₦airaland Forum

seunmsg:
A certain category of core northerners have always think they own Nigeria. They are the ones with the born to rule mentality. They want to be in power always. They see and think the south as a conquered territory they should always rule over.

They did the same thing to Obasanjo. In 2023, they introduced sharia and brought out Buhari as northern candidate. OBJ simply rigged them out in the south.

They did same to Jonathan. They escalated the terrorism that started under Yar’adua. Jonathan wasn’t really smart politically. He responded by failing to keep the agreement he had with the power brokers that supported him in 2011. He further alienated Obasanjo who paved the way for his presidency and completely neglected the south west. So, it was easy to boot him out in 2015.


The same born to rule elements in the north have gathered against Tinubu as usual. They just can’t stomach the idea of being ruled by a southerner. They are looking towards a willing partner in Peter Obi to help them boot out the incumbent Southern president. Unlike Jonathan, Tinubu is also a master of the game. Just like Obasanjo in 2003, he will play it very rough and dirty with them. Nigeria doesn’t belong to the north and we shall make that statement very clear to them in 2027.

By the way, we still have a lot of sensible and reasonable northerners who don’t believe in the born to rule ideology. They are the counter balance to the irrationality of the other group.

I mean u believe what u just wrote ? This is just politics. Atiku stands for his interest, Tinubu for his and Obi likewise. All Nigerians have a certain sense of supremacist thought in their DNA. None of the big three are innocent.

Just beat them in 2027, rig them out whatever u want. The sky won't fall. At this point, u most likely would do so. Judging from the commotion within the opposition bloc.

But to go on a rant about born2rule elements etc. That's weird or at least hypocritical. Tinubu and co facilitated Jona's entry in 2011 and 2015 removal by Buhari, showed some sympathy to Obj in 2003 in presidential elections while fighting him in giver during 03 and 07 cycles. It's just politicking.

Atiku can't be all powerful, if he was, he won't have suffered the humiliation he did in 06-07 and the losses in the past two elections. Obi isn't a pliant tool, he wants the same power that acn saw they could get in 2013 towards 2015.

Tinubu might win in 2027 and in '31, '35 and other cycles, these same ppl and their successors, as well as, your bosses and their successors will be fighting for power without any recourse to considerations around region or tribe or religion.

The world doesn't revolve around his electoral victory. It will come and go. Just don't paint elements in a region bad to justify your support for Tinubu. Sensible northerners exist on both pro- and anti- Tinubu platforms.

mrvitalis:
Thanks

You're welcome, brother.

mrvitalis:
Lmao if only you dont import and isolate yourself from the rest of the world

As long as you import the PPP is useless

You guys are not smart enough to understand even when you can see the results before your eyes

Nigerians on average earn far more now than in 2015 but can buy far less with more

How u guys don't get this is beyond me

You're correct overall. But he is right on one thing, although he loses the plot as he starts to confuse concepts.

See it this way. He is right on the PPP aspect because it is almost unfair, so to speak, to assume that Nigeria lost that much output volume in a short time. Exchange rate changes essentially cut our GDP figure.

So to say that Nigeria is most likely still the largest or at least a close second in GDP, Africa-wise, is likely true.

However, they are referencing GDP PPP as a measure of real GDP. That is not true. GDP PPP is in local prices, which though domestic -focused and immune in a sense from immediate forex market impact (though not entirely true as Nigeria is heavily import-dependent and does feed in forex rates into its basic prices in a follow-up manner)--> you pointed this out .

While real GDP is a measure that considers only output change while 'chaining' prices to a base year (usually within the last five years at the time of measurement).

Looking into it, one would see that GDP PPP factors in domestic inflation. And for Nigeria, that's a massive issue. It's essentially on average, 12 to 16% over the past ten years (way above regular 2-5% levels).

I'll do the calculation for you quickly: using the cpi (price index on a common basket of goods) and 2020 (300 cpi) as a base year for both 2015(to check your claim) and 2024 (for the APC/tinubu guys). It is essentially 300/170 * 1.09 trillion USD PPP for 2015 to give 1.92 trillion USD 'real' GDP on PPP terms.

While for 2024 it would be 300/867 * 1.49 trillion USD GDP PPP to give 515 billion USD 'real' GDP on PPP terms. So yes you're correct .

In 2025 the cpi index was rebased and the new starting figure is below 200 I believe. This is a year 0 measure and cannot be used for any calculations of the past. Rather it will serve as a base for future years. So please always be on the look out for this.

Using their argument against them you are right concerning 'real' GDP on PPP terms.

That is why your gut feeling tells you otherwise. You know that life isn't better. And you're technically right. Though you're not supposed to rely on the plain nominal GDP figures that you see commonly quoted.

