₦airaland Forum

chinchum:
if you dont see the strong weakness of the ANAP poll then your analytical skills is quite questionable. Over 52% of respondents are undecided !!!. It is worthless as P in Psychology. Giving all states equal weight is also a serious flaw in the worthless Polls. Kano state will produce votes of at least 3 states in the South east.

Past elections and most importantly the immediate past presidential election are good indicators. Voter participation will not be significantly different in most regions compared to 2019. Your labour party win in SE and Ss states will not be as convincing due to the fact it is not a major party and it wont even present house of rep and senatorial candidates in some places. Party structure can NEVER be underrated in Nigeria.

I rarely miss. My 2019 projections for presidential election was +- 2%. I will update less than a week to the election as i will be close to accurate.

The numbers are not hard to get, based on expected voters turnout in each regions compared to voters card issued in relation to percentage of votes expected for each candidate.

LeoDeKing:
At 61, the youngster who ...

Ipob don't understand sarcasm.

61, yet young.

OGwales:
I can't really blame the Indian policemen, who no go fear ndigbos the developers. Dem wan finish India with illicit drugs, send them off before they start to claim India is no man's land.

But seriously the matter choke next is Lagos and finally, Nigeria.

sreamsense:
My gain has been to identify there are still brainless people like you who write based on emotion and hatred without court admissable evidences thinking Yoruba Christians are mumu like him who will fall for emotion and fabricated lies. Write it down, obi wouldn't get 30k votes in any south west state outside Lagos. Even in Lagos, he wouldn't get 25% even if all Igbos stay back to vote. How can non-indigenes be more than the indigenes except you base yourself on self-made fake statistics? Is never worked out anywhere!

It is a wrong assumption to think all Igbo non-idegenes in Lagos will vote for obi when you are not feeding them. Some are in APC political party while some have benefited directly or indirectly, some Igbo 18years + adult children and women will be loyal to their husbands/fathers to vote for whoever they direct them to vote for

BATified2023:
See what igbos have reduced election to

julaion:
Ondo Poll by Christian vs Muslim

APC unsurprisingly maintained its lead on Christian respondents, and dominated the floor on Muslim respondents. LP did very well on Christians respondents, PDP was lagging behind.

Yet again, Ondo's Muslim respondents have no tolerance for LP's Peter Obi

julaion:
Peter Obi of LP defeats everyone else in the South-South, Polls Show

jumper524:
Peter Obi presidency doesn’t guarantee peace in the southwest just because he’s a Christian. Those terrorist in the southwest, them tell you say them get business with religion? Why would a Yoruba man trust a cunning Igbo man making mockery of their situation more than a Yoruba man whose brothers cuts across all religions

Olachase:
first you sound mentally dull and second I am a Christian and still am voting Tinubu, we have Yorubas Muslims that will vote Obi and we have igbos that will vote Tinubu, don't just come here and type jargon, hoo sorry I forgot you are a drop out after 17 carry over

julaion:
Southeast General Polls:

The number of Igbos going the ObiDatti direction is worthy of scrutiny, agreed?

yomi531:
Point of correction bro, we Yoruba Christians are in the majority in SW. Over 65%. No allow them deceive u. Most GOs of Pentecostal Churches are Yorubas. Check Gospel singers too. We have more strong born again Christians in SW than any other region in Naija. Factos..
I dont know for others oo but, my Vote is for Obi.

sreamsense:
3D-Rubbish! It is the same reason that Yoruba Christians are educated that will make them dismiss your baseless allegations that are based on mixture of emotional logic and hates with no court evidences to back them up. You just leveled allegations that can not stand test of validity at court of law but you want educated yoruba to take you to serious. When you are filled with hatred in your heart's towards your fellow human, you become emotionally imbalance who will not be able to distinguish between fact and fiction.

This is the same kind of mindset kanu and Ekpa have which make them cook lies about Biafra and hate about Buhari, tinubu to emotional driven Igbos. At the end of the day, hatred and mere emotional imbalance in kanu and Ekpa made them turned alaigbo to killing fields. Test of time has proven that what kanu and Ekpa telling Ipob/esn then were just lies and hates. He lied he attended UN after being invited to table Biafra matter, but time has proven it that images used were photoshopped. He said US, Isreal and UK have promised to give them ammunition's and support biafra, but guess what; time has proven today it was pure fabricated lies.

