▪️In addition, PO challenged the results of 32 states, including Abuja, where his votes were under counted.
Once these votes are fully allocated to him, and votes removed from BAT, it will become apparent he won the popular vote and met the spread requirements

▪️2) 25% in Abuja
That it be determined that Tinubu failed to score 25% in the FCT and hence ought not to have been declared winner.
▪️ Supreme Court in 2007 held that 25% of Abuja is a sine qua none. Thus, BAT and Atiku can not be declared as winners. I heard the totally unschooled INEC staff have increased it to 23%. Don't rope your self with a stone heading straight down to disgrace of monumental proportions.

▪️3) In Alternate, a Fresh Election
Order the cancellation of the elections and order INEC to conduct a fresh one that Tinubu & Shettima shall not participate in

▪️ This will only happen if BAT is disqualified and PO can not be declared absolute winner due to PO not meeting the spread (25% in 2/3 states).

Atiku can not be declared winner since he didn't get 25% in Abuja

▪️4) Alternatively , they get elected by the majority of lawful votes cast

That it be determined that

🟩 A) That Tinubu was not duly elected by a majority. Therefore, his declaration as winner is unlawful, unconstitutional, and of no effect

🟪 B) Based on the valid votes cast, Obi scored the highest number of votes in 2/3rd of the States and the FCT and ought to be declared winner

🟦C) An order directing INEC to issue Certificate of Return to Obi as duly elected President be issued.

In Further Alternative to 1-4 Above:

🟥 5) Void

▪️A) That the Presidential elections conducted on Feb 25th, 2023 is void on the grounds that it was not conducted in accordance to the Electoral Act 2022 and the Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria 1999 as amended

- This was shown by INECs shenanigans. By INEC Prof Okoye open confessions that all other results were uploaded real time except the that of the presidential election because of some "GLITCHES"...lol

▪️B) Order the cancellation of the Presidential Elections and order INEC to conduct fresh presidential elections.

Only comes in if PO can not be declared absolute winner. Only LP and PDP will contest this

I hope this brings all those who are unaware up to speed of what happened at the PEPT.

Regards.

My name na Bigkoko Group Inc.....we dey go place wey hard for others!


Oga,stop the copy and paste.the apex court said shettima was never guilty of double.again,the apex court has never ruled on FCT 25%
Re: How The Presidential Election Tribunal May Rule:tentative Analysis by drlateef: 4:08pm On Jul 01, 2023
Millimann:
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You should be ashamed of your response. Is this an English class?

8 Likes

Re: How The Presidential Election Tribunal May Rule:tentative Analysis by garfield1: 4:10pm On Jul 01, 2023
drlateef:




You should be ashamed of your response. Is this an English class?

Obi and atiku fans love majoring in minor issues

3 Likes

Re: How The Presidential Election Tribunal May Rule:tentative Analysis by drlateef: 4:11pm On Jul 01, 2023
Even if female is on the transcript, that can be typographical error because the university confirmed that Tinubu a male did attend and was the best graduate in their university. That’s the end of the story.

1 Like

Re: How The Presidential Election Tribunal May Rule:tentative Analysis by Calabar1stSon: 4:16pm On Jul 01, 2023
Copy/paste from Asiwaju Support WhatsApp Group, that's the reason why you had no sense of adding punctuations where need be.

I tried reading through the text but got me stammering. No offense to Stammerers.

7 Likes 1 Share

Re: How The Presidential Election Tribunal May Rule:tentative Analysis by Spy360(m): 4:19pm On Jul 01, 2023
Millimann:
Punctuations = 0

Capitalization = 0

Word spacing = 0

Add,
Sense = 0

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Re: How The Presidential Election Tribunal May Rule:tentative Analysis by garfield1: 4:27pm On Jul 01, 2023
Spy360:

Add,
Sense = 0

Dumbidients have no sense
Re: How The Presidential Election Tribunal May Rule:tentative Analysis by Spy360(m): 4:37pm On Jul 01, 2023
garfield1:


Oga,stop the copy and paste.the apex court said shettima was never guilty of double.again,the apex court has never ruled on FCT 25%
You are totally uninformed.

