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Fuel Subsidy: Sahara Energy’s Tope Sonubi And Tonye Cole On The Run - Politics - Nairaland

Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / Fuel Subsidy: Sahara Energy’s Tope Sonubi And Tonye Cole On The Run (9192 Views)

Tope Aluko Escape DSS Arrest As Channels TV Staff Helps Him / $50billion Oil Fraud: Diezani, Aluko, Aiteo, Sahara Energy, Omokore, For Trial / Tonye Cole Dropped As Minister (2) (3) (4)

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Fuel Subsidy: Sahara Energy’s Tope Sonubi And Tonye Cole On The Run by HighChief4(m): 1:51am On Feb 23, 2012


The life of the duo of Tope Sonubi and Tonye Cole of Sahara Energy can now be said to be one day one trouble since the issue of petroleum subsidy broke out they have been running from helter shelter to safe their necks from the disgrace that will come out from the shame if the involvement and shady deals of their company is blown open to the public.

Before now the company was mentioned to be selling kerosene meant to be used by the masses as aviation fuel which put the life of passengers that used the company at risk. Shortly after the issue of marketers who collected fuel subsidy broke and the name of Sahara Energy featured prominently among those who collected money without supplying fuel.

The investigations by the House of Representatives panel that probed the subsidy money brought out lots of inefficiency on the parts of many companies that claimed to be petroleum marketers including Sahara Energy.

Before the House of Representatives panel winds up, the committee invited major oil marketers to come and explain there roles in the ill fated subsidy money, but unknown to the invited companies, EFCC operatives were always at the public hearing monitoring the proceedings and taking notes of all the transactions of the ad-hoc committee for the three weeks it sat.

From all indications, the anti-graft agency seems to have zero-in more on the companies that refused to send in proxies or appear before the panel as is widely believe that such outfits have a lot to hide. Also the Committee Chairman had also threatened to arrest Chief Executives that refused to show up at the panel.

The duo of Tope Sonubi and Tonye Cole instead to appear before the panel chooses not to appear but instead went all out to appease and compromise the members because of their shoddy deals

Global News gathered that the report being prepared might not necessarily favour the companies who could not give a very good account of how they managed the PSF as they may end up in the underground cell of the anti-graft agency.

The 140 companies which most likely the EFCC must have placed on a watch list to forestall sudden disappearance from Nigeria will have to vomit all they refused to deliver to the panel to the anti-graft body.


http://www.globalnewsnig.com/?p=408
Re: Fuel Subsidy: Sahara Energy’s Tope Sonubi And Tonye Cole On The Run by Beaf: 2:05am On Feb 23, 2012
The duo of Tope Sonubi and Tonye Cole instead to appear before the panel chooses not to appear but instead went all out to appease and compromise the members because of their shoddy deals

Choi! shocked shocked shocked shocked shocked shocked shocked shocked shocked shocked
Sprrrrrrrrreaking Engrrrrrrrrrissssssssssssssssss!!!
Re: Fuel Subsidy: Sahara Energy’s Tope Sonubi And Tonye Cole On The Run by HighChief4(m): 3:06am On Feb 23, 2012
Faces behind the fuel susbisidy protest that dragged us back are just appearing small small. Soon we will start hearing how much they doled out to stage the protest.

1 Like

Re: Fuel Subsidy: Sahara Energy’s Tope Sonubi And Tonye Cole On The Run by Jarus(m): 5:53am On Feb 23, 2012
Soon, you will know the 'real cabals' from genuine importers!
Re: Fuel Subsidy: Sahara Energy’s Tope Sonubi And Tonye Cole On The Run by olafolarin(m): 9:57am On Feb 23, 2012
Jarus:

Soon, you will know the 'real cabals' from genuine importers!

I listened to Oando's Wale Tinubu during the House briefing and he definitely defended his coy.
Capital Oil's Uba was just a disgrace.
Re: Fuel Subsidy: Sahara Energy’s Tope Sonubi And Tonye Cole On The Run by Beaf: 10:22am On Feb 23, 2012
^
Oando used to be responsible for more than half of the subsidy (Idon't know if they still are), so it would be really difficult for them to escape the searchlight. They will be minutely scrutinised for their sheer import volumes, even if they are sqeauky clean which I thoroughly doubt.
Re: Fuel Subsidy: Sahara Energy’s Tope Sonubi And Tonye Cole On The Run by Demdem(m): 10:31am On Feb 23, 2012
all these criminals will have accomplices within govt circles or NNPC. There is no way they can successfully defraud this country alone without some form of support from those in power.
Re: Fuel Subsidy: Sahara Energy’s Tope Sonubi And Tonye Cole On The Run by Standing5(m): 10:34am On Feb 23, 2012
Beaf:

