Mynd44:

Please stay on issues please. Avoid comments that can lead to or be seen as attacks.

Play nice

Alright my Ekiti brother.

Mynd44:

I disagree on some parts.

I think Tinubu will win Niger state. I guess almost everyone agrees with that except you.

Kebbi is a toss-up
I think Akwa Ibom and Taraba will go to Atiku

Imo will go PDP too

It is always people that don't reside in the southeast that give these permutations on how PDP will win SE states,it is becoming annoying at this point.


You are not igbo,you don't stay in SE but you are confident about things happening in a region you know nothing about. You no dey street to hear what is going on,you keep banking on one politician to deliver to deliver a full state like he will cut off our thumb and vote for the PDP.

No wahala election is just 8 months from now.

Mynd44:

I think Tinubu will do well in Edo. I don't think he can win Edo (if he does, it will be very tight)

I think Atiku will take Edo. That I am comfortable saying.

Atiku will win Rivers comfortably. Cross River, Atiku will win but narrowly

Bro, there's no way Atiku is winning Edo State. No one wants to hear the name here. Unless he's banking on Edo Central, the north and south won't vote him. Tinubu would win in the north, while Obi should win three LGA's in the south. The remaining four should be battle ground. APC should slightly win Edo State while Obi comes second. I won't be surprised if Obi wins here though (due to the high number of newly registered voters) but the margin won't be that high.

yorubarere:

Imo is another battle ground. All the 3 parties will share votes there but PDP might win slightly there.

No,obi will win but apc will follow.obi will win all the 5 dot states

BigSarah:


My point is NNPP is fighting for other things aside Kwankwaso presidential ambition.

So thinking he'll run with apc, is expecting apc to make 1 Naira one dollar

Okay. But you and I know that kwakanso is currently the leader of the party. They go where he wants.

Mynd44:

Edo: yes, I think APC wil do well but I doubt they can win. Losing with 7,000 is also a loss as we are not talking percentage of winning here

I am worried about the SE/SS, there has been a constant reduction in voter resistration to voters number in this zones and it affected Atiku in 2019, it will bite him harder in 2023.

Rivers and Delta used to be the big suppliers but now their nunbers are just bleh

Why are you worried? It is good for tinubu.because of okowa,delta will deliver bloc votes for atiku but it will be difficult.obi and tinubu might get 25%...with wike sidelined no bloc votes is coming from rivers.pdp will win bayelsa narrowly.

Mynd44:

Kwankwaso is a politician I have always felt an emotion for. It is Pity.

I doubt he wants to work for anyone cos I see him as his own man but he is not enough on his own to do more. I feel he has reached his pinnacle and can't go beyond his present level.

But I also think he is too stubborn to agree and support anybody but himself. He will rather lose than support anyone.

He already made a video praising Tinubu. Man needs bargaining. Na shakarau I pity pass. He went under kwankwaso who have other plans for himself and his future.

donphilopus:


Bro, that's no way Atiku is winning Edo State. No one wants to hear the name here. Unless he's banking on Edo Central, the north and south won't vote him. Tinubu would win in the north, while Obi should win three LGA's in the south. The remaining four should be battle ground. APC should slightly win Edo State while Obi comes second. I won't be surprised if Obi wins here though (due to the high number of newly registered voters) but the margin won't be that high.

I agree.edo central will go to pdp but south should go labour and north apc.

garfield1:


Because edo was in the west and with Edo affinity with Yoruba,tinubu might win.dont forget buhari lost there with 7000 votes.but obi supporters are fighting hard... As it stands,atiku won't have more than 500k in rivers just like in 2023...

PDP won't do well in rivers. But they will win slightly. That is all APC wants. Divide PDP votes in their strongholds.

You know that was why Tinubu picked shettima right? To cut Atiku down in his own region.

Cunnilingus1:
Tinubu can never win Oyo state. It's either Obi or Atiku

Lol which of the Oyo state are you talking about? The one in the SW?

Only time will tell. Apart for that everything everything else is born from intuition.

Mynd44:

Edo: yes, I think APC wil do well but I doubt they can win. Losing with 7,000 is also a loss as we are not talking percentage of winning here

I am worried about the SE/SS, there has been a constant reduction in voter resistration to voters number in this zones and it affected Atiku in 2019, it will bite him harder in 2023.
Rivers and Delta used to be the big suppliers but now their nunbers are just bleh

Rivers and delta will punish Atiku in 2023. Though he might still win there but the numbers won't be encouraging.

garfield1:


Why are you worried? It is good for tinubu.because of okowa,delta will deliver bloc votes for atiku but it will be difficult.obi and tinubu might get 25%...with wike sidelined no bloc votes is coming from rivers.pdp will win bayelsa narrowly.

A reduction in voters is always worrying though. It means less and less people are interested in the politics. Not good

garfield1:


No,obi will win but apc will follow.obi will win all the 5 dot states

You are giving Obi too much relevance. Remember the ikemba himself lost in the east. Their love for PDP is second to none. APC shouldn't overlook that region thinking Obi will eat the votes there.