APM raised the issue of double nomination and after going through the SC judgement of PDP Vs Tinubu/Shettima they saw they still have a valid case because the judgement was based on technicalities as a pre-election matter.

The perjury committed by Tinubu is too glaring even for the blind and deaf. May be you are worse than blind and deaf to see that Tinubu submitted fake certificates and even impersonated someone (a female funny enough), even his NYSC is fake. 🤡

As for the results, INEC gave 18000 blurred results to LP. Their inability to provide the results means court will rely on whatever LP suggests are the correct results. This was exactly what played in Uzodinma Vs PDP. Again, it was clear that the results INEC supplied LP showed clear manipulations. This was proven in court.

As for the so called glitch, LP claims that there were no glitches, so INEC will explain what they meant by the glitch and why it affected only the presidential election. They will also explain if not uploading real time was a violation of the electoral guideline. Video evidence was shown to prove it was part of the electoral guideline. Why did they delete information on the BVAS for Abuja? Is it to manipulate the results again to make Tinubu secure 25%?

The Tribunal will also determine if 25% for Fact is sacrosanct.

There are so many ways to kill a rat. On Monday, the show will resume. I'll like to see their defense. For me, it's hard to defend evil, lies, deceit and corruption.

14 Likes

Re: How The Presidential Election Tribunal May Rule:tentative Analysis by wegevv: 4:54pm On Jul 01, 2023
garfield1:
Notwithstanding the headline,this is surely how the court will rule.this is based on what the petitioners tendered in court.ill write the final analysis once the defence close their case.just as the court combined or consolidated atiku and obi petitions,I'll attempt to do so.the petition is hinged on five grounds namely;
1) that obi and atiku won the elections and that their votes were suppressed.

2) that there was massive violation of inec guidelines necessitating in irregularities which calls for outright cancellations and a rerun.

3) that tinubu should be disqualified based on a conviction or punishment by u.s court

4) that shettima is guilty of double nomination

5) that 25% requirement in FCT is mandatory
6) that tinubu is not qualified by being a citizen of guinea and he is also guilty of perjury and inconsistencies in his educational qualifications

Ground one: Peter obi has not proven that he won the election and has not brought any proof to that effect.all his evidences points to the fact that tinubu won and that there was irregularities.even the mathematician prof ofoedu's analysis showed the only difference in the overall results was in benue,rivers and 18,000 units that were blurred.no evidence points to peter winning.it is safe to say that obi has abandoned this prayer and wants fresh polls.
For atiku,most of his evidences points to irregularities.a watery report akin to the 2019 server debacle focusing on 26 states tendered by Sam oduntan showed he won but did not give details as to how and was based only on irev data.atiku is focusing on disqualifying tinubu and declaring himself winner or a rerun.

