₦airaland Forum

I was taking a walk on Saturday and came across this group. An almost endless procession on Pigalle. Juxtaposed against the sex shops and risque bath houses, it looked funny.

Pretty much they were shouting anti Bazoum, anti Macron and anti Macky Sall rhetoric.

There were even Casamance separatists there. Interesting coalition.

flokii:
Over major group sef.. YORUBA stand gidigba for ground. We conquered fear a long time ago so nobody fit do anyhow near us for this Nigeria.

I wish Bazoum regains his freedom and Niger republic returns to democracy.. It's for the benefit of everyone in West Africa, Africa and the whole world.

A northern President just pretty much almost ruined Nigeria and nothing happened. A good or bad Yoruba, Igbo or mainstream north (Hausa Fulani or Kanuri) President should survive any scenario in Nigeria.

I don't think Bazoum will make it back tho. That'd be asking for the sacrifice of the current set of coupists. They won't do that to themselves. African countries should be and are their own power centers. A returned Bazoum would have to be a lame duck or vicious hardline authoritarian to keep the balance.... What is the use of either ?

Let's see how the ppl take the coup one year or two years in. Attitudes change. Chances are for another Hausa President in a few years. Maybe they do a system of power sharing to ease the nerves. Set up a council of elders (past leaders and generals, Bazoum can be part of this) to ensure that boundaries aren't overstepped.

Either way, a quite complex situation.

flokii:
Fula agenda like you rightly said.. with their person as military leader in Nigeria, nobody will be able to challenge their takeover of lands for their herders.

I don't know maybe it's just my thinking, but I feel they had it all planned.. Coup in Niger republic and Nigeria to go together but our president was so smart not to fall into a trap, the man skipped all their already positioned men to appoint much credible officers as security chiefs.. All plans failed in Nigeria.
The other man in Niger republic; Bazooum (from a minority tribe there) wasn't wise enough to reshuffle those he trusts with security.. now see the outcome.

Bazoum's situation is quite different. Bazoum didn't take power as a Diffa Arab. He did so under the cover of Issoufou's guardianship. Arab Nigeriens are weak in Nigerien politics. They dominate business quite alright, but have a tiny population (below 2% if not 1) and have for the most part not dominated any national institution.

Hausas enjoy a plurality but aren't as entrenched as the Songhay related Zarmas/Djermas who Issoufou tried to straitjacket to an extent. Zarmas have historically run the army and have developed an attachment to power.

At the protests last week ppl were chanting "we are finally free" in Zarma.

Bazoum's inability to manage his relationship with Issoufou and the ppl who Issoufou put there to see things landed him where he is today. Democracy in Africa isn't pure. And Bazoum himself knows this. He didn't earn that place and wasnt in a position to try to run his own show.

At this point, the deed has been done. Just like their removed the Kanuri/Fula/Arab (anything but Hausa or Zarmas) Mamadou Tandja in 2010,they did to Bazoum in 2023.

Tinubu on the other hand is from a major group and earned power in his own right.

CallofDuty:
secondly you mentioned hitting quota of 4MBopd in 2010 or even in 2023.. what ever year..are you aware there is the OPEC that regulates oil production by giving member countries quota? Do you think the international Oil market is a free market?? Do you think it's only Nigeria that produces oil? If Saudi Aramco opens their wells to the world..you think you can sell?

The cartel does not prohibit capacity investments.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-saudi-oil-policy-analysis-idUSKCN0I229320141014

You can have the capacity to sell 10 mm bopd and cut to 2 mm bopd like Saudi did in the 80s. And to a lesser extent in the period from 2020 till now..


That's why Nigeria had hopes of 4 mm bopd by 2010. Obj used to meet with shell and other execs back in the day (Omiyi, Imomoh, Van de Berg) on this aim.

I just did a random search and saw this:

https://www.reuters.com/article/africa-oil-nigeria-idUSL816894220081008

Literally didn't make it up.

Now regarding the alphabet soup. I didn't say nnpc and napims were side by side. As napims was the upstream jv arm of the company. My error is in conflating napims with nuprc instead of with nnpc uims. So duly noted. Thanks 👍

Yes, Nuprc is the upstream successor of dpr. I missed that. Perhaps, the source of your concern ?

End of the day if you read logically u will still get the point of unmet cash calls and the resulting poor investment profile of the different projects from its largest stakeholder. Hence, the President's directive for the divestment.

CallofDuty:
Guy...u just de yarn dust!

Explain the dust aspect of what I said.

