₦airaland Forum

franchasng:
Atiku ought to have realized by now that he cannot win because he has no influential Southern politician again like in the past to help him get votes in the whole Southern Nigeria and no Governor is backing him again like in 2023.


Yes Atiku will win the highest number of votes in Northeast and Northwest but that is where his vote will end.


If Atiku is realistic and strategic enough, he ought to shock Tinubu by collapsing his structure to back NDC under a strict written agreement.


If Atiku decides to contest as it is currently, he will only end up dividing Northern votes and that will be to Tinubu's disadvantage.


If this election goes free and fair as expected, Peter Obi will emerge winner because his voting bloc regions will not be affected by Atiku Abubakar this time.

Southeast, SouthSouth and Northcentral that are Peter Obi's voting blocs are still in tact with Atiku in the race. Peter Obi's youthful voters are in tact because they despise Atiku for being stubborn and not letting equity reign. They don't even want to hear the name Tinubu to talk of voting for him.


Now you go to the North which was Tinubu's main voting bloc in 2023, with Tinubu's tribalism and sidelining of Northerners that helped him win in 2023, Tinubu have automatically lost Northern bloc vote. Atiku will inherit majority of Buhari's Northern support. Now with Peter Obi aligning with a formidable Northern politician with a phenomenal Kwankwasiya movement, Obi will gain more votes in the North than he got in 2023 even though he won't win North but he will perform far better than he did in 2023.


So if you sincerely analyze the 2027 Presidential election with:


Tinubu in APC
Atiku in ADC
Peter Obi in NDC


You can clearly see that Peter Obi has won the election already.


The only thing that would have affected Peter Obi's voting blocs is if Goodluck Jonathan contested, and now that it is clear that Goodluck Jonathan won't be contesting, it has become more clearer than Peter Obi is the next Nigeria's President

See reasoning abeg oh!

Kukutente23:
I thought Aisha is from Edo state
How come she's running from senate in FCT
This woman just wants to profit from Obi's popularity

That's because the rascals in the obidient camp can only seek elective office in either no man's land , Lagos or in the FCT.

If they try contest for their respective state positions, they will lose more woefully than that Cubana chief priest .

Someone on that X post, responded to her well by asking how she can support Giringori being an annionted candidate without undergoing through Primaries but she is now demanding one after Dickson's parlour selection board rejected her candidacy and gave it to that grandma.

Lamasta:
You can join the party and obtain the presidential form to challenge Obi since he is your problem

The party refused to sell their presidential forms to anyone but Obi.

Your obi is a tyrant and a coward.

Finally Peter Obi will finally be part of a political party's internal Primaries but he is going into this Primaries as the only aspirant after the NDC successfully barred other candidates from picking up their Presidential forms.

The NDC did not just zone their ticket to the south or the SE as they claimed, the zoned it to just one individual - Peter Obi.

Obi will stand unopposed in the charade that is a primary elections and will be declared the winner by default.

This isn't just for obi as the NDC had a selection board review that insisted on announcing just one candidate for every available political position in the upcoming 2027 elections .

So why has the NDC chose this route ?

It so happens that any direct Primaries across states in the federation will expose how unpopular the party truly is in most parts of the country..

Unlike the APC, PDP and ADC that saw to their registered members coming out to vote in their respective direct Primaries, the NDC knows that if they conduct direct Primaries, it will only exposes how deeply unpopular their party is with a very low turnout of registered party members

Checkwell:
No ne small thing. They are really cashing out in Nigeria but don't want Nigerians to cash out in South Africa. No be juju be that?

Is MTN selling drugs in Nigeria ?

Tenses:
Is consensus not in the new electoral act passed by your 1d1iotic president?

For there to be consensus candidate other aspirants must step down for one candidate.

There is nothing as consensus in NDC as almost all the slots had just one candidate aspirant meaning they are going into their primaries unopposed .

The reason for this is that NDC struggled to attract serious politicians and they could barely sell only 45 forms for both national and state elective positions and their presidential ticket .

Obi, for example is decieving himself that he is going for screening and the party primaries where he is the only sole aspirant .

