Nazgul:
Most times I laugh when I see Tinubu's SW supporters claiming that he (Tinubu) would sweep northern votes.

Since the history of Nigerian elections, the only Southerner to ever receive massive northern support is Obsanjo, and the reason why the north rallied around him was because he was in the military and since it was the military who conducted the elections in 1999, they decided to support their own. Secondly the north felt they've been unfair to yourbas. Remember Abiola had just died the previous year (1998) and tensions were rising so they just decided to allow the yourbas rule.

Since then, they've never backed any Southerner. When Jonathan won the presidential election in 2011 he had the whole southern support plus a handful of NC Christian states. The core north didn't vote for him. And the reason why he lost in 2015 is that the SW who voted for him in 2011, formed an alliance with the north and voted massively for Buhari leaving him with only the SE and SS. That's why he lost.

If Tinubu is thinking that the north would choose him over Atiku and Kwankwaso, he had better wake up from his slumber. Aside the SW and NC States like Kogi and Kwara, it would be very difficult for him to win any other northern state.

The kaduna they're projecting has El-Rufai who feels jilted for not being selected as Tinubu's running mate and might play the nonchalant role by secretly working for Atiku leaving the Southern Christian section to vote for Peter Obi and the northern part to be shared between Atiku and Kwankwaso.

The Brono he's projecting Bloc votes from are secretly rallying around Atiku, and the Northern Christians who would have given him massive support if he had picked any of them as running mate would either join forces with Atiku or Peter Obi.

The SS and SE would be where he would record the worst performance cos in SE states like Imo and Ebony who have APC governors, the governor of imo isn't performing and no imolite would want to have anything to do with APC because of him, and that of Ebonyi is in crisis and on the verge of leaving the party to pursue his Senatoral career in another party.

The SS has only one sitting governor the governor of cross river state and he's facing the same crisis the governor of Ebonyi is facing. So it's most likely that he'll decamp from APC as well so as to pursue his Senatoral career.

This technically means that tinubu has almost zero votes from the SE and SS, he would struggle with PDP and LP for votes in the SW and loose massively in the whole north. So tell me how he's going to become the next president.

The mystery about Tinubu I'm still trying to understand is how can you be a Muslim and say because you want northern votes you select a Muslim VP? Is it that the north doesn't recognize yourba Muslims are geninue Muslims?

Cos in Christianity whether you're from the south or north as long as you confess Jesus as the son of God and believe in him, you'll be accepted wherever you go.

Tinubu's rejection by the northern caliphate that he had to choose another northern Muslim to appease them is a slap on the face of yourbas and if they're smart they'll emancipate themselves from the north and stop attacking their fellow Southerners just to please them.

Thank you, so far your analysis has been the most accurate of them all.

APC is already sharing votes with PDP In every South West states, and PDP or NNPP is going to sweep most of the Northern states. So I am wondering how and where Tinubu’s APC will get his votes from. Then we have middle belt which will be swept by Labour Party because of Northern Christian’s already agitating against Muslim-Muslim ticket.

Then we have South East and South South which will be shared between PDP or Labour Party.

So logically, your post is 100 percent accurate.

garfield1:


Gbam...cc fergie001, ojuntana,majole,kyase

Rubbish analysis
Some of us that voted for APC, will not vote for Tinubu in 2023

Your last sentence answers you questions perfectly well.

If majority of the north will vote for Atiku, then his Victory is sure, because he will win in the SS, get at least 25% through out all the states in the SW, get at least 35% from the SE.

Atiku is the next president truth be told.

Even though I would have preferred Obi, from what is on ground, Atiku is winning.

The north has be presented with the options of choosing between President and Vice President, so if you are the one, what will you choose, funny thing is that NE that has been clamoring for it since will not leave president and go for VP.

truthsayer009:
Is this too early to say It is Impossible?