^
Oando used to be responsible for more than half of the subsidy (Idon't know if they still are), so it would be really difficult for them to escape the searchlight. They will be minutely scrutinised for their sheer import volumes, even if they are sqeauky clean which I thoroughly doubt.
Stop the delusion Oga beaf, Oando has always been a major marketer, how do u xplain that of Uba's Capital oil who had no history? or the remaining God knows how many companies.
By the way how is Madam Ceci-liar Ibru doing? u seem not to be concerned about such people. don't forget SLS has pumped trillions in to Banking and Capital whatever they call it and the likes of Ceci-liar remains a bigger treat. let Tinubu remain for now. let's focus on punishing the offenders that have been caught instead of hunting political opposition.


olafolarin:

I listened to Oando's Wale Tinubu during the House briefing and he definitely defended his coy.
Capital Oil's Uba was just a disgrace.
They are not so hard to know, funny enuf they will be the first to sponsor online blackmailers, screaming cabals are from one region
Re: Fuel Subsidy: Sahara Energy’s Tope Sonubi And Tonye Cole On The Run by Dainfamous: 11:31am On Feb 23, 2012
This is the people that these protesters were dying for? lack of education is bad sad sad sad
Re: Fuel Subsidy: Sahara Energy’s Tope Sonubi And Tonye Cole On The Run by aglomar: 11:38am On Feb 23, 2012
Then dangote should be on exile. They may have benefited from it but are they d only ones?

Re: Fuel Subsidy: Sahara Energy’s Tope Sonubi And Tonye Cole On The Run by Nobody: 11:59am On Feb 23, 2012
When the letter on sahara energy was discussed on nl, we know that the same twats who have been shouting oando the loudest are the same thugs who called the letter chaff.
Re: Fuel Subsidy: Sahara Energy’s Tope Sonubi And Tonye Cole On The Run by mcnepow(m): 1:27pm On Feb 23, 2012
Demdem:

all these criminals will have accomplices within
govt circles or
NNPC
. There is no way they can successfully defraud this country alone without some form of support from those in power.
Oniwon, said that corruption claims in NNPC are 'imaginary'.
Re: Fuel Subsidy: Sahara Energy’s Tope Sonubi And Tonye Cole On The Run by Nobody: 1:40pm On Feb 23, 2012
Beaf:

^
Oando used to be responsible for more than half of the subsidy (Idon't know if they still are), so it would be really difficult for them to escape the searchlight. They will be minutely scrutinised for their sheer import volumes, even if they are sqeauky clean which I thoroughly doubt.


Oga, these days I won't lie. I feel so ashamed for supporting the Anti-subsidy removal. Now our eyes are opening and the truth is all being exposed.

Please tell GEJ to prosecute all these thieves and send them to prison for having crippling our economy.
Re: Fuel Subsidy: Sahara Energy’s Tope Sonubi And Tonye Cole On The Run by Nobody: 2:15pm On Feb 23, 2012
pDude:


Oga, these days I won't lie. I feel so ashamed for supporting the Anti-subsidy removal. Now our eyes are opening and the truth is all being exposed.

Please tell GEJ to prosecute all these thieves and send them to prison for having crippling our economy.

There is nothing wrong in protestiing agaist subsidy removal. Nigeria's biggest problem is corruption and not subsidy or the lack of it. These Oil marketers are not alone, how can they be? Who are the regulators? There is no way you can absolve NNPC and DPR in these. Ministry of Petrolem and Finance are also guilty, so are the customs folks.
Re: Fuel Subsidy: Sahara Energy’s Tope Sonubi And Tonye Cole On The Run by kutchs: 2:28pm On Feb 23, 2012
The faces of the ‘cabals‘ who sponsored d subsidy removal protests are emerging. When we asked pple to think well b4 joining d protests we were kald names, y are they on d run? They shud kom and defend demselves, I only pity those who lost their lives.
Re: Fuel Subsidy: Sahara Energy’s Tope Sonubi And Tonye Cole On The Run by Demdem(m): 2:33pm On Feb 23, 2012
^^^

so in ur dreams u think a probe like this will emerge from the house of Rep where "cabals" are revealed without the Protest? My friend, that same protest u are condemning gave birth to all these.
Re: Fuel Subsidy: Sahara Energy’s Tope Sonubi And Tonye Cole On The Run by alahamad(m): 2:51pm On Feb 23, 2012
I say this with very serious emphasis on those fools who are against the protest #occupynaija part1,

