₦airaland Forum

This is the same cash cow (at the expense of the blood of slain youth) for the inhumane Tinubu who is hell bent on becoming Nigerian President.

Only Tinubu runs a state own toll gate in Nigeria and yet has not constructed roads like we have seen in Akwaibom, Ebonyi, Kano etc

Whatever suffering Nigerians are facing today is only a preamble to what they will experience under a Tinubu presidency.

If suffer never tire una, go ahead and make a Tinubu your president.

There is no win for Putin and Zelensky does not need to surrender. Chances are that Zelensky might not even be in Ukraine as we speak.

Capturing Kiev is not even the issue. Installing a Putin puppet is the least of the issue. The rebel resistance against a Putin puppet will be there for as long as Russian interest remains.

NATO/ US will continue funding the rebel groups with all these sanctions in place wrecking the Russian economy.

Everyday Putin continues to hold onto Ukraine after capturing kiev will cost Russia a lot of funds and military resources amidst a dead economy.

The sanctions will not ever be lifted as long Putin interest is represented in Ukraine. Unfortunately it’s a dead end for Putin.

smatt1711:
https://fb.watch/bARjd-9C0c/


I believe you won't claim to know more than Madiba...... Why they no Nuke Russia direct, na still fear and respect wey de get for Russia.... Russia too have to pipe low but they know who the real enemy is and since then they have being improving on a steady level, no American weapons is match to Russia made, be it Gun, Tank, jet, check any military resach work around you... ..... This war is in the second stage now, it was 1st tested in Syria and Russia won, now is Ukraine let's see how it goes.

You guys have no clue and make a lot of unfounded noise

Russia’s 2021 total military budget - $63billion
USA’s 2021 total military budget - $705billion

And the budget disparity has been same for many years. The only edge that Russia has are its nuclear repository which has been the deterrent.

In a conflict devoid of nuclear deployments…. Russia will be razed quickly and badly.

mysticwarrior:
Unknowing to the west they are making Putin more powerful, as it stands now he appears like the most powerful man in the world.

Despite the sanctions he still remains Rigid and unshakable, 30 Nations under the umbrella of NATO shiver and Tremble's with fear anytime they hear him speak, even his rivals do not have the guts to oppose him with an army, Vladimir Putin is a no nonsense man that will always remain formidable.

If you are asked what makes him unshakable and how NATO is shivering…… you will provide one incoherent answer.

You guys should invest your mental energy in electing another Buhari.

NaughtyBrainiac:
China should do whatever they like. It won't change the fact that The EPL stand with Ukraine.

I love how colourful the EPL is, the messages they pass before those matches are always far-reaching.

Did you read the write up?

If you are not worried about Nigeria, something is wrong with you.

Is it not obvious your voters card is almost useless and your future has been decided already.

The error was made in 2014….. too late to amend

princeeze1:
A win for Putin is seen by understanding the reason for the invasion. Stopping NATO from opening another front after tha baltics on Russia’s border. If Ukraine is prevented from NATO ascension, it means his goals was achieved. Did I hear you say it was not worth the war, my dear, no price is too big to pay for your security. If not, confronting NATO in a bigger war within the next two decades would be on the cards. Very true, gas business is symbiotic between both blocks. I was simply trying to point out clearly that majority of the sanctions are just emotional in nature with no real substance. A ban on airspace affects both parties, Russia is as big as a continent, avoiding its airspace in reciprocity means more jet fuel and longer flights duration, who pays for this? Your guess is as good as mine, the Europeans. I earlier stated clearly, in the foreseeable decade, there is no replacement for over 50 billion cubic of gas, you said Algeria, lol, how much gas can Algeria actually pump? Trust me, if there was, they would have long stopped buying Russian gas. Europe is a gas driven economy, from heating homes, to powering power stations, to cooking. Same way Nigeria is fuel driven. Apple and google closing shops in Russia is actually one less market for them not the other way, time for Huawei, harmony and co to step in, seizing Russian investments in Europe when your corporations invested billions in their energy and steel industry. They are about to nationalize all Boeing aircraft under lease or higher purchase in Russia. Bp just lost $25b. The MSM is not reporting that prices are also going up terribly in their capitals, it’s a two way bomb. Before the war, gas was averaging at $900 per 1000cubic, it’s currently at $1400 at 1000 cubic. Who is bearing this cost? your guess as good as mine. Never you compare Nigeria when it comes to other world capitals please, it’s thesame oil we sell that Iran, Algeria, most of the Middle East sell, yet while we are a shithole, they are all developed, Iran has been under sanctions since the 70s, it’s more developed and advanced than Nigeria that is a US ally and not under any sanctions. Imagine a part of Europe in tandem with America saying it is isolating Russia and we still have another 4 continent in bussiness. Russia sells energy, weapons and agricultural products(largest producer and seller of wheat to Middle East and North Africa). Only China and India accounts for over 2.5 billion people world wide. Please how many people live in Western Europe plus America put together? Kicking a nation out of symbolic organizations and sports you dominate only achieves isolation and that is all they will ever get. It’s all emotional sanctions, impotent in nature. Is the Russian economy taking a beating? YES! But their economy will weather the storm and emerge stronger after the war, they will still all sit and negotiate at the table for a new security architecture for the whole of Europe like macron proposed to Putin and the symbolic sanctions would be rolled back.(communist China and America were fraternal enemies until Nixon visited Mao). Was the win for Putin achieved? I answered that in my first paragraph!!!!! Incase anyone missed the memo, zelensky is the one currently begging for talks with Putin, same talks he vehemently refused.

