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InvestmentRe: Mutual Funds by carpenter(m): 10:24am On Jan 30, 2016
yak:
money house, plz how do I monitor my fbn mmf online? thanx
Have you opened an online account with them? If you have, the usual way is to check how much you have in the fund one day against another day...same way you will do for a savings account.

If you have not, just go to FBN capital site and request for one.
PoliticsRe: "The Economist" Accuses Buhari Of Worsening Nigeria's Economy by carpenter(m):
Hmmmmmm


With what is available in the public domain, I agree that a devaluation is in order.

However, I am also mindful of what we may have termed the knee jerk reactions of the CBN over the past few months. I see an institution that is not sure of how it will do it but has the goal of keeping the naira as strong as possible...I support this with all of my Nigerian blood. I am also of the opinion that even though a devaluation is going to happen, it does not have to happen now. If it does without blocking the leakages and putting a system in place, the black market will just go higher and still the so called investors will be waiting for the next devaluation. We will never stop...So I wonder what we will have achieved by doing so. I wish I could deal with the banks...they are the greatest culprits, then the currency speculators.

I personally do not see any point in devaluing our currency with the hope that foreign investments will flood in. Hey! Once you do that remember you have also devalued the value of assets you have in your country. Who is the CBN supposed to be helping....local investors or foreign investors? I believe a balance is required.
BusinessRe: What Lucrative Business Can A Student Start With #50,000 by carpenter(m): 3:15pm On Jan 26, 2016
MathsChic:
I'm sorry if i didn't reply. If you had told me before sending, that would have been much better. Truth is, I get a great lot of PMs and it's hard telling the difference between who's with good intentions and who isn't.

With "little" money to invest, I'm afraid you'll also only make little money, except you are extremely lucky or are just willing to give out your money to the latest Nigerian scam cheesy
They have this really cool thing in the US called crowd-funding. I'm not sure if it exists in Nigeria. It involves pooling together little money here and there into a business's capital. The business could be a restaurant, grocery shop, etc. Everyone puts money together to grow the size of the business, and at the end of the month or year get a slice of the profit relative to how much they put it. Of course they also get financial statements and all other related papers monthly. This is particularly good for those with little money as it allows them to achieve much with little. But as I say, I don't know if this is possible in Nigeria.

Another is to buy and sell what you love. Passion can sustain you.

Also possible is mutual funds. I know that's possible in Nigeria.
Thanks for apologising but no reason to actually. I understand perfectly.

I try not to mention figures here because in reality, I am not as faceless as I would like to be. So lets say I have a little more than I let on...what would you recommend? I play in the stockmarket, got some real estate (which is not a fantastic investment), I do mutual funds, try my hands on a few high risk ventures and even sell ankara.

Nevertheless, I am always searching for other avenues to invest hence my reaching out.
PoliticsRe: Oil Crash: Nigeria Producing At $5 Per Barrel Loss by carpenter(m): 2:46pm On Jan 26, 2016
NavierStokes:
As you have rightly put up in the chart above, here in Nigeria most of the omshore oil fields had been developed a long time ago some almost half a century so the question of capex becomes pretty low for such fields. The important factor here becomes the opex, the opex used to be relatively low for us until armed robber salaries came into play, crude theft vandalisms and shut-ins, security etc. So my point is there should be a focus on the crude theft component, because thats exactly what Emeka Ene is after in this particular interview or article. The former government was well castigated by all of us on the issue of crude loss being about 400000 barrels a day, so we need to know the progress the current administration has made in that regard.

Picture this arbitrary scenario just from a purely opex perspective considering only salaries and crude theft:
If a company's wage bill is $1 million and annual crude production is 100000bbls then the opex costs per bbl is $10/bbl. Assuming you lose or are unable to produce half of that amount what happens, your opex goes to $20/bbl.

I do hope my basic explanation helps.
Yes your explanation helps and thanks for taking out time to write it. It definitely introduced more factors that make our costs so high.

However, the chart shows an average...meaning capex reducing and opex being the major component is already taken into consideration. Most of our fields undergo upgrades as they are quite old and in some cases, the modifications are even more expensive than what was spent to build the facility in the first place. I also do not think salaries are quite as high as people think they are. The bonuses are great when business is good but non existent when business is bad...working in such facilities is also considered high risk hence commensurate pay.

I worked on a project where the total cost of upgrading several plaforms was about 6bn USD at the time of leaving the project. Procurement and construction was responsible for about 70% or more of that cost. My point is Oil bunkering maybe the only component we can use to reduce cost of production and maybe the procurement process.