Aren't you supposed to open your eyes to the fact that the protest was what actually drove out all the hiden information about the dept of coruption in the petroleum and finance ministries,

I have an Oil and Gas company and am part of bulk-traders back in lagos and we all know that the PPPRA, DPR nd NNPC in general are the main culprits in conjuction with the totality of the GEJ administration, but who are we to report to when even the presidency is actively involved in this killer act to the nation?

Only during his administration did we start having incompetent companies with no financial or capacity backing get alocations and promplty get paid huge sums in the name of Subsidy,

Infact, sometimes, NNPC brings in product and still collect subsidy when we all know that their payment is supposed to be via crude oil, and some just ship their products to neighboring countries but come back to naija nd collect subsidy, Allah HELP!!!

The marketers and gov. Official responsible for this huge scam should be brought to book and the gov. Should bring down the price (which I pretty much doubt),
The only thing a Nigerian gets as benefits of being a citizen was the subsidy on fuel cos we need it to run every other aspect of life(needless to mension the obviou) , but that has been partially taken away and now we hear retardeen say the palatives(another scam) can not work, gosh!!!!!

I look forward to the day we can all truly open our eyes, drop aside sentiments of any degree and talk with one voice,
Re: Fuel Subsidy: Sahara Energy’s Tope Sonubi And Tonye Cole On The Run by alahamad(m): 2:58pm On Feb 23, 2012
@demdem
Your post came on shortly before mine, I'm glad we are on the same page so I see dat ma points are seconded by another Naigerian, some people are just daft nd think the protests where sponsored,

How can u shift fuel price from 65 to 141 nd expect people to just sush, believe me, the next time they try dis stunt, it will automatically lead to a civil war cos people are frustrated, businesses have colaped cos of tthe high rate of insensitivity eating the naija Gov. Whom are supposed to make life bearable,

A couple of business centers I knw shut down cos they increased prices nd patronage droped drastically, that only means more roberies, ritualist, e.t.c,

I just taya walahi,
Re: Fuel Subsidy: Sahara Energy’s Tope Sonubi And Tonye Cole On The Run by kutchs: 3:30pm On Feb 23, 2012
Fools dont get it. My question to dem is would there have been corruption of such huge scale with fuel subsidy? No, would corruption go without subsidy removal? No. Even if all the marketers are sent to jail, odas will come to replace dem so long as subsidy remains. It is very simple logic. You want to get rid of rats disturbing ur peace at home, take our what attracts dem and they will all disappear. But kill dem nd keep the meat that attracts dem nd many more will kom after that meat.
Re: Fuel Subsidy: Sahara Energy’s Tope Sonubi And Tonye Cole On The Run by Nobody: 3:37pm On Feb 23, 2012
kutchs:

Fools dont get it. My question to dem is would there have been corruption of such huge scale with fuel subsidy? No, would corruption go without subsidy removal? No. Even if all the marketers are sent to jail, odas will come to replace dem so long as subsidy remains. It is very simple logic. You want to get rid of rats disturbing ur peace at home, take our what attracts dem and they will all disappear. But kill dem nd keep the meat that attracts dem nd many more will kom after that meat.

I am sorry but you are the one that just doesn't get it. This is a corrupt government plain and simple, subsidy or no subsidy, this government is unable to fight corruption. What about corruption in other sector, was it all caused by subsidy. Those unknown companies illegally importing fuel, are they not backed by the same government officials. If you remove subsidy, these guys are just going to look for other corrupt ways to make money and who told you that removal of subsidy will completely eradicate corruption? Even if you remove subsidy, these guys will still manipulate the system until government is ready to confront them, but unfortunately they are not.
Re: Fuel Subsidy: Sahara Energy’s Tope Sonubi And Tonye Cole On The Run by Demdem(m): 3:54pm On Feb 23, 2012
abegii leave Kutchs. he is a confirmed iidiot.
Re: Fuel Subsidy: Sahara Energy’s Tope Sonubi And Tonye Cole On The Run by alahamad(m): 4:56pm On Feb 23, 2012
@Kutchs,
Have you forgotten that majority of the house rep members wher stuned at the discoveries of the huge amounts paid out in the name of subsidy?, yet dat usless arogant petroleum minister comes on air flaunting her swag as if she's more than what she actually is nd tell us trash.

