Welcome, Guest: Register On Nairaland / LOGIN! / Trending / Recent / New
Stats: 3,165,663 members, 7,862,039 topics. Date: Sunday, 16 June 2024 at 07:03 AM

Alexplumbing's Posts

Nairaland Forum / Alexplumbing's Profile / Alexplumbing's Posts

(1) (of 1 pages)

Politics / Re: Supreme Court Sacks Senator Shekarau, Declares Rufai Hanga Senator-Elect by Alexplumbing: 11:48pm On Mar 10, 2023
Dedeity:
Tinubu is next. A drug baron can NEVER rule Nigeria
when will u people wiseup and stop lamenting for no justifiable reason. Cry no dey tire una
Politics / Logical Analysis Of 2023 Presidential Election By Prof. M. Jega. by Alexplumbing: 8:53am On Mar 10, 2023
FOLLOW THE LOGICAL ANALYSIS OF THE 2023 ELECTION BY PROF. M. JEGA( former Chairman INEC)

*Asiwaju Bola Tinubu, got only 37% of the vote, down from the 56% that Buhari got in 2019.
* In 2019 was a two-horse race between the APC and PDP candidates, 2023 was at least a four-horse race between APC, PDP, LP and NNPP candidates.
* It was the first time since 2007 that we had more than two major candidates in a presidential election and the first time since 1983 that we had up to four major candidates in such a race.
* The top four candidates in this election got 37%, 29%, 25% and 6% respectively. This compares closely with 1979 when Shagari got 34%, Awo got 29%, Zik got 16%, Aminu Kano got 10.28 and Waziri Ibrahim got 10%.
* The top three runners up in this race got a combined 60% of the vote.
* That is impressive, but then, they only have themselves to blame that they did not present a united front before the election. They only tried to present a united front to contest the results.
* It is a case of locking the stables after the horses have bolted. Would they have made 60% of the vote if they had united behind a single candidate? Anybody’s guess.

* Tinubu’s party went into this election controlling the Federal and 21 state governments. In the event, he won only 12 states outright.
*PDP’s Atiku Abubakar also won 12 states,
* LP’s Peter Obi won 12 states outright [FCT included]
* NNPP’s Kwankwaso won outright in one state.
So how did Tinubu win the race? Simple.
* The number of states that a candidate wins outright is important. Equally important is the number of states in which he came second. *Also very important is, if he came second with only a narrow margin in most of them.

*Tinubu won 12 states outright [Zamfara, Jigawa, Borno, Niger, Kwara, Kogi, Benue, Ekiti, Oyo, Ogun, Ondo and Rivers]. He came second in 19 states [Kebbi, Sokoto, Kaduna, Katsina, Kano, Gombe, Bauchi, Yobe, Taraba, Nasarawa, Plateau, Adamawa, Osun, Lagos, Cross River, Akwa Ibom, Edo, Imo and Ebonyi].
*In many cases the margins of loss were very small, only 3,000 votes in Sokoto, 12,000 in Katsina and equally narrow margins in Osun and Lagos.
*Tinubu came second to Kwankwaso in Kano, second to Atiku in most of the states the latter won and second to Obi in Lagos, Ebonyi, Imo and Edo.
* This was exactly how Alhaji Shehu Shagari won the presidency in 1979. He won outright in nine states out of 19 [Sokoto, Kaduna, Niger, Bauchi, Gongola, Benue, Kwara, Rivers and Cross River.] He won in Kaduna and Gongola even though his party lost the governorship elections there two weeks earlier, what in those days was called “the bandwagon effect.” Of the remaining ten states in Nigeria at the time, Shagari came second in 9 [Oyo, Ogun, Ondo, Bendel, Anambra, Imo, Borno, Plateau and Kano]. Shagari came third only in Lagos, after Awo and Zik.
* Like Shagari, like Tinubu; you are victorious if your party is either first or second in almost every state.

Allegations that APC rigged the election also falls flat because it lost the biggest states, namely Lagos, Kaduna, Kano and Katsina, even though all of them have APC state governors, all of whom are staunchly loyal to Tinubu.
* In terms of vote banks, what is Imo, Edo or Adamawa to these states? Why should anyone go rigging elections in some small states when he could rig up figures in the biggest ones and win by a large margin?
* If they could help it, why should ten APC governors, APC National Chairman and Director General of the APC campaign suffer the embarrassment of failing to deliver their states?
*Why should Tinubu himself suffer the embarrassment of failing to win outright in Lagos, long alleged to be his political fiefdom?
*Allegations that APC rigged these polls do not hold the water of logic. *But those making them still have the chance to prove them at the election tribunals.

