₦airaland Forum

Liebermantic:
Agbado eater, stop daydreaming, there is no state in the Southeast APC will get 5% votes in the presidential election..We are not talking about Gubernatorial or Senatorial election.Ndigbo votes personality,not party.. Tinubu is no no no no in Southeast.

Buhari nko

garfield1:
Why are you asking this kind of ques? So you are majol? Many of those voting ouk will vote apc all through

You should know better, which majol!

Those who won't vote PDP, will vote LP. Leave that thing....OUK is a businessman...Can only Abia N produce 25%?

fergie001:
You should know better, which majol!

Those who won't vote PDP, will vote LP. Leave that thing....OUK is a businessman...Can only Abia N produce 25%?

That's not true.majority of abians will vote peter and then apc.only abia north gave buhari 25%.umuahia added jara.it won't be different esp with a disliked atiku and a weak labour party

garfield1:
That's not true.majority of abians will vote peter and then apc.only abia north gave buhari 25%.umuahia added jara.it won't be different esp with a disliked atiku and a weak labour party

You say APC?
Please ask another Abian, I don't just have that strength.

Xerxes2088:
the moment i saw Edo state under atiku i knew this list was rubbish.....we are fully Obident ftom the Esans to the Binis to Auchi/owan

I swear

Atiku will scrape the NE

Rabiu will not dominate the NW as such

NC will slimly go to Obi

SW will likely go to Tinubu but not without significant gain by obi especially if this Muslim-Muslim ticket isnt resolved.

SE SS to go to Obi without much hassle.

This likely Normal nigeria voting pattern unless there is change this time.

North west
Atiku- 43%
Kwankasio- 21%
Tinubu- 26%
Obi- 10%

North East
Tinubu- 30%
Atiku- 50%
obi- 10%%
Kwankasio- 10%


North Central
Tinubu- 19%
Atiku- 39%
obi- 39%
Kwankasio- 3%

South west
Tinubu- 54%
Atiku- 21%
Obi- 25%

South east
Atiku- 17%
Obi- 70%
Tinubu- 13%

South south
Atiku- 31.5%
Obi- 51.5%
Tinubu- 17%

BUT IF NIGERIANS
WILL VOTE WISELY THE RIGHT CANDIDATE WILL BE EMERGED..



GOD BLESS YOU ALL

fergie001:
You say APC?
Please ask another Abian, I don't just have that strength.

I had same argument with several abians in 2019 so leave it...

garfield1:
I had same argument with several abians in 2019 so leave it...

No Problem.....

fergie001:
No Problem.....

I can reduce it to 20% but dont forget ikpeazu is pro wike and won't be keen on atiku

garfield1:
I can reduce it to 20% but dont forget ikpeazu is pro wike and won't be keen on atiku

LP is the main threat. Nobody sees APC. Even if Ikpeazu hands off, it's LP.

fergie001:
LP is the main threat. Nobody sees APC. Even if Ikpeazu hands off, it's LP.

That's why I said apc will scrape 25% while pdp will be struggling to contain lp

garfield1:
That's why I said apc will scrape 25% while pdp will be struggling to contain lp

Maybe in Abia N, because that's where they'll be punished. Not in Presidential.

kenzysmith:
States Likely To Be Won By The Four Major Presidential Candidates

PETER OBI:
*Abia
*Anambra
*Enugu
*Ebonyi
*Imo

BOLA TINUBU:
*Osun
*Ekiti
*Ondo
*Oyo
*Lagos
*Ogun
*Kogi
*Kwara
*Niger
*Nassarawa
*Borno
*Yobe
*Katsina

ATIKU ABUBAKAR:
*Adamawa
*Gombe
*Bauchi
*Taraba
*Sokoto
*Jigawa
*Kebbi
*Plateau
*Kaduna
*Zamfara
*Benue
*Delta
*Edo
*Akwa Ibom
*Rivers
*Cross Rivers
*Bayelsa
*FCT

RABIU KWANKWASO
*Kano

With this demography, it’s easy to know who Peter Obi candidacy will hurt: that’s Atiku.
Peter Obi will win 5 states of East. 2 or 3 states of south south; one state of north central; one state of north east; Abuja. These states are where pdp dominated.

fergie001:
Maybe in Abia N, because that's where they'll be punished. Not in Presidential.