U and all the criminals suporting this scam are soon gonna get it,

On the average, Naija does not consume even up to 15million liters of petrol daily but they shot it above 50million nd collect subsidy for it all, isn't it clear to you that we can actually have subsidised fuel at an even lower price than 65naira nd still have loads of savings to carry on with developmental projects, ?

Kutchs, you refer to me as a fool but I have placed facts and truths before you so defend ur self (I pretty much doubt if u can but am waiting so be a bit civil nd make ur point sensible),
Ha
Re: Fuel Subsidy: Sahara Energy’s Tope Sonubi And Tonye Cole On The Run by kizito96(m): 5:02pm On Feb 23, 2012
No we know the real thieves
Re: Fuel Subsidy: Sahara Energy’s Tope Sonubi And Tonye Cole On The Run by oiseworld: 6:27pm On Feb 23, 2012
al-ahamad:



The only thing a Nigerian gets as benefits of being a citizen was the subsidy on fuel cos we need it to run every other aspect of life(needless to mension the obviou) , but that has been partially taken away and now we hear retardeen say the palatives(another scam) can not work, gosh!!


@ alhaji,
pls you people should stop saying this syatement! Wat do you mean by this. " let it stick in all our heads that tje subsidy in the oil sector mist go. Are u saing the govt just must subsidize? Abi wat is it about tjis subsidy thats making u all go crazy. Let the govt and the privaxte sector build refineries, that would employ nigerians and provide oil for local consuption. Thats wat the average nigerian wants. Not to be subsidizing a business only very rich people do. Can't subsidy come down to the poor in agriculture or manufacturing.it at all its going to be subsidized it should be done at the point of retail purchase not in billions of barrels.

I also want you to know that when ever their is restucturing of any kind, people loose their job and business. So stop saying 'shops closed down' , were shops not closing down before the partial removal of subsidy.
Re: Fuel Subsidy: Sahara Energy’s Tope Sonubi And Tonye Cole On The Run by miriatataz: 6:47pm On Feb 23, 2012
make them run o!
Re: Fuel Subsidy: Sahara Energy’s Tope Sonubi And Tonye Cole On The Run by alahamad(m): 12:04am On Feb 24, 2012
@Oiseworld,
I see you don't get ma point but for the last time, I'll chip in a lilttle more to widen your horizon, go nd research on what I'm telling you to confirm,
My dear, no developed country lives without one form of subsidy or another in various sectors of the economy and the countries we try rating our fuel price with already have all it takes to live comortably,
As a case study, don't even go far, just take South Africa, the amount per liter is equivalent to about 200 naira but only you with a car, goes to the fuel pump, with good road everywher, your car does its average MPG according to manufacturer specs, not in naija where lagos hold-up will zap half of ur tank within 5miles hold-up,

The government supports mass agricultural projects which has made food much cheaper than even in the UK, there is child-support checks monthly nd some sort of money the government pays the old people starting from a certain age, I could go on and on nd that's not even talking of Europe Ooº°˚ ,

Put everything in place first then remove subsidy totally, not just comission some Chinese useless busses in the name of palatives nd expect smiles in return, even brt busses in lagos are more that 2000 busses,

And by the way, do you actually believe the retardeen administration will use the funds judiciously as claimed?, forget that dream of yours and wake up to reality,

Let's speak in one voice so we can reach somewhere,
Re: Fuel Subsidy: Sahara Energy’s Tope Sonubi And Tonye Cole On The Run by Nobody: 9:58am On Feb 24, 2012
@Ahmad, I will overlook ur condescending attitude, and ask u a simple question, do you think everything can be put in place, before subsidy is removed?

for d past 40 yrs ur brothers up river, while in power, failed to put anything, at all in place, including their own street where they reside, i dont see you whining about dat, neither did i see ur type carrying placard in dat era,

it does appear dat someone you are not use to, is petroleum minister and she, yes SHE has put sand sand in ur garri (business)

I wonder where this every thing in place magic, will come from within four yrs.