He's right. APC rule will probably end after Tinubu. Maybe one more term after, in 2035. But it'll probably continue after 2027.

Issue with Gambari and his lot is that they aren't worth anything politically. Enjoyed Buhari's political equity and that's about it. Didn't care for anyone or anything, when they were there. No different from Tinubu or any other power bloc.

What he truly means here, is that he wants APC to lose in 2027 because he's not involved in the center anymore. Chances of that happening are slim. Oga, the world doesn't revolve around you. You can't start a moving car, kill the brakes and expect it to stop when you want.. forget it.

Newsmills:
But the private gold refinery in Lagos,where will the company get the gold from to refine,proximity to raw material and market are crucial to siting of industry.A lying government.

As a private project, it can be sited anywhere. The owner will take on the risk of sourcing the raw gold from any place of his or her choice.

Proximity to the raw material would be a variable cost that the plant would incur. The main concern would be to ensure that the markup on overall costs is healthy and competitive vs market levels.

Now there are multiple places to buy gold in the SW or from neighboring countries, but the north would be the most ideal since it's is the closest potent source.
But what happens to their fixed costs, especially for security and other complications from getting mixed up in whatever mafia-terrorist game is going on there. The break even (fixed costs/sales - variable costs) will expand beyond the owner's control.

Only way it'll be sited in the north is if it's sponsored by a northern state. Private individuals will steer clear.

ribbit:
That's a lesson for those who believe that Nigerians actually prefer foreign products.


Nigerians want cheap quality products not foreign.

Those locally made rice would have chased foreign rice out of the market if they actually produce good quality rice and lower price.

But no, their greed won't let them be.

It's not greed, rather it's their cost profile. The Nigerian farmer (big and small) has to buy more expensive inputs, per-unit wise (fertilizer etc), in what are essentially scarcity-plagued markets.

If you look at the dangote case,you'll see that scale-economies have transformed everything. Nigeria was consuming 50-55 million liters of PMS a day, with the big importers bringing in 20 to 25 million, and NNPC bringing in varying amounts from 20 to 30+ million to balance things. The market was very volatile, esp on the importer end with forex, working capital and cash flow issues affecting their ability to bring in cargoes.

There were shortages, but Dangote has muscled through with his 650k/day facility (20 billion usd project) to pour in 25 million liters per day by late last year and I believe by December they did up to 30-35 million barrels.
He has changed the demand supply equilibrium for us, naturally driving price down, while gaining market share and eliminating the literal need for the importers. The PIA favors local refineries for crude allocation and restricts importing if local capacity can meet our needs. That's why it's worked. The sheer scale of the venture.

Interestingly, his petrochemical plant can help rewrite the input costs for farmers and ease with the agric product issue. There just isn't scale there, alongside poultry and fisheries. The local supply capacity is low, its bereft of the requisite financing to scale it out and the imports are price-competitive with lower entry-barriers and quite frankly are servicing unmet demand.

That's the issue. PMS is a done deal tho. The idea of a billionaire fuel importer being an anchor of the national economy is non existent at this point.

The strategic players will take advantage of their distribution and retail infrastructure to compete or work with their NNPC buddies to buy out the refineries and get those to be working, if they want to maintain midstream presence and not be restricted to just the downstream.

Is this for posting sake ? When did Chinda openly ally himself with Fubara ?

I will be using material from Howard Wolpe's ethnographic and political study of PH. The book is titled 'Urban Politics in Nigeria: A study of Port Harcourt.'

The relationship between the Igbo settlers and the local indigenous groups (primarily the Ikwerre, Okrika, and Ijaw) in pre-1967 Port Harcourt was complex. Overall, it was a mixture of economic synergy and deep-seated political resentment.

To understand how they were treated, you have to look at the three main spheres of interaction:

1. The Political "Glass Ceiling" Limitation for Locals:
The most significant friction came from political representation. Because the Igbo were the numerical majority, they dominated the local government and the NCNC (National Council of Nigeria and the Cameroons), the ruling party of the Eastern Region.

Political Exclusion: Indigenous groups felt like "minorities" in their own home. Important decisions about Port Harcourt were made in Enugu (the regional capital) or by Igbo-dominated local councils.

The "Indigene vs. Settler" Conflict: Even though many Igbos were born in Port Harcourt and considered it their home, the locals felt their ancestral claims were being erased. This led to the formation of the Rivers State Movement, as locals fought to separate from the Eastern Region to escape what they called "Igbo hegemony."


2. Economic and Land Tensions
The British had "acquired" the land from the locals, but the Igbo were the ones with the capital to buy leases and develop it.