I will try not to be lured into a long response.

Specific to Putin wins when he keeps NATO away from Ukraine. On that basis I can confidently tell you now that the invasion of Ukraine now assures increased NATO presence and activity in the region and specifically Ukraine. Or you truly believe NATO will run away because Putin attacked Ukraine…. Not happening.

Infact the war will give rise to rebel groups that offers the west the opportunity to keep Russia busy for a long time and will even make attempts on their homeland.

The game only starts when he installs the puppet president.

Note: I agree Ukraine is a loser here but same is. Russia/ Putin in the mid to long term. The west unfortunately won already by sacrificing Ukraine

princeeze1:
The biggest losers are 1) the Ukrainian people whose nation is devastated requiring billions of dollars and decades of rebuilding. 2) American foreign policy of intervention and adventurism. Yes the Russian economy has taken a beaten, all economy in war time must take a beating, sanctions or not, wars are also not cheap. This war shows how weak and impotent the west is against Russia. The economy is not suffering as a direct result of sanctions but as a result of speculations. What does Russia sell? Energy and weapons. Do you know NORD stream1 is still fully functional( NORD STREAM 2 never started operations in the first place), same with turk stream despite all the sanctions noise? There is simply no replacement for more than 50 billion cubic of gas anywhere. Have you wondered how despite all the noise about SWIFT, it only target seven banks, who actually do not need it for messaging within Russia, since Russia has an in-country messaging for transfers. The banks via which they pay for energy were all carefully exempted. Is this not hypocrisy? Apart from America and European partners, most of South America, Eurasia, Asia, save for japan and SK are not in tandem with sanctions and will continue to do bussiness with the Russians. What other sanctions is there to talk about? Seizures of Russian oligarchs investments in Europe and America, very laughable because the Americans and European allies have more to lose here, the bulk of western investments in Russia is far superior with alot of corporations investing in energy and steel. E.g. British petroleum just quit and lost over 25b investment portfolio, remind me how much Chelsea is worth again? The only thing the west will achieve is the ban on trade with dollar( Russia’s biggest trading partner is China and settlement is mostly in national currency) and the policy of isolation since most countries are yes men to American foreign policy. But surely at the end of the war,the economy would have weathered the shock and begin a recovery with government intervention, Europe would still continue to buy energy from Russia, which shows the impotency of the sanctions. What becomes of Ukraine? Still not a NATO country, economy already died since last year just from speculations of impending war, still indebted, now in ruins, begins a rebuilding that would take another 20 to 30 years to finish. Did I hear someone say the west would fund the rebuild? Go and ask Iraq how far their rebuild has gone despite all the promises! What about the loss of civilian lives, forget the soldiers, they signed up to die someday in war. Ukraine lost out so much for putting their nation in the hands of a comedian. Ukraine has simply lost, no magic!!!

Fine…. What is a win to Putin?…. That was my question.

While you have made some good points, I can actually respond to all in favor of the west but that was not the question.

Let me give you a simple example…. Russian/ Europe gas sales is a symbiotic relationship. Russian needs the money from gas sales as much as Europe needs the gas. Russia crashes immediately it stops the sales. It’s just like Nigeria threatening the west by stopping sales of crude oil (the economy will outrightly collapse in less than a month). So Russian gas sales to Europe is not an edge. Infact Europe will be forced to source alternate gas sources shortly from Algeria etc.

Besides oil and gas sales alone mean nothing. Nigeria as a major oil exporter in Africa is still the poverty capital of the world. Russia is not not recovering anytime soon.

Unfortunately I have delved into what I never wanted to. My question is all this is, at what point can we say Putin and Russia has won?

That is 8.4million USD approved.

