₦airaland Forum

Bari22:
kwankwaso is my choice

Winning the presidential ticket of APC or PDP will be very hard for him.

aolawale025:
This analysis assumes all other things remain constant. But in politics there's a lot of slippery ground. See how PDP won a senate seat in Osun for instance.
There would be a definite realignment before 2019. I don't see APC retaining aso rock no matter who their candidate is.

Bro, the result of political contest is always of two: Win or defeat. So no one can tell of the result now but statistical analysis can hypothesize very well on that.

*ANALYSIS OF THE NIGERIAN 2019 PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION*- - - *TENTATIVELY OPINED BY A CRITICAL ANALYST*

It is obvious that the general election of the Nigerian presidential post is far approaching as different Nigerian political parties have started their logical campaigns.
As it is in Nigeria political game, there are various popular and reliable politicians of whom belongs to different political registered parties such as the former vice-President Atiku, former Kano governor: Rabiu Kwankwaso, the incumbent governor of kaduna state: Nasir El-Rufai, the incumbent Governor of Sokoto: Aminu Tambuwal, the current vice-president of Nigeria: Yemi Osinbajo and the sitting governor of Ekiti state: Ayodele fayose. All these renowned Nigerian politicians have one way or the other showed their interests in becoming the next president.
Following the what the President Buhari said that he won't be contesting in 2019, many government officials, analysts, activists and so on from different political parties have expressed their opinions to the support of those listed above among them is minister for women affairs: Al-hassan who said if Buhari is not contesting in 2019 then she would truthfully support her godfather Atiku.

However, it is unsubtle that the winning party is APC which gives any member of the party an edge to win the election comes 2019.
Also, for the present chairman of all world ex-presidents: Olusegun Obasanjo has once said that Atiku will never become the president of Nigeria in his lifetime which is equal to a threat to Atiku presidential political ambition.
Thus, the analysis goes like this:
*Proposed presidential candidates and the political parties they will run under*

*Atiku* : This man's ambition of becoming president of Nigeria is highly drastic. He was among those that ran for APC 2015 presidential primary election and lost to president Buhari. He also has been seen to counter the buhari and APC led government despite the fact that he is fictionally belongs to APC. However, the probability that he would be given presidential ticket under the platform of PDP is 65/100. Without him for PDP now, I see PDP no where in 2019. Atiku can really help PDP to regain power.

*Ayodele Fayose*: This south-west PDP Jagaban was seen in the last PDP convention campaigning along side with his loyalists to be given presidential ticket under the platform of PDP. Logically, this man knows deep down in his heart that he can't be given that ticket now but there is high probability that he want to aspire for the post of vice president under PDP. Statistically, majority of people that resides in the south-south and south-east geo-political zones belongs to PDP which simply means that PDP will need people from the North and West to run as President and vice president consecutively for them to regain power. This analysis surely gives Fayose 55/100 to be the PDP vice presidential candidate come 2019.

*Yemi Osinbajo*: Some people would be surprised why this man is on the list. Well, if you are very updated you will know that Osinbajo has done a lot to Nigeria and to Buhari himself to deserve the endorsement of APC and buhari as their presidential candidate. Research also revealed that Osibanjo has been given different chieftancy titles in the southern parts of Nigeria and has also really worked hard to win the hearts of the Northern people. Also, obviously Prof. Osinbajo is from the western part of Nigeria and those from their would certainly endorse him. He has 50% of being chosen as APC presidential candidate.

*Tambuwal, Nasir El-Rufai and Rabiu Kwankwaso*: Certainly, one of these APC members would be given ticket of either presidency or vice presidency. This is due to their consistent aspirations for the post and also their stand politically and where they are from. Also, Obasanjo has been rumoured to endorse kwankwaso or Nasir El-Rufai for the presidential post last week to contest against Atiku.

