₦airaland Forum

garfield1:
And you saw where they said the poll was conducted mostly in fct and in christian dominated areas like amac,kuje.let them add kwara and niger

and you read it wasnt only in fct but the places where it was carried out in fct was spelt out

three states in the n.c was surveyed where he pulled 45%

and also he pulled 44% In the north central....

read it carefully.....

since the gap between the candidates In the north central id close....
that means buhari block votes has been shared evenly between three candidates....

why obi is retaining gej votes.....

remember get lost n.w woefully and still won in 2011 by winning n.c....

same path obi is taking with this survey

garfield1:
Oga,benue do not give bloc votes since the advent of card readers/bvas.in 2015,buhari won benue by 70k and lost plateau by 100k.in 2019,buhari lost benue by 7k and plateau by 70k.he won nasarawa by 8k in 2019 and lost there by 30k in 2015.he lost in fct in 2011 by 50k,in 2015 by 20k and 2019 by 90k.so you see,those christian dominated areas of nc dont give bloc votes.they split votes.obi and atiku are sharing almost same vote pool..
In niger state,buhari won in 2015 by 500k and 2019 by 400k.he won kwara in 2015 by 250k and 300k in 2019.he won kogi by 150k in 2015 and 100k in 2019.so you see,Muslim areas give bloc votes.I just left niger state and apc completely dominates.even if atiku wins,obi will fail woefully here.so you see,tinubu will beat him in nc

I'm sure you saw the poll where obi won the region convincingly with as much as 45 percent

garfield1:
Oga,benue do not give bloc votes since the advent of card readers/bvas.in 2015,buhari won benue by 70k and lost plateau by 100k.in 2019,buhari lost benue by 7k and plateau by 70k.he won nasarawa by 8k in 2019 and lost there by 30k in 2015.he lost in fct in 2011 by 50k,in 2015 by 20k and 2019 by 90k.so you see,those christian dominated areas of nc dont give bloc votes.they split votes.obi and atiku are sharing almost same vote pool..
In niger state,buhari won in 2015 by 500k and 2019 by 400k.he won kwara in 2015 by 250k and 300k in 2019.he won kogi by 150k in 2015 and 100k in 2019.so you see,Muslim areas give bloc votes.I just left niger state and apc completely dominates.even if atiku wins,obi will fail woefully here.so you see,tinubu will beat him in nc

obi will be retaining Jonathans votes or pdp votes....

which Apc muslin votes will be in contention between Apc and pdp so that should tell you something....

garfield1:
Wow..from the poll, obi will fail woefully in core north.tinubu will beat atiku in se/ss/nc

no body expects obi to do very well in north west....
but look at the north east that should compliment.....

tinubu we do poorly in the north west and north east compared to nnpp and pdp.

what ever he gets in the south is inconsequential....
cus his strong hold is also deeply eating....

where Lagos with the highest voting strength in the west is 50

what ever obi gets in the north east will cover the margins in the west and close down...
and what ever he gets in the n.w will close down the margins plus the margins of victory will close down whatever margin in the west....

s.s and s.e block votes will clear out anything left or he got from the north....

you can't lose the north and south and become president

garfield1:
True but plateau and benue do not give bloc votes but niger,kwara give bloc votes.tinubu will do very well in plateau and benue even when he lose but obi will fail woefully in niger,kogi and kwara.fct and nasarawa will be split

I beg to disagree...

he won't fail woefully and kogi, I might agree with Kwara and he won't fail woefully but will do very well much than Apc I. fct....

Niger should go pdp way and nasarawa...

cc @ garfield1

garfield1:
Is it atiku or kwankwaso that will solve the harsh economic issues? Since hausas will divide votes for nnpp and pdp,its good for tinubu..dont forget that both kwankwaso and atiku aren't hausas and tinubu just nerds 30%-40% in the north plus he will likely win north central.some apc strongholds like borno,yobe,zamfara,kwara are still intact.
Luckily,obi has also captured those overwhelmingly strong pdp stronghold of ss/se while sw is intact

win North Central how

last time I checked the two state with the highest voting strength is plateau and benue which is in the bag for obi....

the other 4 give less than 800k votes which obi is in contention...


not forgetting kogi and Kwara which tinubu is banking on. can't produce 1million votes so how will he win North Central please

nzechu:
OK thank you how do I send it to you. I created the first one on the 2nd of December, my thought was that the first trade starts the counting of the 2 weeks

This story no clear

Where is the previous 25k you created that you said expired

garfield1:
You are not being realistic.elections in se/ss are highly rigged.apc is very strong here and have experienced politicians, lp is very weak and inexperienced.