Oil Bunkering reduced to the minimum will go a long way in helping reducing this average.
BusinessRe: What Lucrative Business Can A Student Start With #50,000 by carpenter(m): 1:49pm On Jan 26, 2016
MathsChic:
Lol. I'm guessing this is Spanish and that these are good words. My knowledge of French tells me
Ella = Elle = she. And that's about all i understand cheesy.
Hope you good.
Not a Spanish speaker but I have got like an Encyclopedia of languages sitting next to me.

"She is beautiful intelligent and mature, the perfect woman"
BusinessRe: What Lucrative Business Can A Student Start With #50,000 by carpenter(m): 1:43pm On Jan 26, 2016
Bevista:
Thanks buddy you for your kind words. Feel free to follow those you do, as long as they enrich your forum experience and, possibly, your life.
---
And you can't go wrong with @MathsChic. I observed she's one of the few around here with a good head on their shoulders. Ella es hermosa , inteligente y madurado . ¡Mujer perfecta! undecided
Tu estas correcto

Gracias
PoliticsRe: Oil Crash: Nigeria Producing At $5 Per Barrel Loss by carpenter(m):
NavierStokes:
From the comments I am seeing so far, the emphasis is being put on the slide in the oil price while neglecting the attendant danger of lost crude. At the moment what we should be doing as a country is to lower costs by becoming much more efficient in our production. A break down of the costs of crude production reveals a relatively high operational cost, i believe our aim as a people should be on how to drive down that cost component, to still make a profit i the midst of this all.

In a downturm such as this the least efficient producers will be driven out of the business, more like a survival of the fittest.
Good point mate.

However, costs are a function of several factors which includes terrain, expertise, getting required equipments, parts and a lot of others I am not privy to. Attached is a how much CNN analysts believe it costs to produce oil around the world...you would notice even the so called advanced countries that have a lot of factors in their favour are way more expensive becuase of other factors...only the ME is lucky to have more in favour than against.

I will look for the original article and post the link if I can find it.

***modified http://money.cnn.com/interactive/economy/the-cost-to-produce-a-barrel-of-oil/index.html?sr=fbcnni112515the-cost-to-produce-a-barrel-of-oil0425AMStoryPhoto&linkId=19035318

The only thing that truly sets us apart besides corruption is we depend too much on oil.

BusinessRe: What Lucrative Business Can A Student Start With #50,000 by carpenter(m): 10:29am On Jan 26, 2016
Bevista:
I am keen to hear your recommendation.
Bevista you have a follower but I mean well. Stumbled on your post a few days and I knew I had to follow. I also find you calmer than I am, I am all about putting people to shame sometimes when they cross certain bounds so I might benefit from reading your subtle posts.

While checking you out, I saw Mathchic and common...what better way to read interesting posts than to truly follow those the person you are following also follows. Be careful about following those I follow though, I love varieties so some may be a bit outside your area of comfort.

Mathchic,

I sent you a PM some days ago (pardon my manners, I should have asked you first). I was keen to know what your recommendations are regarding someone having a little money to invest. I am still keen...
PoliticsRe: Oil Crash: Nigeria Producing At $5 Per Barrel Loss by carpenter(m): 10:10am On Jan 26, 2016
Bevista:
Because you need to stay in the business and maintain your market share pending when prices rebound. If you exit now, you loose your customers to other producing countries.
---
And as most oil purchase contracts are done upwards of 5yrs, it will be very difficult to come back and win customers if you exit now and prices rebound later.
Just to add...

Equipment also need to be maintained and you need to keep your experienced hands. The start-up costs would also be too much if you completely shutdown except you want to exit the business permanently.

For example...The Angolan LNG plant has not produced gas in 2 years. So technically, the shareholders are funding maintenance, salaries, upgrades at extra cost with money from elsewhere. Otherwise 12bn USD goes down the drain...
InvestmentRe: Mutual Funds by carpenter(m): 1:01pm On Jan 25, 2016
Arogunmasa:
s I need objective analyisis on this. I bought a 1000 units penny stock of Japur oil before the bubble bust. On getting to my stockbroker I was told the current worth of the stock is N500.

What is the prospect of the company, any hope that their stock will bounce back?

Do I buy more of the stock?

I need sound advice
Japaul Oil is involved in maritime business, I think business may pick up for indigenous companies but as usual you cannot be sure because even good profit for a company is not a guarantee for an investor.

If it makes you feel any better, I have about 250,000 of this stock and it is one of my worst investments so far. Will I be buying more? I am not convinced to put more money on that stock.