*Analysis based on political parties and population*

Tentatively, if PDP should contest against the ruling party, APC in 2019, they would be outvoted. The reason to this hypothetical statement is this:
1. Out of the 36 states in Nigeria, PDP only occupies 11, 24 is being ruled by APC governors while the remaining 1 belongs to APGA. Then, if APC governors can manage to deliver extreme votes in their respective states, PDP would be outvoted.
2. Out of all the six geo-political zones in Nigeria, the most populated one with about *#35,804,550* is North-West which all the states under it belongs to APC. Beside, Buhari, Kwankwaso, Tambuwal and El-Rufai dominates North-West.
3. In the South-West, PDP can only deliver Ekiti which total number of people that resides there is times 4 those that resides only in Lagos which is about 99% controlled by APC. All other states in the Yoruba land are being controlled by APC but APC might not be able to deliver very well in Oyo and Osun due to issues the states governors had with their people.
4. PDP major strength is from south-south and south-east. Imo which has about *3,934,899* people residing there can be destructive to PDP ambition because of governor Okorocha who is a strong APC member and the former special adviser to former president Obasanjo on political affairs. Also, in Edo state which is controlled by APC can be an exception from PDP surest states. Not the less, PDP will deliver those geo-political zones very well.
6. Sentiment apart, total number of people in south-south, south-east, Ekiti state and kogi state as controlled by PDP is *43,059,083* which is not up to the total number of people that resides in the North-West and Lagos which is *44,818,084* let alone other geo-political zones and states strongly controlled by APC.

*Analysis based on the geo-political zones and states of the proposed candidates*

*Atiku/Fayose*: This political godfather is from Adamawa in the North East. If he is eventually chosen by PDP, there is high probability that he will deliver North East due to his foundations, philanthropic practices that he has rendered to the zone. However, his stand might be countered by the incumbent Governor of Adamawa state from APC and who is a loyalist to Buhari and some APC national and state leaders. Also, some other APC states governors in the North East might go against his political ambition. Fayose, who is popularly known as the friend of the masses in his state can definitely deliver Ekiti state to favour PDP. Also, for the mentality of being a well known media personality, he might be favored by the votes of his supporters from other states in the South West. In the south south and South East, there is high probability that PDP will win the People's votes there.

*Yemi Osinbajo/Kwankwaso,El Rufai and Tambuwal*
Osinbajo who is from south west in Ogun state and who is the current vice president of Nigeria has been noticed to probably have 80% votes of people in the south west, about 55% votes of all Nigerian Christians, 65% votes of all Northerners (if endorsed by Buhari and Northern APC Governors), 30% votes of all south easterners and 15% votes of south south people. Any of Kwankwaso, El Rufai or Tambuwal can indisputably deliver North for APC if they are being given sense of belonging (especially Kwanwaso who has been rumoured to decamp to PDP in search of presidential ticket).

Conclusively, if truly PDP members are really ready to regain power from the ruling party APC, then they must really work harder while if APC is not really ready to lose to PDP then they need to maintain their stand throughout Nigeria politically, economically, friendly, managerially, potently and judiciously.

Opined by:
*Adeleke Azeez Olalekan* (B. Tech(Edu) in view Futminna).
(Critical thinker, political analyst, Educator and a potent Nigerian psychologist)

*ANALYSIS OF THE NIGERIAN 2019 PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION*- - - *TENTATIVELY OPINED BY A CRITICAL ANALYST*

It is obvious that the general election of the Nigerian presidential post is far approaching as different Nigerian political parties have started their logical campaigns.
As it is in Nigeria political game, there are various popular and reliable politicians of whom belongs to different political registered parties such as the former vice-President Atiku, former Kano governor: Rabiu Kwankwaso, the incumbent governor of kaduna state: Nasir El-Rufai, the incumbent Governor of Sokoto: Aminu Tambuwal, the current vice-president of Nigeria: Yemi Osinbajo and the sitting governor of Ekiti state: Ayodele fayose. All these renowned Nigerian politicians have one way or the other showed their interests in becoming the next president.
Following the what the President Buhari said that he won't be contesting in 2019, many government officials, analysts, activists and so on from different political parties have expressed their opinions to the support of those listed above among them is minister for women affairs: Al-hassan who said if Buhari is not contesting in 2019 then she would truthfully support her godfather Atiku.

