₦airaland Forum

tctrills:
You are right. But you forget that Christians are 20 to 25% of the northern population.
If Obi wins the Christian vote as he would, the Muslim vote would be divided among the 3 major Muslim candidates.
That's why we keep saying that Obi stands a chance of winning.
20% of the northern vote plus South East and South South.

sanusideunifier:
We don't want a Nigeria build on hate and injustices. I have travelled round the world and know how nations are built and the need to respect every individual. Why would Malami constitute a body of law unto himself and challenge the decisions of the Appeal Court? Is it not stupid? Appeal Court said it is criminal to abduct someone from Kenya but you foolishly defend ignorance.
Again, is Mayetti Allah the spokesperson of the federal government? Nigerians are not happy right now and we should be careful here in the north. Nigeria belongs to all Nigerians irrespective of backgrounds.

TheEndless:
Agbado Munching Osinwin give me a verified news link not your own Facebook post. Not all of us are liquid cocaine injecting BATstards like you

TheEndless:
I did exactly this last week. Massive cashout! I went home with wads of naira in my pocket. Awon Osinwin Agbado ninu Alagbado

Nyamuri:

Coolsperm:
And the will never Tinubu because even We Yoruba Christian's will never vote for Muslim Muslim ticket, Muric told Yoruba Muslims Not to vote Yoruba Christian's and they agreed

emmanuelbrown26:
BTW those that opposed a failure twice and and those that voted him twice na who cum get sense pass?

omoredia:
Is ur life and that of ur children now better for it? U have a brain to reason pls

sanusideunifier:
I challenge the security agents to arrest and interrogate this OyigboUpdate also known as Mazisimonekpa and now AfricanColumbus on his killing videos and fake news. He should reveal the sources and the why the mainstream media are never privy of these horrific killings and videos. Shockingly, he releases them often before they happen. Those fighting dirty pay these killers to kill and in their foolishness, they rubbish Obi's popularity.
Nigerians have rejected them and now their last option is to kill igbos and make the news about their killings. I call on the security to study this case and make their findings public.

Tinubuagbado:
*Any Christian who is mistakenly planning to vote APC in 2023 election should consider these facts.*

1. Presidential Candidate: Moslem (Lagos),

2. Vice Presidential Candidate: Moslem (Borno),

3. National Chairman: Moslem (Nasarawa)

4. Deputy National Chairman : Moslem (Borno),

5. *Seating* President : Moslem(Katsina);

6. Senate President: Moslem (Yobe);

7. Speaker of the House of Representatives: Moslem(Lagos);

8. Deputy Speaker of House of Representatives: Moslem(Plateau)

Note that these appointments of only Moslems extends to almost all the heads of the Security Agencies, NNPC, Federal Ministries and Parastatals

The Question for every discerning mind to ask is: "Is APC a fake Islamic political party? Is it a platform for advancing an Islamic jihad political agenda?

Let every Christian be careful with how they cast their vote in this coming 2023 election.

It is time for the Real Muslims and Christians to rise up and change this narrative. And we need to begin to create awareness among Christians by helping to spread this information to all the contacts we have and the platforms we belong to.

Cursed be the man or woman who calls himself a believer, and have seen or witnessed the ethnic cleansing, killing of rel Muslims and Christians, and appointment of JIHADIST Muslims in all Key national departments and offices, and still vote these Terrorist Islamists.

The raw truth is that only sworn, self confirmed antichrists who goes to Church can vote APC, or any other Terrorist Islamists in other parties to continue an open Islamic jihad, and by extension, Fulanization agenda.

Christians have helped advance Islamic jihad agenda these years. Enough is enough.

Share this in all Genuine Muslims and Christian believers platforms, just as you read and speak to those who have no access to social media platforms.

optionalY09:
Peter should go back to the the East, Nigeria will not hold. We Yoruba are done with the Nigeria Project. A failed project

Coolsperm:
We Yoruba Christian will never vote for Muslim Muslim ticket,

NJV:
Pls link to this news

Kingsmm55:
ASUU should endeavor to make the utmost use of this opportunity let this be the last strike in the history of Nigerian university. They are not supposed to resume school until federal government do good the agreement because with Nigerian horrible politicians agreement is different from implementation.....