Ground 2:it is settled law that one will not only prove irregularities but do so substantially and show how it affected the overall results.lp lawyers claim inec promised electronic transmission but has failed to prove that inec failed to transmit electronically.the only called one witness to that effect who claimed that elections was free abd fair.atiku called five adhoc staffs who also testified to that effect.this unfortunately only affects the polling units they worked as evidence in election cases are restricted to each units.inec can easily call 10 staffs who will testify that results were sucessfully transmitted.in any case,the electoral act plus a fhc judgment gives inec the leeway to transmit anyhow.inotger words,both manual and electronic transmission are allowed.those witnesses that said they couldn't transmit didn't blame inec but the bvas and eventually sent the results to the collation units.the purpose of electronic transmission by virtue of section 60-65 of the EA2022 is to aid collation.no collation officer was called to testify.again,the law says the collation officer will compare the hardcopy with the transmitted results.the transmitted result that was uploaded is still on the bvas in image form so the collation staff can easily look at the bvas image and form ec8a.
Lp also called an amazon staff to show that there was no glitch.apart from the fact that she is partisan and on her own frolic without AWS permit,she confirmed that they could be localized glitch within inec.even if there was a glitch,it does not prove anything.the adeleke vs oyetola supra case placed reliance on physical evidence and tagged online evidences as thirdhand and unreliable.
The only somewhat concrete evidence of irregularities obi provided was from 18000 units of blurred results which was based only on irev which are secondary results.lp lawyers should have verified with primary hardcopies.if they could he a victory,it will be here as 9 mil voters are domiciled here and 2.5 mil voters came out during the last polls.in another rerun,fewer will come out.outside this,no substantial infraction has been proven.notjing compelling has been tendered.see okereke vs umahi 2015 supra.obi petition is full of mere allegations and averments and these are not evidence.see uzodinma vs pdp supra 2020.most of the evidences tendered were not pleaded.see the above case laws...
To further destroy obi's case,the apex court has severally stated that guidelines cannot be a ground for election petition.see wike vs dakuku, okereke vs supra,pdp vs yari...

Ground four: no arguments has been canvassed on the fct matter so it can be seemed abandoned.but if not,a community reading of section 28,section 42 and 299 of the constitution has placed fct as a state.the body language,orbiter dictum,innuendoes of the court has shown where they will stand.again,the principle of legal ambiguity presupposes that where an ambiguity in law exists,the jurists will choose the most sensible, meaningful option for the lawmakers are not confusuonists or intent to create chaos.
In reality,fct is less than a state and cannot all of a sudden be elevated above a state without bringing equality first.moreover,other similar democracies do not practice such absurd voting system...

Ground three: section 182 d and e clearly says within a period of 10 years,he has been imprisoned or convicted by any court in nigeria.tinubu forfeiture wasn't a conviction and even if,10 years has elapsed and the judgment wasn't registered in Nigeria

Ground four; the shettima issue has been buried by the supreme court.they clearly stated that it was a pre election matter and internal to a party and that it can only extend beyond if he was nominated by 2 parties.sectiin 84 of the electoral act clearly makes nomination a pre election matter and only aspirants have locus standi.double nomination is not a constitutional matter and only constitutional matters pertaining to qualifications can be raised at a tribunal.again,the apex court found out that shettima was never guilty of double nomination and lp has no new evidence necessitating a review.

6) concerning perjury,the inec form has two questions on nationality.whether one has ever changed nationality? This is a no for tinubu.secondly,whether tinubu has ever voluntarily acquired citizenship elsewhere.this is a no because he never sought for guinean citizenship,he was only conferred and given a diplomatic passport to that effect.
On the so-called evidences supplies by atiku witness,the witness a lawyer rubbished most of them.the Female gender was recorded in his transcript and he never submitted transcript to inec as it's not a constitutional requirement.adekunle has been in his name and the apex court has severally ruled on name variations.the age differences is of no effect as the apex court noted that as far as a candidate is up to 40 years,he is good to go.see AGI vs ayade supra..



Mynd44
Lalasticlala
Nplfmod
Vicdom
Helinues
Calmobserver
Kyase
Afamed
Yarimo
Donphilopus
Famology
Seanfer
Muykem
Aiel123
Ogodigbodigbo


Sir why do you always write with bad punctuation and indentation?

I’m suspect it’s intentional and your personal style but if you cleaned it up it would be so much easier to read.

3 Likes

Re: How The Presidential Election Tribunal May Rule:tentative Analysis by wolesmile(m): 5:09pm On Jul 01, 2023
May God save us from all these online legal giants.
Everybody just interpreting the law the way it suits them.

1 Like 1 Share

Re: How The Presidential Election Tribunal May Rule:tentative Analysis by garfield1: 5:45pm On Jul 01, 2023
wegevv:


Sir why do you always write with bad punctuation and indentation?