Mynd44:

A reduction in voters is always worrying though. It means less and less people are interested in the politics. Not good

The se people dont like voting

trutharena:


Lol which of the Oyo state are you talking about? The one in the SW?

you wonder why everyone ignored the person.

yorubarere:

PDP won't do well in rivers. But they will win slightly. That is all APC wants. Divide PDP votes in their strongholds.

You know that was why Tinubu picked shettima right? To cut Atiku down in his own region.

The PDP's internal politics will bite them in the back in Rivers. Sadly

yorubarere:

PDP won't do well in rivers. But they will win slightly. That is all APC wants. Divide PDP votes in their strongholds.

You know that was why Tinubu picked shettima right? To cut Atiku down in his own region.

True.apc is getting stronger and stronger in ss/se,pdp winning margins will get lower ESp with labour in play. Atiku is not guaranteed bloc votes in any state except Delta and it may not happen.he might lose gombe and bauchi to tinubu

donphilopus:


Bro, there's no way Atiku is winning Edo State. No one wants to hear the name here. Unless he's banking on Edo Central, the north and south won't vote him. Tinubu would win in the north, while Obi should win three LGA's in the south. The remaining four should be battle ground. APC should slightly win Edo State while Obi comes second. I won't be surprised if Obi wins here though (due to the high number of newly registered voters) but the margin won't be that high.

Hmmm... I think this is more balanced about Edo.

yorubarere:

You are giving Obi too much relevance. Remember the ikemba himself lost in the east. Their love for PDP is second to none. APC shouldn't overlook that region thinking Obi will eat the votes there.

No.they love him.I am familiar with anambra.atiku won se partly because of obi.in 2003,obj was a ruthless incumbent who rigged mindlessly

Nonsense Akwa ibom will vote peter Obi

seunmsg:


I will give Edo and FCT to Peter Obi and give Kano, Zamfara and Jigawa to Tinubu.

FCT to Peter Obi? That is ridiculous

garfield1:


Why are you worried? It is good for tinubu.because of okowa,delta will deliver bloc votes for atiku but it will be difficult.obi and tinubu might get 25%...with wike sidelined no bloc votes is coming from rivers.pdp will win bayelsa narrowly.

Delta cannot deliver block votes for PDP.
1. APC currently control 2 or their 3 Senatorial Districts.

2. Okowa is fighting Ibori his godfather who still have many footsoldiers spread across the state.

3. Okowa gubernatorial candidate in delta is currently having problems.

Okowa is currently battling too many issues than to concentrate on one. APC and PDP will share the votes. Atiku committed a political suicide for picking okowa instead of Wike.

Benue, Nassarawa and Plateu are for Atiku

Mynd44:

I agree but Kano is a toss up.

States like Abia, Edo will be close too because I see Kalu returning to the senate and Tinubu will get votes there because of this.
Oshiomhole too. He will win his seat and give APC some votes.

I feel Enugu will vote PDP depending on how Ugwanyi is feeling.

SE will shock many ppl. Ugwanyi isn't sure of coming to senate talk more of winning the state for Atiku. To be honest, Atiku will win some SE states. Those politicians you mentioned won't be a factor, they all failed and the people are waiting forget social media. Rivers is for sure PDP. Tinubu can't win Kaduna.

yorubarere:

Delta cannot deliver block votes for PDP.
1. APC currently control 2 or their 3 Senatorial Districts.

2. Okowa is fighting Ibori his godfather who still have many footsoldiers spread across the state.

3. Okowa gubernatorial candidate in delta is currently having problems.

Okowa is currently battling too many issues than to concentrate on one. APC and PDP will share the votes. Atiku committed a political suicide for picking okowa instead of Wike.

True but Feb is far away and those issues might be settled before then

endy69:

SE will shock many ppl. Ugwanyi isn't sure of coming to senate talk more of winning the state for Atiku. To be honest, Atiku will win some SE states. Those politicians you mentioned won't be a factor, they all failed and the people are waiting forget social media. Rivers is for sure PDP. Tinubu can't win Kaduna.

Why can't tinubu win Kaduna? Atiku can only win enugu

APC2:
Benue, Nassarawa and Plateu are for Atiku

Tah,benue,plateau do not want another fulani

Mynd44:
you wonder why everyone ignored the person.

I also skipped him.

Mynd44:

The PDP's internal politics will bite them in the back in Rivers. Sadly

Gbam

garfield1:


True.apc is getting stronger and stronger in ss/se,pdp winning margins will get lower ESp with labour in play. Atiku is not guaranteed bloc votes in any state except Delta and it may not happen.he might lose gombe and bauchi to tinubu

I am not sure of his fortunes Gombe and Bauchi but he is not getting any block votes in the south. Thanks to his shortsightedness against Wike and for bringing Obi into national limelight in 2019.

As for Bornu and Yobe in Northeast, Tinubu will best him there.

yorubarere:

I am not sure of his fortunes Gombe and Bauchi but he is not getting any block votes in the south. Thanks to his shortsightedness against Wike and for bringing Obi into national limelight in 2019.

As for Bornu and Yobe in Northeast, Tinubu will best him there.

Borno and yobe will decide the elections