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Arewarepublic's Posts

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PoliticsRe: 2015: We May Push Oduah To Senate – Anambra Elders by arewarepublic: 1:13pm On Aug 16, 2014
"Elders of Anambra North Senatorial Zone of Anambra State and Town union leaders in the zone have stated that they might consider  the immediate past Minister of Aviation, Princess Stella Oduah as the most credible person from the zone to become their next senator during the 2015 national assembly elections in the country."

Smh for anambra leaders huh
PoliticsRe: APC Reacts To Ogar On Osun Election by arewarepublic: 12:06pm On Aug 16, 2014
homerac7: O yea! Thanks for pointing that out.

But that still puts it at 486/million/day. With NL at about 1.22 million members, that's = 1.22 x 486/ day. That's extremely high sir.

Solution:
1. Better distributed data. (There's a formulae that gives minimum data sample for given population and distribution. Sorry, my book aren't here.)
2. Find the population of multiple monikers to develop a probability value for them.
3. Solve using 1&2 in Bayes theorem.

Think that should work better

Good luck bro. wink
0.0486% of 1222396 = 0.0486/100 x 1222396

=0.000486 x 1222396

= 586.75

587 members /day which is reasonable.

Your solution pass my power grin I will leave that for descartes.

Thanks though. cool
PoliticsRe: APC Reacts To Ogar On Osun Election by arewarepublic: 11:50am On Aug 16, 2014
Descartes: Yea, but with this rate and the error i can vividly get the population of the previous year using population growth formula. tongue
For instance let say two yeas ago i.e when t=-2,
Using either; N(t)=N(1+r)^t or N(t)=Ne^rt wink cool
The error will still affect your value.

N(t)=Ne^rt

All you need is an initial population as at 1 year ago from the admin. You already have the final population. You can then find the actual growth rate,r with minimal error. wink
PoliticsRe: Boko Haram: Ali Modu Sheriff Visits Jonathan by arewarepublic: 11:24am On Aug 16, 2014
Let them keep deceiving themselves.

Wicked people. angry
PoliticsRe: APC Reacts To Ogar On Osun Election by arewarepublic: 11:08am On Aug 16, 2014
meforyou1: stupid boko haram. Ur brothers will soon cut off your right hand for going to village school. Wawa banza
Let's hope Ebola doesn't strike you first.


Jaki kawai! angry
PoliticsRe: APC Reacts To Ogar On Osun Election by arewarepublic: 10:45am On Aug 16, 2014
Descartes: Am still monitoring it cos the error margin is still @ 0.34% with growth rate of 0.0486%
To reduce the marginal error, you will have to monitor for as long as a year.

Nairaland admin could also help you with previous data. wink
PoliticsRe: APC Reacts To Ogar On Osun Election by arewarepublic: 10:14am On Aug 16, 2014
meforyou1: sharap
Why? Because a fool says so? undecided
PoliticsRe: APC Reacts To Ogar On Osun Election by arewarepublic: 10:13am On Aug 16, 2014
maestroferddi: And you are deluding yourself that you are making sense, abi?
Will a senseless person like you ever see sense in anything?
PoliticsRe: APC Reacts To Ogar On Osun Election by arewarepublic: 10:11am On Aug 16, 2014
homerac7: Chai !!! Voodoo statistics.

Me think the period of observation is too short and that is an error flag by itself. Moreover if u work with ur 4.5% daily grown rate, do a simple forecast into next 100 days and tell me if ur projection makes sense.
I also believe the period is short, but going by the result of 0.048% not 4.5% as you claim, I think the estimated value isn't too bad.
PoliticsRe: APC Reacts To Ogar On Osun Election by arewarepublic: 9:42am On Aug 16, 2014
Descartes: Yea, that was taken into account, monitored it for 7days; from 12:40pm on 7th— 14th August @12:40pm.
And about 40% of this population have atleast three monickers lipsrsealed lipsrsealed tongue
Does that mean the actual growth rate will be less that 0.048%?



Btw:So, you have been spying on Nairalanders? angry
PoliticsRe: APC Reacts To Ogar On Osun Election by arewarepublic: 9:08am On Aug 16, 2014
Descartes: Do you agree with my claim on growth rate of Nairaland huh
Mind telling me how you arrived at the figure?
PoliticsRe: APC Reacts To Ogar On Osun Election by arewarepublic: 9:04am On Aug 16, 2014
Descartes: Am busy with my research work on "Population Dynamics" as an aspect of Demographic Analysis using Nairaland as a case study.
Also have been on many other project on RDBMS for my Organisation.
Am gonna publish the research soon.
From my observation, NAIRALAND is one of the fastest growing online community with a growth rate of 0.048% per day cool
Yaya amariya huh
Good to see you use good part of your time for other things more important than Nairaland.grin


How did you arrive at 0.048%?

I have never observed the membership growth rate, but from the period it reached up to a million members to now, there is an average of about 500 registered members/ day which makes your figure moderate.

But hope you ll take into consideration the at which members open multiple accounts.