At 1,000USD per person for one way flight from Europe, 1 million USD will fly 1000 people. At most 2million USD will fly 2000 people. 6.4 million USD to go to individual pockets.

Note that this calculation assumes commercial flight. For evacuation flights, terminal charges are excluded for the flights making it much less.

If you ain’t tired of Nigeria, something is wrong with you.

backbencher:
At the end of the month, Ukraine would have been overrun by Russia, and Yanukovitch, the rep of the Russian side of the Ukranian political bloc, would take over

And the cycle would begin again.

The thing is, what is happening in Ukraine is first and foremost, a fight between two political blocs. The bloc winning now is the pro-Russia bloc, while the bloc losing is the pro-Western bloc, and both sides have brought their backers into the fight.

Now the Russian bloc has won, and the Western bloc is in the retreat.

That is why Nigerians should stay out of this fight. This is two blocs fighting each other. Politics intersecting with domestic issues.

Next time, the West would use subtle methods, and knock out the Russians. and the cycle would repeat.

You need to define what a win is

Is it Putin installing a puppet president in Ukraine that will be tormented by rebel groups with global resistance and finally ousted from office

Or a Russian economy that will be in real tatters in just few weeks resulting in an uprising that will eventually oust Putin from office

Or in your world….. what does a Putin win be eventually ?

Unfortunately Putin miscalculated and will be demystified irrespective what he does. And it does not matter if he takes over Ukraine or not…. It’s a dead end.

I strongly believe he took the decisions on invasion under influence of drugs, alcohol or spells. A revered strong man cannot make this kind of mistake.

Unfortunately the world needs folks like Putin to keep the west in check, as such it’s not to good for global balance that he miscalculated.

foryourmindlol:
If Putin finally kills a democratic president of another country, the sanctions will fall like bomb. Russia and their oil will be Isolated like North Korea. All their businessmen, their funds will be frozen.

If Ukraine beats him and he retreats, no respect for Russia. It will be disgrace. His opponents at home will remove him.


If his people finally kill him in a coup, his name will be written in the same page as Hitler.

There's no single way this will end well for Russia. No single way. I'm a realist, I don't participate in wishful thinking.


Finally if Putin release nuclear bomb on all of us, like he's threatening (he's a weakling, he can't do it), everybody including him will die. Humanity will start afresh if anybody survives and the man Putin will be remembered as the despot who tried to end the human race.

There's no single scenario where Putin wins but if you think otherwise kindly tell us.

My same thoughts. I cannot think of a scenario where Putin wins. Even if he installs a puppet in Ukraine, that’s only the start of the problems.

He just boxed himself and Russians will not forgive him.

I strongly believe he made this decision under the influence of alcohol or drugs. It just does not add up for a man that is strongly feared by even his enemies. It will be a bad event when he is demystified because we need some sort of balance in global power.

AchalugoNwa:
capturing Putin is like capturing US president.
Lol it'll take more than ordinary 1 million dollars to do that.

in all honesty, this war will not end through normal dialogue.
I don't see it ending sooner because lines have been crossed, so many damages have been done internally and externally.
bridges (negotiations) have been destroyed.
nothing left any longer to hold on to.

the only way this war will end is one party winning the other.
it's either Putin take over Ukraine overthrow Zelensky and install his puppet or Zelensky gets lucky Russians stage a coup against Putin and overthrow him.
this is the only way this war will end.
it has reached to the stage of one party must win.
no going back

Unfortunately it’s a dead end for Putin. Ousting Zelensky and installing a puppet might be the end game for Putin but that is actually the start for his enemies.

This current resistance in Ukraine against Russia is the start of the rebel groups if Putin installs a puppet.

A month from now, Russian economy will be in absolute ruins, Russians would have lost a lot globally. The Russian economy at the time cannot sustain continuous occupation of Russian forces in Ukraine to fight back the rebels (funded by US and NATO)

At this same time, the disdain for Putin in Russia will be overwhelming because the economic hardship and global isolation will be unprecedented. An anti- Putin revolution will start which will eventually oust him from office.

Note: These sanctions that is current crippling Russia can only be lifted when Putin is out of office.

The Ukrainian puppet stands no chance as this point.

I strongly believe Putin took this invasion decision under influence of alcohol or drugs. He should have stopped at annexing the breakaway regions (Dombass, Lugarsk etc).

What will Putin consider a win in this war because these sanctions and rejection by the west with major impact on Russian economy will not be lifted or reversed even if he takes over Ukraine.

