Crime › Re: ‘One Chance’: An Awkward Personal Experience by dsoja: 12:32pm On Jun 09, 2017 |
Everyday for the thief and one day for the owner.I know this miscreants will want to blame buhari for this, but one day they will be caught and be punish for their evil dids |
Phones › Re: Have You Seen This Power Bank With 100,000mah Battery Capacity ? by dsoja: 7:27am On Apr 27, 2017 |
Thats strong enough to power my house for one hour. |
Christianity Etc › Re: Russia's Supreme Court Deems Jehovah Witnesses Extremist, Bans Organization by dsoja: 12:32am On Apr 21, 2017 |
Devil@work |
Celebrities › Re: Davido's Babymama, Sophia Momodu Twerking By The Poolside (Photos, Video) by dsoja: 2:48pm On Apr 18, 2017 |
She need another baby. Application is hereby welcome from any who wana be baby DADY. |
Celebrities › Re: Munachi Abii Returns To Music After Lengthy Break (Pictured) by dsoja: 1:56pm On Apr 18, 2017 |
Really? |
Christianity Etc › Re: "Cat Turns Into An Old Woman In Lagos After Being Stoned By Boy" - Facebook User by dsoja: 4:42pm On Mar 30, 2017 |
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TV/Movies › Re: Sulaiman Aledeh Quits Channels TV by dsoja: 5:40pm On Mar 06, 2017 |
eyahhh,I will miss this guy like kilode. Anyway,you are not born to serve channels forever,you've got to move on---bigger things! #wish you success in your future endeavours. |
Business › Re: Naira Weakens To N458 Per Dollar At Parallel Market by dsoja: 4:55am On Mar 03, 2017 |
LordAdam16: In recent days, I've heard lots of predictions about the USD/NGN exchange rate.
Some overzealous believers say it's going down to N200/$1. Some more conservative estimates put it at N350/$1. Others just say less than N400/$1.
The fact is that the rate will hover between N450 and N500 in the short term, pending any drastic action like what happened last week.
The CBN has made it ultimately clear that they would regularly intervene in the market to protect the Naira. Last week's reaction was one of such interventions and highly expected. The government wouldn't let the difference between the parallel and official rate to be more than N200/$1. That is a monetary disaster.
But here's the other fact. There is ABSOLUTELY NOTHING the government can do now to harmonize the exchange rates without severe rattling of the economy.
Nigeria is already selling 2.1m barrels of oil a day (almost close to 2.2m barrels high in 2013). The oil price will not cross the $50-$60 band anytime soon. It means Nigeria is making the most money it can make from our single largest foreign earner (which is why our reserves have been rising) at the moment.
The CBN has been plunging money into the market since the managed float started to the tune of several hundreds of millions of dollars weekly (last week it was over $400m, this week it's already over $100m). There is a limit to which they can go.
And that is why the 41 prohibited list still exists, and Nigerian bank cards (aside GTB and Access) cannot do USD transactions.
Last week, the CBN liberalized accessing Forex for students, travelers, and those in need of medical attention. It is a very welcome policy. These groups of FX buyers have been unfairly targeted by the CBN since Buhari stepped on the brakes. But according to even the most generous estimates, these people only account for 20% of the Forex demand. Meaning the black market still caters to a majority of the Forex demand.
Even travelers at the Airports would not get dollars, unless they apply weeks in advance via their banks. This is because no bank in this recession will open FX outlets in airports, despite the instruction from CBN to do so. The major reason is that it's a short term measure that also hurts their bottom line.
For the parallel market rate to fall permanently, the CBN has to liberalize the FX market completely. The prohibited import list has to be redacted and no one should be barred from buying dollars at the official rate (whether he/she is a student or a blogger buying web hosting on NameCheap with a Naira card).
While the naira will become more valuable at the parallel market (from 450+ to 400 or less), it will lose value at the official market (from <315 to between 350 and 400) in the medium term. But the basic idea is that the difference between the official and parallel market rates will be less than 50 naira. And probably go back to 2012 levels of less than 10 naira. Basically, the divergence will no longer be business-worthy for speculators.
Unfortunately, the FG and CBN do not want to do this currently for obvious reasons. For example, we do not even have a fiscal economic plan at the moment. Osinbajo, the minister of budget and planning, and Adeosun have been assembling it for more than 12 months now, and they're yet to unwrap it. Also, our FDI levels are not that encouraging. We are also in a biting recession and it appears the economy is finally recovering (so there's good reason to hold back). Then there's the issue of price of fuel which will inevitably rise to N200+ (no one wants the blow back this would lead to).
Speculators are business men who make their living off plummeting currencies. They are like undertakers who make their living off dead people. If no body dies, the undertaker goes out of business. If an economy strengthens and the currency follows suit, speculators move on to another currency).
Saying speculators are unpatriotic and enemies of Nigeria is VERY SILLY. If the government didn't create the environment for them to thrive, they wouldn't thrive. Leave a bread for days and fungi would grow on it. You can't say the fungi are unpatriotic. Their only patriotism is to their survival.
I expect the parallel market rate to climb albeit slowly in the coming weeks to 470. N500/$1 seems like a stretch now and I expect the CBN to make another intervention if the rate crosses that resistance point again.
Until the Naira is fully floated, the speculators are going no where and the illusion of a N400 or less exchange rate in the parallel market will remain a pipe dream.