Babu amarya sai 'yan mata...cool
PoliticsRe: APC Reacts To Ogar On Osun Election by arewarepublic: 8:40am On Aug 16, 2014
Descartes: And it is very much depressing seeing you defending your party online as a Nigerian youth . tongue
It is most depressing when a youth like you thinks speaking against the corruption, terrorism and impunity of the ruling party is depressing. tongue cry
PoliticsRe: APC Reacts To Ogar On Osun Election by arewarepublic: 8:24am On Aug 16, 2014
Descartes: Politics in Naija
Aboki, kwana biyu. You go annual leave ni?
PoliticsRe: APC Reacts To Ogar On Osun Election by arewarepublic: 8:23am On Aug 16, 2014
omenka: It is acutely depressing seeing how these people keep messing up this country.

Most of them haven't the faintest idea what their job descriptions are. So depressing.
It is even more depressing to see that some people who may have gone through the four walls of a classroom come online to defend this classic show of shame.

meforyou1: Liar Mohammed writing what tinubu asked him to write
2cato: This lier mohamed is a foo.l what will a normal human being doing at 2.30 am patroling from street to street if he is not a thief and why did aregbe invited the DSS when they know that they will later insult them.
PoliticsRe: Massive, Minnesota Made Fire Trucks Flying Overnight To Jigawa State Nigeria by arewarepublic: 4:22am On Aug 16, 2014
I respect Sule Lamido for his high taste for quality/ standard products and service delivery but why spend huge amount for emergency shipping?
TV/MoviesRe: Jobless Jonathan Hosts Omoni Oboli For Private Screening Of Her Movie by arewarepublic: 2:32am On Aug 16, 2014
vedd: Chai! The actress came with a BoobyTrap. She got Jona's eyes glued to the point of lustful attraction.


Dis Jona like brèast too much. grin
Jona no get taste for brreast ooooo becos na only flat chest I see for that place.
PoliticsRe: IG-P, COAS Denies Assisting PDP, Presidency To Manipulate Ekiti Guber Polls by arewarepublic: 8:32pm On Aug 15, 2014
caseless: maryling was so stuupid to think she cud use that watery allegation to hoodwink all of us into believing her agency is 'sainted' and to divert our attention.
she's megascopically stuupid and courtesan built with holo-cephalo!
Shhhhhhhhh lipsrsealed
Becareful! we have secret service agents on nairaland.
PoliticsRe: Buhari Will Never Rule Nigeria Again by arewarepublic: 3:01pm On Aug 15, 2014
BlackPeni5: [s] We wasted 8 years of our democracy with a corrupt old Obasanjo. I was hoping his old age will discourage him from stealing since he would soon be meeting his creator but No. Now people are clamoring for another great grand father in the person of General Buhari.

Apart from intimidating and Punishing Nigerians of other tribes and pampering corrupt Northerners during his tenure, what has he really achieved as a leader. What development did he bring to his community in Katsina state as charity begins at home.

The most tribalistic tribes in Nigeria happen to be the major tribes in the following order:
1. Hausa
2. Yoruba
3. Ibo

I did not vote for Jonathan in 2011 and I hope not to vote for him in 2015...But with a Buhari, my vote for GEJ is guaranteed. I'm also ready to vote for anybody from a state in the South South, Edo or the Middle belt as they are less protected by their tribes, which will encourage criticism and ultimately good governance.[/s]
Coming from a lunkhead who arrogantly thinks a bullet is same as shrapnels, I won't be wrong to call this post trash.
PoliticsRe: Defecting To PDP Would Be Ribadu’s Worst Mistake In Life— Kwankwaso by arewarepublic: 2:19pm On Aug 15, 2014
jmaine: Where were you when he teamed up with Tinubu, a man he labelled with some disparaging remarks. ?

When he was asked during the presidential debate, as an aspiring politician, he stylishly dodged that aspect and all was normal.

Ribadu EFCC moral ship departed the moment he was the APC flag bearer . . .

This is politics , and the APC is just a mirror version of the PDP with the packaging the only difference . . . .
Interesting...........
PoliticsRe: ............ by arewarepublic: 11:41am On Aug 15, 2014
Nigerians ae watching and doing nothing about it?

Smhhuh angry
PoliticsRe: No Bomb Blast Since After APC Victory In Osun State - DSS Spokesperson by arewarepublic: 11:23am On Aug 15, 2014
In normal societies,this comment by a DSS spokesperson is enough to ignite a revolutional change.

Nigerians will only shout, yell and whine on social media and pages of newspapers........dts all! angry

We are all toothless bulldogs for allowing such crass insanity to be carried out by a few. My conclusion is that majority of Nigerians are zombies.
PoliticsRe: This State In Nigeria Records 699 Cases Of Ra.pe In A Year. by arewarepublic: 3:40pm On Aug 14, 2014
49% of the rape cases in Iboland will be reduced if the penis of a nairalander called Iconize is chopped off.
PoliticsRe: Contest And Plunge Nigeria Into Violence, Anarchy - Northern Delegates by arewarepublic: 11:09am On Aug 14, 2014
BluIvy: You cannot be as shocked as I am to read the responses below the post. I think the heading was made to foool the lazy readers. I thought well, Naija logic different from other logic. If it were the same Nlers on the conference, the New constitution would have been passed without any ditection. Lawd have mercy! Just observing. undecided
Doesn't that explain how most Nigerians easily get fooled by our leaders?

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