Blackbelly:
For a start, if they eventually win, it would be a huge bargaining chip, because when you look at the long queue of sanctions currently on their plate, it would be in their best interest to win the war, otherwise, even zimbabwe go resemble garden of eden to Russians

The real question is ‘what is a Russian win’ in this case?. Even if they succeed in taking over Ukraine and installing a puppet president, those sanctions will not be lifted .

I want to believe Putin thought it through but it’s really hard imagining what a win means here. If he eventually backs down, it’s much worse…… it’s looking like a dead end that might force him into nuking the west or he is forced out of office by his people.

https://asia.nikkei.com/Politics/Ukraine-war/Exxon-to-exit-Russia-suspend-further-investments


HOUSTON (Reuters) -- Exxon Mobil on Tuesday said it would exit Russia oil and gas operations that it has valued at more than $4 billion and halt new investment as a result of Moscow's invasion of Ukraine.

The decision will see Exxon pull out of managing large oil and gas production facilities on Sakhalin Island in Russia's Far East, and puts the fate of a proposed multi-billion dollar liquefied natural gas (LNG) facility there in doubt.

"We deplore Russia's military action that violates the territorial integrity of Ukraine and endangers its people," the company said in a statement critical of the intensifying military attacks.


Its planned exit follows dozens of other Western companies ranging from Apple and Boeing to BP PLC, Shell and Norway's Equinor ASA that have halted business or announced plans to abandon their Russia operations.

Exxon, which is scheduled to meet with Wall Street analysts on Wednesday, did not provide a timetable for its exit, nor comment on potential asset writedowns. Its Russia assets were valued at $4.055 billion in its latest annual report, filed in February.

Earlier, Exxon began removing U.S. employees from Russia, two people familiar with the matter said. The number of staff being evacuated was unclear. The company sent a plane to Sakhalin Island to retrieve staff, one of the people said.

Exxon operates three large offshore oil and gas fields with operations based on Sakhalin Island on behalf of a consortium of Japanese, Indian and Russian companies that included Russia's Rosneft. The group had been advancing plans to add a LNG export terminal at the site.

"Exxon's Russian business is relatively small in the context of its wider enterprise, so it does not have the same significance as it has to BP or TotalEnergies, if it were to abandon its Russian assets," said Anish Kapadia, a director at energy and mining researcher Pallissy Advisors.

The company, which has been developing its Russian oil and gas fields since 1995, had come under pressure to cut its ties with Russia over Moscow's invasion of Ukraine. Russia calls its actions in Ukraine a "special operation".

The Sakhalin facilities, which Exxon has operated since production began in 2005, represents one of the largest single direct investments in Russia, according to a project description on Exxon's website. The operation recently has pumped about 220,000 barrels per day of oil.

Japan's Sakhalin Oil and Gas Development (SODECO), which owns a 30% stake in the Sakhalin-1 project, is trying to confirm details of Exxon's announcement, a spokesperson said, adding that it will keep an eye on the Russia-Ukraine situation and decide what to do in the future.

State-backed oil producer Japan Petroleum Exploration Co (Japex), which owns 15.285% in SODECO, is also checking details of the Exxon's announcement and will talk to its partners to decide a future plan, a Japex spokesperson said.

This could have been averted and Russia is obviously the aggressor.

The game has begun and the war front is Ukraine.

God1000:
I hope Russia will survive this because things are going to get very ugly for Putin.

Joe biden asked, who in the lord's name does Putin think gives him the right to declare new so-called countries on territory that belonged to its neighbours, this is a flagrant violation of international law and it demands a firm response from the international community

Cutting off sourcing of US dollars is huge ….. meaning Russia need to find other ways to source its dollars to trade internationally amidst existing trade sanctions.

Of course Putin already knew these were coming and have response plans…… but how far can he hold out. What will be left of Russia’s economy if this is sustained for two years or more?

American Allies and NATO countries have no choice than follow suite

CamusMidas:
Oga pension is now contributary.

If you understand time value of money then you know that contributory pension is Naira is useless.

Imagine the inflation rate in the last few years alone

Same way 85% of Nigerians in Nigeria retire without retirement plans and die of penury at old age and health complications without health care.

This is just one of the few bad cases from abroad. Japa when you can

There is a reason the very wealthy have a base outside Nigeria.

The very day you make a billion naira, you will understand how frail living in Nigeria.

The wealthiest of Nigerians have their families abroad or in the tightest security networks within Nigeria.

In this short life of ours, make sure you enjoy some sanity and humanity. Some Nigerians will live and die without experiencing what living is truly about….. it’s always not about money.

The enemies of ibo land have succeeded in infiltrating the land.

Praxis758:
Definitely, he's isn't referring to his immediate coming successor as a Nigerian president.