However, it is unsubtle that the winning party is APC which gives any member of the party an edge to win the election comes 2019.
Also, for the present chairman of all world ex-presidents: Olusegun Obasanjo has once said that Atiku will never become the president of Nigeria in his lifetime which is equal to a threat to Atiku presidential political ambition.
Thus, the analysis goes like this:
*Proposed presidential candidates and the political parties they will run under*

*Atiku* : This man's ambition of becoming president of Nigeria is highly drastic. He was among those that ran for APC 2015 presidential primary election and lost to president Buhari. He also has been seen to counter the buhari and APC led government despite the fact that he is fictionally belongs to APC. However, the probability that he would be given presidential ticket under the platform of PDP is 65/100. Without him for PDP now, I see PDP no where in 2019. Atiku can really help PDP to regain power.

*Ayodele Fayose*: This south-west PDP Jagaban was seen in the last PDP convention campaigning along side with his loyalists to be given presidential ticket under the platform of PDP. Logically, this man knows deep down in his heart that he can't be given that ticket now but there is high probability that he want to aspire for the post of vice president under PDP. Statistically, majority of people that resides in the south-south and south-east geo-political zones belongs to PDP which simply means that PDP will need people from the North and West to run as President and vice president consecutively for them to regain power. This analysis surely gives Fayose 55/100 to be the PDP vice presidential candidate come 2019.

*Yemi Osinbajo*: Some people would be surprised why this man is on the list. Well, if you are very updated you will know that Osinbajo has done a lot to Nigeria and to Buhari himself to deserve the endorsement of APC and buhari as their presidential candidate. Research also revealed that Osibanjo has been given different chieftancy titles in the southern parts of Nigeria and has also really worked hard to win the hearts of the Northern people. Also, obviously Prof. Osinbajo is from the western part of Nigeria and those from their would certainly endorse him. He has 50% of being chosen as APC presidential candidate.

*Tambuwal, Nasir El-Rufai and Rabiu Kwankwaso*: Certainly, one of these APC members would be given ticket of either presidency or vice presidency. This is due to their consistent aspirations for the post and also their stand politically and where they are from. Also, Obasanjo has been rumoured to endorse kwankwaso or Nasir El-Rufai for the presidential post last week to contest against Atiku.

*Analysis based on political parties and population*

Tentatively, if PDP should contest against the ruling party, APC in 2019, they would be outvoted. The reason to this hypothetical statement is this:
1. Out of the 36 states in Nigeria, PDP only occupies 11, 24 is being ruled by APC governors while the remaining 1 belongs to APGA. Then, if APC governors can manage to deliver extreme votes in their respective states, PDP would be outvoted.
2. Out of all the six geo-political zones in Nigeria, the most populated one with about *#35,804,550* is North-West which all the states under it belongs to APC. Beside, Buhari, Kwankwaso, Tambuwal and El-Rufai dominates North-West.
3. In the South-West, PDP can only deliver Ekiti which total number of people that resides there is times 4 those that resides only in Lagos which is about 99% controlled by APC. All other states in the Yoruba land are being controlled by APC but APC might not be able to deliver very well in Oyo and Osun due to issues the states governors had with their people.
4. PDP major strength is from south-south and south-east. Imo which has about *3,934,899* people residing there can be destructive to PDP ambition because of governor Okorocha who is a strong APC member and the former special adviser to former president Obasanjo on political affairs. Also, in Edo state which is controlled by APC can be an exception from PDP surest states. Not the less, PDP will deliver those geo-political zones very well.
6. Sentiment apart, total number of people in south-south, south-east, Ekiti state and kogi state as controlled by PDP is *43,059,083* which is not up to the total number of people that resides in the North-West and Lagos which is *44,818,084* let alone other geo-political zones and states strongly controlled by APC.

