₦airaland Forum

Atiku never learns.

PDP already know they'd loose.

No be everybody must fine na..

What of that one that sponsored Big brother Naija that year sef?

Hanty put that fingers to good use by getting your PVC and voting.. Na innocent boy preek you go dey press. Mcheeww.

He is 80..? How come Buhari who was a Major General in the 70s is still 76?

Eleyi gidi gan..

Your pikin na thief.. You to your pikin na thief.

What has this man done in Delta state sef?

Your puzzy your business..

JohnBullMySon:
Maybe if you read my statements more carefully you would not type this. Presidential elections are little about who endorses who and more of religious and tribal sentiments. This is not party primaries where you endorse or step down for someone. All the endorsements Jonathan had where did it take him?

See Atiku is not a fool. That guy has been campaigning in the north since 1999. Longer than Buhari. He's definitely going to whip up tribal sentiments in the north and remind them how Buhari has failed in securing them. You think it won't work? See I don't want an Atiku president, I want the best for Nigeria but you have to just say the truth. I predicted a Tinubu landslide in the primaries though I wanted Osinbajo but Tinubu has the power within APC to win anybody. That's the fact. On a national level however, it will take a massive intervention in the SS or SE for him to win.

I did not disagree with your submission, I'm only trying to point out to you that Atiku will not have an easy ride in the north. Atiku is not Buhari. This is the first time Buhari will not be on the ballot paper since 2003 so you cannot say endorsements won't fly. The north didn't vote for Buhari because he is one of them, they voted for him because he is BUHARI. I hope you get where I'm coming from.

Nyamuriflathead:
You mean Atiku will win Borno state?

yes.

JohnBullMySon:
Federal might of any sort will do little to wrestle the north from Atiku who has been gaining popularity ever since. I give you three reasons why Atiku will likely win:

North central, North east and South south are all landslide for Atiku (There's little preventing this from happening) Tinubu is only sure of the south west. Even with Buhari, Atiku tied the North central.

Presidential elections favour the more famous candidate (If you think Atiku is not popular ehn, just go and look at his Twitter and Facebook followers, more than four times higher than Tinubu). Twitter doesn't equate to votes, but it gives you a sense of how popular someone is.

Tinubu will not rally the south as Atiku did and has not held any position that makes him relevant in the north. Jonathan was already a sitting president and still he could not get the north in 2011.

As for the bolded, remember that many northern states were PDP in 2011 but nothing changed.

NB: I'll just add that the presence of a third factor however brings some unpredictability in the race.

Let us dissect this north we are talking about sef.:

North west: Kano, Kastina, Jigawa, Kaduna, Kebbi, Sokoto, Zamfara.

KANO: Governor Ganduje is a Tinibu loyalist, Kwankwanso and Shekarau have joined forces in NNP, meaning Kano which has the largest number of electorates in Nigeria is now splited between Tinibu, Kwankwanso and Atiku, so do not expect any 2million votes for one candidate like the Buhari days.

KASTINA: This is Mr. President's state. His party cannot lose here. Tinibu wins.

KADUNA: Elrufai is all and all in Kaduna APC and PDP is almost dead there. Elrufai is a "Tinibu boy". Elrufai will be jobless after 2023 so he needs Tinibu in power to get something.

ZAMFARA: Sank Yerima is a cult figure here. He is a Tinibu man.

SOKOTO: Yes .. This is for Atiku no doubt.

JIGAWA: You know the story here. The Governor was the first to endorse Tinibu.

Kebbi: Governor Atiku Bagudu is the chairman of the progressive governors. APC cannot lose here.

NORTHEAST no doubt is for Atiku.

JohnBullMySon:
This statement made me laugh a bit. This is not APC primaries where you talk about party structure and delegates. In the 2011 elections, PDP states in the north heavily voted for Buhari even though he was in CPC. When it comes to general elections in the north, it's the Northern candidate that wins my brother, APC structure means nothing.

Buhari can help a bit if he throws in weight for Tinubu seriously. But, with the level of animosity showing up, I can predict whether he'll do that.

Federal might will count for him. Tinibu's chances are brighter than Atiku's. Any northerner that is not Buhari can never have the kind of support you guys are thinking of. A typical Hausa man will vote for whoever his bosses said he should except of course Buhari is on the ballot, and in this case the northern governors are for Tinibu.

Buhari actually gave APC a real presidential primary. Absolute democracy.

Lawan, Ameachi, Bello should step down for Osibanjo.

Kai! God abeg pity us naw.. Give us a president like Osibanjo for once. We have suffered tomuch biko.

This Tinibu is a wizard. We may not like him but you can't but marvel as his mastery of politics.

Aisha Buhari is no doubt a Tinibu supporter.

Amosun na bush man. He is sounding like an opposition, so una current APC President no do anything..

Dis mumu man.. They said stand on existing protocol.!

What is this cross river man saying?

This one one dey talk about Obama and Biden.. Mcheeww

Na dis kind person dem been wan use do consensus candidate? Atiku will chop this one like biscuit.

Very uninspiring speech. This man's mates don be ancestors ten years ago.

This chairman is up to 90 years o.

I no even remember say did one dey contest self.

Atiku won on nairaland in 2019 to.

This one wet no fit get one vote ma dey talk?

The Rev. Guy will still win even if he contests under APGA.

Very hopeless and useless bunkum.