emkz: Wike is FCT minister and has earned the trust of FCT voters. You gain nothing fighting him when he is supporting Philip Aduda.
Trust? From where to where?
Anyways, Wike said he's going to be in his own state during the elections. He doesn't want to lose his state.
He cannot be in Abuja and Rivers at the same time. And Rivers is more important to him than Abuja.
And no. Wike isn't popular in Abuja. The local govt election he won was because of political machinery. And people don't turn up for local govt elections.
obiekunie01: Let me put this here for the records.
TINUBU USED THESE TWO MEN TO FINALLY TRAP OBI.
This is how it was planned and executed.
Before Dickson registered his party, he visited Tinubu and had a lengthy discussion with him. then he setup ADC.
Before Kwankwaso accepted to be VP, he visited Tinubu and had a lengthy discussion with him.
Then Obi was ADC and it was very clear to all the ADC members that Obi has seen thru their scheme to use him and win 2027 election by making him a VP.
Tinubu was hoping that Obi will fall for the trap because that will mean instant victory for Tinubu come 2027. But on noticing that Obi is about to escape, and being the master strategist that he is, he quickly setup another trap using Dickson and Kwankwaso.
The deal is - ACCEPT TO BE HIS VICE, HOLD HIM DOWN SO ICAN SCALE THRU TO WIN 2027 - I WILL HAND OVER TO YOU AS PRESIDENT AND DICKSON AS VICE.
Its a sweet deal that made a lot of sense to dickson and kwankwaso. so they accepted.
UNFORTUNATELY FOR OBI - HE TRUSTED THEM AND JUMPED INTO NDC. THESE TWO MEN WILL MESS UP HIS AMBITION BY NOT MOBILISING ENUGH MEN TO MAN THE PARTY PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION. And I think Obi has realised it but it is too late for him to do anything about it. He will just play along and hope Nigerians will vote him so massively to defeat their well planned and well sponsored rigging.
OBI WILL BE SO RIGGED OUT AND TINUBU DECLARED PRESIDENT. THE PARTY WILL NOT CHALLENGE THE DEFEAT IN COURT.
Then comes the main war - TINUBU WILL NOT KEEP TO THE DEAL. He will not handover to them come 2031 - HE WILL AMEND THE CONSTITUTION FOR ONE TERM PRESIENCY OF SEVEN YEARS AND TINUBU HIMSELF WILL BE THE FIRST BENEFICIARY.
Your logic makes no sense. How is Peter Obi remaining in the ADC a trap for him? It was a dangerous position for Tinubu. If Peter Obi remained in ADC and became the Vice President under Atiku, the election would have been a walkover for the ADC.
iwaeda: Diri disclosed that the Minister of Industry, Trade and Investment, Dr Jumoke Oduwole, briefed the governors on opportunities for state participation in CANEX Weekend 2026 and the Intra-African Trade Fair (IATF) 2027, scheduled to hold in Lagos.
This woman ehn. The only thing she knows is to be attending conferences and taking pictures
No policy direction, nothing.
The Renewed Hope Industrial plan, she wasn't even the one that wrote it.
Kelvinnchucks: Yep, my ex ex ex..(three places behind my current ex).
Never allows me to text after 9pm. I can't text other women if I'm home. I can't receive calls. I have to read with her till she wants to sleep ,no social media.
iHart: Very correct. People who control Thier mineral resources in the north, still control crude oil in the south, still control politics and still controls terrorism in the country. Why won't they be pillars of the country?
SixSeven: This is another variation of eating corn but Obi knows he has to capture more votes in the North, he has started eating food. One of the things that resonate with the talakawa in the North is if you are down to earth like them. It's not bad advice if you think about the politics of it.