I’m suspect it’s intentional and your personal style but if you cleaned it up it would be so much easier to read.
Hmmm
Re: How The Presidential Election Tribunal May Rule:tentative Analysis by garfield1: 5:57pm On Jul 01, 2023
Spy360:

You are totally uninformed.

APM raised the issue of double nomination and after going through the SC judgement of PDP Vs Tinubu/Shettima they saw they still have a valid case because the judgement was based on technicalities as a pre-election matter.

The perjury committed by Tinubu is too glaring even for the blind and deaf. May be you are worse than blind and deaf to see that Tinubu submitted fake certificates and even impersonated someone (a female funny enough), even his NYSC is fake. 🤡

As for the results, INEC gave 18000 blurred results to LP. Their inability to provide the results means court will rely on whatever LP suggests are the correct results. This was exactly what played in Uzodinma Vs PDP. Again, it was clear that the results INEC supplied LP showed clear manipulations. This was proven in court.

As for the so called glitch, LP claims that there were no glitches, so INEC will explain what they meant by the glitch and why it affected only the presidential election. They will also explain if not uploading real time was a violation of the electoral guideline. Video evidence was shown to prove it was part of the electoral guideline. Why did they delete information on the BVAS for Abuja? Is it to manipulate the results again to make Tinubu secure 25%?

The Tribunal will also determine if 25% for Fact is sacrosanct.

There are so many ways to kill a rat. On Monday, the show will resume. I'll like to see their defense. For me, it's hard to defend evil, lies, deceit and corruption.

Oga,the supreme court has buried the issue of double nomination.the appeal court will not go otherwise.obidientscare the uninformed and ignorant ones.
There is no case of perjury.none of tinubu certificate has been proven to be fake,the NYSC has not said it is fake unlike that of Enugu gov.the document where bola tinubu is female is his transcript,he never submitted it to inec.mYbe in your villa,they use transcript to contest for election..
Inec did not give lp blurred copies.it is what lp downloaded from irev.inec will bring the original copies during their defence to rubbish lp as usual...glitch is absolutely irrelevant.lp must show that the glitch was causes by inec and show that it helped to rig elections.
The 25% case does not affect obi as he won't partake in a rerun.

1 Like

Re: How The Presidential Election Tribunal May Rule:tentative Analysis by yarimo(m): 6:37pm On Jul 01, 2023
wegevv:


Sir why do you always write with bad punctuation and indentation?

I’m suspect it’s intentional and your personal style but if you cleaned it up it would be so much easier to read.
Rip English chaiii
Re: How The Presidential Election Tribunal May Rule:tentative Analysis by Penguin2: 7:02pm On Jul 01, 2023
garfield1:
Notwithstanding the headline,this is surely how the court will rule.this is based on what the petitioners tendered in court.ill write the final analysis once the defence close their case.just as the court combined or consolidated atiku and obi petitions,I'll attempt to do so.the petition is hinged on five grounds namely;
1) that obi and atiku won the elections and that their votes were suppressed.

2) that there was massive violation of inec guidelines necessitating in irregularities which calls for outright cancellations and a rerun.

3) that tinubu should be disqualified based on a conviction or punishment by u.s court

4) that shettima is guilty of double nomination

5) that 25% requirement in FCT is mandatory
6) that tinubu is not qualified by being a citizen of guinea and he is also guilty of perjury and inconsistencies in his educational qualifications

Ground one: Peter obi has not proven that he won the election and has not brought any proof to that effect.all his evidences points to the fact that tinubu won and that there was irregularities.even the mathematician prof ofoedu's analysis showed the only difference in the overall results was in benue,rivers and 18,000 units that were blurred.no evidence points to peter winning.it is safe to say that obi has abandoned this prayer and wants fresh polls.
For atiku,most of his evidences points to irregularities.a watery report akin to the 2019 server debacle focusing on 26 states tendered by Sam oduntan showed he won but did not give details as to how and was based only on irev data.atiku is focusing on disqualifying tinubu and declaring himself winner or a rerun.