However, people who were not wise joined ESN/IPOB just because of these lies just because they were too emotional but not wise. Yoruba Christians are shoppsticated, they are educated and wise, they are not hateful but accommodative, they can not be convinced with all those useless points you put up there with no court acceptable evidences to back them up just because you want them to vote for obi. If individual emotional Muslim preacher says any rubbish about mm, he is entitled to what he says, it doesn't make it the position of political leaders or Tinubu.

When many Igbos out of hatred said Buhari was a jihadist in 2015, he will turn Nigeria to Muslim. Today how many people has Buhari forced to be Muslims, yet some Igbos have ignorantly killed themselves indirectly through this hate via Ipob/esn. So, obi can't have 30,000 votes in any south west state outside Lagos talkless of seeking 25%, learn to leave by that fact

oyin44:
Who are the Yoruba Muslims and Yoruba Christians...?

Where did the Yoruba Muslims and Yoruba Christians come from?
.

Tell us where they are living in south west...

This is the reason why many Yorubas hate the ibos on nairaland. .....

kimjongJezebel:
The Jimi Adebayo's family has now gotten all their PVCs, 5 in total. My two sisters are first time voters. All 5 PVCs are now for Balogun Omowale Peter Adebayo obi.

Our parents resisted and have always wanted to vote Emilokan but my two sisters did a good job to convinced them to change their minds. Not easy to change old peoples' minds about their beliefs but we did it. APC gave us a sick Emilokan who can't make a coherent speech instead of an intelligent man like Osinbajo. Even if Obi doesn't win, we'll be at peace that we try to change the system.

May God bless all Obidients!

PussyMiners:
Osu pig and bastard.
A tribe of weak , wrapper tying effeminate men hiding behind SS.
Big brother kee you there Even on a faceless forum , you are still acting like a coward
Tell your flat..headed breathren that the SW will be hot for their ungrateful asses after the elections

BATified2023:
so u expect Yorubas to leave tinubu n vote for hate filled igbos right ?

I will rather vote shekau than an Igbo, imagine d madness u call write up

christistruth01:
It is more than hate it is bitterness..

Elections are not Tribal War

Gucciblog:
https://twitter.com/_dinomelaye/status/1611328158908694536?t=r7CHYPLHVeqoCSyIXxU2Zg&s=19[/quote]Bastards and urchins are a disgraceful lot. Everything about the old criminal called Tinubu is all about scam.

christistruth01:
Do you even know where Ikare Akoko is ?


It is like some one refusing to go to Lagos because of a Clash that happened in Badagry

Okoroawusa:
Wetin concern communal clashes with your rally?
If you can go to the north where banditry, kidnapping, Boko Haram is a daily occurrence and do rallies what is a communal clash in Ondo?

Abeg make una go siddon!!

Lizzysamuel:
The problem with such religion politics is that the population of Muslim alone can't win election for the Muslim ticket, if not buhari would have become president since 2011. So let them continue to play that politics, all I know is that the north central and Northern parts having Christians will determine this election.

Lizzysamuel:
“All moslems should vote the Muslim-Muslim ticket. Christians should be removed from every govt in nig, It took the servant of God, Elrufai, in Kaduna state to tame the infidels in the state"…..Sheikh Muhammad Bn Uthman Kano while endorsing Tinubu’s Moslem-Moslem ticket.

This is a popular cleric endorsing the ethnic cleansing ongoing in Kaduna state while urging Muslims to make sure that No Christian attains any elective position in Nigeria.

For the people who said the Muslim-Muslim ticket doesn’t matter.

Watch the video below
https://twitter.com/Obande__/status/1611121077316472832?t=B74ydxK-9JDXIQFdkpSpHA&s=19[/quote]Hahaha, please we should give this imam and his preaching massive publicity.

Every Northern Christians must be made to understand what they're up against. With such damning and inciteful preachings like this, I see Christian votes for Obi rising from the present 70% to 99%

Nice one Sheikh Mohammed Uthman, your message will wake up the few sleeping Northern Christians to see this election as a matter of survival. If after all these, a single Northern Christian still support Tinubu or Atiku, then have it in mind that you're digging your own grave and that of other Christians.

TheNiceGuy:
In a more acceptable manner through town hall meetings right?

Isn't this same approach Tinubu brought into the polity that you all criticized?

Crude Hypocrisy.

In all said, the bitter Truth is Obi can not win this election, all is efforts to futility