In Northern Nigeria, it has strong political history. Leaders like Malam Aminu Kano used it to describe a movement that fights for the rights of ordinary, marginalized citizens. Traditional and religious teachings in Hausa culture often emphasize helping and protecting the talakawa. Masses believe a leader who eats, dresses, and lives simply genuinely understands their daily struggles with poverty, inflation, and lack of basic infrastructure. Historically, Northern Nigerian masses were heavily subjugated by traditional feudal systems and elite political syndicates. A politician who rejects elite luxury is seen as a liberator standing up to oppressive rulers. Flashy wealth in politics is widely associated with stolen public funds. A modest lifestyle serves as proof that the leader is not using public office for personal enrichment.
Balewa was also loved for this. He was a simple man and I will attach that picture of him enjoying himself with children during his leave. In modern time, people like Kwankwaso have used it to their advantage. Even when Yar'Adua was president, the people loved him for his simple life and you can still see the video of him praying and behaving like the ordinary person. Don't forget Yar'Adua introduced the servant leader ideology when he became president. So am I surprised Obi has been given the recipe since that's what he does normally?
Whoever is advising Obi is smart about it. If you did not watch those videos, just know that the Talakawa deeply admire individuals who possess kaskan da kai (profound humility) and mutunci (respect for human dignity). They value leaders who reject flashy luxury to live, dress, and eat simply among the people. They look for gaskiya (absolute honesty) and a total lack of personal greed, trusting those who refuse to use their position or wealth to look down on the less fortunate. These people are not dumb. You can't give what you don't have. So I do not think you can fake it.
But do the Talakawa matter? Do they turn up for their champions? Aminu Kano and Kwankwaso don't have pull outside of Kano state. Tafawa Balewa was also the Sardauna's stooge. He barely had a political base/power of his own.
To be fair, they did turn up for Buhari, which is something that is still puzzling to me. Although I think it's more because he was one of the few political elites that stood with the people during the Sharia crisis, and of course his anti-corrupt reputation.
Anyways, I feel like it might be late for Obi to be doing this at this point in time. It may be seen as campaign gimmicks. I don't know why he let them bully him out of showing up for the poor people of the North years before election. He did the right thing by having a borehole commissioned back then. But after the false outrage, he stopped. Now it's too late.
Olofofo247ng: Q: What would you do in the first two years of your second term?
President Tinubu gave the most brilliant response.
He wasn’t touching the host, he wasn’t repeating his name, and he wasn’t talking about what’s happening in another country. He answered the question directly.
Video:
Q: What would you do in the first two years of your second term?
President Tinubu gave the most brilliant response.
He wasn’t touching the host, he wasn’t repeating his name, and he wasn’t talking about what’s happening in another country. He answered the question directly. pic.twitter.com/yEWRm8Gjd0
— High Chief Lawrence Igbins Okoro (@HighChiefOkoro) August 22, 2026
Explains what? Did you watch the same video? They asked him what he would do in his first two years, he said he will aspire to perspire his desire. Then he mentioned the things he has already done How does that answer the question?
Hedonisco: That's why an Atiku/Obi ticket would have been invincible. And I lay the blame squarely on Atiku for not being strategic enough to make this happen. But I digress. No need to cry over spilt milk.
Na wa O. How is it Atiku's fault? What did he do wrong? It was Obi that left after being swayed by Kwankwaso.
Sugarboyy: Thank God you said the north "Might". Firstly never forget Atiku has never for once had cult followership in the North, he only had supporters that can change their minds against him with goodies facing them. Secondly, only northern votes can never make anyone president, Buhari showed it. And Atiku can not get upto 2m votes in the whole of SS,SE,SW and NC. So how will the north give him 8-10m votes to win the 2027 election? In my Edo State, ADC as a party doesn't exist, infact NDC doesn't exist in the whole Edo North and Edo Central (Except for Uromi, Esan North Esan because of NDC senatorial Candidate for Edo Central, Yakubu who is very popular in Uromi because of his performance when he was the LGA Chairman).
Atiku doesn't have to win in the first round. He just has to deny Tinubu those Northern votes. Unlike Obasanjo and Jonathan, Tinubu doesn't have a Southern + Middlebelt alliance to back him up.