I was having a conversation with someone this morning & we were looking at the Osun polls. Judging from the Osun state elections, it shows that APC still has strong votes of 375,027 in total, while Adeleke's PDP had 403,371 votes. Most of this same people, if not all will still vote for APC in the coming general elections, meanwhile the other votes might be scattered in the other parties including Labour Party. Yussuff Lasun, the LP candidate, came a distant fifth with 2,729 votes, representing about 0.34 per cent of the total valid votes, according to the results released by INEC.

APC lost on 100,000+ votes, meanwhile Bola Tinubu has decided to go with all Muslim-Muslim ticket, against all odds, Ignoring Northern Youths warnings.

Two Questions:

1/ Realistically, can Bola Tinubu actually win this Election, and on what metrics?

2/ Does the Osun State outcome by Labour Party a verdict on presidential ambition, is there any hope?

Atiku of PDP will surely be voted by the North, so no questions asked about this.

By the kind of questions they ask, you shall know them. Tinubu supporter spotted.

Political analysts u try, e go do you vam for eye that dayPolitical analysts u try, e go do you vam for eye that day...

Throwback:



I'm aware of present anti-Tinubu propaganda on social media.

Wait till September, then you will know why Tinubu is a political genius, and why his opponents are wasting time with their social media clout.

you all said more than this before Osun election now

Throwback:



I'm aware of present anti-Tinubu propaganda on social media.

Wait till September, then you will know why Tinubu is a political genius, and why his opponents are wasting time with their social media clout.

Like the Edo treatment
Tinubu is going nowhere but to his house

IamAtikulate:

You are not wise.

Kwankwaso will be taking a bulk of old Buhari voters. He is not playing any spoiler to Atiku but to Buhari's 12 million voters.

You must be naive to think Tinubu will win Katsina and Zamfara. Those two states don't want to see APC today.

Buhari is currently the most hated president in the those state today. Travel, una no gree.

If you think Igala will vote for APC, then you are not wise.

Tinubu will not get any vote in SS with his Moslem Moslem VP.

The path is even clearer for Obi than Tinubu, a Yoruba fake Moslem.

you are a baby in politics.I’m a frontline pdp man in south south and we will be voting for pdp.Atiku lost it by taking Okowa.una eyes go clear soon

Joey4321:


To say the truth. I can't feel the northern support for him except a few Twitter savvy bitterness.

But I can see some little SW response

on Twitter abi?

garfield1:


Who told you katsina and zamfara do not want to vote tinubu? Those states are full of insecurity and therefore federal forces will dominate.the state[b] is totally apc,pdp has no chance there.by the way,a lot of rigging takes place in those states.bloc votes for tinubu.[/b]..

Tinubu will get 25% in all ss states.ebuiras and okuns will vote tinubu,igalas will share votes

In other words, you've given up any chance of Tinubu winning except through rigging.

Anyways, I find it laughable that you believe a Buhari that has been nonchalant since Tinubu emerged APC flag bearer will suddenly roll out federal might to rig for him? The same Buhari that wanted another candidate before Northern governors forced him to accept Tinubu?

LoL, most of you Tinubu supporters are actually delusional. To even believe that Northern Muslims that don't rate Tinubu as real Muslim will fight for him to the point of rigging the elections for him against Atiku and Kwankwaso? Have you guys been checking the sentiments in the North at all? You can only rig in areas where the locals passionately support you, and Tinubu does not have such passionate support anywhere in Nigeria except parts of Lagos.

Atiku will share bulk of Northern Muslim votes with Kwankwaso while Tinubu gets only a fraction. Northern Christian votes will mainly go to Obi while Atiku gets the rest.

In the South, Obi wins SE and SS by wide margins while Atiku gets the rest with Tinubu getting only a fraction. In the SW Tinubu will win but only marginally because most Christians including liberal Yorubas, Igbos and others will vote for Obi. Atiku will also get significant votes due to the influence of Oyo and Osun PDP governors. Parlous state of the economy, APC's failed promises, insecurity, Muslim-Muslim candidates etc will neutralize whatever chance Tinubu would have enjoyed as the candidate of the ruling party.