I dont understand you.an overwhelming number of abians including abians are rooting for obi and you are still being rebellious.I dont understand you

Those who think APC won't get 25percent in igbos States are joking the only state APC may not get 25 percent is Amambra in ebonyi the may win or come second and mind you Umahi is going to Senate even if you shout obidient forever in IMO joke with hope uzodimma at your own peril in Abia orji uzor is going back to Senate same with ikpeazu.The only way obi will pull big vote in South East is if Presidential election and national election are not done the same day . Those who do write APC off in South East look at just concluded amambra election Apc got votes

Labour Party will win-
LAGOS
ONDO
OYO
EKITI
OGUN
OSUN
KANO
BORNO
KADUNA
KATSINA
KWARA
PLATEAU
YOBE
ZAMFARA
EDO
NASARAWA
KOGI


IPOB please keep daydreaming.

garfield1:
I dont understand you.an overwhelming number of abians including abians are rooting for obi and you are still being rebellious.I dont understand you

Were you speaking about Obi or APC?
You stay one place now. You said APC will get more than 25% and I said NO. Anything outside PDP is LP. What are you now saying again?

All this your Obi love is to make sure Tinubu triumphs at the end of the day when strongholds of his opponent is depleted & shared. That's all that matters to you and not your love for the man or for what he believes in. That doesn't break any law though!

gozmok1:
Atiku will scrape the NE

Rabiu will not dominate the NW as such

NC will slimly go to Obi

SW will likely go to Tinubu but not without significant gain by obi especially if this Muslim-Muslim ticket isnt resolved.

SE SS to go to Obi without much hassle.

This likely Normal nigeria voting pattern unless there is change this time.

North west
Atiku- 43%
Kwankasio- 21%
Tinubu- 26%
Obi- 10%

North East
Tinubu- 30%
Atiku- 50%
obi- 10%%
Kwankasio- 10%


North Central
Tinubu- 19%
Atiku- 39%
obi- 39%
Kwankasio- 3%

South west
Tinubu- 54%
Atiku- 21%
Obi- 25%

South east
Atiku- 17%
Obi- 70%
Tinubu- 13%

South south
Atiku- 31.5%
Obi- 51.5%
Tinubu- 17%

BUT IF NIGERIANS
WILL VOTE WISELY THE RIGHT CANDIDATE WILL BE EMERGED..



GOD BLESS YOU ALL

Brossss......you just copy and paste my analysis. You come form your own with am. Its okay!
Who are you supporting in the elections?

fergie001:
Were you speaking about Obi or APC?
You stay one place now. You said APC will get more than 25% and I said NO. Anything outside PDP is LP. What are you now saying again?

All this your Obi love is to make sure Tinubu triumphs at the end of the day when strongholds of his opponent is depleted & shared. That's all that matters to you and not your love for the man or for what he believes in. That doesn't break any law though!

If tinubu doesn't win let obi win

garfield1:
If tinubu doesn't win let obi win

If election is conducted today, Tinubu will win. Atiku is still holidaying, Obi is still doing his worka but 8 months is a long time away in Pooitics.
.I must commend INEC for this way of shifting the Primary etc backwards.

fergie001:
If election is conducted today, Tinubu will win. Atiku is still holidaying, Obi is still doing his worka but 8 months is a long time away in Pooitics.
.I must commend INEC for this way of shifting the Primary etc backwards.

I dont like it.let primaries still be august,sept,Oct...but obi has covered a lot of grounds and will still cover...

garfield1:
I dont like it.let primaries still be august,sept,Oct...but obi has covered a lot of grounds and will still cover...

He has to the Southern Candidates mainly.
Atiku esp and then Lagos.