Obi cannot win bayelsa,he is out.it is between tinubu and atiku.the winner will do so narrowly.

Rivers have a voting population of 3 million.800k million can turn up,obi gets 500,tinubu 200k.dont forget buhari got 150k,tinubu with the help of magnus and asari dokubo will get more..
Aks have a voting power of 2 mil,800k can turn up.buhari got 150k here and with pdp getting divided,tinubu can get more..
IMO has a voting power of 2 mil.in 2011,they gave gej 1.2 mil.apc dominates orlu and owerri zone and hope is a clever crook,very smart.his 2bd term depends on tinubu winning so he will try to give tinubu 25% by all means though obi will win IMO.buhari got 150k here.
Buhari overall got 500k in the east.tinubu can get 600k

Till February
Magnus is with sdp....
Asari ke...

We both know the region with the highest voting strength infact the account for 75% of rivers state voting strength...
The ikwerrers...
Where obio/akpor and portharcourt are more populated....
So I'm thinking where the 200k vote is coming from.....

Bayelsa will vote tinubu that plotted the removal of there son why....

P.o is winning bayelsa for sure...
I have friends in b.y keeping me updated.....

S.E election highly rigged...
Tell me something else....

With P.O on the ballot...
He's getting nothing less than 80% of votes cast in the east and expect high level of turn out of voters in the south south and southeast

garfield1:
Tinubu is a southerner so he will get more votes than buhari.hunger has alwats been there even in 2019.infact,a lot will sell their botes
Tinubu will get 300k in edo,250k in delta,200k in rivers,200k in bayelsa,200k in crs and 200k in aks...
In se,he will get 200k in IMO,200k in ebonyi,70k in Enugu,100k in abia,30k in anbambra

I wouldn't want to drag it futher but February is just here.....

200k I'm bayelsa is as good as wining....
200k in rivers what's the total vote of rivers even atiku can't boast of 100k from Rivers as it stands....
200k in aks laughable.....

200k in imo how....
Don't forget the current governor came a distant 4th in the election he contested....
What's the voting power of imo....

The best Apc can get in the east is as much as 200k in total and that is me being generous....
P.o is on the ballot.....

In rivers state....
APC will be lucky to get up to 50k as it stands....

wonder233:
The current mood the ibos, do they look like people that want to vote against Peter Obi?
A lot of these polls simply use the analysis of "X state has a PDP governor, hence X state will vote Atiku". That is unrealistic analysis.
If you want to analyse, look at what the voters are saying.
Southeast and South-South are massively voting Obi. Kwara, Osun, Kogi, Ekiti, Ogun, Oyo are firmly for Tinubu. Lagos is marginally for Tinubu while Obi will have a good showing.
Up north, Obi will have next to nothing. Atiku and Tinubu will share the North.
Obi will have some votes in plateau, benue, parts of kaduna south.
Overall, Tinubu is projected to win, but Atiku can cause a scare if he can sway the north more. It is only Obi I don't see winning, because he just can't get votes from the largest voting bloc either on account of personality or party

Writing kwankwanso off....
Don't forget s.w don't give block votes

garfield1:
Se and ss turnout will be high for obvious reasons...

For se,4 mil.obi 2.7 mil,atiku 700k,tinubu 600k..
For ss,5 mil turnout.atiku 1.9 mil,obi 1.8 mil,tinubu 1.3 mil

Sorry to say where is the 600k coming out from for tinubu......

1.3million from which part of the south south please.....

Even Buhari did not get such amount of vote...
Now those vote he got is under contention with pdp cus labour party is retaining all gej vote that's if truly you're in this region cus I'm currently in rivers state.....
And I know for my uncle's who are party faithfuls to Pdp in Enugu are all rooting for l.p....
That's why I'm wondering where the 600k east will come from


Maybe you've forgotten south east give as high as 80% vote cast to there preferred candidate and it won't be any different this time....

I did not contest other regions cus Im not there and I don't know the mood of voters in that region.....

Less we forget hunger is also on ground....
Which will affect the ruling party especially in the south

garfield1:
Sw turnout should be a little higher.it was 4 mil in the previous election but should be at least 5 mil.
Tinubu 2.7 mil,obi 1.2 mil,atiku 1 mil,kwankwaso 100k

Nc is not on the ballot so turnout should remain at 4 mil.tinubu 1.4 mil,obi 1.3,atiku 900k,kwankwaso 400k.

