₦airaland Forum

HIGHESTPOPORI:
If tinubu get 40% in just SW, he is finished

raumdeuter:
Last election in 2019, Kwankwaso was already out of APC. Max is for Kwankwanso to win Kano state

misano:
I waited to read your prediction about Edo. You say APC will win Edo (lol). That's when I concluded that U are wrong in other states. I am in Edo right now. The Peter Obi and Atiku will battle for the state. Trust me, Peter Obi will even beat Atiku here. Tinubu has no place in Edo. He will not get up to 10% total vote.

Antivirus92:
Garfield is a comedian....

apart from some south west states, tinubu will not win any state in any other region

HIGHESTPOPORI:
You saw what he did in the Governorship election, now he is the candidate and shekerau is with him, he will clear Kano and Northwest

raumdeuter:
Tinubu ill get at least 70% of SW and 40% of the entire South which includes SE, SW and SS

raumdeuter:
kano is just one of 7 NW state. Kaduna Zamfara and Katsina are also NW state

DontBullshitMe:
If Obi's rising profile gets to a stage where it can upset things for Atiku, don't be shocked if he withdraws from the race. He can cite different reasons and back out to tilt it towards Atiku. Alot can still happen.

For now, Obi will struggle to get 1.5 million votes, win 0 states so he's not a threat for now.

The SE people who felt betrayed by PDP will rather not come out to vote at all than come out to queue and vote Labour Party that CANNOT WIN. Obi will put up a fair fight no doubt but he can't do much.

Did you watch Ekwenremadu's recent interview? Why are PDP SE politicians not decamping to Labour Party in solidarity with Peter Obi?

raumdeuter:
Can you stake 1m on this?

HIGHESTPOPORI:
Stop receiving yourself, apart from Sw, tinubu would not get 10% in SS and SE, he is hated here for betraying Jonathan in 2015,didnt you see how he was disgraced in the last Edo election.Why do you think he wants to get a Fulani my vp.Even in Sw, he will struggle in Lagos and some yoruba Christians if he goes Muslim muslim

Olaoluwa122:
With the new electoral act...lagos vote will be strongly contested...But tinubu should win it..with marginal margin...

DontBullshitMe:
Okay.

You think Ndigbo will bet on Obi over PDP that has a better chance?

Sentimentally, Obi is the good choice but for the sake of self-preservation, you do things that protect your interests and that means aligning with a party that you are a stakeholder and has the capability of winning.

garfield1:
How will that be when badaru is in control and has even endorsed tinubu? Lamido has divided pdp my fielding family members as candidates..

aumeehn:
lol i thought i was the only person that smell the hypocrisy from his post. The dude is being emotional. He hate Fulani President but want Fulani VP.

DontBullshitMe:
If Obi's rising profile gets to a stage where it can upset things for Atiku, don't be shocked if he withdraws from the race. He can cite different reasons and back out to tilt it towards Atiku. Alot can still happen.

For now, Obi will struggle to get 1.5 million votes, win 0 states so he's not a threat for now.

The SE people who felt betrayed by PDP will rather not come out to vote at all than come out to queue and vote Labour Party that CANNOT WIN. Obi will put up a fair fight no doubt but he can't do much.

Did you watch Ekwenremadu's recent interview? Why are PDP SE politicians not decamping to Labour Party in solidarity with Peter Obi?

Those of us supporting Peter Obi are giving him November while others say once his alliance with Kwankwaso doesn't work out, they would switch to ATIKU

raumdeuter:
Last election in 2019, Kwankwaso was already out of APC. Max is for Kwankwanso to win Kano state

raumdeuter:
Tinubu ill get at least 70% of SW and 40% of the entire South which includes SE, SW and SS

HIGHESTPOPORI:
It will be shared 40/40/20 btw Apc, LP and Pdp

PaChukwudi44:
Oga Peter Obi is now a national movement.He is far beyond ndigbo at the moment

raumdeuter:
Tinubu ill get at least 70% of SW and 40% of the entire South which includes SE, SW and SS

Bomboiy:
Simple questions.

Are you Igbo?

Do you stay in the southeast?

majole:
Who was Badaru before Buhari tsumani in 2015 in Jigawa state? Lamido is not alone, he got Saminu Turaki with him( though I don't know his political clot these days). Kwankwaso is also a factor here. Atiku is known here. Believe me Atiku getting more votes than Tinubu in Kano

PaChukwudi44:
Lol Badaru and Lamido both has just one vote.

PDP had Governors in Kaduna, Katsina,Niger , Gombe etc during the 2015 elections.It didn't stop them from losing

garfield1:
Swing states are states that can be won by any party or candidate,they are battleground states and do not give bloc votes.they give marginal votes.in the USA,Florida,Nevada,Colorado etc are examples of swing states while in nigeria most states in the north central are swing states...