Ground 2:it is settled law that one will not only prove irregularities but do so substantially and show how it affected the overall results.lp lawyers claim inec promised electronic transmission but has failed to prove that inec failed to transmit electronically.the only called one witness to that effect who claimed that elections was free abd fair.atiku called five adhoc staffs who also testified to that effect.this unfortunately only affects the polling units they worked as evidence in election cases are restricted to each units.inec can easily call 10 staffs who will testify that results were sucessfully transmitted.in any case,the electoral act plus a fhc judgment gives inec the leeway to transmit anyhow.inotger words,both manual and electronic transmission are allowed.those witnesses that said they couldn't transmit didn't blame inec but the bvas and eventually sent the results to the collation units.the purpose of electronic transmission by virtue of section 60-65 of the EA2022 is to aid collation.no collation officer was called to testify.again,the law says the collation officer will compare the hardcopy with the transmitted results.the transmitted result that was uploaded is still on the bvas in image form so the collation staff can easily look at the bvas image and form ec8a.
Lp also called an amazon staff to show that there was no glitch.apart from the fact that she is partisan and on her own frolic without AWS permit,she confirmed that they could be localized glitch within inec.even if there was a glitch,it does not prove anything.the adeleke vs oyetola supra case placed reliance on physical evidence and tagged online evidences as thirdhand and unreliable.
The only somewhat concrete evidence of irregularities obi provided was from 18000 units of blurred results which was based only on irev which are secondary results.lp lawyers should have verified with primary hardcopies.if they could he a victory,it will be here as 9 mil voters are domiciled here and 2.5 mil voters came out during the last polls.in another rerun,fewer will come out.outside this,no substantial infraction has been proven.notjing compelling has been tendered.see okereke vs umahi 2015 supra.obi petition is full of mere allegations and averments and these are not evidence.see uzodinma vs pdp supra 2020.most of the evidences tendered were not pleaded.see the above case laws...
To further destroy obi's case,the apex court has severally stated that guidelines cannot be a ground for election petition.see wike vs dakuku, okereke vs supra,pdp vs yari...

Ground four: no arguments has been canvassed on the fct matter so it can be seemed abandoned.but if not,a community reading of section 28,section 42 and 299 of the constitution has placed fct as a state.the body language,orbiter dictum,innuendoes of the court has shown where they will stand.again,the principle of legal ambiguity presupposes that where an ambiguity in law exists,the jurists will choose the most sensible, meaningful option for the lawmakers are not confusuonists or intent to create chaos.
In reality,fct is less than a state and cannot all of a sudden be elevated above a state without bringing equality first.moreover,other similar democracies do not practice such absurd voting system...

Ground three: section 182 d and e clearly says within a period of 10 years,he has been imprisoned or convicted by any court in nigeria.tinubu forfeiture wasn't a conviction and even if,10 years has elapsed and the judgment wasn't registered in Nigeria

Ground four; the shettima issue has been buried by the supreme court.they clearly stated that it was a pre election matter and internal to a party and that it can only extend beyond if he was nominated by 2 parties.sectiin 84 of the electoral act clearly makes nomination a pre election matter and only aspirants have locus standi.double nomination is not a constitutional matter and only constitutional matters pertaining to qualifications can be raised at a tribunal.again,the apex court found out that shettima was never guilty of double nomination and lp has no new evidence necessitating a review.

6) concerning perjury,the inec form has two questions on nationality.whether one has ever changed nationality? This is a no for tinubu.secondly,whether tinubu has ever voluntarily acquired citizenship elsewhere.this is a no because he never sought for guinean citizenship,he was only conferred and given a diplomatic passport to that effect.
On the so-called evidences supplies by atiku witness,the witness a lawyer rubbished most of them.the Female gender was recorded in his transcript and he never submitted transcript to inec as it's not a constitutional requirement.adekunle has been in his name and the apex court has severally ruled on name variations.the age differences is of no effect as the apex court noted that as far as a candidate is up to 40 years,he is good to go.see AGI vs ayade supra..



