ProudImolite:
So? There was geberally low voter turnout , INEC was contemplating cancelling the election before it held . FG was contemplating state of emergency which gave APC room to rig mind you this was a gubernatorial election. The man representing APC was from Anambra state. Don't deceive yourself, APC can never win any SE state. APC can only win a senatorial election through massive rigging and court actions. APC can't comfortably win a LGA in the SE, ask all the APC chieftains . APC is hated in the SE that is a fact , 2023 will reveal this. APC can't win an election in the SE

I guess u didn't understand it. APC can't the election in presidential election, you're correct. Buh APC can get about 20_25% in each staes of SE except Anambra and probably Enugu. For NASS, prominent names like OUK, Umahi et al will win no matter the extent APC is hated in SE n these are the people that will assist APC get that 25% we're talking about.

Peacecore:
Always my point. The more Obi trends, the happier Tinubu should be. In our electoral atmosphere, APC garner they r majority of votes from grassroots why PDP takes the elites, hence the reason APC lose places like Abuja, and get close marking in Lagos. This elites are the people supporting Obi now(a minus to Atiku, zero effect to Tinubu). Obi is the only xtian among the major contenders, both xtian North n south which Atiku normally have their votes like Taraba, Plateau, Benue and parts of Adamawa will likely swing towards Obi(minus to Atiku, zero effect to Tinubu). Obi is from SE where Atiku normally has easy work in the market especially Anambra where he garners the highest number of votes including SS will easily fall for Obi(a minus to Atiku, zero effect to Tinubu). This is the reason Reno only chooses to attack Obi instead of the bigger candidate from the ruling party.

there are effects for tinubu aswell because the northern Muslims in absence of BUHARI will now have to choose between an hausa Fulani Muslim atiku and Yoruba Muslim tinubu.
This will certainly have a big impact on tinubu.
It is extremely difficult for tinubu to win atiku in any of core northern states. Very difficult.

maybet081:
there are effects for tinubu aswell because the northern Muslims in absence of BUHARI will now have to choose between an hausa Fulani Muslim atiku and Yoruba Muslim tinubu.
This will certainly have a big impact on tinubu.
It is extremely difficult for tinubu to win atiku in any of core northern states. Very difficult.

Of course. There's also effect for Tinubu especially as it regards to North. Buh looking at it at this angle; Shettima been chose from Atiku's zone and a core Muslim will divide his votes immensely while Tinubu has his zone alone. No presidential candidate, no VP, not even party Chairman from his zone. Buhari being ready to work for him, El_Rufai as the director general, Zulum being in forefront of Bornu campaign, Kwankwaso likely to have soft landing for Tinubu in Kano, Oshiomole in ballot in Edo, Dave in Ebonyi (likely), OUK in Abia and Wike's anger with Atiku in Rivers will actually gave Tinubu an edge.
In conclusion; Obi's effect on PDP cut across SE, SS,NC,SW(Lagos mostly), Christians NE and the weakest zone for PDP, NW has the most little of Obi's effect.

Peacecore:
I guess u didn't understand it. APC can't the election in presidential election, you're correct. Buh APC can get about 20_25% in each staes of SE except Anambra and probably Enugu. For NASS, prominent names like OUK, Umahi et al will win no matter the extent APC is hated in SE n these are the people that will assist APC get that 25% we're talking about.

Lol, you know nothing about SE politics just rest

maybet081:
there are effects for tinubu aswell because the northern Muslims in absence of BUHARI will now have to choose between an hausa Fulani Muslim atiku and Yoruba Muslim tinubu.
This will certainly have a big impact on tinubu.
It is extremely difficult for tinubu to win atiku in any of core northern states. Very difficult.

Election is over. Can you now touch_light my earlier analysis?

Prof9292:


You're joking. In Edo, LP gets none. In Enugu, none, Delta, none, even in Anambra, they get none.

I believe I'm right and you are wrong.
Accept that you are wrong sir.