IJAYA001:
This NDC is behaving like party under Autocratic system.
Ordering when they need police as if when fight come they will call ESN or AMOTEKUN.

This how the Communist Party Politburo in the Soviet Union operated under supreme dictatorship.

Kukutente23:
I thought some clowns said they didn't hold primaries

Which primaries ?

They will announce the selected candidates as automatic winners unopposed.

callmeDDD:
Good initiative but let's wait and see the credibility of the ones that will screen them. Hope they won't consider those that has big pockets over people that are termed people of integrity?
Another thing is popularity. If you are less popular and not known but passed their interviews, will it be an easy ride for an unknown party?

Which primaries ?

Virtually all their slots were given out for free save about 45 forms they sold and there isn't going to be any primaries because most of the candidates are running unopposed.

The selection board will then transform to the collation board in same Dickson's parlour and announce the names of those they handed free ticket to as their primaries winners.

No election in NDC , only selection and Giringori is the one who set the path to such undemocratic nonsense

LagosOrigin:
NDC is credible and the primaries processes will be the most transparent unlike the criminal activities called primaries that APC did to favour tinubu .

Over 40 school children including 2, 3 and 4 years olds were kidnapped from their school by bandits and taken to unknown destination and tinubu hadn't done anything to rescue them. Yesterday was children's day and tinubu dare wish children a happy children day?

What a useless and heartless president.

If we don't vote out tinubu in 2027, he will finish us all .

Let nobody call Jesus or blame village people , go get your PVC and vote enmass against tinubu and his APC gang of economy destroyers.

You don change wrapper tire.

From LP, to ADC and now NDC.

IGBOPROMISE1:
So where are YOU from to presume to speak for Anioma people!? I know you’re a alternate moniker of the OP, and this sick obsession with trying to get one over on the Igbo IN EVERYTHING points to mental instability driven by intense hatred, bigotry and a inferiority complex!

Anioma are Igbo just like many other groups in Delta, Rivers and even Benue states! Why do you get agitated anytime we seek to unite Ndigbo under one umbrella and undo all the anti-Igbo propaganda people like you have engaged in from the late 60s to date!? I notice you don’t display this level of fear and insecurity when there’s talk of [i]the north this….the north that[/i ]! Get a life….and that advice goes to all your alternate monikers as well!

The worst thing that can happen to your Ibo collective identity and expansionist movement is for Anioma state creation to go on and the path set for a referendum on two issues to be determined being :

1. Anioma state creation

2. Anioma to be ceded to the SE.

If such a referendum is allowed to hold, I know that you guys will target Anioma people as your next sworn enemies after they vote to reject anything to do with the SE and choose instead to be part of the SS.

2k mission done land for Obidients

The PW2 in this case is the IPO who investigated and filed the case in court.

Why is he not in court to give evidence?

Because he so happens to be of the dreaded Akwuzu SARS

The foolish presenter began her segment with these exact words :

"Over a hundred Nigerians are on death row in Malaysia. What is the govt doing to rescue them?".

Did the govt send them to go and traffic drugs into Malaysia ?

When has it been the priority of the FG to come to the rescue of Nigerians caught up in a criminal case abroad?

lawani:
GDP is largely to do with population when the cost of living and other things are constant eg the level of taxation and organisation, therefore the combination of Oyo and Ogun will be around the same GDP as the SE.

If Osun has cocoa then Anambra has palm oil and it is also a hub for trading. One will cancel out the other

So why is there a net negative migration from your SE?

Mbanda:
Apart from Lagos which other SW state do you think generates money more than other states in Nigeria? And don't forget that the money that lagos is generating is, as a result of the seaport there. And Nigerian government made it so by refusing to create other viable seaports in SE and SS.

Osun's annual cocoa production dwarfs your entire SE economy.

Oyo has a bigger economy than the entire SE


Don't even try to compare with Ogun.

The only SW state that is comparable to Anambra is Ekiti and all indices given population density and availability of land plus available solid minerals that are yet to be exploited, Ekiti still beats your entire SE.

The only viable state in the SE is Enugu owing to land availability, natural gas deposits.