3 Likes

Politics / Re: Who Was The Best And Worst Performing Governor In 2022 by Alexplumbing: 5:50pm On Jan 01, 2023
SIMONEKPA7:
Best.
Udom Emmanuel of Akwa Ibom
Dave Umahi of Ebonyi
Sanwo Olu of Lagos
Wike of Rivers.
Ahmed Fintiri of Adamawa
Ahmed Elrufai of Kaduna but a religious and ethnic bigots

Worst.
Ikpeazu of Abia
Ben Ayade of Cross River
Yahaya Bello of Kogi
Obaseki of Edo
Ifeanyi Ugwuanyi of Enugu
Dapo Abiodun of Ogun
Okowa of Delta
Diri of Bayelsa
Orthom of Benue
Aminu Tambuwal of Sokoto
AA Sule of Nasarawa
Niger state governor
I totally disagree with you mentioning AA of kwara as part of worse performing governors, that man as really tried..
Music/Radio / Re: Who Is The Best Nigerian Musical Artist Talentwise? by Alexplumbing: 2:42pm On Dec 28, 2022
How many people know good and raw talent when it comes to music in Nigeria of today. The only thing most listen to is just beat and jamz.. your perception about good and raw talent might be mine worst of all. Very few understands what good music is all about.
Let me take it from this perspective, if an artist within the chores of Nigeria can gain audience and international recognition and even finds there way into the list of Grammy nominees, I think that's even enough to say we got raw talent. Note this, I'm not insinuating that other artists that to be recognized ain't artists or talents to reconge with. Nigeria of today is blessed with many great talents as per music is concerned. And with alot of wack and quack ones around too.
Nairaland / General / Re: Have You Ever Cut Off A Very Close Friend Completely? by Alexplumbing: 6:34pm On Dec 14, 2022
I think this topic was actually meant for me cause I just ended a hypocritic friendship just two days ago. I would have love to share deeply what transpired between us but let me make it brief and shot.. this guy in question happens to be my colleague, friend and brother tend to be. But one thing i detest about him the most is exploiting ones wickness to redeem his own personal fame and cheap public sympathy. I do have this notion about true and honest friendship " that friendship should be kept to cover each other ass" but reverse was the case between us.

9 Likes

Food / Re: Can You Eat This? A Nairalander Hunted And Fried Flying Termites (photo) by Alexplumbing: 12:30pm On Jul 07, 2022
TheStakeHolder:
Sapa induced diet.

May God save us all from poverty...


lipsrsealed

Had it been it was package and branded by foreign confectionery or whatever, I believe you won't have reason to reject it when offered. Stop attributing poverty or Sapa to everything, don't be brain washed by your maopic idealogy.
Science/Technology / Re: Video: Ekiti Boy Constructing A Generator And A Pos Machine by Alexplumbing: 6:56am On Jun 05, 2022
okunwaye:
Rubbish
Generator for torch light and motor grin
. No mind, you for try help invent one at least dat can power your brain to think straight and stop bad mouthing someone else's progress.. bastard son of a thousand father..
Health / Re: Pls Help, What Skin Defections Is This by Alexplumbing: 12:21pm On Jan 01, 2022
shawnfamous:
This is mycosis, it's a fungal skin infection.
any idea of d causes pls
Health / Re: Pls Help, What Skin Defections Is This by Alexplumbing: 12:19pm On Jan 01, 2022
silvoclaira:
Experts please help out.

OP, try and visit a dermatologist to(skin doc)

Your cousin sister will be okay
noted
Health / Pls Help, What Skin Defections Is This by Alexplumbing: 12:07pm On Jan 01, 2022
Good day fellow nairalanders, pls any doctor in the house should pls help prescribe antidote or any form of treatments to this skin defections unleashing itself on the skin of my cousin sister.

Properties / Re: Ikoyi Building Collapse: Number Of Survivors Now 15, 42 Dead ― Sanwo-olu by Alexplumbing: 12:08am On Nov 07, 2021
mooremoney:
They should hold the vice president responsible, he can't continue denying everything...
. For what? Was it the VP that orchestrated the reason why the building collapse.. Bro go get more sense
Politics / Re: #AnambraDecides: APC Candidate , Andy Ubah Casts Vote - Pictures by Alexplumbing: 5:19pm On Nov 06, 2021
See confidence,
Politics / Re: Metamorphosis Of Olusegun Obasanjo (Photos) by Alexplumbing: 11:26am On Nov 06, 2021
Sleekfingers:

Ur generations put together can never be as useful to dat useless part of dis great icon



Useless ex president.....

(1) (of 1 pages)

(Go Up)

Sections: politics (1) business autos (1) jobs (1) career education (1) romance computers phones travel sports fashion health
religion celebs tv-movies music-radio literature webmasters programming techmarket

Links: (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10)

Nairaland - Copyright © 2005 - 2024 Oluwaseun Osewa. All rights reserved. See How To Advertise. 28
Disclaimer: Every Nairaland member is solely responsible for anything that he/she posts or uploads on Nairaland.