Landlord vs. Tenant: Over time, the Igbo became the primary landlords. Locals who had sold their land (or had it seized by the colonial government) often found themselves paying rent to Igbo migrants to live in the city built on their ancestral soil.
Labor Dominance: In the civil service and the railway, "who you knew" mattered. Because Igbos were already in high-ranking positions, indigenous people felt they were systematically bypassed for jobs and promotions in favor of Igbo "brothers."


3. Cultural Assimilation vs. Resistance
This is perhaps the most nuanced part of the treatment.

Language & Identity: The Igbo language became the lingua franca of commerce in Port Harcourt. Many locals, like the Ikwerre, were culturally assimilated. In fact, many Ikwerre names were "Igbo-ized" (e.g., changing Rumu to Umu).

The Reaction: While some locals integrated peacefully, others saw this as "cultural imperialism." Post-war, one of the first things the Ikwerre did was "de-Igbo-ize" their names and the names of their streets to re-establish a distinct identity.


4. The "Big Brother" Dynamic
Objectively, it wasn't always a story of "oppression" in the traditional sense. It was more a case of overwhelming presence.

The Igbos brought massive investment, education, and trade that turned a swampy port into "The Garden City."
However, they often treated the locals as a "backwards" minority that needed to be managed. This paternalistic attitude (treating the locals as junior partners in the city’s development) fueled the "bloody fury" with which some locals turned on the Igbo when the Nigerian Federal troops arrived in 1968.


Post-1968 brought succour to locals who have now redefined the political character of Rivers State.

This is a first part of many about the imperialistic role of the Igbos in Rivers State. Many times, we hear about the caliphate and what have you. But we rarely hear about the mercantile empire building project that was orchestrated for centuries by groups like Arochukwu and the loosely tied network of people from modern Abia to Anambra.

It's important that we do an Igbo Political History series scattered across the centuries. They're not as innocent as they seem.

Echo chamber post. I mean clearly, if Nigeria was to collapse, everyone will feel the heat.

Realistically, is it possible ? A sovereign state with foreign recognition, acceptance and support? Equipped with security services, backed by a central government with deep pockets. Not likely. Almost any reasonable person knows this.

But you're tryna be sneaky. Forums like this are all about ragebaiting across the board. Nobody is particularly disciplined or neutral.

You cant seriously be surprised that ppl would say "damn it" when they feel like they're losing. Even Tinubu said he didn't believe in one Nigeria in the 90s when Abacha's heat was heavy. It's human nature.

It's all tied to election victories and sense of belonging. When the baton changes the losing side will find everything possible that's wrong with Nigeria and wish it's downfall.

The SE, SW, SS, North etc have all been sore losers when they felt like it wasn't in their favor. ND militancy, OPC, MASSOB/IPOB, BHaram are all emblematic of this sentiment.

Until the victors learn how to win in measured and responsible ways. It'll be this way. You know it, I know it. And anybody who is above 30 knows this.

Xscape1993:
I will never give up on Nigeria because of some agberos, touts, drug barons, strange men, certificate forgers, fraudulent old men and destroyers of the economy...

Don't let any troll trigger you today. God bless you for this stance. For now forget Naija issues tho. Build yourself in whatever way you can. Saner times will come.

Paraman:
I thought burna boy is ikwerre

Haha na so Ikwerre mentally dominate everything Rivers for many ppl outside.

The thing is that regardless of four LGAs vs the other groups who might have as many or more number-wise, Ikwerres have and lead the two most populous LGAs, ObioAkpor and PH (they are always the Mayor/Chair of PH).

This allows them appropriate the register and win elections. Wike's area alone has 85k voters (eligible). With this he can cancel out all Ijaw LGA votes. Just his ward. Most of the Igbo, Ijaw, Yoruba, other residents in the state live in the aforementioned two LGAs. And when election day comes, votes are appropriated.

that's why Peter Obi might be the most popular (social media and celeb wise) but he won't win Rivers anytime soon. Same reason why Sim is a goner. Shame is, they probably won't put any Ijaw there anytime soon.

Ikwerre alliance with the Yoruba power system just saved them and has almost guaranteed their uncontested Lordship which was about to collapse with Sim's rebellion and Igbo partnership.

Damn,Igbo politics can be so elementary... Ikwerre and Igbo parted ways a long time ago. That someone has to be told where they're from by another party ? How does that work again ?

Azuta Mbata from Eneka who collected the title yesterday doesn't even enjoy the confidence of his ppl on that trip he made.

President Tinubu should silence this irrelevant El Rufai and his family once and for all in 2027.

Just an arrogant dude who claims to be competent against an otherwise blemished, subpar record. Kaduna was a hellhole under him. He maliciously taunted and persecuted the southern segment of that state. He employed arbitrary arrests and religion-tinted rhetoric meant to demean the Christian minorities. Whilst abandoning them to a woeful fate

At one point it was as though all hope was lost.