If I were you, i will put my money in a mutual fund for now.
BusinessRe: Why Do Our Bank Charges Us N301 While Cbn Sell For Them At N199 Per Dollar by carpenter(m): 11:28am On Jan 23, 2016
blym4real:
cheesy cheesy

Sorry if I sounded too hard.

We are cool.
nah...you were just hard enough for us to get back on track. He is a cool guy...

Believe me we need actions like this...we don't want to do this most times but they are hard choices we have to make.
BusinessRe: Why Do Our Bank Charges Us N301 While Cbn Sell For Them At N199 Per Dollar by carpenter(m): 11:19am On Jan 23, 2016
onatisi:
grin grin ok I no go talk again . Are u happy now cheesy
Now give me a smile grin
grin

Bro we love you and are trying to get you out...which you now are.
BusinessRe: Why Do Our Bank Charges Us N301 While Cbn Sell For Them At N199 Per Dollar by carpenter(m): 11:06am On Jan 23, 2016
onatisi:
I like u and ur style. But let disagree to agree. All I said was that you should go to your various banks to verify the information given,wasn't that what I said ? We can't and don't know everything ,he maybe right but before you can reach a conclusion ,try and visit your bank first
He is not right, he is wrong...if you do not know anything about this...stay clear.

That is the honourable way!
BusinessRe: Why Do Our Bank Charges Us N301 While Cbn Sell For Them At N199 Per Dollar by carpenter(m): 10:58am On Jan 23, 2016
onatisi:
u are mixing ppl up. I never said i have funded any card
No Sir I am not...you are the one that joined issues by backing someone passing across wrong information.

So you and him have become the same...guilty by association.

So encourage him to state which bank funds his card with CBN rates and I would tender my unreserved apology after confirming that info is genuine.
BusinessRe: Why Do Our Bank Charges Us N301 While Cbn Sell For Them At N199 Per Dollar by carpenter(m): 10:50am On Jan 23, 2016
onatisi:
you have said enough let them go to their various banks and do more research
Apparently, we have a number of people that give out information that cannot be verified.

I have noted your names for the future.

If you fund your card with a PTA or BTA that is a different thing. To claim you fund your cards at CBN advised rates is a bloody lie.
BusinessRe: Why Do Our Bank Charges Us N301 While Cbn Sell For Them At N199 Per Dollar by carpenter(m): 10:30am On Jan 23, 2016
AdeMoss:
It depends on what. But your bank should be able to assist
Oga tell us the bank you use to support your statement
InvestmentRe: Mutual Funds by carpenter(m): 7:52am On Jan 23, 2016
taiwoliu:
Oga market dey ooo..... i've been busy at work,na y i no reach u since.
this market get as e be ooo, as it is i just close eyes for paper investment for now...... but lyk u adviced, a review is in the offing.



PS: I started floating my offline business..... #lessons
Interesting... what is it about?
BusinessRe: Why Do Our Bank Charges Us N301 While Cbn Sell For Them At N199 Per Dollar by carpenter(m): 6:50am On Jan 23, 2016
AdeMoss:
Sir, I am not speculating. This is one thing I do on a daily. You CAN fund USD credit card repayment at CBN rate. Every Nigerian have a limit of USD they can access with CBN.
I will be happy to know what bank and how they do it...
BusinessRe: Why Do Our Bank Charges Us N301 While Cbn Sell For Them At N199 Per Dollar by carpenter(m):
Sanchase:
Devaluation of a country's currency in response to the activities of black marketers is not good economics.

You do not devalue your currency due to influence of black marketers, GEJ did it before (it was wrong). The solution is to exercise control over the supply and trade of those black marketers for example CBN stopped supplying BDC foreign currency but failed to create adequate channel for genuine Nigerians in need of forex to have access.

The best solution is to keep the sale of foreign currency as a Nigerian government facility and provide adequate access for genuine Nigerians, when you devalue your currency you allow black markets to control the government (it should never happen).

Devaluation has severe consequences for a country like Nigeria who relies on so much imports (cost of goods par example).
I understand your points but you seem to have missed the point that Oil exports is responsible for about 90% of Nigeria's foreign exchange and at some point it was over 100-126 USD while naira was around 150-160 CBN rate (not sure). Now that Oil is hovering around 30 USD...do the maths, and add the fact that we seem to now have a more responsible govt, so some leakages would have been blocked. Conservatively, the naira should be trading at 250-300...This is not emotional for me, it is just what it is. Nigeria is not alone in this and you might say people are hoarding dollars, people are buying what they should not be buying with dollars... but that is still demand for forex.