BloomingDale:
I don’t understand half of the write up but it sounds very intelligent. 😀😀

Essentially selling off the 55/60% stake held on behalf of nnpc by napims(now nnpc uims).it never worked because napims was never on time or diligent with its cash call obligations. the proportion of ownership in a JV comes with commensurate investment and operational obligations. Something that was never developed beyond paper/mouth.
This was detrimental to the devt of fields/production and also a window for dispute with IOCs. Made Nigerian energy industry not as attractive as it should be.

So Tinubu is telling them to sell off their stakes (very attractive to buyers the world over) who would happily take up the requisite obligations and focus on regulation. At the same time, nnpc ltd is now longer a policy maker (like when dpr was functionally under/attached to it) . Therefore, proper business decisions will be made across the board. Well ideally.

Good thing is that you actually get to invest in producing assets and other prospective ones and thereby increase production. There's also gonna be a few billion usd (the estimated 17.4 in this case) realized from the sale of the JV stakes which will be put to other use. Esp in this post subsidy environment.

So this is fantastic. That 4 million / day was supposed to be accomplished by 2010. Nigeria needs to hit the hydrocarbons market with max production at any given time. Before the window for exceptional profits closes. As we get more African producers on board and anti-oil propaganda picks up in the West.

garfield1:
I see abe winning

I'm picking Sim. Abe will have a fruitful career at federal with BAT. But lose Rivers.

The Ogoni-riverine coalition you mentioned doesn't exist and will not emerge. Those are two groups with prejudices against each other and no partnership.

The Opobo-Bonny riverine bloc is for pdp. Andoni is not sure for pdp, but possible. Upland Onelga will go pdp way. Etche will be a battle ground. Certain areas will go lp (oyigbo etc). Apc will take kalabari.

The Ogoni bloc is akin to the East on the national. Justifiably right in crying marginalization, but not strategic enough. Sdp will take Ogoni.

Anything but pdp, at the final stages, will be reversed. Even if the pdp loses. And OBALGA will be announced last.

[quote author=plaindealer post=121421117][/quote]The right thing for him to do. Time to reflect on his past actions. Knowing how far the relationship goes, he'll probably play a role in the next govt.

Ogbuefi2020:
And in those countries only villagers vote?

Like I said, you are being dishonest. When you're in Europe, UK or the US, is the question of identity a regional based thing. On the level of nationhood, is it uniform or broken. And if united, why ? Why aren't the defining local characteristics like accent, names, common ancestry (Scandinavians in Minnesota, English in Massachusetts etc)or lifestyle, taken over nationhood? That overarching 'sense of belonging.' Was it formed in a day? What were their trajectories to the development of a national identity, beyond uniform administration and common national borders?? When you answer that, then you know what I am saying.

You know very well what I am talking about. You're dissimulating.

On the flip side, why is Basque in Vizcaya a problem, or Catalan identity an issue, in Spain. But at the same time, the descendants of Basque merchants in Colombia identify as 'Spanish' alongside those of Castellanos?

Ogbuefi2020:
Ikwerre are poor scums and we know this very well. The most backwards igbo sub group. Now using oil to give themselves a false sense of importance

Yeah then the insults start. Scum, trash, refuse, litter etc. Your Almightly godly race should stick to its native lands.

Ogbuefi2020:
Landlord travel and see. Backwards villager. Diverse perspectives indeed. Someone who said only his village people can vote is talking about diversity

I've lived in more countries than you Ogbuefi.. You can console yourself with whatever... Just know that you guys will be disgraced on the 11th.

Lunja:
You never even see anything
You will wallow in poverty all your days if you refuse to be reasonable...

Literally doubt that you're wealthier than me... besides the point tho. Your vote will not count. Beyond the threshold, that is.

Lunja:
Assume ke, you already exposed yourself.

Your reasoning, composure & esteem reeks of extreme poverty.
I'm not sure you understand this but your're a sorry case...

Anyone that does not agree with you is poor. Yet you cannot understand diverse perspectives ? It's your prerogative to label the criminal, the aggrieved, the rightful winner ?... It's your call to make. On some one else's land ?

Ogbuefi2020:
You sound to childish. Go and sleep

Why did Tinubu win ? Simple question....

Lunja:
Poor man, supporting criminals who stole his past, present & future. 🤮

SHAME!

You assume Im poor... Okay thanks. But still, Stop meddling.

Ogbuefi2020:
Labour party cleared Rivers State by wide margin. Even akwa ibom. Bushman like you

Then why did Tinubu win ?

Ogbuefi2020:
But Obi just defeated thiefnubuu in Lagos. Villager like you. Coward

Ok good. Im a coward ? But Im not hiding behind anything. I stated my grouse with the SE. Respectfully I might add. Beat them in Lagos, since you think you can... If you lose, don't complain. Rivers is a no go area for you. You will understand why on the 12th.

