₦airaland Forum

IbrahimDamola:
Nope he doesn't, if he picks SW, he'll lose SESS region. He can't pick 1/3 over 2/3. SW will always share their votes regardless, they can't be relied on.

VP or no VP, SE stand to lose a lot and gain nothing if they don't support Atiku and Buhari wins in 2019.

Shuku0kukobambi:
You and i know this can never sell in Igbo land. That is why i laugh at those who believed all the noise about biafra or death that time. It was all due to election loss of 2015. The average igbo man doesn't want biafra otherwise the ultimatum from the northern youths last year would have been utilised.

Check my post history, i have said that VP is what Igbo are fighting for with all the trekking from onitsha to aba to PH. Have you heard them asking about kanu again? This is their chance and you want to deny them because of what? They'll rather be VP to Atiku and lose than help Buhari with an erudite Yoruba VP win

Igbos don't have a choice in this matter.

Whether Atiku chooses a SE VP or not, they are stuck with him.

If they decide to be nonchalant, they risk another 4 years of Buhari with an Osinbajo as VP and a possible Osinbajo presidency - a nightmare!

I think they will settle for Atiku - VP or no VP. It's the best bet for them.

KanwuliaMama:
Yep! But RIGGED BY TINUBU federal might AND APC!

Fixed!

Ok

Shuku0kukobambi:
Be honest with yourself, what do you want the average Igbo man to feel if Yoruba gets picked as Atiku's VP?

Just be honest and answer me

Honestly, it's about sending Buhari back to Daura. There is still a whole lot to gain when that is achieved. That is what should occupy the mind of Igbos.

SW currently has no stake in PDP. Why should we lose a VP(bird) in hand for absolutely nothing in the bush(Atiku presidency).

SW has more stake in the balance considering the fact that Osinbajo is favoured to succeed Buhari.

Shuku0kukobambi:
Atiku will pick his VP from the east and rightly so. The PDP guys in SW PDP are very inconsequential and OBJ will have no input there since he's openly hostile to an Atiku presidency

I know you Buharists are desperately praying for Atiku to make this mistake so that Buhari will have an easy ride.

Atiku will disappoint you all.

Even Tinubu himself will Atikulate to be sure of peace of mind after the election...

Shuku0kukobambi:
Se musulumi tio kin se wahala o si ni agbo ile yin? se kristiani to je alaida o si ni ilu yin? kilo kan eto oselu pelu esin ti enikeni ba fe? awon oponu a ma bu awon eyan e nitori pe wan kin se elesin kan na pelu won, wa si ma pa atewo fun won. kilode?

Nigbawo ni mo se be
Iro ro e l'orun sha.
T'aba s'olo s'obo, o si ja si pe mi o bayin gbe s'ehin Tinubu.
Nkan t'on ta yin l'ara niyen.

Koseni foro emi awon pigiyeaaternrs nibiyi tomi...

KanwuliaMama:
I thought he left it all to the party?

Better to look to SE.

Forget that SW of CHAOS!
They are too two-faced!

Do you see ANY BETTER YORUBA MAN IN PDP?
Tinubu don white-wash dem brains and asses, they can’t see straight.

PDP won Osun.

Shuku0kukobambi:
Ode nie. Ati iwo o, ati Tinubu o, alai ni ro nu ni e yin mejeji

Omo ale lo ma'n pa enu po pelu awon omo irankiran lati bu ile ati oruko baba re

Bawo ni mo se pa enu po pelu awon eya min bu ile ati oruko baba wa

Shuku0kukobambi:
But your God and Messiah, the albino hunchback warned you against anything fulani? Do you think, if he didn't run away, that he'll be happy you're wanking over another kunu drinking gworo chewing mallam again? After all the lives you guys lost in hatred for the sons of Dan fodio? Do you wish to be slaves to them again? As is usual with you?

Atole ni e.
Gbo gbo was ko l'eru Tinubu.
Bara e da soun.
O s'aro.

ORIENTATION101:
i thought fulani re terrorist before how come atiku is different.

Town Fulani are no terrorists!
They are regular everyday Nigerians loyal to the Nigerian state and not the Sokoto calipate and its ultimate expansion.

Shuku0kukobambi:
So you don't mind being a slave once again to another fulani?

Town Fulanis like Atiku are like regular everyday Nigerians and are loyal to the Nigerian state unlike Cattle Fulani like Buhari and co who are loyal to the caliphate and its ultimate expansion.

Since APC has presented a Cattle Fulani, I have no choice but to go for a Town Fulani.

Even Tinubu your Lord and saviour won't risk supporting the cattle Fulani man else he may spend the next 4 years after in exile.

In short, Tinubu is safer with an Atiku presidency.

QuotaSystem:
On what basis?

Based on what political structure?

How many wins has he recorded in Adamawa in the past? Lol.

This is Atiku's first outing on the PDP.
We shall see.

QuotaSystem:
To put it plainly, apart from Taraba, Benue, Plateau & Nassarawa States, President Muhammadu Buhari is poised to sweep the votes of the remaining 15 northern states, for the following reasons:

1. The "Amana" factor.

A lot of southerners often wonder the basis of the cult-like following PMB commands in the North - the reason is not far fetched.

The Hausa-fulani people in particular, place a huge value on the concept of "Amana" (trust/to hold in trust), a value which Buhari's track record of integrity (whether disputed or not) is clearly aligned with. Despite media propaganda, most of these people who are more politically informed than their average southern counterparts, are aware that not a single charge of corruption has stuck on their revered PMB, amidst corruption allegations among his cronies. Atiku loses massively in this respect because of his track record of corruption (BPE, Haliburton, $16b power scam, unexplained source of wealth etc.) which presents him as an untrustworthy leader to most northerners.