-Lord Nice one bro |
Politics › Re: Osinbajo Bags Chieftaincy Title In Akwa Ibom, Conferred With Obong Emem Title by dsoja: 9:00pm On Mar 02, 2017 |
Good for him |
Politics › Re: Obasanjo Cuts His 80th Birthday Cake (Photos) by dsoja: 8:28pm On Mar 02, 2017 |
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Business › Re: CBN Introduces New Charges On Bank Deposits And Withdrawals by dsoja: 7:32am On Feb 24, 2017 |
This is absolute nonsense. |
Culture › Re: Olubadan Of Ibadanland Lands In London In Style. Photos by dsoja: 11:55am On Feb 06, 2017 |
Good one.but pls help us find our president! |
Culture › Re: Olubadan Of Ibadanland Lands In London In Style. Photos by dsoja: 11:54am On Feb 06, 2017 |
Good one.but pls,let him help us find our president! |
Politics › Re: Fayose Eats At NYSC Camp, Ise Ekiti (Pics) by dsoja: 12:38am On Feb 05, 2017 |
Eating here eating there,I pray this man no go eat poison oneday |
Celebrities › Re: Photo Of Seun Egbegbe Handcuffed With His Accomplice After His Arrest In Gbagada by dsoja: 11:38am On Feb 03, 2017 |
I think this guy is 'con' guy portending to be a movie producers. |
Sports › Re: ‘Adebayor Is Very Lazy’- Brede Hangeland, Ex Team Mate Exposes Striker by dsoja: 2:05pm On Jan 27, 2017 |
Hnmmm |
Sports › Re: Ashton Surber Proposes To La’Kiesha Pereda During Match, Gets Yellow Card by dsoja: 10:22pm On Jan 15, 2017 |
Ebe like say the refree don suffer for love before |
Celebrities › Re: Is Kemi Iyanda The Most Beautiful Yoruba TV Host? (photos) by dsoja: 11:21pm On Jan 11, 2017 |
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Politics › Re: I’ve Accepted My Removal In Good Faith - Ndume by dsoja: 1:06pm On Jan 11, 2017 |
The Ndume that l know will not accept this for free. Tell us indume,how much has enter your pocket or what position were you promised in exchange?. Stoop fooling us with so called "accepted in good faith", we all know it is a case of 'Rub my palm and i'll pat your back' |
Events › Re: Pretty Edo Lady Weds Her Oyinbo Man In Edo State(photos) by dsoja: 11:40pm On Jan 07, 2017 |
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Art, Graphics & Video › Re: Onilogbo Hakeem Transforms Woman To Donald Trump & Buhari (Photos) by dsoja: 7:35pm On Jan 04, 2017 |
He try sha |
Fashion › Re: Ladies Plaiting Christmas Hair Wahala (Photo) by dsoja: 7:18pm On Dec 30, 2016 |
Asa koko at koko e ni gbogbo won,won ajo gbepo ni |
Politics › Re: Somto Akunyili Set To Wed: Pre-Wedding Photos by dsoja: 8:12pm On Dec 27, 2016 |
Wao,this is Dora!. This girl resemble her mother like beans. Wish her a successful wedding. |
Politics › Re: I Have Learnt From My Mistakes, 2017 Will Be Trophy-laden - Dalung by dsoja: 5:26pm On Dec 20, 2016 |
While we thought Abamoro is the worst minister closely followed by Stella odua,Dalung you came and proof us all wrong.You are the worst ministers in Nigeria history,just pack you bag and leave,we don't need your promise. |
Education › Re: God Has Given Me Admission After Eight Years by dsoja: 2:25pm On Dec 20, 2016 |
Congrats bro.winner don't quits and quiters don't win. |
Politics › Re: Workers Reject Buhari’s Appointment Of Ayine As Auditor-general by dsoja: 12:27pm On Dec 20, 2016 |
Civil servant are the problem of Nigeria.always complain .nothing pleased them |
Celebrities › Re: Manda, Davido's New Atlanta-Based Girlfriend [PICS] by dsoja: 12:21pm On Dec 20, 2016 |
How that will affect the Price of gari and rice in the market? |
Politics › Re: Precious Chikwendu Rocks Army Camo by dsoja: 7:39am On Dec 20, 2016 |
And so? E concern God? |
European Football (EPL, UEFA, La Liga) › Re: Jose Mourinho Sacked As Chelsea Manager by dsoja: 4:33pm On Dec 17, 2015 |
This is exactly what your enemy want and pray for you, but don't worry, they will be so surprise how strong you will come out of this. out of every disappointment there is always a blessing, I believe this might be a blessing in disguise. ero ibi ti won gba si e, ire lo ma jaasi. Keep flying my coach, the WORLD BEST COACH, No controversy!!! |
European Football (EPL, UEFA, La Liga) › Re: Jose Mourinho Sacked As Chelsea Manager by dsoja: 4:25pm On Dec 17, 2015 |
mouriho, sack or no sack, you are my coach any time any day. I will continue to be your fans wherever you may go in dis world of football. love you!. You're still the best. |
Nairaland General › Re: At Last, Oyinlola Defects To APC by dsoja: 5:53pm On Aug 05, 2014 |
Yoruba people will say"iku tonpa ojugba eni, owe lon pa funni". In this case where formal governors are joining Aregbesola,I hope its not an indication that Aregbe will soon become a 'formal governor'. Anyway, I keep my finger cross. |
Career › Re: Lagos And My Polythene Bag. A MUST Read by dsoja: 10:33am On Jul 21, 2014 |
Eni rowo he loju ala toundunun,eni ko tepa mosee nitori ebi......nice write up dough |