Nasarawa: apc/ buhari won here in 2019 for the first time by 8000 votes.even when buhari lost here,he still got 40%.2023 will be no different although apc might still win here narrowly due to the infighting in pdp and tje state exco is loyal to wike.The incumbent gov engr sule will be reelected..labour should get up to 20% here

Kogi: the okun yorubas will join forces with the ebiras to deliver for tinubu while the igalas will vote atiku narrowly..a narrow win for apc will suffice.labour party will get at least 10%

Benue: in 2015 apc won Benue for the first time winning 9 out of 23 LGAs due to bloc votes from zone b..buhari lost in 2019 by 7000 votes inspite of the hatred and outcry against with...with the middle belt looking favourably at the south and not wanting another fulani ruler and with the rev alia tsunami,tinubu should win here narrowly.labour party should get 25% here

Fct: the three major parties will get at least 30% here but it might swing narrowly to labour party.

Bayelsa; this state usually gives buhari his lowest votes.he got less than 5000 in 2015 but surprisingly and miraculously got 117,000 while PDP got 180,000.with the unpopularity of diri and the rise of apc here,apc might just win it or get at lest 45%.obi should get 20%.

Cross river:apc got 30% in 2019 despite not having any elected official.with the governor now in apc and almost all elected officials at the grassroot and the guber cabdidate being very popular and with the back to south movement gaining momentum, it might swing to APC although PDP still has a slight advantage.labour should get 25% here.the party was very popular here between 2011 and 2015.APC will win the guber here

Edo: Edo will swing badly.apc lost the state by 8000 votes in 2019 despite winning more LGAs.with the governor losing the party structure to wike and thinking of defecting and the Dan orbih faction not keen to work for atiku and with the historical affinity of the state to the west,apc should win here narrowly with labour taking second place.PDP will take third. .

Ondo,ekiti,Oyo: these states swung in the past but with tinubu a son of the soil,an omoluabi on the ballot,they might just deliver bloc votes to apc...

Sokoto: buhari lost here in 2007 and struggled to win here in 2019.with tambuwal contesting for senate,atiku might narrowly win here.obi will not see 10% here but the apc guber candidate Ahmed aliyu will win this state..


Kebbi; this would have been a safe state but with sen adamu aliero and sen yahaya joining PDP with many bigwigs,it might swung narrowly to atiku.atiku has a lot of strong loyallists here led by the turakin gwandu kabiru tanimu.obi won't see 5% here even from the Christians in zuru...nasiru idris is the next governor

Kaduna: this state can go either way but apc should have a narrow win here based on the dexterity of el rufai and sani.sani is the next governor

Gombe: it should be safe for tinubu but PDP is growing stronger here and the political grandmaster sen goje is an associate of atiku though in apc.a narrow win for tinubu or atiku will suffice.

Plateau:it is a PDP state normally but the people are tired and weary of the fulani hegemony and attacks.they might just decide to switch to tinubu but PDP still has the advantage while obi should get 10%

Ebonyi:this state will swing heavily but obi should win it with tinubu and atiku tagging along respectively.


Mynd44
Lalasticlala
Kyase
Kahal
Frowland
Warriaproko
Oghenaogie
Noethnicity
Cajal
Quotasystem
Ogidigboigbo
Tutudesz
Moferere

aumeehn:
lol i thought i was the only person that smell the hypocrisy from his post. The dude is being emotional. He hate Fulani President but want Fulani VP.

DontBullshitMe:
If Obi's rising profile gets to a stage where it can upset things for Atiku, don't be shocked if he withdraws from the race. He can cite different reasons and back out to tilt it towards Atiku. Alot can still happen.

For now, Obi will struggle to get 1.5 million votes, win 0 states so he's not a threat for now.

The SE people who felt betrayed by PDP will rather not come out to vote at all than come out to queue and vote Labour Party that CANNOT WIN. Obi will put up a fair fight no doubt but he can't do much.

Did you watch Ekwenremadu's recent interview? Why are PDP SE politicians not decamping to Labour Party in solidarity with Peter Obi?

garfield1:
A lot are decamping.those that are attacking him are those that are unpopular

Promoter2:
Let the polls do the talking.

Fortruth:
Which “Polls”…. How many are you going to man…


You’ve been watching too much Wolfe Blitzer on CNN……

Nigeria is not designed like America. Nigeria created by British so you are not a real country Mr Blackie

garfield1:
Peter might beat atiku to second place.peter might clear ss/se,get 30% in west and north central.atiku might end up not winning any region.it is very possible

HilcomTech:
Stop taking mkporu miri