So, technically, the election is a contest between Obi and Atiku because each of them will get the required 25% in two third states while also getting majority votes tally.

-4 heads are going to share the Northern votes (Atiku, Kwankwaso,
Shettima, Datti ).
- 1 head will take the Middle B (Peter Obi)
-1 head will take South East (Peter Obi)
-1 head will take South South (Peter Obi)
-2 heads will be sharing the South W (Tinubu, P. Obi)




Peter Obi is the next Nigeria President after PMB.

truthsayer009:
Is this too early to say It is Impossible?

I was having a conversation with someone this morning & we were looking at the Osun polls. Judging from the Osun state elections, it shows that APC still has strong votes of 375,027 in total, while Adeleke's PDP had 403,371 votes. Most of this same people, if not all will still vote for APC in the coming general elections, meanwhile the other votes might be scattered in the other parties including Labour Party. Yussuff Lasun, the LP candidate, came a distant fifth with 2,729 votes, representing about 0.34 per cent of the total valid votes, according to the results released by INEC.

APC lost on 100,000+ votes, meanwhile Bola Tinubu has decided to go with all Muslim-Muslim ticket, against all odds, Ignoring Northern Youths warnings.

Two Questions:

1/ Realistically, can Bola Tinubu actually win this Election, and on what metrics?

2/ Does the Osun State outcome by Labour Party a verdict on presidential ambition, is there any hope?

Atiku of PDP will surely be voted by the North, so no questions asked about this.

raumdeuter:


1. Yes. State elections are different from federal. While Buhari was sweeping Northern states for APC, PDP was winning some Governorship like in Bauchi amd Sokoto

So I expect all SW states to deliver for Tinubu. Plus Niger Kwara Kogi Nasarawa, 3 states in NE and 4 states in NW. 6 + 4+ 4 + 3 = 17 states.

I expect Obi to sweep all SE states and maybe 1 SS states = 7 states

Atiku wins 5 SS states, 3 NE states Benue and Plateau in NC and 1 NW state = 12 states

The only thing that will stop Tinubu presidency is if Obi and Atiku merge

2. No hope for Labor. They will finish a distant 3rd behind PDP and APC and they can not get 25% in 25 states

Firstly, There are 5 states in SE, if Obi wins all plus one state in SS then he wins 6 states not 7 states like you wrote. You are wrong in that part.

I still maintain my stance that people are overestimating Peter Obi's expected performance. You have stayed too long in America that you don't know how politics works in Nigeria anymore.

As a Presidential candidate, most of your work is done by your down ballot candidates not you. I'm talking about Senate, HOR candidates running in your political party since the election takes place same day. Look at Peter Obi, how strong and influential are his down ballot candidates? How much money can dey spend, How well can they mobilize people? The only people I see taking advantage of Labour Party are using it for their Governorship ambition which will take place 1/2 week(s) after Presidential elections so it has no bearing on him.

I get tired explaining these things to people. Before Shettima became VP candidate, he was going to run for Senate and he was of course certainly going to win. You think he will tell voters in his Senatorial district to vote him for Senate and vote their choice for Presidency? He will campaign and mobilize massively for Tinubu and himself because if Tinubu loses, he will likely lose as well.

The reason you can comfortably type it here that Tinubu will win some core Northern states ahead of Kwankwanso and Atiku is partly because of the down ballot candidates running on the APC platform in those states. Even in SW, the down ballot candidates of PDP will openly campaign against Tinubu who is their kinsman because his victory does them no good.

Projecting Peter Obi's victory in all SE states is laughable. In Anambra, Obi Cubana's brother is running for Senate under APGA. There is also Senator Ekwunife who is a female ranking senator contesting for re-election under PDP. You think these people will mobilize for Obi on election day? In Ebonyi, Umahi is running too. In Abia, Ikpeazu is going for Senate as well.

Bulk of Nigeria's voters are illiterates so directing them to vote separate parties for the 3 ballot papers can become really problematic so most down ballot candidates will implore their supporters to vote their party all through the 3 ballot.