President Tinubu has to stay on past 2027 else the backlash and reactionary effect from the North will be too much for the broad south.

SmartPolician:
What about Total, Shop, Shell and Chevron? Do they take everything they make from Nigeria to the west? It seems the oil and gas industry is a hype or their decision to divest has reduced their earnings.

They're not locally listed. The title should be "largest tax paying listed firms." Shell is the largest contributor to the Nigerian state. Roughly 1.1billion USD in corporate and royalty taxes. Plus NDDC contribution. Exxon Total and Chevron have similar contribution profiles.

PaChukwudi44:
What about the oil companies?

They are not locally listed. That's why. Good point tho, Shell alone pays about 1 billion USD in corporate and royalty taxes. Plus about 100 million USD to NDDC. Exxon does about the same. TotalEnergies slightly less, but is getting to the same level as they ramp up their deep water project developments. They contribute way more than any of the listed firms, both tax -wise and operationally.

President Tinubu's admin has been a pleasant surprise in some aspects. Looking beyond the fake "south" rhetoric and tribalism etc, he is institutionally redefining Nigeria in a way that he shouldn't. As a member of the ruling class, he has almost no reason to do overturn the subsidy programs or to push for this tax reform (being the federal govt).

If you're a Biafran partisan, Niger Delta resource control advocate and the like, the best bet to structurally achieve your fantasies or dreams is through the passing of these federation-minded policies that decouple center and state, artificial markets and propped-up merchants.

These changes will allow for actual social mobility and less parasitism. Nothing against the North, but their advantage has been built on the weakest premise. That is, three decades of uninterrupted, backward military leadership.
They do not produce as much as the South and have led the destruction of human and industrial capital on a scale that has not been seen on earth, among developing countries (Boko Haram and banditry).

In any case , the North will continue to win elections and have its voice be heard. But on economics and earnings, let more objective criteria prevail.

Artscollection:
How come our politicians are free to loot and stash their cash in their banks over there and the western security operatives will turn their eyes the other way.

Because the politicians are looting Nigerian money. Government and otherwise. These guys are robbing Western and in most cases, specifically U.S entities. They should scam the Iranian national oil company, Gazprom or Hezbollah if they don't want FBI or Interpol attention. But then again, that'll get them a different type of justice.

How are we gonna confirm this ? Did they try paging him ? 😅

Wike is grossly wrong. The Feds cut base interest rate by 0.5% bringing it to slightly below 5%.

Reason ? The worst of inflationary pressures are over. 10% post COVID inflation has come down to 2% from 2022 to today.

The rate cut is actually not meant for traditional demand boost but to ease debt burdens for companies and spur investments for employment to increase and heat up labor markets. Markets worldwide have responded with enthusiasm. Indexes are up.

In reality, a place like Nigeria should be celebrating as there should be talk about renewed interest in the economy from global players. However, infrastructure, policy, corruption, transparency and poor democratic credentials are standing in the way.

So what is Wike saying ? Literally could've said this last week as an excuse, but this week that argument is dead. Are Nigerian leaders actually aware of their task ?

Reno Omokri can only impress his followers. He has been bashing mtn for too long without realizing how stupid he sounds.

The company had early mover advantages and made the requisite investments needed to grow its customer base. Any company with a build/expansion strategy uses its resources to build assets (fixed, inventory, receivables, intangibles etc ). And that's what mtn has done..in fact include prepaid expenses there as they have been at the forefront of providing liquidity for the tower companies. Companies like mtn have literally moulded the course of Nigerian telecoms and in a competent manner. They lead in CapEx and coverage so what more does he want ?

Glo which he likes to brag about are actually the opposite of what mtn is. They had similar early mover advantages and relative stability due to the ownership structure and place as a Nigerian brand in the Nigerian market. The third player econet/zain was usually beset with non commercial instability which impeded its efforts. But since Airtel iteration of 2012, the Mittal and Ogunsanya led team actually matched and surpassed glo in market share. Airtel also invests more than glo in capex. Take for e g. Glo's all time high revenue of almost 1.2 bln usd in 2012 and the 400 mln revenue in 2019. Look at the reduction. Even with the mainone investment that was supposed to convert to dominance in data revenue.... So Reno should stop it.

Mtn is the largest Telco on the NGX. Meaning that on firm value basis its Nigerian equity holders capture a measure of its successes (dividends and capital gains). It also banks in Nigeria. Meaning that the financial services firms benefit as debt holders and professional services' providers. Airtel is also listed on the NGX. Meaning the same flows to local debt and equity holders. And it is the second largest Telco there. Where is glo listed? Who benefits from Glo cash flows in the overall economy ?

Reno should chill. Politics is cool, but why add business about which you no nothing about ?? Doubt anyone sent him..

