Each time APC supporters make argument that emergence of Peter Obi is Path to victory for Tinubu, I laugh out loud.

Did you know that with Kwankwaso and Atiku in the race, APC has lost 2 times votes peter has eaten into PDP?

Take a look at 2019 election results, Atiku was able to make 25% in 4 states of total NE and Northwest states, but now, Atiku is favoured to win these zones. From struggly to reach 25% votes to winning those regions which have bulks of votes.

The votes Obi will take away from PDP in both SE and SS cannot be more than the votes Atiku and Kwankwaso will take away from APC in both NE and NW. imagine Buhari pulling over 85% votes in both NE and NW in 2019, now APC will struggle to reach 40% of those votes now in 2023.

So tell me, who have lost more votes between PDP and APC?? ofcourse, APC have probably lost twice of votes PDP have lost to Obi.


Imagine Buhari scoring over 75% of votes in the three KK states in 2019?? Can Tinubu even dream of scoring even over 40% now, with Atiku and Kwankwaso on the ballots??

PDP actually knew what they did by directing that ticket to Atiku, otherwise, Tinubu would have won this election even before it begins.

How can you be gaining?
Is APC no longer PDP?
LP treats both parties as one, the enemies of the masses

Not true (false claimed) appearing to be true.
Vote wisely! Vote LP.

APC didn't lose any vote to obi

vicdom:
Each time APC supporters make argument that emergence of Peter Obi is Path to victory for Tinubu, I laugh out loud.

Did you know that with Kwankwaso and Atiku in the race, APC has lost 2 times votes peter has eaten into PDP?

Take a look at 2019 election results, Atiku was able to make 25% in 4 states of total NE and Northwest states, but now, Atiku is favoured to win these zones. From struggly to reach 25% votes to winning those regions which have bulks of votes.

The votes Obi will take away from PDP in both SE and SS cannot be more than the votes Atiku and Kwankwaso will take away from APC in both NE and NW. imagine Buhari pulling over 85% votes in both NE and NW in 2019, now APC will struggle to reach 40% of those votes now in 2023.

So tell me, who have lost more votes between PDP and APC?? ofcourse, APC have probably lost twice of votes PDP have lost to Obi.


Imagine Buhari scoring over 75% of votes in the three KK states in 2019?? Can Tinubu even dream of scoring even over 40% now, with Atiku and Kwankwaso on the ballots??

PDP actually knew what they did by directing that ticket to Atiku, otherwise, Tinubu would have won this election even before it begins.

First time I’m seeing an accurate unbiased political mathematical analysis on nairaland. The rest are just doing some yeye analysis that will favour their candidate

PDP have Lost nothing to obi, there's no PDP stronghold it won't get majority votes.

Obi goes nowhere

derecho:
How can you be gaining?
Is APC no longer PDP?
LP treats both parties as one, the enemies of the masses

PETER OBI RAN FROM PDP Ooo. TO MAKE AN EXTENTION OF PDP USING LABOUR PARTY. SO WHAT IS YOUR POINT.

He was from PDP but not of PDP.
I hope you are deep enough to understand that.

Furthermore, the bulk of OBIdients are those who never believed in the PDP or APC and some reasonable APC+PDP supporters who have repented.

Summary
PO and his supporters are unique.

Softmirror:


PETER OBI RAN FROM PDP Ooo. TO MAKE AN EXTENTION OF PDP USING LABOUR PARTY. SO WHAT IS YOUR POINT.

derecho:
He was from PDP but not of PDP.
I hope you are deep enough to understand that.

STOP THE SELF-DECEPTION.

APC is losing ground daily

FACT

derecho:
He was from PDP but not of PDP.
I hope you are deep enough to understand that.

Furthermore, the bulk of OBIdients are those who never believed in the PDP or APC and some reasonable APC+PDP supporters who have repented.

Summary
PO and his supporters are unique.

A former PDP vice presidential candidate.. Just dey play

Atiku is going to get sympathy votes from the north because of the treatment he is getting from Wike and the so called G-5 Governors.

vicdom:
Each time APC supporters make argument that emergence of Peter Obi is Path to victory for Tinubu, I laugh out loud.

Did you know that with Kwankwaso and Atiku in the race, APC has lost 2 times votes peter has eaten into PDP?

