Brendaniel:


You people are very funny, reputable organizations did polls on the street and online and declared Peter Obi winner more than 3 times, you will now sit down in your house and be doing imaginary calculations to declare your own winner.... Continue because we both know that.....

Nigerians have chosen President Peter Obi(GCFR)

Joker!

Very soon you will wake up and smell the coffee.. Fee days time my dear.

deltaprincess:


Joker!

Very soon you will wake up and smell the coffee.. Fee days time my dear.

Don't mind him, Obi will come in distant third behind Atiku

Asgard13:
A Yoruba man will sit in his ikire Abi ogbomosho home and be typing out hallucinations

Aside zamfara and maybe Niger

Tinubu won’t see any state in Northwest to win

Counting on Apc governors is like Gej counting on muazu..to win 2015

Wetin we know

4 days to go..

Tinubu must contest!
Must!


Power to the people
North 2023

E too clear

Who dash am Zamfara and Niger.Tinubu cannot win a single state in the NW

Ttalk:


I am in North central, the only place Obi can win is FCT and he has PDP to contend with and it's not so sure for him. Forget any other state in the North Central for Obi including Benue and Plateau state, what you failed to put into cognizance is that the indigenous people of those states are also in the ballot with APC ticket running for Senate and HoR on same day as Presidential election

So indigenous people of the area in LP are not contesting elections too?

deltaprincess:


Joker!

Very soon you will wake up and smell the coffee.. Fee days time my dear.

Jokes or not.....


Nigerians have chosen President Peter Obi(GCFR)

hegelian:
how can you say tinubu has NC as back up

NC states (Plateau, Kogi, Kwara,Niger,Benue, Nassara, and FCT)...

tinubu will win Kwara with minor gap, might win kogi
Atiku will win Niger state and maybe nassarawa
Obi will win Plateau, Benue and maybe FCT
so pls OP how is tinubu having NC as backup

i however partially agree with your other analysis

Tinubu is winning Kwara with 70%+. He's winning Kogi, Niger, Nassarawa, Benue.

Peace!

kcnwaigbo:

Who dash am Zamfara and Niger.Tinubu cannot win a single state in the NW

Tinubu will win the entire NW bar Sokoto. Him and AA go drag that one.

Peace!

Brendaniel:


You people are very funny, reputable organizations did polls on the street and online and declared Peter Obi winner more than 3 times, you will now sit down in your house and be doing imaginary calculations to declare your own winner.... Continue because we both know that.....

Nigerians have chosen President Peter Obi(GCFR)

I am not surprised to see this comment. Thats the purpose Obi has been conducting fake polls to shore up himself. If he does not win this election which is most likely.m, the question that could cause riot is what you have asked. Obi is a scammer and he will scam many of you into this election.

Brendaniel:


Abeg shift jor...

Nigerians have chosen President Peter Obi(GCFR)

ok sir

drlateef:





I am not surprised to see this comment. Thats the purpose Obi has been conducting fake polls to shore up himself. If he does not win this election which is most likely.m, the question that could cause riot is what you have asked. Obi is a scammer and he will scam many of you into this election.

Bloomberg, ANAP and 4 other polls are fake? Like I said you guys are very funny and don't pay attention to details....

So if it was so easy to conduct such polls with such reputable firms and bribe them, why hasn't PDP and APC bribed any reputable firm like bloomberg for theirs or do you think they will not like a reputable firm like bloomberg to poll them victorious?

You guys are very funny.... anyway....

Nigerians have chosen President Peter Obi(GCFR)

Lol, you go cry on Saturday tire

kcnwaigbo:



So indigenous people of the area in LP are not contesting elections too?

How many indigenous people of Lagos are contesting in LP?

Let even start from SE your region.

LP does not have candidates for most of the Senate and HoR positions in the north.

Just dey there dey play

hegelian:
how can you say tinubu has NC as back up

NC states (Plateau, Kogi, Kwara,Niger,Benue, Nassara, and FCT)...

tinubu will win Kwara with minor gap, might win kogi
Atiku will win Niger state and maybe nassarawa
Obi will win Plateau, Benue and maybe FCT
so pls OP how is tinubu having NC as backup

i however partially agree with your other analysis

You lie.tinubu will win kwara heavily,kogi and Niger narrowly.obi has plateau and benue.nasarawa will divide

kcnwaigbo:

Who dash am Zamfara and Niger.Tinubu cannot win a single state in the NW

Has pdp ever won zamfara and niger

Mynd44:

Niger is not North West
Seems you are the one with limited knowledge

ain't you supposed to be neutral eh

journalism in the mud

Ttalk:


I am in North central, the only place Obi can win is FCT and he has PDP to contend with and it's not so sure for him. Forget any other state in the North Central for Obi including Benue and Plateau state, what you failed to put into cognizance is that the indigenous people of those states are also in the ballot with APC ticket running for Senate and HoR on same day as Presidential election

so what you are trying to say is that Benue and plateau state that has always gone PDP way since 1999 will suddenly swing to APC?

clap for urself

Brendaniel:


You people are very funny, reputable organizations did polls on the street and online and declared Peter Obi winner more than 3 times, you will now sit down in your house and be doing imaginary calculations to declare your own winner.... Continue because we both know that.....

Nigerians have chosen President Peter Obi(GCFR)

Same persons that declared Atiku & Obi winners in 2019?