*Analysis based on the geo-political zones and states of the proposed candidates*

*Atiku/Fayose*: This political godfather is from Adamawa in the North East. If he is eventually chosen by PDP, there is high probability that he will deliver North East due to his foundations, philanthropic practices that he has rendered to the zone. However, his stand might be countered by the incumbent Governor of Adamawa state from APC and who is a loyalist to Buhari and some APC national and state leaders. Also, some other APC states governors in the North East might go against his political ambition. Fayose, who is popularly known as the friend of the masses in his state can definitely deliver Ekiti state to favour PDP. Also, for the mentality of being a well known media personality, he might be favored by the votes of his supporters from other states in the South West. In the south south and South East, there is high probability that PDP will win the People's votes there.

*Yemi Osinbajo/Kwankwaso,El Rufai and Tambuwal*
Osinbajo who is from south west in Ogun state and who is the current vice president of Nigeria has been noticed to probably have 80% votes of people in the south west, about 55% votes of all Nigerian Christians, 65% votes of all Northerners (if endorsed by Buhari and Northern APC Governors), 30% votes of all south easterners and 15% votes of south south people. Any of Kwankwaso, El Rufai or Tambuwal can indisputably deliver North for APC if they are being given sense of belonging (especially Kwanwaso who has been rumoured to decamp to PDP in search of presidential ticket).

Conclusively, if truly PDP members are really ready to regain power from the ruling party APC, then they must really work harder while if APC is not really ready to lose to PDP then they need to maintain their stand throughout Nigeria politically, economically, friendly, managerially, potently and judiciously.

Opined by:
*Adeleke Azeez Olalekan* (B. Tech(Edu) in view Futminna).
(Critical thinker, political analyst, Educator and a potent Nigerian psychologist)

TechsNG:
Hey guys, i just got a chance to unbox the infinix hot 5 and I'd like to share with you guys alongside my first impressions of the device.

The video can be seen below:


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W92KtZkTGfc

Infinix HOT 5 Key Specifications

Dirac 3D surround
5.5inch HD IPS Display
16GB internal storage, 2GB RAM
8MP back, 5MP front
4000mAh battery
Fingerprint reader
1.3Ghz Quad-core processor

What do you think of the device? I'd like to hear it in the comment session.

CC: Lalasticlala

Thanks.

Nice device. It's cool.

noetic5:
Source: http://www.napiztech.com/2016/05/National-identity-card-nimc.html?m=1

Hello nairalanders, please vote me as the best studentartiste of the year in my school 1. Click on this link www./degreeawards
2. Click on d sign at d top right corner.
3. Enter gmail address & password.
4. Adeleke azeez olalekan- Leklass (artiste of the year), Coker tokunbo (versatile student), Jide chinko ekun (most jovial), Oladele clement (sportman of the year).
5. Any asterik (*) category u see just click on it and move on.
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Thanks for the love.

FlirtyKaren:
Lineo Didi Kilgrow is drop dead gorgeous and her husband is said to the one and only D'banj!

http://www.lailasblog.com/2016/07/photos-of-dbanjs-wife-didi-lineo-kilgrow.html

1. Click on this link www./degreeawards
2. Click on d sign at d top right corner.
3. Enter gmail address & password.
4. Adeleke azeez olalekan- Leklass (artiste of the year), Coker tokunbo (versatile student), Jide chinko ekun (most jovial), Oladele clement (sportman of the year).
5. Any asterik (*) category u see just click on it and move on.
6. Click on submit.
Thanks for the love.

PastorIyamu2016:
There are talks that if elected into office, your government will probe the current government. Do you actually have such plans?