Ogbuefi2020:
Cry cry baby

I no dey tire to cry.

Ogbuefi2020:
Out of Obi's 6millon votes less than 2 million came from SE. Low life inferiority complex ridden minority like you. Stop using igbo to upgrade your sorry life

SE geo zone... Outside Nasarawa and Plateau (NPP stronghold in times past), tell me it was not mostly Eastern and Eastern allies (third party occupants/residents).

Ogbuefi2020:
And so? Votes don't count in your state. Great achievement

Unwanted ones will not. And never do. When Nigeria reaches a consensus between its various communities. When the accretion of its constituent communities crosses the nation-building threshold. At the point where the sectional flavors have been muted. Then anybody can rule anywhere and do as they please. You are just being disingenuous... Nigeria is now the US?

Ogbuefi2020:
Who is "you" and who is "them". All contestants are of yoruba origin. Same with Rivers. Get a life, upgrade your self esteem

You: Seemingly amorphous LP unit that's actually Eastern in color and spirit ; Them: the current Lagos political elite who you're fixing to overturn....

What is the self esteem issue ? 'SE meddling in Rivers politics' is as unambiguous as one can get. Point is, meddle in Imo, Abia and Anambra.

Lunja:
I can only vote in Rivers state. And I will join the masses in Rivers to dismantle the structure of criminality.

Donate more tears 😭

Typical.... You can 'only' vote in Rivers indeed... I'll tell you what easy, it wont count.. If you're beyond the permitted threshold, it'll count for zero hun.

garfield1:
Majority of the voters in phalga and obalga are non indigenes and bloated so with the new electoral act,it will be exposed.moreover during the last polls,phalga couldn't inflate votes.only obalga did.amechi can also inflate ikwerre LGA votes to get the decider.let's say khana /gokana/degema neutralize gss obalga.andoni cancels phalga.asari toru cancels emohua,akukutoru and okrika neutralize obalga while ikwerre LGA and opobo nkoro gives apc the victory not talking of abua odual which can come into play if pdp rigs etche/omuma or oyigbo.eleme,tai or ogubolo will be on standby against ahoada

All fine. No problem in slugging it out with Rivers ppl. It is the right order of things. May the best man win

garfield1:
If the riverine combine with ogoni,they will seize power

Good, no problem. They're from Rivers. It is their right.

Lunja:
You neva even see anything

Sanwo olu gang dey panic for lagos too...

The masses will destroy the structure of criminality.

Wetin concern me with Lagos ? And the fact that you think you will beat them there... C'mon now, cut that out.

Lunja:
Rivers people have rejected wike & his stooge.

They know it too well, and it's a big problem for them

Hugsies Lunja. You will need it on the 12th. Go and remove Uzodinma first. Umahi and co. Leave us alone.

Ogbuefi2020:
And you think the criminal gang will continue to have their way forever?

Ogbuefi Ahamadike sorry o. I didnt go to bed. And whose the criminal again ? You're talking about morals in Politics ? Who is the clean person in all this ? Issue is SE meddling in Rivers.. Simple as that. Everyone has their date with God. You can do your confession or astagfirullah afterwards.

Lunja:
You are on your own

Sim remains rejected 👎

By an outsider. Yes, no problem.

Papichulostunne:
Okay i dig

Glad you could at least try to understand me. The issue is people anchoring on a contrived 'integrity/zeal for change' BS that we know is really tied to a sectional interest...

Lunja:
That's why the structure of criminality must be destroyed.

Rogues should have no business in govt.

If you don't care about your future, we care about ours.

My future is pristine bro. Not my problem. I need my patrimony for my children. Definitely not sitting idle to watch outsiders take it away. Go and unseat APC in Imo. Leave Rivers alone.

0monnak0da:
Under Eastern Nigeria Eboes flocked to the city and started their usual domineering behaviour attempting to rename towns to suit their tongue and whims. This was so bad that the NCNC imposed a candidate from ABA in the 1965 election.
The Ikwerre reacted by fielding an independent candidate Ikwunga Wonodi. who disgraced the ABA man Elugwaraonu.
The Ikwerre rejected the Ibo people,rejected the Ibo bible which had been forced on them for decades and rejected Biafra.
They now have their own Ikwerre bible

At least someone understands me. No problem with Rivers ppl talking about knocking down Wike for the sake of Cole or Amaechi Abe etc. But what is Rivers wahala with Obi. Running external revenge mission within Rivers issues ? A shame.

Lunja:
On March 11, we will vote enmass for an indigene of Rivers state. But that person won't be Sim.

Cry all you like, it won't make us vote for Sim.

don't be mad if it does not count. Remember OBALGA 3,000 ? kisses