Talking about NW, Obi Pandora is out of the equation, they've been swallowed by Tinubu


Now, who are the governors in the NW? Are they APC or PDP governors?


Re do that analysis..

Apophenia24k:
This election has shown that Yorubas are so intelligent, they know every region of this country very well, even more the indigenous people. 😆 😆 .

Why is Soludo not campaigning for Peter Obi? I haven't seen any ex Anambra state Governor campaigning for him too?! All of by them are Igbo.

I beg enough of this unnecessary permutations and let's wait till election day.This year election is very difficult to predict. Jonathan has majority of the Governor's in 2015 and yet he lost.

oluwole1211:
I beg enough of this unnecessary permutations and let's wait till election day.This year election is very difficult to predict. Jonathan has majority of the Governor's in 2015 and yet he lost.

There's nothing bad in analysing and predicting, it will further open our minds so we won't be making bogus predictions like Obidients are presently doing, if your head cannot carry the discussion, better you keep mute

Buckeyemedia1:
Same persons that declared Atiku & Obi winners in 2019?

Nigerians have chosen President Peter Obi(GCFR)

Asgard13:
Can an Igbo wan win any Yoruba states ?

can a Yoruba man win any Igbo state?

Antivirus92:
can a Yoruba man win any Igbo state?

What now makes Yoruba people believe a Yoruba man and a kanuri man will win a hausa Fulani dominated region?

Asgard13:


What now makes Yoruba people believe a Yoruba man and a kanuri man will win a hausa Fulani dominated region?

They're suffering from delusion!

Asgard13:


What now makes Yoruba people believe a Yoruba man and a kanuri man will win a hausa Fulani dominated region?

History

Ogogoro analysis.

The election is between Obi and Atiku. Tinubu is not in the race.

Screenshot this post. It's either Obi or Atiku will win this election.

deltaprincess:


Joker!

Very soon you will wake up and smell the coffee.. Fee days time my dear.

So who's your presidential candidate?

Antivirus92:
They're suffering from delusion!

Reality is that they might get enough ores based on party structure.. and politcal associates..

But winning a majority votes will take more than funds

Hopium:


Tinubu is winning Kwara with 70%+. He's winning Kogi, Niger, Nassarawa, Benue.

Peace!

Benue?

No

Ttalk:
LP
Obi has SE in the kitty and SS as a support base

APC
Tinubu has SW in the bag and NC as backup

PDP
Atiku has NE as a voting strength and ?? as a support base.

Leaving NW as the determinant of the presidential election.

Since NW has the highest voting strength and there's the Kwankwanso factor to reduce the % the other 3 major candidates can take from NW, then the voting % remaining after removing Kwakwaso votes will still be greater than the voting strength of the SE.

Then the winner of NW will be the winner of the election.

Let us now consider the strength of Obi, Tinubu, and Atiku in the NW.

Obi
Obi has no influence at all to muster 15% in the NW so he is out of the game.

Atiku
Atiku's influence in the NW comes from religious and ethnic factors, which would make him perform well in the NW.
However, many factors would equally reduce his performance in that region. Those factors will make him lose to his closest rival Tinubu in that region.

Tinubu
This is the region where APC has 6 governors, the highest number of Senators, and HoR members with structure in every local government.

This is also the region of the incumbent that benefited hugely in infrastructure and human empowerment, this region and its people benefiting from the present government would not allow their source of income close, interest is paramount in politics above religion and tribe, and for this reason, Tinubu will edge Atiku in NW and will become the overall winner.

SECOND POSITION BY REGION

Obi
Nil

Atiku
SW & SS

Tinubu
NE

Final Analysis

Obi
1st SE
1 St SS
2nd Nil

Atiku
1st NE
2nd SS
2nd SW

Tinubu
1st SW
1st NC
2nd NE

(NW)
Whoever wins NW becomes the winner

If Tinubu wins NW,

- he would have a national spread of 25% in 24 states
- he would have the highest votes with a 2 million difference from his runner-up.

If Atiku wins NW, he would have the 24% national spread but won't have the highest votes and the election will go to runoff

Conclusion.

Tinubu will win NW, and there won't be a need for a runoff

Amin

Ttalk:


I am in North central, the only place Obi can win is FCT and he has PDP to contend with and it's not so sure for him. Forget any other state in the North Central for Obi including Benue and Plateau state, what you failed to put into cognizance is that the indigenous people of those states are also in the ballot with APC ticket running for Senate and HoR on same day as Presidential election

Come, how old are you?. Seun ought to start mandating true pictures in profiles, so we do not waste our precious times discussing with children. Listen, no one has ever won the presidency in Nigeria without winning the middle belt (NC) clean and clear. Ok?.

And, no one has ever become Nigeria's president without winning 2 regions plus Middle belt(NC), Now, Peter Obi will clearly win Benue, Plateau, FCT, and do significant damage in Nasarawa. On what basis do you appoint a win to Ahmed Tinubu, or are you high on reinforced oshogbo weed?.

Funny how no person can win a state in the SW, but you are gleefully pontificating on how many states Tinubu will win in the NW, because according to you, governors are working for him. Peter Obi will either win Lagos in a free and fair contest, or come a very close second, and that is the most votes rich state in Nigeria.

I hate to break your heart, but it does indeed look bleak for your candidate. This battle is between 2 former colleagues, and I believe Nigerians will prevail through Obi.