Period007:
Nairaland bots don't have PVC oo

Nazgul:
I believe the whole nation is bowled over at the growing popularity of the LP candidate HE Peter Obi. He was written off by political analysts earlier in the year when he joined LP on the basis that his party (LP) had no structure, but at the moment, he's arguably the most popular candidate in the election. The most talked about, the most criticized, the most hated, the most investigated...etc. Of all the candidates.

Obviously if he's opponents believed he lacked the political structure needed to win the election they wouldn't have given him kind of attention they're currently giving to him.

Social media activists like Reno has made attacking HE Peter Obi a full time job, his tweets about the LP presidential candidate comes in per minute, there are other candidates in other political parties without structure like LP, in fact a party like SDP in 2018 gave PDP and APC a run for their money in the gubernatorial election in Osun State, yet their presidential candidate despite having a visible structure in the SW isn't considered as a threat to the big wigs...this should tell you that LP has become the last beacon of hope for the average Nigerian.

Without wanting to waste your time...I decided to give a forecast of how 2023 elections would look like based on the past voting pattern in the 6 geopolitical zones across Nigeria. And why I believe HE Peter Obi can win.

The core North (NE and NW) since 2003 when Buhari started contesting has always displayed herd mentality towards elections. No Southern candidate has ever defeated a northerner in these two zones. So whoever is projecting any southerner (Tinubu or Peter Obi) to win there is just deceiving them cos I don't see 2023 being any different from past elections in those two zones...they would come out in Mass and vote their fellow northerner.

The NC is divided into two the Christian part and the Muslim part...the Christian section which consists of Nassarawa, Benue, Plateau, Abuja tend to tilt towards Southerners and in this case Peter Obi. A clear example was how Buhari lost Abuja to Jonathan in 2011, 2015 and to Atiku in 2019. I believe the reason is because there's a high population of enlightened people there who aren't part of the herd mentality of the core northerners.

This leaves us with the SE, this zone has been a traditional PDP zone, therefore despite being a southerner, Tinubu wouldn't win any local government here, Peter Obi is projected to get Bloc votes here. The SS voting pattern would be similar to that of the SE only that Atiku would perform better here...but I see it going to Peter Obi, possibly with a very close margin unlike the south east where he would most likely have bloc votes. Tinubu wouldn't win any single state in these two zones.

To the SW, here would really be a political battle ground. Osun and Oyo are PDP States. LP would perform poorly here except in Lagos. And Tinubu won't be getting bloc votes in Lagos despite the high turnout of new registered voters cos he'd have to struggle with LP and PDP for votes.

So in reality tinubu is most likely to win minimum of 5 states and maximum of 8 states... which most likely would be Lagos, Ogun, Ekiti, Ondo, Kogi, and Kwara... possible battle ground that might flip might be Oyo but he wouldn't win Osun State.

Peter Obi if the SS and Christian Bloc of the NC stands behind him should win about 15 states. 5 from the SE, 6 from the SS and 5 from the NC (including Abuja)

Atiku would want to pocket the 6 NE states and 7 NW states which should give him 13 northern States. If Kwankwaso intensifies his campaign and grabs like at least 3 NE states, Atiku's hold would reduce to about 10 states in the bag. This now leaves us with the NC which has 7 states. Of which Tinubu has already grabbed two (Kogi and Kwara) and Peter Obi 4 which are Benue, plateau Nassarawa and Abuja... Atiku would definitely win Niger state making his Total 11 and if you add Osun and Oyo it would be 13

So at the end of it all...

Peter Obi would have won 15 states

Atiku 12-13 States

Tinubu 6-7 States

Kwankwaso 3 States

If Peter Obi can concentrate his efforts on this zones where he's sure of winning it would be better for his campaign. He can't win the core North so he shouldn't wast his resources there, they don't vote Southerners and wouldn't change their mindset. He should solidify his hold on this zones that are winnable and enuse he doesn't loose them as the day goes by.

Source... myself.

successmatters:
These vehicles and men were prepared to collect money to the pockets of Emilokan. KAI, LASTMA, LAWMA, motor park touts all the old things Tinubu achieved in Lagos.

Agbero organisation.

BluntCrazeMan:
May Nigeria Continue To Succeed..
AMEN
AAMMEENN.

Period007:
Stop using bots to like your own comments

Faber:
I want ask a simple question. Is it was President Peter Obi standing on the podium and honouring citizens, will Teni snub his handshake?

Try make una vote President all man go fit dey shake his hand...I don talk my own finish.

Okon Lagos, you too much