Nigeria does not have d luxury of failure like d past leaders had in abundance, it is quite clear dat it is a tinder box, and d current govt is very much aware, and d only thing they can do to prevent fire on d mountain, is to perform, which, my dear if you remove d blinders from ur eyes, u will see a little bit of.

I will advice dat u adjust, go and redo ur biz plan, cos the days of freebies are over.


PS and try reduce ur bitterness .
Re: Fuel Subsidy: Sahara Energy’s Tope Sonubi And Tonye Cole On The Run by blacksta(m): 10:16am On Feb 24, 2012
tHE only thieves here are alison on behalf of GEJ, nnpc, ddpr, ppr or whatever. NNPC account for at least 65% of imports into the country , are you telling me the remaining 35% shared 1.8 trillion naira.

You people dont know Nigeria at all - you get allocation to import - you have to settle.

how come under GEJ fuel importer increased from almost 45 companies to about 150 companies

dont be fools Nigerians
Re: Fuel Subsidy: Sahara Energy’s Tope Sonubi And Tonye Cole On The Run by alahamad(m): 11:06am On Feb 24, 2012
@blacksta, thank you for your input and I'll borrow your question about the huge increase in the number of fake incompetent and corrupt importers directly to df2006, so answer that one first,

@df200f,
I will not argue about the fact that my brothers from up north failed but u nd I knw that about 90% of the infrastructure in Naigeria (expecially the big sities like Lagos) was all done by those same dudes who are regarded as failures,

Gej came on board with a lot of promises and even my state (Kano) gave him all the votes just cos we figured its time for change nd fresh air, (Me I never believed the retardeen sha cos the first few months in office clearly shows how extravagance was eating up the treasury), so now that every sane Nigerian includoing the likes of Tunde Bakare have faught under the canopy of save Nageria for him to get into office, he (retardeen) now sees that playing Ronaldo is the way forward abi,

Now leave the sentiments aside cos I prefer talking facts, do you actually believe we consume products worth spending 1.7trillion on subsidy, the blind fold is on you broa nd I dnt think ur ever gonna open u eyes to reality, u bloody blind twart, Bleep u man nd fukc retardeen nd all his accomplices,
Mind u , I'm a bulk trader not importer nd nothing join me with subsidy so either ways, as long as Nagerians need product, I am making money but think about the over 120million peeps living in poverty.

@df2006 = Fool kawai.
Re: Fuel Subsidy: Sahara Energy’s Tope Sonubi And Tonye Cole On The Run by jpphilips(m): 12:07pm On Feb 24, 2012
@ oiseworld

congrats!!! you just won the m0r0nic poster of the year award. in your interest, when you see a thread you dont understand its contents, kindly ignore it or call an adult to explain.

subsidy means government's contribution to a key sector of the economy to make life bearable for its tax payers citizens.

from your post above i can only deduce you dont pay tax so you think govt has its money void of its citizens efforts, i may be close to the truth cos you yahoo boys dont pay tax.

where did you get that mentality that you deserve less? are you sleeping with beaf?

you pay tax to a govt to provide amenities for you,

first, they couldnt provide electricity hence you resort to generators to power your homes, officies and industries.

a responsible govt says they will refund you a part of your energy cost (subsidy) because their incompetence is killing you slowly.

an irresponsible govt comes and increases the inefficiency in the same govt subsidy, corrupts and overbloats its govt and ask you to bear the energy cost alone without even providing you with jobs and you sit behind your system and type yes sir!!! as a political halleluya boy.

with this mentality of yours, give me two reasons why you are better than a goat?
Re: Fuel Subsidy: Sahara Energy’s Tope Sonubi And Tonye Cole On The Run by jpphilips(m): 12:41pm On Feb 24, 2012
lets talk about this present day subsidy regime,

the Cbn gov has already confessed he has evidence of round tipping , he said he paid subsidy on 15 fake vessels approved by customs.
what did madueke do? nothing

the reasons investors did not build refineries over the years was lack of cheap crude but the biggest reason is corruption
how?

licences were given to companies without the financial muscle to build refineries also part b of the license clearly states that these armed robbers have oil lifting license embedded in their refining license,
tell me who will choose refining over lifting where he makes instant profit and inflated subsidy?
what did madueke do? nothing as usual


do you know that NNPC does not have storage facilities for all those millions of products they are quoting and importing. how exactly does Nnpc wish to store 30million litres of pms? do you know that these fg goons went ahead to licence importers without storage facilities leading to the govt paying extra
for storage on a product they are paying over 70 naira as subsidy can u beat this
stup1dity and incompetence?