AMINDA: Because a formidable Atiku who is from the North was also in the race. Elrufai can only try. He wouldn't rig the elections for Tinubu or spill the blood of his own people just to deliver him as was done in other states like Rivers. Tinubu ended up getting 5.6m votes from the North and it proved to be enough. That's all that mattered because even Tinubu could not deliver himself in Lagos and Osun.
You're missing the point.
It is that what was the decisive factor in Zamfara that guaranteed Tinubu's decisive victory there, when he was a strong second in the other states.
[quote author=AMINDA post=140293115]The messaging from the likes of Elrufai urging Northerners to keep their word and maintain the "amana (trust)". The reason why the North is not agitating much about the unjust incarceration of Elrufai is because they need a reason to justify why they will no longer be voting for Tinubu. I'm sure it's also the same reason why even Elrufai is not to keen on perfecting his bail terms, asides it being malicious. Its called "Narrative setting". Whether good or bad, the North will always repay its debts. Votes are not easily rigged in the North, Northerners vote by conviction.
Sugarboyy: Buhari was alive but him and his cronies never supported or voted Tinubu
Yes. They didn't campaign vigorously for him. But they also didn't support Atiku. So, the chips fell where they may. Now that Buhari is dead, the North might make Atiku their champion.
AMINDA: Tinubu has the likes of Elrufai to thank for that. Elrufai's messaging during the electioneering campaign resonated across the North and had an effect on the conscience of most Northerners. Tinubu ended up betraying him. Matawalle lost his own re-election as an incumbent governor. If Tinubu is keeping him as a minister, it's not because he singlehandedly delivered his state. Brace up for the APC using more Sheikhs to rile up Christians so they can react and have Muslims supporting Tinubu’s muslim-muslim ticket but it's an exercise in futility. Tinubu will only end up losing from both ends. The minds of Northerners are largely made up.
So, how did he win Zamfara like that? It's the only landslide for him in the North West.
AMINDA: If 2023 showed a glimmer of rice and beans politics, 2027 will be the mother of all rice and beans politics in the North. Despite the APC having several governors across the North, Atiku won virtually all the Northwestern states aside from Zamfara and Jigawa and all the Northeastern states aside from Borno. That was despite after 8 years of Buhari and against an untested Tinubu who still enjoyed the benefit of doubt and considerable Northern goodwill and sympathy. The margin is set to be even wider come 2027 with Tinubu's woeful performance and the perception of betrayal pervading the North. Tinubu's albatross will be his inability to shore up his popularity amongst electorates in the South. Outside of the SW, he remains very unpopular across the other South.
Muslim-muslim ticket is not hitting as hard as it should which is why the likes of Sheikh Yahaya Jingir have been commissioned to hit up the polity to make it a Christian vs Muslim affair but once bitten, twice shy. As for gubernatorial elections, local dynamics and the level of popularity of individual candidates will determine the outcome of the election in each state.
Damn. Had no idea Atiku swept through the North like this, even with Buhari alive.
But Tinubu did come a close second in most Northern states. Also, looking at the results in Zamfara, which was the only state that Tinubu won a commanding majority, I can see why he refuses to touch Mattawale.
GeneralOuki: Kanki is an interesting Character but he is a shít bag. I will take Yotanwa, Mouten and Ousen over him any day any time. It's like you are a anime only guy huh? Well I will not drop any manga spoilers but the story is loosely based on the shi ji/ record of the grand historian which is a historical event.
I know the historical event it's based on. I was wandering on the subreddit for the manga/anime where I saw a spoiler that Kanki died. I was so upset. Abandoned the stupid subreddit immediately.
I like Kanki because he's emotionally complex. Most other characters, especially the main characters, are too one dimensional. It makes them uninteresting.
GeneralOuki: Hopefully this will go a long way in restoring some kind of peace in that area. Hamas brought a war of destruction upon the very Palestinians they claimed to be fighting for, 70,000 dead and several others wounded and permanently maimed they have finally ( hopefully I must add) realised this was a losing battle from the onset.