Take a look at 2019 election results, Atiku was able to make 25% in 4 states of total NE and Northwest states, but now, Atiku is favoured to win these zones. From struggly to reach 25% votes to winning those regions which have bulks of votes.

The votes Obi will take away from PDP in both SE and SS cannot be more than the votes Atiku and Kwankwaso will take away from APC in both NE and NW. imagine Buhari pulling over 85% votes in both NE and NW in 2019, now APC will struggle to reach 40% of those votes now in 2023.

So tell me, who have lost more votes between PDP and APC?? ofcourse, APC have probably lost twice of votes PDP have lost to Obi.


Imagine Buhari scoring over 75% of votes in the three KK states in 2019?? Can Tinubu even dream of scoring even over 40% now, with Atiku and Kwankwaso on the ballots??

PDP actually knew what they did by directing that ticket to Atiku, otherwise, Tinubu would have won this election even before it begins.

Obi will win the 5 se states massively,winsome ss states or share it.but atiku is not sure of any nc state,can't win in sw.apart from sokoto,Adamawa,he isn't sure of winning any northern state by a big margin

garfield1:


Obi will win the 5 se states massively,winsome ss states or share it.but atiku is not sure of any nc state,can't win in sw.apart from sokoto,Adamawa,he isn't sure of winning any northern state by a big margin

Is Tinubu sure of wining any Northern State with a big margin. mention them

Ennoloa:


Is Tinubu sure of wining any Northern State with a big margin. mention them

Yobe borno,zamfara,kwara

garfield1:


Yobe borno,zamfara,kwara

Okay...

Ennoloa:


Okay...

Why laugh? Obi is my second choice

garfield1:


Why laugh? Obi is my second choice

First choice or 2nd choice .. You overate Tinubu in the North

garfield1:


Obi will win the 5 se states massively,winsome ss states or share it.but atiku is not sure of any nc state,can't win in sw.apart from sokoto,Adamawa,he isn't sure of winning any northern state by a big margin

Who will win NE and NW??

vicdom:

Who will win NE and NW??

Undecided just as nc is but history and polls shows it is between atiku,tinubu and kwankwaso narrowly

Ennoloa:


First choice or 2nd choice .. You overate Tinubu in the North

I dont.tinubu is very strong.

garfield1:


Undecided just as nc is but history and polls shows it is between atiku,tinubu and kwankwaso narrowly

Lol... So Atiku can't win NE?? Are seriously joking or what?

garfield1:


I dont.tinubu is very strong.

In an estimate of let’s say 5 Million SW vote

How votes many do you think Atiku would see in those 5M votes

vicdom:

Lol... So Atiku can't win NE?? Are seriously joking or what?

He can win but it is not certain like in sw and se.tinubu has yobe borno,atiku has taraba and Adamawa while gombe bauchi is tight.

Ennoloa:


In an estimate of let’s say 5 Million SW vote

How votes many do you think Atiku would see in those 5M votes

Obi 1 mil,atiku 1 mil

garfield1:


He can win but it is not certain like in sw and se.tinubu has yobe borno,atiku has taraba and Adamawa while gombe bauchi is tight.

My argument was that those votes Atiku has lost in the SE and SS, he has recovered them already in the north. Did you know that Atiku didn't get 25% in both NE and NW states, if you put the figures together? Buhari was winning all the states with over 85%, excluding Taraba, Adamawa, Sokoto and Kaduna. But when you put all the votes cast in the entire NE and Nw, Atiku didn't get 25% cumulatively.

Buhari actually dealt with him...

garfield1:


He can win but it is not certain like in sw and se.tinubu has yobe borno,atiku has taraba and Adamawa while gombe bauchi is tight.

Hmm... did you, by any chance watch atiku's campaign in bauch today? atiku would clearly win bauchi o... with a sitting PDP governor for that matter

In the SW Peter obi will not see 1/3 of Atiku vote. After the election you will understand how useless labour party will be till eternity.

garfield1:


Obi 1 mil,atiku 1 mil

qawiyy:


Hmm... did you, by any chance watch atiku's campaign in bauch today? atiku would clearly win bauchi o... with a sitting PDP governor for that matter

Is it by crowd? Atiku pulled more crowd in anambra than peter.does it mean atiku will win

garfield1:


Obi 1 mil,atiku 1 mil

So in 10M Northern vote

How many do you estimate Tinubu to get