I really want Peter Obi to win the election as a breathe of fresh air but realistically things don't look so good for him. By my own account, APC has failed and don't deserve to be voted in again.

Lovelive:
-4 heads are going to share the Northern votes (Atiku, Kwankwaso,
Shettima, Datti ).
- 1 head will take the Middle B (Peter Obi)
-1 head will take South East (Peter Obi)
-1 head will take South South (Peter Obi)
-2 heads will be sharing the South W (Tinubu, P. Obi)




Peter Obi is the next Nigeria President after PMB.

P.O can never win S.S or NC...quit deceiving yourself...

If he can't "realistically" win, Igbos turned OBIdient slaves would have shifted their focus on something else but for the fact that they are on his case 24/7 means that he can "realistically" win and they are afraid of that outcome.

Sometimes people are afraid of what they can't conquer.

Kyase:

Rubbish analysis
Some of us that voted for APC, will not vote for Tinubu in 2023

Your are alone in this.anyway you told me that by you have never voted before

Nazgul:
Most times I laugh when I see Tinubu's SW supporters claiming that he (Tinubu) would sweep northern votes.

Since the history of Nigerian elections, the only Southerner to ever receive massive northern support is Obsanjo, and the reason why the north rallied around him was because he was in the military and since it was the military who conducted the elections in 1999, they decided to support their own. Secondly the north felt they've been unfair to yourbas. Remember Abiola had just died the previous year (1998) and tensions were rising so they just decided to allow the yourbas rule.

Since then, they've never backed any Southerner. When Jonathan won the presidential election in 2011 he had the whole southern support plus a handful of NC Christian states. The core north didn't vote for him. And the reason why he lost in 2015 is that the SW who voted for him in 2011, formed an alliance with the north and voted massively for Buhari leaving him with only the SE and SS. That's why he lost.

If Tinubu is thinking that the north would choose him over Atiku and Kwankwaso, he had better wake up from his slumber. Aside the SW and NC States like Kogi and Kwara, it would be very difficult for him to win any other northern state.

The kaduna they're projecting has El-Rufai who feels jilted for not being selected as Tinubu's running mate and might play the nonchalant role by secretly working for Atiku leaving the Southern Christian section to vote for Peter Obi and the northern part to be shared between Atiku and Kwankwaso.

The Brono he's projecting Bloc votes from are secretly rallying around Atiku, and the Northern Christians who would have given him massive support if he had picked any of them as running mate would either join forces with Atiku or Peter Obi.

The SS and SE would be where he would record the worst performance cos in SE states like Imo and Ebony who have APC governors, the governor of imo isn't performing and no imolite would want to have anything to do with APC because of him, and that of Ebonyi is in crisis and on the verge of leaving the party to pursue his Senatoral career in another party.

The SS has only one sitting governor the governor of cross river state and he's facing the same crisis the governor of Ebonyi is facing. So it's most likely that he'll decamp from APC as well so as to pursue his Senatoral career.

This technically means that tinubu has almost zero votes from the SE and SS, he would struggle with PDP and LP for votes in the SW and loose massively in the whole north. So tell me how he's going to become the next president.

The mystery about Tinubu I'm still trying to understand is how can you be a Muslim and say because you want northern votes you select a Muslim VP? Is it that the north doesn't recognize yourba Muslims are geninue Muslims?

Cos in Christianity whether you're from the south or north as long as you confess Jesus as the son of God and believe in him, you'll be accepted wherever you go.

Tinubu's rejection by the northern caliphate that he had to choose another northern Muslim to appease them is a slap on the face of yourbas and if they're smart they'll emancipate themselves from the north and stop attacking their fellow Southerners just to please them.

You are talking rubbish.there is no crisis in cross river apc,it is pdp that are crisis riddled.uzodinma has won every election since he became governor. He will give tinubu 25%.wike will be neutral during presidential elections allowing apc to overrun rivers state...shettima is totally in control of borno.same in borno.atiku is not popular in the north sir.tinubu will win the north narrowly

Under rate Tinubu on your peril

Vote4Obi:


In other words, you've given up any chance of Tinubu winning except through rigging.