Buhari's successor will cry for the first 40 nights of his reign as president because of the complexity of insecurity, dilemma to sustain the borrowing trend, polarisation on religion and ethnic faultline.

Nigeria needs patriotic presidents working assiduously for at least 16 years to correct the disaster called Buhari

See eeehhh…… Nigeria is gone. Try to imagine Nigeria in 10 years

Truth is Nigeria has been damaged so badly by this administration such that the next administration cannot remedy the situation irrespective of their plans.

We have terrorists entrenched in our military, paramilitary and every agency. They are waiting for Buhari to leave office before going for the final onslaught. Explosions will resume in Abuja and possibly Lagos the very month a new president is sworn in.

The debt profile is so overwhelming that the next president will have to borrow more to service the existing debts….. it’s a dead end from here

The polity is badly polarized, crime is at an all time high, inflation is off the roof, food prices are unattainable for the average Nigerian, fuel subsidy to be removed…… the current suffering of Nigerians is very little compared to what’s coming

Buhari has set the land mines, the next dispensation irrespective of who wins will have a horrible time

Jagunlabiodua:
You are an adult I don't need to explain anything to you, I just Spoke reality to you. Tinubu will defeat Any candidate from The East or The North and also defeat a coalition of East and North or North and East because he is the Jagaban the one who controls the West and also controls the Federal his power wasn't gotten yesterday he is tested and battle hardened actually, Tinubu is already the president by proxy look I don't have time for arguments and cries the future is clear, the elites know this, even Buhari knows, Osinbanjo knows, Ameachi, Rochas knows Tinubu will win the entire South maybe lose one or two states then win the North Central And maybe North West or East but surely winning the South and Even half of North Central propels Jagaban to power the thing is the brand Jagaban is competitive in all Zones.

You are clueless about Nigerian Politics so I will let you run along.

tesppidd:
In that case the earlier you realise this the better;

If Tinubu is able to get the entire party to support him; all the 22 governors, all the ministers and the Presidency; he will defeat Atiku or anybody from PDP.

APC has a structure big enough to outdo PDP at any level.
Forget all these masses votes...

If all the LGA chairmen and Governors in APC rally behind Tinubu, I mean all!
Forget it!

The only thing that can defeat any APC candidate in 2023 is if APC breaks up.

And I foresee problems in APC if Tinubu wins the ticket.
That's the only problem.

That aside, PDP can never win the Presidency any time soon!

If Tinubu ever gets the APC ticket, then PDP has Aso Rock come 2023. This is a no brainer

Note: Tinubu is not Buhari. Tinubu does not command any cult following anywhere like Buhari did. Infact, Tinubu has never captured SW beyond 65% even with Buhari on the ballot.

If APC fronts a Northerner … then APC wins.

Nyanmiridunce:
Even if tinubu fails to get the ticket, Osinbajo is there. It's still a Yoruba affairs come 2023. All these trash talks are talks of slaves trying to save face. You no get level for Nigeria. It's better you face your spare part businesses and leave politics to those who sabi am.

Kindly let me know the zones that will be won by the Yoruba APC candidate.

Maybe Osibanjo might sway some votes but I am sure PDP is praying for a Tinubu ticket.

Jagunlabiodua:
The Yorubas alone can produce the president of Nigeria. Atiku can never defeat Tinubu in SE, SS and North Central. APC want Atiku so it can be a landslide for Tinubu, politics is not by whaling up and down social media

Please help me understand how Tinubu wins Atiku in the NC, SE and SS. Any simple analysis will do.

Both Atiku and Kwankwaso will flaw Tinubu any day. SW APC will do everything to ensure PDP zones it’s ticket to the south but the North is smarter than that.

NW, NE and NC goes to Atiku
SW goes to Tinubu
SE and SS goes to Atiku

Tinubu stands no chance against a northern PDP candidate. The North irrespective of party affiliation will quickly line up behind a northern candidate.

The division among the south will be exploited for a very long time.

chamboy:
When Yoruba in Tinubu, Fayemi, Osinbajo, fashola and many more was busy fighting to dominate and control a political party in APC. Una Igbos dey BEG Fulani Atiku to run for president.

Dem no born any northerner well for ApC to dey talk say make dem come beg am.

Only if you understand that party alliance means nothing to politicians. The North will solidly stand behind a northern PDP candidate. The APC might end up being a Yoruba only party after 2023.

The North won immediately the succeeded in breaking the south and they will be exploring that fault line for a very long time. Maybe an Osibanjo ticket might help in mending that fault line.

These are the guys working for Tinubu from inside PDP camp. They already know that Atiku is coasting to a flawless victory if Tinubu gets APC ticket.