Beyond insults and religious zeal, why aren't most discussions about this issue about the politics of the principal players.

Gulf monarchies do not like the brotherhood, Hamas or any political Islam outfits. They were already on their way to normalization pre Oct 7.

Strategic aims around economic and military objectives make it a tough choice. But the verdict is mostly symbolic solidarity with Gaza and silence on the Israel assault. Nothing to offend the Jews or stifle lobbying efforts in DC. Below is a summary of the situation on a country-specific basis. Please chime in.

Israel: The cost from the Israel end will be the lives of IDF personnel and Netanyahu is ready to take the hit.

His political future depends on the extension of this campaign or the realization of strategic aims around annihilating top Hamas leadership. This is his project. Not necessarily an Israel one. He is finding strength only when harping on national safety. Nothing else.

On the Arab Muslim end he is okay. Even Turkiye is ready to see it thru.

Turkiye: did not recall their ambassador. Only after Israel's left Istanbul due to public pressure did the Turkish man over in Tel Aviv return. Erdogan cannot play into the hands of the UAE or KSA. Any commitments will be used against him in Washington. Like they're doing to Qatar.

UAE: hate political Islam. Use their prestige as a peninsula monarchy to dispense favors to maintain the status quo. Mbz ensured al Bashir left power and is supporting Hemedti to defeat the Islamist NCP-Army alliance. His men in Washington are pointing fingers at Qatar for harboring Hamas and being radical. Keeping Egypt in check with cash infusions and promises of future flows. Already on the way to normalization before Oct 7. Not interested in anything but full alliance with the West. And Israel is the key to this. He didn't even attend the Xi Jinping Saudi occasion to which he was invited.

KSA: similar to mbz, mbs is fixed on the West. Vision 2030 needs US investment and innovation. He doesn't care much about other issues. Mosques except those in holy cities have reduced volumes to one third of their usual volumes. Express order from him. He has been recorded to tell US officials that he needs two or three decades to remove Islam from public life. A true member of the MBC (tv channel) generation. Western leaning to the core. Israel is the key to Washington. Must avoid Iranian pincer from Tehran and Yemen. imams have told Saudis to pray for Gaza, but not to get involved. At Jamaa Rajhi in Riyadh, worshippers were told that they are like 'slugs' before their leaders. Don't fall for rabble rousers. The leader knows best. Even in the holy cities. Same message. Pray and leave it at that. Point is ; nothing will affect vision 2030. Period.

Jordan: road to Israel still open. Supplies are going thru. While Israel is obstructing Palestinian affairs. Recently, a protest headed to the Israeli embassy was stopped by Police. They were shocked. But the king doesn't want to offend the Gulf. They support his economy and also played some games with his army earlier, where they wanted his brother to come in. But that's water under the bridge now. He after all has done the most for Palestinians. They're almost a quarter of his population with full citizenship. And his father harbored them..regardless of the attempted overthrow and all that black September BS. He spoke tough earlier. A good man with values. But has fallen in line.


Qatar: sorta normalized since the 90s. In full contact with Israel while also maintaining similar links with Hamas. Negotiators & peacemakers extraordinaire. Taliban, Chadian rebels, sudanese etc do their talks in doha. Enjoying the attention. And are true Arabs. But have a limit. They couldn't help Bashir in the last days because of pressure from.mbs and mbz.


Egypt: big for nothing. For now..just received 35 billion usd injection from UAE to stave off economic crises. Massive fx and liquidity issues. Crashing like other mineral dependent economies with large populations (eg Nigeria), but have the benefit of generous and wealthy smaller brothers. So why not. Sisi will keep shut and act out for camera. Like he did when he lectured Blinken.

Iran: almost isolated if Oct 7 didn't happen. The true winners here. But for the meantime. Iran itself is a ticking bomb. The bonyads are grossly inefficient. And the thieving mullahs have run out of ideas..now it's oppression in full glare. No subtlety.
Arabs don't care.

Hamas is gonna end up isolated. Protests will not change anything. The vision of Gulf leaders is what matters. They don't seem willing to use their political points on this matter. A huge contrast with when Biden merely insulted Mbs earlier.

The cost will be the lives of IDF personnel, and sadly , or for some practically, Netanyahu is ready to take the hit. His political future depends on the extension of this campaign or the realization of strategic aims around annihilating top Hamas leadership.

On the Arab Muslim end he is okay. Even Turkiye is ready to see it thru. Let's deal with them one by one.

Turkiye: did not recall their ambassador. Only after Israel's left Istanbul due to public pressure did the Turkish man over in Tel Aviv return. Erdogan cannot play into the hands of the UAE or KSA. Any commitments will be used against him in Washington. Like they're doing to Qatar.

