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Fxuser's Posts

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InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 12:20pm On Oct 15, 2018
onegentleguy:
With CUTIX I think it was marked down for a bonus of 1 for 1 and a dividend of 0.20k today.
...which extrapolates it down from Fridays close of N3.90 to N1.85 !! The reason for the N1.85 opening price u see now.

The biggest LOSERS will be those who bought @ last week's 52 weeks high of over N4.70 (current 52 week high after mark down is now @ N2.37)
While the biggest WINNERS shall be those who manage to KEY IN @ any price no more than today's opening price. It sold for 1.84 today... though less than the required 100,000 block volume band.
CUTIX is fundamentally sound. ...very healthy. Current price still screams of a great gap/MoS against its true value !!
Using a TTM EPS of 052k at a risk adjusted rate of 15%, fair value should compute at NO less than N3.40 !! ...which presents a juicy near 84% discount from today's opening price of N1.85.

Those who know and understand, know what they need to continue to do.
But due diligence should still remain ur 1st priority !!

Cheers.
nice one always
i wonder wen d bonus will hit d shareholders
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 12:15pm On Oct 15, 2018
MACD
- When the MACD crosses the zero line from below, a new uptrend may be emerging.


#reminder
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 11:37am On Oct 15, 2018
FO
- full bid ! !
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 10:47am On Oct 15, 2018
onegentleguy:
Exactly !!

Moments like these are great window OPPORTUNITY to KEY INTO fundamentally sound GROWTH and VALUE coys that presents a great MoS from their intrinsic/fair values.
There can be NO better time than NOW !!
grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 10:46am On Oct 14, 2018
maishai:
Pls do an analysis of contenental insurance for me and best price to enter it......... After going through their report I like the fact that there are many foreign investors into it.
cc
current price
fxuser


Thanks alot n advance
Continental Re
Trend
- currently trading below its 200dma & 50dma , so bearish tendency is high
- typical low volatility behaviour
- Weekly RSI breaking below 50 , bearish momentum
- Weekly MACD breaking below the zero line after so many months above
- price pattern is also very jigsaw , anyways behaviour lacks FOMO capacity for explosive moves (up or down)
- recent price action is bearish, price trading below prev monthly close and weekly close , nt far away from its 52 wk low at 1.31
- with price drop comes the attatractive PE and div yield hence ur attention has been drawn to d resemblance of a bargain or bottom i guess


my issue with dis type of stocks is d very irregular low vol
Example:
05 Oct: 3,000,000 traded
08 Oct: 354 huh
09 Oct: 34,365
12 Oct: 9,450 huh

d exit door is slim
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 2:51pm On Oct 13, 2018
FCMBB
weekly chat
- bearish posture , closing below its prev wk close ! further downside expected
- lowest daily close dis yr is pulling price lolx
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 2:39pm On Oct 13, 2018
Wema
Price action
- breaking out above 5 wk range
- strong close on friday on abv avg vol , dazz a weekly brk out
- SP hitting its highest weekly close in 9wks
- also closing above the 10wk ma for the first time since feb
- weekly RSI > 50
- in summary change of sentiments is getting perceptible

#JustObserving
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 1:48pm On Oct 12, 2018
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 1:24pm On Oct 12, 2018
Wapic
- penny lovers at work

WemaBank
- after 8 months of monthly lower closures , Oct is already in d green !
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 12:29pm On Oct 12, 2018
HonyFlour
- abv avg volume to d down side , touching the 52 wk low 1.27
- maybe it wants to form a double bottom



dis:
JustLooking
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 10:56am On Oct 12, 2018
Revibe:
What of Gold that did 1193 - 1223 yesterday
panic to safety
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 10:56am On Oct 12, 2018
- busy morning for Flour pple

#TGIF
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 3:03am On Oct 12, 2018
fxuser:
FCMB

- SP below its prev wkly close . . but d week is nt over
- cud test its lowest weekly closure dis yr at 1.65 or lower
- be ye comfortable wit any outcome lol
- bounced of the day low forming a doji day
- if it breaks below 1.60 , daz a red flag
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 2:54am On Oct 12, 2018
onegentleguy:
One of the stocks I have talked about in recent times is FIDELITY BANK.
I have since said that that coy is a BUY.
It's currently the cheapest quoted banking coy amongst its peers on the NSE based on VALUATION !!
For those who still haven't seen why, I shall make an attempt to give a cursory review of their FS as at H1 2018.
A brief run down;