In 2014, the Angolan Kwanza was 100 to a dollar and in the black market you can sell at 102. Now it is 161 and the black market has risen to over 300kwanza...the gap is too much just like we have in Nigeria. However, Angola has a population of (20-25m) people, depending on who you talk to and they have a reserve of 29bn dollars...a little more than we have with way more population. They have resisted devaluation more than Nigeria has but somehow they always have to do it.

I support the CBN in their moves but I am of the opinion they are trying to block all they can then devalue...it is just a matter of time unless....Oil prices pick up or we get other income streams.
BusinessRe: Why Do Our Bank Charges Us N301 While Cbn Sell For Them At N199 Per Dollar by carpenter(m): 1:58pm On Jan 22, 2016
AdeMoss:
NO. You can fund the USD credit card repayment the same way PTA is funded. Advise your bank to purchase from CBN at their advised rate.
Sorry Sir...NO.

You do not fund your bank credit card via CBN advised rates. You fund it via inflow or dollars you deposited (however you got it).
BusinessRe: Why Do Our Bank Charges Us N301 While Cbn Sell For Them At N199 Per Dollar by carpenter(m): 1:14pm On Jan 22, 2016
doplove:
Unfortunately, I have evidences to show you that the banks (I have accounts with FCMB and GTB) charge more than the blackmarket whenever I use my cards for foreign transactions. It bemoans my spirit that this practice is only obtained in Nigeria. In Angola, where I work, whenever you use their bank cards to do foreign transactions what you get is based on their central bank rates but, Nigeria is a different story. We need to escalate this to the consumer protection agency.
In Angola, banks can still get the equivalent amount of dollars you spend back from the Central Bank to settle those transactions. That option is not available in Nigeria anymore as per information from the CBN. This was available till the CBN stopped it. So no consumer protection agency can help with regards to this.
BusinessRe: Why Do Our Bank Charges Us N301 While Cbn Sell For Them At N199 Per Dollar by carpenter(m): 9:12am On Jan 22, 2016
Bevista:
I do not dispute what you just said about your experience with the banks. However, I wouldn't call it fraud. I just think the CBN is not being very open and honest about the situation. The reality is that, due to falling oil price the FX available for CBN to continue supporting all these foreign transactions is limited. But instead of them to say it the way it is, they keep running around in circles.
---
Your experience with the banks is likely not the bank's fault. The banks realized that the CBN was not supplying enough dollars anymore for those qualifying transactions (LCs, BTA, school fees, medical bills, etc) even though the CBN kept telling everyone that it was still supporting them.
It makes me happy to read words written better than I would have written it.

I think we need to devalue our currency and even though I also support the CBN on their moves, I think it is just a matter of when they will devalue.

On the issue of banks...I think they act legally most times but unethically. However, that has always been the case for banks in most parts of the world.

I can confirm there is a part of this PTA and BTA thing that is not clear, the CBN keeps releasing information that it is meeting those needs while the banks continue to refuse to sell PTA and BTA (at least to majority of Nigerians that require it legitimately) and ask you to use their cards. Could it be that the banks still have customers that sell dollars to them which they buy @199 and sell to the public @300? Or are they selling dollars deposited by some of us to to the public at higher margins with hope that we all do not come and collect at the same time. By the way, they even tell you they don't have cash sometimes and there is nothing we can do. I must admit I did this (sell to the bank at the bank rate) in the past but realised I was not being fair to myself. I don't trust the banks because even for cases such as COT that is clearly spelt out, they still act as they please. Finally, why is the fx or treasury unit of the banks a cartel...why do some junior officers in those units receive more bonuses than even some unit heads? Chances are the banks are as culpable as the subsidy receiving thieves but we don't want them to go down because hell might break loose...we try to manage the situation.
InvestmentRe: Mutual Funds by carpenter(m): 6:49am On Jan 22, 2016
taiwoliu:
oga mi sir.... E ku ijo 3
Bros i hail O!

How market ...this one Inflation is at 9.5% and we are raking in around 8.5%
InvestmentRe: Mutual Funds by carpenter(m): 5:16pm On Jan 20, 2016
willyede:
@Carpenter
Please can you help me with any credible Stock broker for me to make use of in Abuja as i know that here is not the right channel to say this.
hmmmmmm

There are loads of them out there

I personally use Cowry Asset and I am comfortable with their services(I dont know if they have an office on Abuja but i can introduce you or you can just go to their website and contact them cowryasset.com). They are the right size for me, not too big, not too small. They take me serious even though my net worth is not that great. I have been to Meristem Registrars (not the broking arm) and I was quite pleased with their service. If the broking arm is anything like the registrars then, I would be open to use them also.