UAE: hate political Islam. Use their prestige as a peninsula monarchy to dispense favors to maintain the status quo. Mbz ensured al Bashir left power and is supporting Hemedti to defeat the Islamist NCP-Army alliance. His men in Washington are pointing fingers at Qatar for harboring Hamas and being radical. Keeping Egypt in check with cash infusions and promises of future flows. Already on the way to normalization before Oct 7. Not interested in anything but full alliance with the West. And Israel is the key to this. He didn't even attend the Xi Jinping Saudi occasion to which he was invited.

KSA: similar to mbz, mbs is fixed on the West. Vision 2030 needs US investment and innovation. He doesn't care much about other issues. Mosques except those in holy cities have reduced volumes to one third of their usual volumes. Express order from him. He has been recorded to tell US officials that he needs two or three decades to remove Islam from public life. A true member of the MBC (tv channel) generation. Western leaning to the core. Israel is the key to Washington. Must avoid Iranian pincer from Tehran and Yemen. imams have told Saudis to pray for Gaza, but not to get involved. At Jamaa Rajhi in Riyadh, worshippers were told that they are like 'slugs' before their leaders. Don't fall for rabble rousers. The leader knows best. Even in the holy cities. Same message. Pray and leave it at that. Point is ; nothing will affect vision 2030. Period.

Jordan: road to Israel still open. Supplies are going thru. While Israel is obstructing Palestinian affairs. Recently, a protest headed to the Israeli embassy was stopped by Police. They were shocked. But the king doesn't want to offend the Gulf. They support his economy and also played some games with his army earlier, where they wanted his brother to come in. But that's water under the bridge now. He after all has done the most for Palestinians. They're almost a quarter of his population with full citizenship. And his father harbored them..regardless of the attempted overthrow and all that black September BS. He spoke tough earlier. A good man with values. But has fallen in line.


Qatar: sorta normalized since the 90s. In full contact with Israel while also maintaining similar links with Hamas. Negotiators & peacemakers extraordinaire. Taliban, Chadian rebels, sudanese etc do their talks in doha. Enjoying the attention. And are true Arabs. But have a limit. They couldn't help Bashir in the last days because of pressure from.mbs and mbz.


Egypt: big for nothing. For now..just received 35 billion usd injection from UAE to stave off economic crises. Massive fx and liquidity issues. Crashing like other mineral dependent economies with large populations (eg Nigeria), but have the benefit of generous and wealthy smaller brothers. So why not. Sisi will keep shut and act out for camera. Like he did when he lectured Blinken.

Iran: almost isolated if Oct 7 didn't happen. The true winners here. But for the meantime. Iran itself is a ticking bomb. The bonyads are grossly inefficient. And the thieving mullahs have run out of ideas..now it's oppression in full glare. No subtlety.
Arabs don't care.

Hamas is gonna end up isolated. Protests will not change anything. The vision of Gulf leaders is what counts..it's ordained by God..they were put there for a reason..Listen to to the Imams in the kingdom for guidance. And be blessed.

Hamas will die with this affair. Or at least lose its lustre.

That's Tompolo's man. Smart move. The oil will keep flowing.

FreeStuffsNG:
This is meritocracy. We don't want to lament after 8 years in govt.

You all wish the great strides in Lagos and Yorubaland will extend to other parts of Nigeria, now we are 'loaning' our best hands behind our phenomenal achievements in Yorubaland that you envy to the Federal Government at the centre, you are still complaining.

If FG had stuck to having these best kinds of hands in our strategic sectors since 1960 and not give in to blackmail of relegating meritocracy, we will not be in this place that we found ourselves during the Ex President GEJ era of locust years.

Nigeria deserves the best hands we can get now. Only the best hands are good enough for us. It doesn't matter where they come from. Dr Mobereola did not get this job because he is Yoruba, he got the job on merit and I can argue that based on his records in that sector, he is the best hand!

When you want service for yourself, even to barb your hair o, ordinary barbing of your hair, you want to use the best barber, the best hands regardless of where they come from, so does the Federal Government of Nigeria!

All the enemies of Nigeria will lose las las. They always lose. God bless Nigeria for ever! Check my signature for free stuffs!

Trivializing the question of diversity in appointments in a very polarized nation like Nigeria is a dishonest act. Your comment hints at Nigerians needing the best 'Yoruba' professionals in a manner that over-rates the achievements of that group. There's no sharp difference in educational attainment among Nigerian groups. The composition of professional associations and guilds reflects this basic feature.

To go on from that anchor to the "God bless Nigeria" line further debases your stance. What is Nigeria then ? By basic definition ?