I like this time, it helps to sort out a few problems before the elections proper.

garfield1:
A win

Lol ok

Wilson212:
Those who think APC won't get 25percent in igbos States are joking the only state APC may not get 25 percent is Amambra in ebonyi the may win or come second and mind you Umahi is going to Senate even if you shout obidient forever in IMO joke with hope uzodimma at your own peril in Abia orji uzor is going back to Senate same with ikpeazu.The only way obi will pull big vote in South East is if Presidential election and national election are not done the same day . Those who do write APC off in South East look at just concluded amambra election Apc got votes

Tinubu will win in Ebonyi? In Abia? In Imo? define a clown again? Agbo and ewedu induced insanity

garfield1:
Buhari nko

He is right

ProudImolite:
Tinubu will win in Ebonyi? In Abia? In Imo? define a clown again? Agbo and ewedu induced insanity

Akpamu I did no say he will win nna I am telling you that Apc will get up to 40 percent of vote cast in ebonyi except Umahi stop being their governor in imo APC will get up to 25 percent of vote cast same with Abia the only State APC will fail is Amambra

ProudImolite:
Tinubu will win in Ebonyi? In Abia? In Imo? define a clown again? Agbo and ewedu induced insanity

in just concluded amambra election Apc got 43000 vote

Wilson212:
in just concluded amambra election Apc got 43000 vote

So? There was geberally low voter turnout , INEC was contemplating cancelling the election before it held . FG was contemplating state of emergency which gave APC room to rig mind you this was a gubernatorial election. The man representing APC was from Anambra state. Don't deceive yourself, APC can never win any SE state. APC can only win a senatorial election through massive rigging and court actions. APC can't comfortably win a LGA in the SE, ask all the APC chieftains . APC is hated in the SE that is a fact , 2023 will reveal this. APC can't win an election in the SE

Wilson212:
Akpamu I did no say he will win nna I am telling you that Apc will get up to 40 percent of vote cast in ebonyi except Umahi stop being their governor in imo APC will get up to 25 percent of vote cast same with Abia the only State APC will fail is Amambra

Ok 2023 no farrr

ProudImolite:
So? There was geberally low voter turnout , INEC was contemplating cancelling the election before it held . FG was contemplating state of emergency which gave APC room to rig mind you this was a gubernatorial election. The man representing APC was from Anambra state. Don't deceive yourself, APC can never win any SE state. APC can only win a senatorial election through massive rigging and court actions. APC can't comfortably win a LGA in the SE, ask all the APC chieftains . APC is hated in the SE that is a fact , 2023 will reveal this. APC can't win an election in the SE

Look at the way u are insulting politics. This thing u are doing like this is not analysis o. I guess Orji Uzo Kalu is won in Lagos, Chinedu Ogah won in Iragbiji, Late Benjamin Uwajumogu won in Irepodu and so on...d same thing u ppl said that Bayelsa/SS hate APC until it won Bayelsa hand down. I know that APC can't win SE in presidential election especially with Obi candidacy but they'll have an impressive outing there. Lemme educate u how it works. Go back to 2019 results by LG/constituency, u will found out that Orji Kalu won his senatorial seat thereby winning two LG for Buhari. Chinedu Ogah won Ezza South/Ikwo fed constituency thereby winning his LG Ikwo which gave him d winning strength for Buhari. Go write this, Tinubu will win some LG as far as ppl like Dave are on d ballot. It's only highly educated one that know that voting APC in all the boxes are not for dia particular candidate.

garfield1:
If tinubu doesn't win let obi win

Always my point. The more Obi trends, the happier Tinubu should be. In our electoral atmosphere, APC garner they r majority of votes from grassroots why PDP takes the elites, hence the reason APC lose places like Abuja, and get close marking in Lagos. This elites are the people supporting Obi now(a minus to Atiku, zero effect to Tinubu). Obi is the only xtian among the major contenders, both xtian North n south which Atiku normally have their votes like Taraba, Plateau, Benue and parts of Adamawa will likely swing towards Obi(minus to Atiku, zero effect to Tinubu). Obi is from SE where Atiku normally has easy work in the market especially Anambra where he garners the highest number of votes including SS will easily fall for Obi(a minus to Atiku, zero effect to Tinubu). This is the reason Reno only chooses to attack Obi instead of the bigger candidate from the ruling party.