Okay good south east and south south

garfield1:
Regions where their sons are not on the ballot will have less turnout.in 2015,nw turnout was 9 mil.in 2019,it reduced to 8 mil.with buhari not on the ballot and kwankwaso not on a major platform,7.5 is the maximum.

Ne/nw voted together because of buhari and during the first republic....ne have two of their sons on the ballot so turnout should be high.let's use 5 million.tinubu 2.2,atiku 2.2 obi 300k,kwankwaso 300k

Nice....

Over to S.W
And N.C


Split the vote between the leading candidates

HydraFeeds:
Well compare it to 2019 .


Also the election apathy is growing in south east due to demand for Biafra and unknown gunmen actions with people like Ekpa declaring no election in east .

Your question should be who was on the ballot....
Even in the south south there was voters aparthy....
Total vote caste from each States also reduce but 40% from previous election....
Rivers State.
AKS...
Delta.
Bayelsa and
Cross River....

Two northern candidate was on the ballot so the interests of this region wasn't really in the ballot....

So it wasn't entire just the south east that's to tell you that this two region swing in same direction

garfield1:
7.5 mil votes.tinubu 2 mil,atiku 2 mil,kwankwaso 1.3 mil,obi 200k

7.5 that's too poor accept you're saying there will be voters aparthy in that region....

Average vote cast In that region is between 9million to 10milliom


Anyways over to the North East

How do you think the vote will be shared among the three candidates.....

Mind you this region swing with N.W



Tinubu, Atiku and kwankwanso

blank:
Are you sure Southeast don't have the numbers?

This is 2011 election results. See the states with over 1m people who voted.

They judge s.e with 2019 election where there was voters aparthy cus none was the favourite of the region

garfield1:
Kwankwaso 35% tinubu 30% atiku 30% obi 5% 40% 30% 30% or 30% 30% 30% 10% which is good for tinubu

Nice we are getting somewhere.....
What's the total vote cast you're expecting from this region?

Do the math and split it between the three candidates

Then we move to other region one after the other

garfield1:
He divided their votes,got 45% and tinubu will do same

Share 100 percent between tinubu and Atiku and kwankwanso in the north west

Sannisege:
Abiola defeated Tofa in Kano

Since 1999 who has won the north west that's not from the north west....

Did he win that region?

sangresan:
Says someone who started following Nigerian politics in 2015.

Abiola (Ogun) defeated Tofa (Kano) in the Northwest.

Did he win the region?

For those that are delusional....
Since the history of democracy.....
No outsider has ever won the north west region.....
So I laugh at those writing kwankwanso off....
Even PDP. With all there structure couldn't do....

slimmoney:
is kwankwaso not on the ballot anymore?

Same question I was about to ask

[/b][b][b][/b][quote author=Ofunaofu post=119182575]Urchins don't know what will hit them come 2023[/quote

ikbtn4real:
Lol well in forex, from my experience I will say trading psychology goes a long way, when you build yourself around the fact that once you enter the market, you are either going to win or loose, you’ll find yourself at ease most of the time. Just grow your psychology, it’s more important than trading strategies, after that work on money management. These 2 both are the key to any successful trader.

100 percent that psychology I think is the only bridge I have now in fx...
I want to give myself the first quarter of next year to kill it permanently

haryodehjia:
Not fixed boss... 0.10 is the maximum lot one is permitted to use

But on fxblue it stated the minimum and maximum lot is 0.1

Samfelly should come and clearify...
Let me know if I'm tweaking my strategy a bit

haryodehjia:
Not fixed boss... 0.10 is the maximum lot one is permitted to use

Okay

samfelly:
Frustrating, bro. Frustrating

Bro I want to sure of something...
Is the lot size fixed at 0.1
Or we are permitted to use lower lots size....

Cus I see people using 0.05 lots....

So I bought G.U again today.....

Yesterdays trade all three t.p was picked....

Account back to 10k.....

realone12:
lol if I tell you wetin do me today, you go cry to me. I was long on GU with some profit, then I saw a pattern that looks like the market is about to dipp. I quickly take the little profit and decide to short GU.. only for the market to surge crazily high after two minutes I took the opposite direction..
I nearly ran mad with frustration and anger

Chai you fell for that trap...
I saw that too but I didn't make that move cus of I was seeing in dx,y

So I closed yesterday trade with 78 bucks profit....
Haven't updated cus I've been so busy....

This is today trade....
First t.p picked already....

Moved s.l.to entry already....

samfelly:
Which of the platform did you indicate to use when you created your ftmo free trial? Still take style send me the account login and Investor's password. Samfelly@yahoo.com

I've resolved it boss