It's Nigeria that made all the cities of repute we have today. Lagos is the product of a decades-long concentration of political, economic, social and military functions. You can try to cunningly reconstruct the narrative to fit your agenda, but that falls short in front of an analysis. Every major center (Abuja, PH) except Kano and Ibadan are creations of the post-colonial oil-fueled Nigerian order. Developed either as conduits of finance, operational bases for key sectors, or centers of administration.

Speaking of disparaging every admin back to 1960? What are you on ? The so called locust years of Jonathan that however haphazardly put up a 510 bln usd (upwards of 650 bln in today's terms) and a much healthier investment climate or the OBJ admin that successfully executed transformative reforms in finance, telecoms and the establishment of civilian institutions are now things to denigrate ? Obj reforms allowed the FDI that put Tinubu and Fashola-run Lagos within the pipelines of global debt financing that you want to re-define as a self-wrought achievement.

is the Tinubu Nigeria you're living in markedly better ? Or the negative growth in economic output and investment flows of the Tinubu-backed Buhari era what you'll call a harvest ? Locusts destroy, just in case you got that the opposite way.

It's better to say it for what it is. "God bless the Yoruba" which isn't a bad thing in any way. But masquerading an ethnic program as a national one needs more refined posturing than the basic thing you're pulling on here. Propaganda works best when immersed in subtlety.

Hudson Institute researcher James Barnett has been covering this issue in his "current trends in Islamist ideology' edited series. He is also at the center for democracy in Abuja.

Nigeria is seeing an interaction between NE jihadists and NC/NW bandit gangs. In a bid to frustrate the intense NE anti-terror program they have worked to present a more diffuse challenge to the authorities.

There's local bandit warlords in the NW, Plateau and Nasarawa working on their own Accord but nevertheless supported and influenced by NE jihadists to work against the Nigerian state. They're attacking the most vulnerable communities; rural Muslim and peri-urban Christian ones because they are sure of a distant state in the former and a laxity from the general public, due to religious chauvinism, for the latter.

For e.g. a jihadist called Sadiku who was part of the Darul Salam commune in Niger State that was broken up in 2009, re-emerged in the past few years looking for bandits to partner with in NW and NC states. He would ultimately join up with Ali Kachala to lease his men for the train attack in 2022. The one we all saw, with dismay, on here. Some of you might have not noticed but they did a de-railing as a test before the main attack. It was reported as a failed attack. But was a test on manipulation of the rail tracks.

Ali Kachala was the bandit whose gang shot down the air force jet during that period. They would use the same team and burst Kuje prison. An attempt on Wawa cantonment in Niger state will however fail. They used the hostages from the train attack to get their family members who were held by the state. And in Kuje they freed many of their brothers/partisans.


That's an example of what's going on in the country. Ansaru, JAS and ISWAP are looking to partner with a myriad network of bandit lords who are in it for plunder, while their jihadist partners hope to gradually indoctrinate them for a more intense struggle against the Nigerian state. Northern Christians are for lack of a better term, the sacrificial lambs in this. The rural Muslims are no exception. But these sorts of attacks in Plateau, Nasarawa and Benue hold great symbolic significance for networks that reach as far as Mali and Burkina Faso. There you have ISGS & JNIM militants who are seeing NW as a platform for contiguity regarding all regional islamist activity.

Nigerian leadership across all parties is quite lost in political battles and party politicking. All while sitting on a ticking time bomb. This has the potential of RSF level of state destabilization between the 2030 to 45 range. It's not Tinubu, Obi or Wike that'll destroy Nigeria. Neither is it low-intensity IPOB vandalism and criminality. These challenges are not competent against Nigerian institutions or military might.

To end, I'd like to leave you with a report from the Africa parks network archives in 2021/22: Two park rangers in northern Benin met a Convoy of gun-wielding men on motorcycles. The men told them not to worry. That they had no problem with Niger. They had gotten sorta lost and needed help on one thing. He asked the ranger " where's the way to Nigeria? "

Btw are the mods aware that the term 'j.anjawee-d' is substituted for "ap.c" the political party after posting. I put dots and the hyphen to cancel that effect.

YoshihideSuga:
At least, it would have been safer just like Southern African countries. But there's something wrong Nigerian Muslims because there are Muslims in Ivory Coast, Ghana, Senegal, Gambia etc. Yet these incidents don't happen there. Nigerian Muslims are too Arabized!

Actually there is nothing Arabized about the Nigerian Muslim body-politic. How many Nigerians comfortably read Arabic or speak it ? Or carry out independent study of the Quran and the hadith? Not to talk of other works.
Arab Islam is for the most part peaceful. Go to the peninsula and check for terrorist attacks.. it's almost nil. You only find that in war ravaged parts like Yemen or in the Levant & Mesopotamia with the dictatorships and militias that roam there.