Mynd44
Lalasticlala
Nplfmod
Vicdom
Helinues
Calmobserver
Kyase
Afamed
Yarimo
Donphilopus
Famology
Seanfer
Muykem
Aiel123
Ogodigbodigbo

Lemme quote you verbatim so that it will serve as reference after the tribunal has given its ruling.

Remember your pre-election predictions where you were allotting hundreds of thousands of votes to PDP and APC in Southeast and Southsouth?

I told you then that you were out of touch with reality and that the outcome would be starkly different from your predictions but you said you knew Nigerian elections more than Jesus Christ knows God the Father. But when the elections was over, what happened?

Now, you are back again claiming to know the Judiciary more than Mother Mary knows Jesus Christ. And I’m not going to argue with you Garfield1, I will just save it for you. We will come back to it by the end of August.

7 Likes

Re: How The Presidential Election Tribunal May Rule:tentative Analysis by fergie001: 7:06pm On Jul 01, 2023
September beckons..... All these issues canvassed therein will be resolved in favour of the respondents.

1 Like

Re: How The Presidential Election Tribunal May Rule:tentative Analysis by duro4chang(m): 7:23pm On Jul 01, 2023
If the results slips on IREVs are blurred what about the hard copies? INEC will not use IREVs results to announce the results now.

2 Likes

Re: How The Presidential Election Tribunal May Rule:tentative Analysis by Spy360(m): 7:32pm On Jul 01, 2023
garfield1:


Oga,the supreme court has buried the issue of double nomination.the appeal court will not go otherwise.obidientscare the uninformed and ignorant ones.
There is no case of perjury.none of tinubu certificate has been proven to be fake,the NYSC has not said it is fake unlike that of Enugu gov.the document where bola tinubu is female is his transcript,he never submitted it to inec.mYbe in your villa,they use transcript to contest for election..
Inec did not give lp blurred copies.it is what lp downloaded from irev.inec will bring the original copies during their defence to rubbish lp as usual...glitch is absolutely irrelevant.lp must show that the glitch was causes by inec and show that it helped to rig elections.
The 25% case does not affect obi as he won't partake in a rerun.
The SC judgement was a pre-election case not PEPT. Keep deceiving yourself o.

The blurred IREV results were CTCs obtained from INEC. The IREV was meant to crosscheck the form EC8A. INEC gave LP manipulated form EC8As and also blurred IREV results in 18000. Wait until they defend it or keep mumuing.

If you think the Chigaco University certificate Tinubu submitted is the same as the original obtained from the school on under subpoena then you are a noisy clown. If you think that NYSC certificate should bear a different name from the one you used to graduate, then you never went through tertiary education. The same name issue denied David Leon governorship by SC.

As for 25% it's a constitutional matter that the tribunal will explain. I am sure EACH of the justices know how to read AND comprehend simple English.

3 Likes

Re: How The Presidential Election Tribunal May Rule:tentative Analysis by Spy360(m): 7:39pm On Jul 01, 2023
duro4chang:
If the results slips on IREVs are blunt what about the hard copies? INEC will not use IREVs results to announce the results now.
The electoral act demands that INEC should crosscheck the hard copies with the IREV before declaring a result valid. They didn't do so. That was why Dino Melaye walked out of the collation centre.

Even you guys who support Tinubu know within yourselves in sincerity that the election results were manipulated to favour APC accross the country.

Well, LP have prepared their forensic analysis of the true results and submitted to the tribunal. If INEC cannot explain why there was manipulation in their result sheets then the court will rely on the alternative given to them by the petitioners.
Re: How The Presidential Election Tribunal May Rule:tentative Analysis by Penguin2: 7:40pm On Jul 01, 2023
fergie001:
September beckons..... All these issues canvassed therein will be resolved in favour of the respondents.
Lemme also quote you to serve as reference.

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