When you use the word probe, it is like you have concluded that they are guilty. I am a lawyer by profession. Of course, there must be handover and the handover note will be thoroughly investigated. Sometimes, the word, probe, is given a negative connotation. I’m happy you didn’t use the word, “prosecute.” Certainly, Edo money belongs to Edo people. If you find out that some of the money went into wrong hands, you take steps within the law to ensure that the money comes back. Our intention is, however, not to witch-hunt anybody. I’m not coming with a mindset to punish or pursue anybody. Certainly, we will look at what is in place.


The governor said you will be the easiest candidate to defeat in the election. How easy will it be defeating you?

If that was what he said, then he should go to sleep. If he believes it will be easy defeating me, then he should be celebrating. How can a governor, who said it would be easy to defeat me, say that I would be moving from one EFCC cell to another when they are busy campaigning. He is afraid and, in that statement, he has actually expressed his fear. If EFCC will not help him, what is he going to do? Like I said, the governor should allow his candidate to speak. He (Oshiomhole) should know now that this is not a third term agenda, unless he wants to tell us that he is the one contesting. By the time campaigns start, we will know who is afraid of whom.

Nothing has been heard lately about your invitation by the EFCC lately. Is the matter over or when are you going back there?

EFCC’s invitation is in the public domain. I thank God that the EFCC did not invite me because of any crime I committed. I was the coordinator for the former president in Edo. Money was sent to Edo and, in conjunction with two others, we were told to witness the arrival of the money and to ensure that the money was given to those it was meant for. The money was meant for the election and it is a common knowledge that election anywhere in the world is capital intensive. There was a budget and every local government area had an amount specified for them. The money was collected and signed for. Those who signed and collected the money also went to their local government areas to disburse it. That was what I explained to the EFCC. As far as we were concerned, the president had an elaborate fund raising that was televised live. I didn’t go there but I saw it on TV. One naturally expected that it was the proceeds of the fund raising that was brought to us. It is instructive to know that I personally did not take one kobo out of the money. Because of my position, I saw myself as someone that should be contributing, not taking out of money that was brought. So people like us, despite what came, we were adding to it. Perhaps if I had taken some, the issue of Pastor must come and make refund. So, I went to the EFCC and they went to town saying that Pastor has been arrested, Pastor has been detained. In fact, it became a regular song here until I got the ticket. I’m surprised it has stopped now. Before I got the ticket, they were singing it every day as if the intention was to discourage PDP delegates. They had hoped that the more they echoed the story, the likelihood that the PDP delegates would become more scared of supporting me. Now, it has stopped, but I’m sure they are thinking of other things to say. I can assure you that the EFCC thing is not a problem. I have always said the EFCC is a public institution and I must say, to the best of my knowledge, that they have conducted themselves in a very professional manner. If they were to be used, despite my innocence, they could decide to detain me and take me to court. I know the characters on the other side have made overtures, saying, “Detain Pastor, hold him, keep him.” That is a wishful thinking. I will be around to campaign and, by the grace of God, we will win the election resoundingly.

http://www.vanguardngr.com/2016/07/edo-will-surmount-pdp-crisis-beat-apc-ize-iyamu/

Please vote for me following this steps.
1. Click on this link www./degreeawards
2. Click on d sign at d top right corner.
3. Enter gmail address & password.
4. Adeleke azeez olalekan- Leklass (artiste of the year), Coker tokunbo (versatile student), Jide chinko ekun (most jovial), Oladele clement (sportman of the year).
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grayht:
#Teamselfemployed

bro, both self employment and pay employment are okay depending on the situation on ground. Or where do you think to raise your start-up capital as a self employed? U must surely start from somewhere.

jaymejate:
[size=15pt]See how Ojukwu de look Gowon like 'you go die soon'

That's the beginning of conspiracy[/size]

. Conspiracy? Does facial look determines that?

FlirtyKaren:
Pic: IBB Signing Marriage Register As Bestman For Man His Administration Killed

IBB signing the marriage register as Mamman Vatsa's bestman. Vatsa was executed under IBB's administration in 1986

http://www.lailasblog.com/2015/12/photo-ibb-signing-marriage-register-as.html

. Emeritus in Evil works.

God win