Anyways, I find it laughable that you believe a Buhari that has been nonchalant since Tinubu emerged APC flag bearer will suddenly roll out federal might to rig for him? The same Buhari that wanted another candidate before Northern governors forced him to accept Tinubu?

LoL, most of you Tinubu supporters are actually delusional. To even believe that Northern Muslims that don't rate Tinubu as real Muslim will fight for him to the point of rigging the elections for him against Atiku and Kwankwaso? Have you guys been checking the sentiments in the North at all? You can only rig in areas where the locals passionately support you, and Tinubu does not have such passionate support anywhere in Nigeria except parts of Lagos.

Atiku will share bulk of Northern Muslim votes with Kwankwaso while Tinubu gets only a fraction. Northern Christian votes will mainly go to Obi while Atiku gets the rest.

In the South, Obi wins SE and SS by wide margins while Atiku gets the rest with Tinubu getting only a fraction. In the SW Tinubu will win but only marginally because most Christians including liberal Yorubas, Igbos and others will vote for Obi. Atiku will also get significant votes due to the influence of Oyo and Osun PDP governors. Parlous state of the economy, APC's failed promises, insecurity, Muslim-Muslim candidates etc will neutralize whatever chance Tinubu would have enjoyed as the candidate of the ruling party.

So, technically, the election is a contest between Obi and Atiku because each of them will get the required 25% in two third states while also getting majority votes tally.

Do you know that gej got more votes in the north than atiku? Most of atiku votes are from the south and its gone.northerners hate him.atiku never won any Muslim areas,he only won Christian areas.the north love apc passionately...no governor is working for atiku in sw...how many people in the north do you see supporting atiku? Its tinubu or kwankwaso

truthsayer009:
Is this too early to say It is Impossible?

I was having a conversation with someone this morning & we were looking at the Osun polls. Judging from the Osun state elections, it shows that APC still has strong votes of 375,027 in total, while Adeleke's PDP had 403,371 votes. Most of this same people, if not all will still vote for APC in the coming general elections, meanwhile the other votes might be scattered in the other parties including Labour Party. Yussuff Lasun, the LP candidate, came a distant fifth with 2,729 votes, representing about 0.34 per cent of the total valid votes, according to the results released by INEC.

APC lost on 100,000+ votes, meanwhile Bola Tinubu has decided to go with all Muslim-Muslim ticket, against all odds, Ignoring Northern Youths warnings.

Two Questions:

1/ Realistically, can Bola Tinubu actually win this Election, and on what metrics?

2/ Does the Osun State outcome by Labour Party a verdict on presidential ambition, is there any hope?

Atiku of PDP will surely be voted by the North, so no questions asked about this.

With everything that has happened, which reasonable person wants to vote Tinubu?. The controversies are just too much for an average man to ignore.
Secondly, an average man is anti-APC. And this will cause a lot of hurdles for him.
Even the north he has relied on so much is now divided.
EL-rufai dey vex for Tinubu because he did not pick him.
The same issue that Wike is facing.
The south west is not full behind him.
I just hope he doesn't get the 25% from the SE AND SS.
The Christians are against him(90%).
The honest truth is that he can't win this election.

JoeNL22:

With everything that has happened, which reasonable person wants to vote Tinubu?. The controversies are just too much for an average man to ignore.
Secondly, an average man is anti-APC. And this will cause a lot of hurdles for him.
Even the north he has relied on so much is now divided.
EL-rufai dey vex for Tinubu because he did not pick him.
The same issue that Wike is facing.
The south west is not full behind him.
I just hope he doesn't get the 25% from the SE AND SS.
The Christians are against him(90%).
The honest truth is that he can't win this election.