The rest of the SE is a net negative overcrowded shetle

Ofunaofu:
So these two states are the only ones in the federation violating Tinubu’s local government autonomy policy and ironically, both governors are standing on Tinubu’s mandate.

It's called legislative rascality .

And this isn't Tinubu's LGA law but what is enshrined in the constitution.

The current AGF was the one with the full blessing of Tinubu who went to court to effect the independence of LGAs via ensuring that LGA elections must be conducted and the scenario of state governors like Obi refusing to conduct elections and appointing illegal caretaker chairman to control and siphon LG funds ends. The suit also mandates that LGA funds be directly remitted to LGAs and not through any state controlled joint accounts .

But the legislative rascality deployed by Anambra and Abia saw to the creation of joint accounts which the governor has the discretion of releasing funds on his own whimp to LGAs.

Streetinvestor2:
So when they want to call stated you cal ondo osun and ekiti as productive state. State besides civil service works. The remaining are transport union workers. Which factories are in those 3 states.I personally contributed to pay workers back those days in osun state as was announced in my church

Annual Cocoa production in Osun alone can feed your region for one year

Streetinvestor2:
Walahi obi does not need Yoruba votes to win president. How many votes did you people give SW president in last election. Was it not just 2.5 million votes from SW.For me the hate dey bit my body join

And you will get northern and SS votes for your mind ba

Ofunaofu:
Which grip again on the illegal consolidated state and local govt revenue account are you talking about, I thought Tinubu implemented local government autonomy

Yes but states like Abia and Anambra passed laws in their respective state assemblies that mandates joint accounts between the state and LGAs .

In the case of Abia the governor is the sole signatory .

That's what led to an LG chairman from Abia complaining of the governor witholding LG funds.

lawani:
Oyo and Ogun alone are around the same population as the SE. Lagos is 120 percent of the SE and there are still Osun Ekiti and Ondo. It is therefore totally unwarranted or uncalled for to be saying the SE is not doing well based on what the SW is doing. Remember the SE is around the same size as Oyo state

So why the constant need of dik measuring with the SW?

And while you are at it, what of the SS?

Zionmdde:
He is very correct to support tinubu, that's where his daily or will I say generational bread comes from. Trillions of naira contract no be beans

These are the people who should support tinubu not chiwawas who are suffering with the masses.and have gained nothing useful.from the maladministration

I am also sorry for other suffering ijaw youths who this one will come.and tell.them to vote tinubu

Of course if a good leader is elected, that contract will be far gone

The results from the SS will shock you guys .

You think having all the governors from the SS in APC who were once in the PDP and have collapsed their structures into the APC is inconsequential?

Blankstare:
Obviously you haven't been in the news. Obi have repeatedly said 2031 belongs to the north, and that the agreement he has with kwankwaso

And why should the north trust anything that comes from this liars mouth ?

So reducing number of cars an individual can own will reduce traffic congestion?

How will an individual who owns more than one car be able to drive both at the same time?

Please make it make sense.

malcom1X:
How is Anambra the gay capital of Nigeria? 😂😂😂
Have you ever been to Anambra before?

NACA did a survey of disorderly houses in Anambra and found out that there are over 50 gay hookup spots in Onitsha -Awka axis.

Freshtruth:
Did he told u he want to disrupt it? Has he ever mentioned that he will run for 8years he only insist on just 4years that all . Wetin dey him mind nobody knows

He should keep his confusion to himself.

That's how he dislodged PDP in Anambra only to decamp to same PDP after being in power under APGA for 8ys.

He then decamped from PDP to LP to contest in 2023 which saw to PDP traditional SE votes being taken by him . That move caused the PDP the elections

After the elections , he and his obidient mob wanted to turn the LP to their property. When he lost he ran to ADC only to run away again to NDC..

Well, he will be contesting freshly in 2031

Freshtruth:
if you are in his shoes will you step down? the goal is to enter ist and change political party. Even the Igbos we hate him if he steps down

So why should the north support him if he is going to disrupt the zoning arrangement and deny them another 4ys?

Obi should save his money because no one is going to vote him outside his SE