Sincerely, I don't shop around for brokers that much and the only time I tried it, I got my hand burnt.

Maybe one or two people might be able to recommend others.

...here is a list also http://nairametrics.com/list-stockbrokers-nigeria/

http://www.nse.com.ng/dealing-members/find-a-dealing-member/dealing-member-directory
InvestmentRe: Mutual Funds by carpenter(m): 7:01am On Jan 20, 2016
onair:
Hello Carpenter and other investors, apart from Treasury bills, Mutual funds, Stocks and Bonds, what other relatively safe ONLINE OR OFFLINE PASSIVE investment do you know that one can invest one's fund into even if it is just a #100 or $0.5 d yield returns that it brings daily?
Hey mate...you picked all I would put my money in grin

There are others such as forex, bitcoin which I personally do not understand that people get their hands on, they also make money through them. A lot of folks out there also buy and sell domain names. A savings account, Fixed deposit is also still in the mix somewhere.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by carpenter(m): 9:12am On Jan 19, 2016
Born2berich:
But you also predicted oando selling above Nn100 - N1,000. grin
grin
InvestmentRe: Mutual Funds by carpenter(m): 7:21am On Jan 19, 2016
Just a note to remind us that Mutual Funds goes beyond MMF. This may be the time for you to rebalance your investments especially if you have more than the minimum required for entry into other funds.

At the moment I only have 40% of my money in MMF and the other spread between the other two funds (Fixed Income "FIF" and Heritage "HF"wink of FBN Capital. Fixed income seems to be doing better, coming from a high of about 16% to around 12.5% now. Heritage has not been able to catch up with either of them though. Other companies also have products of those class or even more ...be careful to read the fine print before investing (e.g. the Fixed Income and Heritage have a holding period of 3 months). The FIF and HF are also riskier investments compared to MMF.

Now, if I could see the future...I would have pulled all my investments in the stock market when I was up 25% and invest in these funds (then wait till it bottoms out and re-invest in the stock market), sadly I cannot predict the future just like everyone else...so now am down 20% in my stock broking accounts. This means I have lost approximately 45% paperwise. However, even though my stock broking accounts are worth twice as much as the worth of my Mutual funds, my plan is still the same. Stock broking accounts are for the future and I will continue to buy regardless; Mutual Fund accounts are for short to medium term needs and I will continue to add to it also instead of keeping money in a savings account.

I will also continue to look for other avenues to put money so I can make money without forgetting to donate to charity and help others. Finally, please reward yourself when you make a good decision, you deserve it.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by carpenter(m): 5:00pm On Jan 18, 2016
NuttyChoky:
Current portfolio loss at 50%... Been holding onto the elephant since January 2015.

Averaging down now! No time for fear

Will continue buying till the bulls return smiley
Am down 20%, no thanks to FBN and Oando.

Still waiting to sell my interests in banks but not selling at a loss....make e dey rest for there.

I will be buying more gradually.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by carpenter(m): 9:43am On Jan 16, 2016
zendi:
Okay, the info is noted. Like you said, its all from the west.
I just pray we rarely have to resort to it.
On that we agree that we never have to resort to it.

When doing risk analysis though...you think of all that can happen and introduce safe guards. Most people will say it is not about whether it will happen, it is about when. So having a plan in place and test running your plan is even better.

A typical example is conduction of fire drillls...we don't want to have a fire, but we still need to be prepared.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by carpenter(m): 8:59am On Jan 16, 2016
zendi:
It leads to more panicky dumping when the breaker is removed, because it sends the message that things have become terribly bad with the market. Remember, people are hyper nervous and trigger happy over their money.
Also it conveys the idea of artificially manipulated market. Do you go to Balogun, Alaba or Onitsha mkts and set off alarm for trading to stop because prices have gotten too low?
People want to trade in as natural a market as possible. So let prices find their level, whatever level.
It may get real scary but ultimately will engender supreme confidence in the market.
I dont remember hearing of circuit breaking in the advanced markets of the western world.
Circuit Breakers exist in most or all advanced countires also...where do you think Nigeria got it from? Whether it is effective is another thing entirely.

I would think if everything is going down, and you stop it...you may be lucky that sentiments have changed by the time you resume as against allowing it to continue going down with no end in sight.

modified*** http://www.sec.gov/investor/alerts/circuitbreakersbulletin.htm

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