₦airaland Forum

Hemanwel:
Only massive rigging can make a southern presidential candidate win against popular northern presidential candidates like Atiku and Kwankwaso.

So PDP, be wise!

zanga3:
I like ur analysis bro but i want you be objective in your analysis and also understand 2023 is i different ball game.
Let's assume Atiku (PDP) and Asiwaju (APC) are the presidential candidates for the two major political parties, going by the results of last election, my analysis are as follows:

NORTH WEST: I'm very sure Asiwaju won't garner as much as the votes Buhari got there (the shehu yar'adua/Atiku PDM structure is a factor that may play out there), Atiku got almost 30% of votes there at the last election and he may likely get more there this time around. Asiwaju has higher chances in kano, katsina, jigawa, but a 50-50 chances in states like kaduna, kebbi, zamfara, and may likely lose in sokoto where the caliphate lies.

NORTH EAST:
The North east is where Atiku comes from, he got almost 30% of votes there at the last election and I'm sure he'll get at least more votes coming from there this time around. Asiwaju strongholds here are borno, yobe, 50-50 chances in gombe, bauchi, may likely lose Adamawa and Taraba.

NORTH CENTRAL:
Atiku got almost 45% of votes here at the last election.
Asiwaju may likely win niger and kogi, 50-50 chance in benue, nasarawa but may like lose fct, plateau, kwara.

SOUTH WEST:
Atiku got almost more than 40% here. This is asiwaju's stronghold but he may likely lose in states like oyo, ekiti and osun (the outcome of the upcoming ekiti and osun election are determinants in this).

SOUTH EAST:
Atiku has over 75% here. Asiwaju may likely not win a state here but I'm sure he'll get at least 30% of votes coming from here.

SOUTH SOUTH:
Atiku has over 65% of votes here. Asiwaju may like not get more than 30% of votes coming from here too.


With all these analysis stated above I'm sure 2023 Election will be keenly contested by these two candidates if the they should scale through the primaries but I'm very sure that factors of determinants that may likely play out are; choice and background of their running mates, their Ethnicity and also the choice of the sultan because they are both muslims.

It's just my opinion bro

atorioke:
Okay. I don't like arguing on Nairaland that is a faceless forum. The link to this comment is saved to My Notes.

DubaiLandLord1:
Agree without reservation.

If PDP field a Northerner as their presidential candidate and the APC field a Southerner, the settings will make things more tougher for PDP. PDP can never get the kinds of votes GEJ got in 2011 and 2015 in the South South and Southeast.

The calculation favours the APC presidential candidate in 2023. The APC are in control at the centre and they have more states under their control.

Asgard73:

atorioke:
I'm very sure that this politics una nor sabi am. The zones not voting for PDP is due to the Buhari effect. The North West and North East vote North and not Party. And they already have this love for Buhari. If a Southerner go against a Northerner, the two zones will vote the Northerner. If Tinubu like make he eat juju, the two zones will vote Atiku or Tambuwal.

DubaiLandLord1:
That guy knows nothing. I don't know how he feels PDP will easily defeat an APC candidate.

Asgard73:
K
Next!

Asgard73:
K.

Next!

Asgard73:
This one knows nothing... Keep waiting

Asgard73:
I’m not your mate in politics or life... Nairaland is faceless.. I’ve been in politics for long to know Nigeria and politics

I’ve become inconsequential because am not telling you what you like to hear. Yoruba man.

Una eyes go clear.. you don abandon Tinubu ship.. becos e don sub.

Apc is for Buhari and he’s through and done by 2023.
Apc as a party will seize to exist.. you heard it hear

When Yoruba Dey ginger Tinubu President... you believe same you .. will wake someday to say ... Tinubu is not interested in President..

After mocking Asgard with your helinues moniker..

E go clear

Asgard73:
Power returns North..

Apc ends with Buhari.. you people here kno nothing politics
Even una party politics una no Dey follow or understand what’s happening

I’m awoke to APC HAPPENINGS and intrigues more than you APC humans online.
You Yoruba people (Acn)are emotional and sentimental.
Shebi Buhari just met with Tinubu?

Let see how he will order congress t stop .. if he will support Tinubu/osibanjo group or malami Bagudu Buni group

deboysben:
the way u guys hide behind good governance to sabotage someone that doesn't know u exist either.
Stop being a blood hypocrite.
One good turn deserves another.

DabuIIIT:
That is why the likes of buhari and tinubu will rule over you and your generation forever

Baawahala:
of course it is spiting back reloaded...

deboysben:
sure that's what we are waiting for we want to spite in afonjas cone head. And remind them that what they did in 2015 we can do more.

borapo:
Your plans shall not stand!

musicwriter:
No equality in marriage? Said who? The Nigerian constitution?

