₦airaland Forum

lovewins:
Again, these rallies don't count for much in the scheme of things. There's a reason the APC will never use TBS that's seats hundreds of thousands of people during The experience but will rather choose a 10,000 capacity Onikan stadium or a 24,000 capacity Teslim Balogun Stadium

Ezeama400:
Arranged uniforms everywhere

yarimo:
That is if you have PVC

Olasyke:
She's a kleptomaniac, what do you expect?
She needs professional help. Joseph "MEND" ing her won't help.

illicit:
Ofon

Henryfortune:
Tilunmbu is Cumin..........
Now you are not even sure of who you want anymore 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

tsephanyah:
Collect their money and vote Obi or Atiku.

SuperBlack:
Dear Nigerian youths, it is not only your Past Heroes that have laboured, you also have!
Do not be quick to forget 20.10.20
Do not sell your Vote!
Do not vote Sentimentally!
Do not be Tribalistic in your voting!
Don't vote wisely

Just Vote Peter Obi, Confused generation

I don't trust your wiseness

yarimo:
#2 billions stolen Anambra state tax payers money is working

Nikodes:
All we know for a fact is that this country shall be great again

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Naira20:
It is well.
However, God is not constrained to save by multitude or few.

I'm confident God wants to humble politicians by helping Peter Obi to win

His emergence is beyond us all.God will take all the glory in the rebirth of this country.

Ttalk:
LP
Obi has SE in the kitty and SS as a support base

APC
Tinubu has SW in the bag and NC as backup

PDP
Atiku has NE as a voting strength and ?? as a support base.

Leaving NW as the determinant of the presidential election.

Since NW has the highest voting strength and there's the Kwankwanso factor to reduce the % the other 3 major candidates can take from NW, then the voting % remaining after removing Kwakwaso votes will still be greater than the voting strength of the SE.

Then the winner of NW will be the winner of the election.

Let us now consider the strength of Obi, Tinubu, and Atiku in the NW.

Obi
Obi has no influence at all to muster 15% in the NW so he is out of the game.

Atiku
Atiku's influence in the NW comes from religious and ethnic factors, which would make him perform well in the NW.
However, many factors would equally reduce his performance in that region. Those factors will make him lose to his closest rival Tinubu in that region.

Tinubu
This is the region where APC has 6 governors, the highest number of Senators, and HoR members with structure in every local government.

This is also the region of the incumbent that benefited hugely in infrastructure and human empowerment, this region and its people benefiting from the present government would not allow their source of income close, interest is paramount in politics above religion and tribe, and for this reason, Tinubu will edge Atiku in NW and will become the overall winner.

SECOND POSITION BY REGION

Obi
Nil

Atiku
SW & SS

Tinubu
NE

Final Analysis

Obi
1st SE
1 St SS
2nd Nil

Atiku
1st NE
2nd SS
2nd SW

Tinubu
1st SW
1st NC
2nd NE

(NW)
Whoever wins NW becomes the winner

If Tinubu wins NW,

- he would have a national spread of 25% in 24 states
- he would have the highest votes with a 2 million difference from his runner-up.

If Atiku wins NW, he would have the 24% national spread but won't have the highest votes and the election will go to runoff

Conclusion.

Tinubu will win NW, and there won't be a need for a runoff

CoronaVirusRelo:
Dude better go seek asylum in another country!

Brendaniel:
A leader and a theifer...in other news....


Nigerians have chosen President Peter Obi(GCFR)

PeterObi4LP:
On Sunday churches endorse Peter Obi including my Church. So you don't need to hear them speak before you believe. Their preaching and body language speaks volume who the congregants should vote for.

PeterObi4LP:
You don't need him to say it openly. His message in Church and body language speaks volume who he endorse and who his congregants should vote for.

PrinceOfLagos:
Lagos tax payers money have suffered in Tinubu hands

The way Tinubu spend Lagos tax money, you will think that Lagos was bought by him

We won't allow Tinubu near our nation's coffers

No! to the drug baron thief

Jones4190:
how is it useless if they can still take it to bank

PrinceOfLagos:
Go about your campaign but don't force market men and women to close shop and be at your campaign like in you guys did in previous Tinubu campaigns in this Lagos

PrinceOfLagos:
Fake News flying up and down by Tinubu desperate followers

The number of fake news they've told today is more than 50

Peter Obi general acceptance and popularity is giving Tinubu and his followers serious headache right now especially as the election is in few days