what did iweala and madueke do? nothing,

do you know that these leppers in Nnpc have no grading structure for imported pms low grade,mid grade and high grade all are pms same subsidy, same price even ethanol blends have subsidy paid on them,
can you beat that?
even abroad where the products come from have different prices. some are far cheaper than others which ordinarily should attract low subsidy

what did madueke do? nothing.

do you know that these bingos at Nnpc dont maintain their pipeline networkswhich ordinarily should link one depot to the other, they have to pay extra for tankerstransporting these products all are
subsidies.even though their foreign jv partners are maintaining over 1000 pipeline networks in
Nigeria.
what did madueke do? nothing.

do you know that under madueke's watch demurrage is paid as subsidy to these importers .how cant they be reponsible for their import schedule? is it not commonsensical for madueke to prioritize the discharge of those vessels quickly in tank farms as not to attract demurrage for a product you are subsidizing?

and they want us to tighten for a better future? which future ? can iweala,Sls and madueke plan for a sustainable future if given the task? dead failures.


for every extra kobo you pay on pms you paid for madueke's incompetence.now they can see high expenditure but cant see how their incompetence is inflating the subsidy regime. Do u seriously think iweala will see it
coming if truly the economy will crash?


Let us analyze the genere and politics of these issues There are more misnomers than facts surrounding this subsidy brouhaha.

First,

the Govt said the economy will collapse, ridiculous indeed

secondly,

the Govt said oil importers are a 'cabal', nearly fell off my seat. Comrades, there are no cabals, in 2009 the
scarcity of petroleum products became intense and the Govt admitted that Nnpc through its subsidiary PPMC has failed Nigerians by their inability to meet up with
the supply of pet. Products and that phenomenon gave rise to licensing of some people to 'assist' the Nnpc in doing their job for which they are paid for. Please don't forget that hitherto, Nnpc has been doing the importation and refining themselves before corruption eroded their common sense.
These importers went abroad and came back with a price Nnpc is already aware of comprising of logistics, storage and administrative costs, these were quantified before they arrived at a price.The FG now fixed a price tag of 65naira on Pms and agreed to be reimbursing the importers the balance not oblivious of the fact that the landing cost is higher than the stipulated price
To my greatest chagrin, the Jonathan’s administration woke up and termed them
'cabals' who are fleecing the nation.


We are not docile, If Nnpc lived up to their responsibility, we won’t have need for the importers in the first place.There is no doubt that the subsidy regime is met with corrupt practices, is it not the responsibility of the govt to clamp down on those malfeasance?

the Governor of central bank confessed during the town hall meeting that he paid subsidy to 15 fake vessels who connived with customs to falsify their papers. is this not fierce corruption? And we have a shameless commander in chief? by the way, how many naval officers patrol our waters on tax payers account? efcc,icpc etc The only solution that came to the minds of this disgruntled PDP administration is to remove subsidy into-to not minding its inflationary consequences.

This is the si1liest approach any human being with brain if they have one can summon.

Thirdly,

Jonathan insulted the intelligence of Nigerians telling us that we don't benefit from this subsidy except for the importers and he had the unbridled temerity to be advertising it on NTA saying the rich are getting richer. This people are demons.

I feel sorry for people that think that competition will crash the deregulated price erroneously juxtaposing it with GSM.

Do you know that the price of crude being the raw material for refined pet. Products are sold at the same price world over? If you agree to this, then, even if you deregulate and license 5million importers the product will still be expensive because crude itself is expensive.You will still need to subsidize it to 65naira, exactly why deregulation of diesel in part did not work.The only reason you have not bought diesel @ 200naira is because there are so many illegal refineries who bunker crude, settle JTF and refine diesel at a lower price.This people still pose a great threat to the importers who buy at a higher price that is why you get diesel @ 140naira elsewhere but in the delta i buy as low as 70naira. At this verge, you will not over rule the fact that these unscrupulous elements contribute to the availability of diesel.

I still feel sorry for those who think the Govt should build more refineries, that will not solve the problem either because there is no cheap crude to supply these refineries. Do you know that even the petroleum products from our present refineries at a disappointing capacity attract subsidy? that is what Sanusi is not telling Nigerians. This Sanusi's buisness model of increasing local price to attract investors is misleading.