He will get 25% in ss.a lot of Christians silently support him.the north is divided but he will win narrowly.even the se is not fully behind obi...el rufai cannot deliver all parts of kaduna

garfield1:


He will get 25% in ss.a lot of Christians silently support him.the north is divided but he will win narrowly.even the se is not fully behind obi...el rufai cannot deliver all parts of kaduna

So the christains in ss that secretarily supports Tinubu,call u on phone to tell you so.I can see u have finally recover from Osun shock,2023 is not far.

garfield1:


You are talking rubbish.there is no crisis in cross river apc,it is pdp that are crisis riddled.uzodinma has won every election since he became governor. He will give tinubu 25%.wike will be neutral during presidential elections allowing apc to overrun rivers state...shettima is totally in control of borno.same in borno.atiku is not popular in the north sir.tinubu will win the north narrowly

Why are you always talking nonsense?? Same Rivers A.P.C where every notable politician are defecting to another party abi...na hin go over run P.D.P...be logical while writing this nonsense at least...tinubu will win North narrowly, but will lose south...so how is he winning the presidential election with that??lmao

garfield1:


He will get 25% in ss.a lot of Christians silently support him.the north is divided but he will win narrowly.even the se is not fully behind obi...el rufai cannot deliver all parts of kaduna

Am not sure he would get 25% in the SS OR SE.

He might win in the north, but obi will get his 25%.

The reason why the SE will not be fully behind obi is because of the political apathy that will occur on that day. It would affect the elections seriously. But if they cum out, then they will vote for obi for sure.

The north west might shock Tinubu, the only saving grace is if kwankwanso steps down for Tinubu. And EL-rufai is promised a juicy position.

truthsayer009:


Thank you, so far your analysis has been the most accurate of them all.

APC is already sharing votes with PDP In every South West states, and PDP or NNPP is going to sweep most of the Northern states. So I am wondering how and where Tinubu’s APC will get his votes from. Then we have middle belt which will be swept by Labour Party because of Northern Christian’s already agitating against Muslim-Muslim ticket.

Then we have South East and South South which will be shared between PDP or Labour Party.

So logically, your post is 100 percent accurate.

Yes, he is right

Olaoluwa122:
Why are you always talking nonsense?? Same Rivers A.P.C where every notable politician are defecting to another party abi...na hin go over run P.D.P...be logical while writing this nonsense at least...tinubu will win North narrowly, but will lose south...so how is he winning the presidential election with that??lmao

You are the one always talking rubbish son.those defecting are mostly irrelevant.amechi has enough firepower to deal with pdp.the main thing is wike is not supporting atiku so amechi has no rival.thousands defected from Adamawa pdp,does that mean atiku will lose Adamawa? Did you see the thousands that dumped obaseki,did he lose?

If tinubu wins,north narrowly and wins sw,that will be enough

JoeNL22:

Am not sure he would get 25% in the SS OR SE.

He might win in the north, but obi will get his 25%.

The reason why the SE will not be fully behind obi is because of the political apathy that will occur on that day. It would affect the elections seriously. But if they cum out, then they will vote for obi for sure.

The north west might shock Tinubu, the only saving grace is if kwankwanso steps down for Tinubu. And EL-rufai is promised a juicy position.

He will.buhari got it.the aoc structure in ss and parts of sw is intimidating..obi can only get 25% in north central...if kwankwaso win nw,tinubu will come second.

garfield1:


Who told you katsina and zamfara do not want to vote tinubu? Those states are full of insecurity and therefore federal forces will dominate.the state is totally apc,pdp has no chance there.by the way,a lot of rigging takes place in those states.bloc votes for tinubu...

Tinubu will get 25% in all ss states.ebuiras and okuns will vote tinubu,igalas will share votes

While you were making some sense before, you nailed yourself by saying 'a lot of rigging takes place' in those states. Except this, Tinubu is nothing same way APC means nothing to Nigerians today.

Tooreda:



While you were making some sense before, you nailed yourself by saying 'a lot of rigging takes place' in those states. Except this, Tinubu is nothing same way APC means nothing to Nigerians today.