Good thing you brought up Senegal,Gambia etc. those ppl have been Muslims for way longer than in Nigeria. Also, their Islam is less framed by an opposition to Christianity than by an exposition of Islamic values. They have local, home bred Islamic personalities/ideologues going back centuries.

For example, an Imam, El Hajj Suwari, preached being a peaceful and innovative Muslim in business and conduct. "Lead by example" if u want others to follow us. And this was as far back as 700 years ago.

Ahmadu Bamba, Sheikh Niass etc are the leaders of large Sufi brotherhoods which make up almost all of their Muslim population. Their references are usually homegrown and fixed on a more confident posture on individual Islamic credentials. You don't need to be Arab per se. Just yourself. You don't need to kill the French. Irrelevant.

Now a more Arabized region will be the eastern African coast. But all through Lamu, Mombasa Dar,Zanzibar etc you get the same feel. Islam as a framework for leading a moralistic life (however true or feigned). Not really something to use as a political tool against previously pagan (now Christian groups). So it really doesn't matter how Arabized or Africanized the Islam is.. other West Africans are also Maliki like Nigerians. east Africa is Shafi'i. And even in Hanbali Arabia it isn't really the way things are done.


Nigeria is locked into a "vs" scenario that can lead only one way. When it gets there, we will know.

There is a paper on multinationals in developing societies that covered this episode. I read it in school.

This makes me remember reading the phrase "monkey work, baboon chop," for the first time. That was what the Murtala faction called Gowon's govt. Apparently many of them felt that Lagos based Generals couldn't claim to be as dedicated as war front officials. But the irony is that Murtala Muhamed left the war front in a fit of rage without proper procedure. He went off to London.

The real men who fought with honor were ppl like Shuwa, Danjuma etc. Not a surprise that Murtala built up considerable antagonism against his person. It culminated in his assassination. Nigeria of 1966 to 1979 will be perfect for a miniseries.

Per ITU 2016 figures, Nigeria had 145 million subscriptions out of a total 900 million subs in Africa. It is the largest market, but not up to 25% of the total.

By 2021, world bank figures put sub Saharan Africa at almost a billion subs. About 995million with Nigeria at 195 million of that. Still not up to 25% of the sub Saharan region. Hence, def lesser for the Africa figure.

Penetration in Africa is about 40 to 45%, below the global average. So there's ample space for improvement. However, any market expansions are going to be continent-wide and not isolated in one place.

But why the silly stats ? You could simulate with figures like 25 or even 30 % (tho a lie, but believable). 82 is ridiculous.

Nigeria's political and military superiority over Niger isn't in question. But this topic is false. The junta literally just formed a new govt. A defiant and disrespectful move.

Issue with Dick-swinging topics like this is that they ignore the realpolitik involved. Niger is a power center onto itself regarding its internal affairs and politics. Turning it into "my Dad can beat ur Dad " talk takes away from the real role Nigeria can play as a guardian of the 'rules' of democracy.

Lamido Sanusi can meet anybody in the region, because of his Tijaniyya leadership credentials. The governing Islamic Councils in Niger and Chad especially are Tijaniyya-led bodies.


Let's see how this game plays out. It's definitely more meaningful than the pro- and anti-Tinubu coloration it has taken on this forum..ppl can't learn anything from such exchanges and gross misinformation.

Pauldollars:
When you consider the birth rate of the Foreigners/migrants in France, you'll consider the possibility of what I said.

Yes considering this as well. Remember even if you compounded a value endlessly. Not geometrically. Literally exponentially. You cannot infinitely increase it. And human birthing ability is geometric at best. Not physically possible to cross certain numbers. And there's the economic reality too.

Also consider that second generation ppl are much like the French. They don't marry early or have as many kids. You can look at the trajectory of the largest group (Algerians) and see what I'm saying.

The compounding factor is limited by birth rate capabilities of humans, new immigrant additions and the increasing lack of interest from ppl in many of these countries to even come to France.


But you're right about them being the largest contributor towards demographic growth. Which is a good thing . Outside Paris and big cities it gets almost completely white. Literally uniform.

a4cube:
Are these Niger people leaving in France?

Mostly Senegalese. Some Nigeriens too. Haven't really seen a lot of them tbh. Only one time in Belgium I saw a Nigerien restaurant.

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Pauldollars:
So many foreigners in France (Blacks and Arabs).

Very soon; they'll take over France from the whites

Not really possible. You know that they constitute about 10% of the population combined. Seventy percent of that is the Maghrebi/North Africans.

The base isn't large enough to force the exponential growth needed to eclipse the Causasian segment. Remember in math we learned about "e".the limit of continuous compounding is 2.71. without a mass visa bonanza and active border laxity, there isn't much that even the Algerians (largest foreign contingent) can so demographically.

There's physical, administrative and political barriers.