He should ask himself why so many buisnesses left the USA for Asia and Africa between 1998 till 2008.The reason was because cost of doing buisness in America was high so there was need to tap into Africa's cheap land and asia's cheap labour. If you increase the pump price the spiral inflation will discourage investors, you pay high for land,labour, enegy etc.

A brief insight in Nigeria's oil and gas model gives us a better outlook The oil production of Nigeria stands at 2.37 million barrels of crude daily. Nigeria get this crude in a JV (joint venture) with IOC's (international oil companies) and the Nigeria's cut stand btw 55% to 60% of thelot, if we go by 60% then, that gives a total of 1.4m barrels daily.If we average the crude price from 2009 till date, the price falls close to 100usd/bbl.In that case, Nigeria makes 140,000,000usd daily from this JV. Nigeria has a policy called DSO (domestic supply obligation) which mandates 250,000bbl/d of this crude to be refined and consumed locally,In monetary terms, the Nigerian govt is giving us 25,000,000usd worth of crude to refine.

Our three refineries at optimum capacity utilizes about 450,000bbl/d which gives 45,000,000usd in monetary terms in other words, the price of raw material in this case, crude, accrued to our refineries comes at 45m usd per day, if you add refining cost and profit of 6usd per bbl,The total cost becomes 270,000,000usd per day.There is no way you can refine that crude at that price and sell it 65naira/ l and make profit. Meanwhile, once we mark out that 45m usd worth of crude for our refineries (assuming they are working at optimum capacity), the govt has already lost 45m usd from their 140m usd daily earnings (which will affect budget implementation) and after refining will still spend more money to subsidize it to 65naira/ l (you now understand why NNPC subsidizes the products from our refineries) With this analogy, you will agree with me that if all our refineries are working optimally, the govt will spend 3times our present day subsidy to bring the pump price down to 65naira/l .
So, for those of you clamoring for refineries should be careful what you wish for because there is no cheap crude for you to refine.

I have argued abinitio that the sales of other derivatives of crude will bring down the cost of most sort PMS,DPK etc but after doing some feasibility studies, I realized i was dead wrong. I further argued that to make cheaper crude available for our refineries, the Govt should reduce the price at which it is supplied unfortunately, the senate mandated the then GMD of Nnpc that the DSO must be sold at international crude price. This i believe was proposed for the

following reasons:


1 the refineries are working below capacity so what the heck does Nnpc use the crude for?


2, there is a benchmark on crude price for budget implementation.With these reasons, any existing or yet to exist refinery in Nigeria will get crude at a international price and must need subsidy to sell at 65naira/ l, at this cross road, the then GMD of Nnpc decided that all crude should be exported and subsidy be paid on imported products.

At this verge, i must reiterate here that competition amongst importers will only crash the negligible profit margin but not cost price .Even if every Nigerian becomes an importer of pet. Prods, we can never change the fact that crude in the int l market is already expensive before thinking of refined prod. So we must need subsidy to make profit.

Before this issue of subsidizing petroleum products can be addressed,You must have the following at the back of your minds:

1, Nigeria pegs a benchmark on crude prices to enable it implement budget. This stands at 75usd/bbl. And this crude is sort from the JV

.2, if crude price exceed the benchmark above, Nigeria makes excess crude revenue (ECR)
3, conversely, if we make excess crude revenue, the price of subsidy on refined products shoot up.With the above analogy, One can argue that the ECR be used to subsidize imported petroleum products since both are a function of each other unfortunately in Nigeria, it comes with its
own challenges.
By law, the constitution clearly states that all revenue accrued to the FG be shared amongst the three tiers of Govt.This alone makes it illegal for the FG to keep the ECR to itself for whatever reason.This is where the wahala started, during GEJ's campaign, he astronomically increased workers salary without consulting the state Governors,most Governors have refused to pay on the grounds that they cannot afford it. On that grounds Taraba, jigawa and some other states have a genuine case.With the above development, the states started scrambling for funds and remembered the ECR and insisted it must be shared to enable them pay the new wage and develop infrastructures.
(you now understand why all state governors are for subsidy removal
including the literally "one of us" comrade Adams oshiomole, because they know it will be shared just like the ECR)


The way forward:


In the short run:


FG, must
consider these options
1, identify and tackle the corruption and incompetence prevalent in the subsidy regime above. That will push down the cost of the subsidy in the first place.Like i said in April, no matter how sincere GEJ think his administration is, he cannot make any reasonable progress in the face of corruption,

2, the power projects must come upstream before removing subsidy, this will reduce the demand on pet. Products to a very great extent.