Furthermore, PMB's seemingly north-centric agenda regarding appointments, infrastructure projects (roads, rails, ports) and focus on agriculture assures most northerners that their interests would be well protected under his administration, in contrast to Atiku who is perceived to be likely to make concessions and appeasements to the East whose support he is mostly riding on going by recent trends. Atiku also loses big in this regard.

2. The South Eastern VP Factor

If Atiku gives in to the clamor for his running mate to emerge from the East, then he stands to lose massive votes from the core north for obvious reasons. Firstly, the deep political antagonism and anti-north stance from Igbos, which has characterized the national space and been amplified since the defeat of Jonathan and rise of IPOB/Nnamdi Kanu and their hate speech, will deeply hurt Atiku's chances because not only will it mean the North would be taking the extreme bigotry, insults and political antagonism from the East right on the chin with no consequences.

It would also mean the possibility of an Igbo successor to Atiku - a people known for their contempt for Nigeria's unity and secessionist aspirations. In addition, a SE VP will also cost Atiku significant SW votes - a sub-region with the second largest number of registered voters (14 million).

3. The Boko Haram Factor

In sharp contrast to the generally held notion among some in the south that Atiku would sweep the NE because it's his home region, the strides recorded by PMB in the fight against Boko Haram heavily neutralizes that effect. I am not talking about social media noise, but the perceptions of people directly affected by Boko Haram activities and are experiencing a gradual return to normalcy since PMB took office.

Yola (Adamawa) for example, Atiku's own home capital, has experienced peace since PMB's onslaught on BH like they never saw since Boko Haram emerged under the past PDP administration - this was formerly a ghost town that used to suffer deadly BH attacks daily with dusk-till-dawn curfews, which has since been lifted and attacks reduced to suicide bombings at soft targets and guerrilla attacks which are reducing on a monthly basis. This was a state that had several LGA's under Boko Haram's rule during PDP's administration and the people aren't quick to forget the corruption that marred the fight against BH in Dasuki fashion.

Maiduguri is back to it's bustling state with people now free to watch El-Kanem FC matches in the township stadium, and trans-border economic trade (mostly fish) is gradually being restored. The return of the Chibok and Dapchi girls also adds points to PMB's profile in the sub-region. If by God's grace the FG is able to secure the release of Leah Sharibu then that would be a hat-trick. I personally spoke to a "Kube" (traditional hausa cap) dealer from Borno recently and these were the exact sentiments he expressed as he professed support for Buhari's candidacy.

Final Note

It is very valid to permute that the votes from the 4 excluded northern states (Benue, Plateau, Nassarawa, Taraba) will be shared by both candidates as federal might will play out (both parties will rig anyway). With 19 million registered voters in the North West and 10 million in the North East which are largely homogenic, it is safe to say anyone who loses these key regions has lost the 2019 elections. With another 14 million registered voters in the SW which is APC's stronghold and Atiku's slant towards choosing a SE VP, his campaign team should be very worried.

Note that this is not to say Atiku will not record a sizable number of votes from the Northern States, but the ratio will pale in significance to Buhari's potential landslide victory in the region. - Q.S

Wake up bro.

Atiku is clearing the middle belt including his home state Adamawa and Taraba.
That leaves Buhari with 11 core northern states which Atiku will still tightly contest with him.

All the same, Atiku needs a SW VP win the SW.

RIP

The die is cast!

OBAGADAFFI:
Tell me more

The SW got natural phobia for PDP.

And PDP won Osun

OBAGADAFFI:
ATIKU should focus on SS,SE and NC.

SW won't vote ATIKU VP or Not.

You must be deluded

tochukwuifediba:
most lame argument this is politics we are not foolish mind you if we fail to get the VP slot instead of voting APC we shall stay at home and do another thing which will give Buhari a huge boast and victory .

Dont forget Igbo votes all over Nigeria .

Either South East VP or Buhari continue

With Osinbajo as VP...

Ok

magoo10:
Even oshiomole will work for atiku when the time comes.

Even Tinubu would.

Tinubu may spend the next 4 years in exile should Buhari win a second term...

Ategberoson:
Pele o Federal govt spokesman. where did you get that your last sentence from? you will just be posting unverified claims here

buhari back down because of election that's close, he wouldn't want to step on Tinubu's toes as election is closed. if Lagos state election happened to be 2020 and buhari won, ambode would be reelected and 100 Tinubu wouldn't have stop that

You think Tinubu can dare go against Buhari in Lagos

How many times?
Congrats all the same!

ORIENTATION101:
saraki nko

Are you Saraki's grandfather from Ogun state

Ategberoson:
ambode will still decamp what would him not to decamped is if buhari give him appointment


I like the fact that he rejected senatorial ticket. that would be a big slap on his face. person beat u mercilessly finish come give u sweet after, collecting the sweet would still make you a subject in the hand of the beater, his adviser advised him right this time

he lost majority sympathy with his needless first world press

Who sympathy epp

What will be will be.

Federal forces were ready to help him but he backed down for reasons...

Cattle Fulani vs Town Fulani

Atiku is Town Fulani.

Fulani man
Zero!

Olohunjedalo:
Wailers . This one is for you .
Oya food is ready
Come and wine and dine

Tinubu cum Buhari slaves are in pains...

Stupid post!

Anything but Buhari

The only primary that seems to be done and dusted at the first attempt though it never held conclusively is the Lagos guber primary.

Shame!

Anything but Buhari.