▪ The bank is highly leveraged. FIDELITY is about the most leveraged banking coy among its peers in the 2nd tier space. As at H1 2018, Financial laverage prints at 8.51x... up by over 25.1% from the previous H1 2017 figure of approx 6.8x.
The interpretation of this is that management had been very efficient with utilizing the banks available asset to replicate their equity.
▪ Management were also fairly efficient as the banks gross earnings to equity went up by near 9% at H12018/2017.
▪ On profitability, the bank booked a profit margin estimate of over 13.3%. ...which was about 26.5% higher than the preceding year figure of approx 10.5%
▪ RoAE and RoAA also witnessed a fine improvement. ...with the former line printing at near 6.5%, up by approx 37% from the banks H1 2017 figure of just over 4.6%.
▪ Management also performed relatively well on the banks investment line. With both P/BV and EPS showing a fine improvement from previous H1 print.
▪ Although the banks earnings line was affected by a drop in total comprehensive income, which was due largely to net loss prints on debt instruments that were made during the period under review, FIDELITY BANKS P/BV of approx 0.27 as at H1 2018 still shows an immense hidden VALUE behind the current price !!
▪ Suffice to say that the bank also did better with optimizing cost as H1 2018 print showed an improvement in OPEX margin.
▪ The banks P/E ratio is also about the lowest in the industry... given one a better weighting on an adjustable time value for money !!
▪ I was also impressed by the banks relative stability with maintaining a fine line in their EM (Equity Multiplier)

Using a TTM EPS of N1.19 on a risk-adjusted input of 20% and discounting for other loss prints as at H1 2018 (including but not limited to impact from TCI), FIDELITY should sell for NO less than N3.45 !!
...even though the banks current BVPS screams of a valuation of about N6.30 !!
However at the practically zero risk adjusted value of N3.45, the bank is showing a fine 'gap' in MoS.
...which is a juicy near 79% discount from its current market price of N1.93 !!
Make of this what u will, but FIDELITY is a BUY from our end.
...buying into any price deep will SURE make a lot of sense !!
Those who know and understand, know what they need to continue to do.

But then again, due diligence SHOULD still remain ur 1st priority.
Disclosure: I currently DO NOT own a share in FIDELITY BANK... but will be looking to do so once I can implore my personal strategy therein.
My advise: Pls kindly follow ur instinct.

Regards.
FA & TA are in alignment . . .
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 2:38pm On Oct 11, 2018
currentprice:
if you believe that zenith is undervalue, access is more more undervalued

grin
i like d FA on both too
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 2:36pm On Oct 11, 2018
DeRuggedProf:
FCMB MM has started what I expect... grin
MM never disappoints
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 11:54am On Oct 11, 2018
Agbalowomeri:
T - Transcorp

F - Fidelity

F - FCMB

O - Oando

Cash - Atiku dollar
Agbanomics
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 11:45am On Oct 11, 2018
talktokenny:
Chief,you heavy here ? grin grin grin grin grin grin
d word ''heavy'' is scary ohh
grin grin


dis:
current holdings pre-Q3 = T+F+F+O+ Cash
grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 11:05am On Oct 11, 2018
currentprice:
with yok choice it look like he is doing his home work carefully. look like he knows much on banking fact behind the figure, i wouldn't say much now

not saying fidelity is a bad buy,, i asked pple to consider this stock when the Audited H1 result was released and i will continue asking pple to consider the stock until numbers are no more looking attractive

at the end i will not be surprise if fcmb final result is better than fidelity

grin grin grin grin
may ur expectations be surpassed
grin grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 11:03am On Oct 11, 2018
Mpeace:
Gtb, over N1.2billion worth of shares just this morning. Brokers dey make money oh.
GT keeps soaking up lil liquidity .
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 10:45am On Oct 11, 2018
DeRuggedProf:
Seems some buyers here are having access to campaign funds.... grin
d order book is atikulating
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 10:35am On Oct 11, 2018
DeRuggedProf:
Reminds me of Access at a point.
After the big seller (I learnt later it was coming from the MAFIA STANBIC BROKERS) were done selling, the price urgently requested for plastic surgery. All the brides turned to Ghost (cc: Fxuser). grin
lolllxxx #dead !
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 10:28am On Oct 11, 2018
veecovee:
smileybesides the gear may likely switch to speed as soon as the current big seller is done.
d MM is gangstar !
same closure , 3 days in a row
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 10:20am On Oct 11, 2018
DeRuggedProf:
Lol... grin grin grin

TA = FA + HOPE.
There4, HOPE = TA - FA.
DeProf sha .. constant lucidity
cool
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 9:27am On Oct 11, 2018
currentprice:
EKUU yesterday mkt

grin
grin grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 8:05am On Oct 11, 2018
FCMB

- SP below its prev wkly close . . but d week is nt over
- cud test its lowest weekly closure dis yr at 1.65 or lower
- be ye comfortable wit any outcome lol
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 7:49am On Oct 11, 2018
Diamond

- d TA differs from d FA
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 7:33am On Oct 11, 2018
phadriz:
Can anyone tell me what is happening to NB? it seems the stock keep losing. I can't imagine NB @ N85.5
going back to test its 52 wk low of N84 set on sep 13 , wish am well !
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 7:30am On Oct 11, 2018
Brent
- serz gap down but support $80
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 7:21am On Oct 11, 2018
fxuser:
Fidelity
- buyers backing up !
nice daily breakout
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 2:27pm On Oct 10, 2018
mendes911:
You have gat no chill at all.

That WAVG is used by KFC when preparing fried rice for the week!
no forget d jollof rice
cool cool
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 2:07pm On Oct 10, 2018
DOLLARTEX:
pls house what is the significance of wavg price as seen on the itrade board?
a temperature gauge for d day

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