ChangetheChange:
From ur post, every reasonable person will know, U are an unrepentant confused and indomie block head bastard who need spiritual deliverance, ur lies have been busted, u are now trying to change the narratives again, check ur first post , u insulted me boasting PDP had never won the North, now ur are claiming the votes vof AC and ACN were higher than PDP. U just proven u are grade a APC zombies

Thunder fire u for lie and misleading people

Combine the votes of ACN, AD , CPC , APP and ANPP in 1999 to 2007 to 2003 to 2011 , it was never up to the Votes PDP got . Google is ur answer , s
Shuut the fuuccck up and stop typing trash beacuse u are a block head APC quota system zombie like Buhari and malami .. go to sleep boy u know nothing about Nigeria politics....End of Discussion
If u want to post again , kindly include link of websites to back up ur claim, cause so far, all ur lies have been busted., Stop embarrassing ur family and ur generation .... U smelling janja-weed indomie block head zombie

ChangetheChange:
U are confused leaner for naija politics, thunder fire u for trying to mislead readers because u are a poverty strickern APC online warrior.

ChangetheChange:
The Northern Oligarchs already know APC has no foundation or direction or massive support base after Buhari is gone and there will lot of inevitable and impending courts litigation against APC ahead of the 2023 election, they have realigned and hijacked PDP again , [/b]and checkmated Wike, by giving full backing to Secondus to remain as Chairman.

Goje moving back to PDP is just a teaser, he is moving back to PDP alongside the Governor of Gombe State and the APC political structures in Gombe.

More APC Northern Governors defections to PDP is inevitable in the coming months whether u chose to believe or not, just quote this post by April 2022 in less than 10 months from now.

Asgard73:
We already know...

By this time next year... .. e go clear.

AlexBells:
Sentimentalism is allowed, coming to the music Yoruba isn't even so ahead it is Yorubas like you dishing out fake statistics that makes it look like you are having it all good in Nigeria.

Please leave Nollywood out of your tebranding, why leave your tribal yorubawood, to rebrand Bollywood. Ndi rebranding, you are not even ashamed of yourself.

As for football, you can compete with Arewa but you don't come close to the Igbos.

You forgot the likes of square, phyno, flavour, techno, etc, I sincerely noted that Yorubas are a little ahead in the music, please forget Nollywood don't try to use your false statistics to come on that, lol, whose culture is Nollywood pioneering lol.

Can you compare the so called Akindele and Lawani to the rest of Nollywood actresses,, it by most grossing or the mere number of people employed by the industry, even we appreciate more of the role of Nollywood on putting food on the tables of upcoming actors than some few gross still your account still support my assertion Igbos are team people whole Yoruba is exceptional individualism

AlexBells:
Who is talking about the first Nigerian, was messi, Pelle, Maradona, Ronaldo etc the first people to play football, as for music it was stated in my post that Yorubas edge out a little.

Movies don't go there, Nollywood is still the second biggest movie industry in the world lol, you sound somehow when you make these arguments just to drag something you are not.

AlexBells:
There is nothing to admit here, you can't be making sentimental arguments and expect me to admit, admit what, instead of finding strength in your uniqueness you think that your ideal is paramount, the president is about exceptional individualism not teamwork, why should the president employ all his ministers, why can't ministers be elected, it is his individual choice to take or drop any minister, I made mention from the beginning that there is line between teamwork and individualism but no, you have an ideal mental picture of your tribe that whatever anyone else observed is incorrect as far as it doesn't appeal to you.

FreeIgbos:
MUMU, who are the major importers of motorcycles in Nigeria if not Igbos? It is you abo.kis that do the okada riding while we do the importation. Who are those importing the drugs? Is it not Igbos? Who own most of the lubricant manufacturing companies with products in the market? Is it not Igbos or do you need me to list them? Go to Tin Can, Apapa or Onne and ask any custom officer working there who are their major customers. BTW, Sugar is imported by manufacturers.

FreeIgbos:
That's why the abo.kis want to kill themselves ontop the ports. Majority of these imports is by Igbos but the Fulani cabals are all over the seaports extorting and frustrating importers.

Sham nation!

Holadokun:
We love Lagos.... Give 70% to Tinubu Family, Embezzle 25% and use 5% to work.

With the revenue in Lagos state Tinubu dynasty has enslaved lagosians ....

He's coming to do that at the federal level... Wait for it.

Paxxcarl:
The same governor wey visit tinubu for London yesterday?