₦airaland Forum

Peterfx01:
Please guys Runaway from buying gu today !

You were right... Got knocked off

London trade today....

Stop loss

Took this trade this morning....

Geovanni412:
Gu don touch 1.133. U still dey on d trade?

I'm out t.p hit

How the trades went

Geovanni412:
Key news comes in by 1:30 pm sha - Empire State manafacturing index. I might exit my positions depending on chart signals before then to avoid wahala.

I'm running risk free on this one.....

S.l above my entry so I have no worries

Geovanni412:
GU go touch 1.143 if not 1.153. As long as DXY and USDCAD are bearish on 4h chart, don't bother shorting GBPUSD.

Looks likely....

karkinase:
See spike

Looks like a trap...
Might be wrong

Donsheddy:
Bought again......

First and second take profit secured.

Stoploss moved to entry

Donsheddy:
London trade....

I bought again

The trade that was moved to b.e was picked out....
The other three still running

First and second t.p hit ....

100 bucks profit secured

How it went

Donsheddy:
Bought again......

The trade that was moved to b.e was picked out....
The other three still running

First T.P PICKED

Borntosmoke:
For prop firm challenge phase1 what will you advice someone to risk per trade base on your experience to pass it. Is 1% or 0.5%

It depends on your strategy....
But I will go will 0.5%

London trade....

I bought again

Bought again......

Geovanni412:
Boss, I think GU still has room to go upwards. The other pairs it negatively correlates with don't look bullish- check dollar index. Let's see what happens sha- market looks weird, things should clear up in 2hrs.

I was suppose to buy at this current level for g.u....
But his analysis just made have a second thought....
Now I have to wait for London session before making my move

Donsheddy:
Took this trade immediately Market opened .

Second t.p hit....

Last trade s.l moved at B.E....

First trade was placed immediately market opened.....


First t.p picked

Second T.P picked.....

Third trade..
S.l moved to entry

Took this trade immediately Market opened .

...

Ttalk:
Whao I like your analysis.

The only thing it lacks is a depth knowledge of Nigerian politics. Let me simplify it for you.

Tinubu choosing a Christian deputy would have cost him greatly.

Just name any Christian northerner that would have given Tinubu the vote Shettima would give.

Any northern Christian would have increased APC votes in the north central but not in the South.

Southern Kaduna, Jos, Taraba, and Nas,arawa with some chunks of Christians are likely to be influenced by religion. Let's quantify the figure to be 2m votes.

Now let's look at what the Shetimma factor would bring to the table. Borno and Yobe have estimates of 5 to 6m Kanuri people. At least 4million would vote for Shettima as their son and reduce the loss from North central to 2 million. There are other Muslims scattered all over Nigeria that would prefer the brilliance and record of Shettima as governor to vote for him. From the North west to the North East and some few in north-central, this figure can not be less than 2m. So that cancels the factor of MM that you so much emphasised.
I do not consider MM as a factor in the South because;
1. Religion is not a factor in the SW
2. SE would not vote Tinubu even if he presents Pope as his deputy same goes with SS.

4 million from just two state....
What are you on.....

The average vote from north east is 6 million....

So are you telling me 4 million will go to tinubu not minding that's atiku own region that haven't produced the presidency ever


Winning north central and western christian vote would have been his perfect shot than aiming for north Eastern vote

The spoiler in this election is kwankwanso if we are to go by north west pattern of vote.....
For those of us that seems to have forgotten.....

Buhari pulled close to 8million vote with cpc that wasn't popular.....

Governors in pdp Couldn't influence that.
So why do you think Apc can.....

All obi needs is to inherit 80% of jonathans votes in 2011 and 2015 and he is cruising to aso rock....

I'm just being realistic here...

Cus buharis block votes will share between three candidates atiku, kwankwanso and tinubu

Serve as guide on how the regions vote

bender79:
You are still relying on the same reasons OP gave to win the election. Atiku lost the election because he scored lower in northern votes due to the dominance of Buhari but same cannot be said today because there are 3 candidates including yours who will split the votes making other regions significant in guaranteeing victory.

Something they fail to understand.....
2011 Jonathan lost NW and NE and won the election......

Apc supporters fail to consider that kwankwanso is on the ballot too.....

Splitting northern votes three ways...

North West is known for voting there own ...
Which in the question is kwankwanso.....

I expect him to get not less than 30% of total vote cast in the n.w and n.e if he continues with this momentum....

That leaves the remaining 70% to be draged between atiku,obi and tinubu... If obi can get 5% from this pool from the northern christian in this pool ....

You have 65% left.....

Trust me there will be voters aparthy in the north if we are expecting a turn out of About 17 million from those two regions......

Nnpp. 5.1 m
Lp. 850k
Apc and pdp will battle for the remaining 11M.



S.E and S.S has a total voters turn out of About 10m

If labour grabs 70%

From those two regions..

That's about 7 million

Could be more if the. East comes out to vote like they did in 2011....

That's why I believe Kanu release will favour l.p contrary to what people think...

N.C will be the decider in the election.....


If you go to the West removing Lagos state....

The voting strength of the other 5 states is not bigger than the 5 states in the east....
The east comes out top...


Why I said removing Lagos, Lagos votes is mixed, the difference between the winner and the second position won't be much......

Now the question is can apc get up to 80% of vote cast in the other 5 western states assuming there voting strength is about 4million

This is where the Muslim Muslim ticket plays a big roll.....

The answer is no.......

So let's assume Apc gets...

5Million north
3million west.
1.5 million n.c.
And 500k both s.s and s.e combined.

That's 10m total

Then l.p

Gets 7.5millon
S.S and S.E..
N.C 2.5M
West 1.5M
N.E and N.W
1M

That's about

12.5M

And atiku gets 6M north
2M N.C.
1M west.
2M South south and east

That's 11M

Newyork trade guys

I'm still on the trade widened my s.l to last h4 low

Stop loss

Donsheddy:
Second trade today....

First t.p picked..

Second trade today....

I was able to close the initial trade at entry when I noticed the bears pressure....
So I rejoined was almost hit but still in it...

Donsheddy:
Let me try my luck today again

I'm not doing again

London s trade

Stop loss hit

Let me try my luck today again

garfield1:
No one wins lagos massively.with two strong candidates in obi and atiku,55% is a massive win.it doesnt favour atiku,he has no sure region unlike obi and tinubu...he just nerds two regions

Atiku has sure region the north...
His chances of winning the north east is higher than that of tinubu....

Tinubu isn't sure of winning either north or south....

If you go by history of how n.w and n.e votes.
Kwankwanso has more chance to win the n.w and n.e....

Pdp couldn't do it with Jonathan and obj....

Only Yaradua did and guess what he is from the n.w.....

So don't tell me tinubu will