Sometimes going really hard on people with this sort of mentality is the best way forward, not whatever it is that our Nigerian government are doing with bandits and terrorists in Nigeria. Hit them so hard that they go pick up their senses wherever they dropped it , or grow one if they had none in the first place.
Akpakomiza2: It is narrow sir. Obi was projected to sweep SS or win massively like in SE but the difference was just 500k.
My brother in Christ, Tinubu had a similar margin the North Central, if not even a smaller margin, yet you use that to say Tinubu won the North Central. Obi also won the South South handily if we're to go by that logic.
Akpakomiza2: Tinubu will take CRS,Aks, bayelsa, rivers and get good votes in delta Edo
As how? Take it how? Because he has governors on his side? That is irrelevant. Obi's votes are not dependent on the governors. Let's assume that Tinubu would capture the PDP machinery in those states, since he has destroyed the PDP and absorbed their votes, it is still not enough to win Obi in those states. In Delta state for instance, Obi had 55% of the vote, Atiku came second with 26% of the vote while Tinubu came third with 14% of the votes. So, if we combine Atiku and Tinubu's votes, that gives a total of 40% and this is assuming that the PDP has been fully absorbed into the APC and they will repeat the same performance.
Akpakomiza2: .... Obi will still lose north central. Tinubu has captured the minds of many of those Christian northerners.
Endeared as how? They might be more positively disposed to him since he has appointed them to important positions. But they're still getting killed by Fulani terrorists every other day. That's far from endearment.
Akpakomiza2: Tinubu won NC in 2023 despite the massive angst against it. He will win again massively. Obi won SS narrowly. He will lose this time
Peter Obi won four out of six states in the South South (Edo, Delta, Cross Rivers, and Rivers(Wike rigged it)). That isn't a narrow victory by any stretch.
He also did well in the North Central. Especially the Eastern North Central states (Plateau, Nassarawa, and Benue(Tinubu won narrowly)).
And yes, Tinubu might have the upper hand because he has taken the PDP out of the picture, but that only affects Atiku, not Obi, who didn't need political machinery/structure to garner massive votes.
Atiku might also benefit from Buhari's death -- making him the Northern champion since he's basically the only Hausa-Fulani in the race, and the Northerners have already soured on Tinubu.
Wickedfacts: Which Atiku is Northern champion? Someone who lost the last runoff election in his own Local Government.
By the way, Buhari had a CPC Governor. So, don't say he didn't have Governors with him. Tell us the Governor with Atiku.
One CPC governor in 2011 is irrelevant. And for the 2003 and 2007 elections, he had no single governor. Governors are irrelevant for presidential elections in the North.
If Atiku has inherited Buhari's place in the minds of Northerners, he would get their votes.
Sannisege: Crap! Name one southern state Atiku is sure to get 25% of the votes cast . Only Tinubu will have the required spread across the country. Atiku has no pathway to victory in 2027. As for the northern governors you mentioned, most of them fancy their chances of becoming president after Tinubu in 2031. They won’t allow Atiku to jeopardize that.
This is the North we're talking about. The governors have little to no influence on who they vote for presidential elections.
I'm the 2003/2007/2011 elections, the North voted massively for Buhari even though he barely had any governors in his camp.
If Atiku is seen as the Northern champion the way Buhari was, then he would get those same votes.
Although what you mentioned about 25% is valid. The election is most likely going to go into a run off.
AMINDA: Before Kwankwaso, has anyone ever heard his name? Same Kwankwaso who made him Senator decided not to give him a ticket this time for reasons best known to him. He's free to defect. No one will victimise him like Tinubu and Bago are known to do. Kwankwaso defeated an incumbent governor and won several seats with shoemakers and other artisans as candidates. It's just a shame that he seems passive in his latest moves and is likely in bed with the ruling party.
Kwankwaso won with shoemakers and artisans as candidate? 😮😮