3, Nigeria must accommodate Gas export, port duties and other forms of revenue in their budget implementation policies.

4, Govt must never invest an extra kobo in our moribund refineries, by doing otherwise, the cost price of the refineries will rise to an extent that it will no longer be attractive to investors or will prolong their repayment plan Thereby making it very capital intensive.

5, Instead of deceiving Nigerians with their cabal bullshit and deluding them that they don't benefit from this subsidy, the FG should channel that propaganda withintense lobbying to the senate,NLC and civil society organizations to stop the state governors from demanding for the ECR, this can be achieved by the FG asking the state to pay whatever increment they can afford for the workers that way the ECR will be used for subsidizing pet. Products.



In the long run:


Nigeria must seek local production capacity.It is no longer news that Nnpc and its subsidiaries have failed woefully in meeting the needs of the Nigerian people. Nnpc through its subsidiaries Npdc and Ngc are saddled with the responsibility of the above for oil and gas production respectively, but as i write, the current production of NPDC stands at a paltry 90,000bbl/ day which is a huge failure for an agency set up 23yrs ago,

The IOC's has made us believe that it will cost less than 12usd to extract 1bbl of our oil.
The Management of NPDC must be reshuffled and if possible experts brought in on contract basis to improve NPDC's production.These experts must be placed on targets appraised by milestones.

In ogoni land for instance, Anglo dutch has a lot of abandoned production facilities and marginal wells and others scattered all over the country, these can be bought by NPDC with the money FG want to waste on refineries to improve production,


If NPDC can extract oil at 12usd/bbl and make a little profit, with this cheap oil available, Nigeria will have no reason going to the JV.

This cheap crude is what will attract investors to build refineries and create jobs against sanusi's pump price increase to attract investors and create another monster called INFLATION,

A 250,000bbl/d refinery will cost a little above 5b usd, dangote alone can afford two of those only if NPDC can guarantee cheap oil. This is why no investor is coming to build refineries. A crude price of 18usd/bbl from NPDC will guarantee pump price of less than 30naira per litre of pms from these refineries.With this plan,By the end of this Administration, NPDC will have robust production capacity and the refineries will guarantee steady refined products. These refineries shouldn't be operated by the Govt for any reason.

The FG will generate revenue from both ends, export of crude and export refined products and the production of NPDC must be increasing periodically. this is necessary because Nigeria as a member of OPEC has a limit to crude export but we can earn more revenue from petroleum products export.

Once the above takes effect, there won’t be any need to be paying subsidy because pump price will be around 23naira/ l and inflation will reduce by 40‰.

Now, how competent is Allison Madueke and iweala if they can’t figure this out? To think of removing subsidy at this stage where there is no electricity and high corruption rate will be tantamount to economic suicide.

I cant believe iweala and sanusi are using trial and error approach to economic solutions please try the next country or preferably Haiti.

What iweala forgot is that in the face of inflation, the cost of running Govt projects will be high, All Govt contractors will definitely come back for contract variations or Abandon those projects.

As a sound economist, she should tell Nigerians the value of 1.3 trillion naira
( she intends to save on subsidy removal) in the face of 60% inflation and how many projects Nigerians will benefit from the subsidy removal?

If you remove subsidy and the money disappears, then it is a NO NO for Nigerians.

Now, let us analyze possible solutions to
this economic quagmire.

I have a deal for iweala.


fight corruption and inefficiencies in the subsidy regime and bring it down to
300billion for this year.

The management of Npdc must have a
Target of 150,000bbl/d by dec 2012. on january 2013 subsidy will go by 50% and by dec 2013 Npdc should guarantee 200,000bbl/d on


1st january 2014 subsidy must go 100%. with or without the refineries on ground, then if Nigerians are sacrificing, they will know it has a limit pending when refineries that will utilize the cheap oil on ground arrives.
tell me what WE are sacrifising for today? eternal slavery? corruption?

I and my generations cannot and will not sacrifice for Govt's incompetence.

Nigerians should never accept partial deregulation, it is more dangerous than total deregulation because Nigeria hasn't a price regulatory agency who ordinarily should put the markets and commuters on check.

Deregulation in the down stream sector is not same as telecoms, we need structures to support it which Nigeria have not got unlike the later.

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