You can't take rigging away from those far fling areas

garfield1:


You are talking rubbish.there is no crisis in cross river apc,it is pdp that are crisis riddled.uzodinma has won every election since he became governor. He will give tinubu 25%.wike will be neutral during presidential elections allowing apc to overrun rivers state...shettima is totally in control of borno.same in borno.atiku is not popular in the north sir.tinubu will win the north narrowly

Tinubu will win in North?? kai! This is the most ridiculous statement I have ever read online.
Did you know that since 1999, no body has ever become president without winning his zone and nc??
Okay, let's start from OBJ 1999; he won in the south (lost sw, won both ss and se), Obj 2003: won in the south, won in the NC and lost nw and ne to Buhari), Yaradua 2007; won in the north and won in the south; Gej 2011; won in the south, won in the nc, lost ne and nw to Buhari, Ge 2015j; won in south (lost in sw, won in the ss and se), Gej lost not because of sw, but because he lost in the nc he used to win to Buhari. Buhari 2015; won in the north, won in the sw. Buhari 2019; won in the north, won in the sw.
Atiku just need to win the north, win in the ss, he becomes the president.
Can we stake a bet of 200k??, Atiku will win majority votes in the northern region?? he can easily get 25% or even more in the se. Guy, you need to travel to the north oooo. Or always check BBC housa page for political talks, you will understand what's going on. I base in Lokoja and I have plenty hausa working with us in Obajana, Dangote cement, that's where I work. They hate Tinubu like mad ooo.

garfield1:


You are the one always talking rubbish son.those defecting are mostly irrelevant.amechi has enough firepower to deal with pdp.the main thing is wike is not supporting atiku so amechi has no rival.thousands defected from Adamawa pdp,does that mean atiku will lose Adamawa? Did you see the thousands that dumped obaseki,did he lose?

If tinubu wins,north narrowly and wins sw,that will be enough

Lmao...see this boy oh...tinubu will win North narrowly, wetin you dey smoke??...as it stand today 70% of SW vote is not sure for your boss...so he should better beat atiku in the North with a large margin or else...A tun lule!!!!...No chance fir your boss...not with A.P.C dismay performance....and again remind me P.D.P presidential election result in rivers state again?? Make I check something...man??

vicdom:

Tinubu will win in North?? kai! This is the most ridiculous statement I have ever read online.
Did you know that since 1999, no body has ever become president without winning his zone and nc??
Okay, let's start from OBJ 1999; he won in the south (lost sw, won both ss and se), Obj 2003: won in the south, won in the NC and lost nw and ne to Buhari), Yaradua 2007; won in the north and won in the south; Gej 2011; won in the south, won in the nc, lost ne and nw to Buhari, Ge 2015j; won in south (lost in sw, won in the ss and se), Gej lost not because of sw, but because he lost in the nc he used to win to Buhari. Buhari 2015; won in the north, won in the sw. Buhari 2019; won in the north, won in the sw.
Atiku just need to win the north, win in the ss, he becomes the president.
Can we stake a bet of 200k??, Atiku will win majority votes in the northern region?? he can easily get 25% or even more in the se. Guy, you need to travel to the north oooo. Or always check BBC housa page for political talks, you will understand what's going on. I base in Lokoja and I have plenty hausa working with us in Obajana, Dangote cement, that's where I work. They hate Tinubu like mad ooo.

You dey mind that upper iweka political analyst...Atiku has the best chance of winning 2023 election!!!

Olaoluwa122:
Lmao...see this boy oh...tinubu will win North narrowly, wetin you dey smoke??...as it stand today 70% of SW vote is not sure for your boss...so he should better beat atiku in the North with a large margin or else...A tun lule!!!!...No chance fir your boss...not with A.P.C dismay performance....and again remind me P.D.P presidential election result in rivers state again?? Make I check something...man??

The guy is making me laugh. Tinubu lost immediately he lost in his region. You can't win presidency and without winning the region where you come from. Go back and look at the history. All the presidents in the past since 1999 have always won in their region, then nc is usually the battle field, who ever wins it, wins the president.