₦airaland Forum

StrongAlphMale:
Be rest assured that kwankwaso will win Kano, Kaduna and most Northern votes. Other Northern votes will also be shared by Atiku and kwankwaso respectively whereby giving Obi who Already has SS, SE and SW christian dominated communities and cities on lockdown a clear victory ahead.

By next week Saturday we'll have a new president. I congratulate Obi in advance

ChristineC:
Tinubu cannot win in Kano. Lagos will be evenly split by all three. Atiku cannot win in Bayelsa.

Mynd44:
Sorry, which Ogun state?

Mynd44:
Every electoral year, SBM does this.

1. Obi isn't winning Kogi, Ondo, Nassarawa, Delta and Taraba. Not getting 25% in Sokoto, Ogun, Kebbi and Kastina and Oyo

2. Atiku isn't winning Borno, Yobe and Niger. Not getting 25% in Lagos, Ogun, Kogi and Cross River

3. Tinubu isn't winning Kano

But a Tinubu Run-Off with Obi? Stop the count!!!

Hopium:
LP is getting nothing in SW. Forget that rubbish Christian kinikan kinikan.

Lagos: 30%
Ogun: <10%
Osun: <5%
Ekiti: <5%
Ondo: <10%
Oyo: <15%

Further, Kwara: <3%

StrongAlphMale:
Actually reverse is the case here bro.

Delta: LP 91%, PDP 8%, APC 1%

We're talking about presidential election here and not state elections

StrongAlphMale:
Actually reverse is the case here bro.

Delta: LP 91%, PDP 8%, APC 1%

We're talking about presidential election here and not state elections

senatordave1:
Kogi yes but not sure of crs and Ogun.getting 25% among three candidates is difficult

Mynd44:
Every electoral year, SBM does this.

1. Obi isn't winning Kogi, Ondo, Nassarawa, Delta and Taraba. Not getting 25% in Sokoto, Ogun, Kebbi and Kastina and Oyo

2. Atiku isn't winning Borno, Yobe and Niger. Not getting 25% in Lagos, Ogun, Kogi and Cross River

3. Tinubu isn't winning Kano

But a Tinubu Run-Off with Obi? Stop the count!!!

caracas:
Obi isn’t winning nassarawa n delta?pls go take care of your malaria before it gets worse….
Obi will win delta with nothing less that 85% votes
He will also win nassarawa , lagos n kaduna.He will get 25% in ogun , kogi n oyo states…..

C: Mynd44

Dapagun:
For the first time since the 1960s, there are 3 competitive political blocs largely along the old regional divides.

Hence the latest survey, which was commissioned by @EiENigeria and conducted by @sbmintelligence, did not provide us with a clear front-runner.

The first 2023 election survey conducted by SBM was published in July 2022 and showed that only 41% of registered voters had collected their Permanent Voters Cards (PVCs). (IMAGE 1)

This assumption of low turnout fed into our December 2022 projections, based on a 7,000-respondent survey. (Image 2)

The assumption of low turnout changed when, in January 2023, our 6,500-respondent survey on PVC collection showed a remarkable increase in PVC collection - 97%.

We believe that the surge in voter awareness done by
@inecnigeria and CSOs like Enough is Enough (EiE), through their #RSVP Campaign, have driven voter interest and bucked the low turnout trend in #Nigeria's elections.

Many respondents were clear about whom they felt would win the presidential contest in their state but were not straightforward about their candidate preferences. Furthermore, many registered voters told us that ethnicity and religion would play an important part in their choice.

This runs contrary to recent commentary, which suggests that #NigeriaDecides2023 will be #Nigeria’s first post-modern election, where substantial issues will determine voter choice.

The respondents also said that they expect vote buying despite recent technological and legislative changes to curb that. While an overwhelming majority of respondents claim that they won’t sell their vote, more than a third have experienced vote buying in the past.

The data suggest that @PeterObi and @Atiku could garner enough votes over a sufficient number of states across four of the country’s six geopolitical zones to meet the constitutional requirement of scoring 25% in at least 24 states. (Image 3 and 4)

https://twitter.com/sbmintelligence/status/1626597562282307594?t=viYDxVXs5qwPWmu2H6DvIA&s=19[/quote]Another lie, God and check what happened in 1979 and 1983, reason history must be taught constantly. Atiku is our President

Aiel123:
I'm more surer on Ogun than Crs.
Tinubu can still do a 70% leaving PDP with 25% and NNPP and lp sharing the remaining 5%.

OchukoisBlack:
LP will not win Delta, know this and know peace. Delta will vote PDP. LP should get 25% tho, if they're lucky.

Hopium:
It's delusion that makes you think a state that PDP got 95% in 2015, >50% in 2019, and now with their son running as VP will get less than 50%.

senatordave1:
How much will lp now get

ENGINEERG:
If anyone tells you Peter obi can not win again, tell them he is now sure to win 14 states plus FCT from the 36 states. The states are:
Abia
Ebonyi
Enugu
Imo
Anambra
Edo
Rivers
Cross River
Delta
Akwa ibom
Bayelsa
Benue
Plateau
Taraba
Fct.

The core North that obi won't do well, will be majorly divided by 3 candidates( Tinubu, Atiku and kwanswaso) and obi Will get something too.
South West will still be divided too, whereas South east and South south won't be so divided,and obi will get landslide victory there.

so let no person tell you it's not possible again, its so POssible

Cajal:
Obi will come distant 4th

Hoelujohn:
You dey Jones for thinking Obi won't get 25% in Ogun. I told my students to write the party their parents are supporting or voting for. Check the outcome

senatordave1:
Tinubu will win or come 2nd in kano.atiku might win bayelsa

Aiel123:
5% or 4% .
I'm generous with this figures for labor. They can't compete favourably with PDP and APC.

Okoroawusa:
The Ogun state in USA... hahahaha! Mynd44 e shock you the kind people wey you get for Nairaland?

Hopium:
It's delusion that makes you think a state that PDP got 95% in 2015, >50% in 2019, and now with their son running as VP will get less than 50%.

Prostitute:
obi win Akwa ibom wake up from your dream.

StrongAlphMale:
This is exactly what we've been saying son. This isn't 2015 and the narrative has changed.

The number of voters in 2015 is nothing compared to this year's voters. Bros if only you'll Carry out your own research you will understand what I'm saying. Nobody cares whether a son is running for presidency or not, the thing is Nigerians are tired and wants competency. Even okowa knows he'll lose Delta to LP by next week Saturday. I'm not exaggerating na fact I dey tell you. Just exactly how LP will win Edo with nothing less than 94%. I'm telling you this because I am an Edo niggar

ChristineC:
Tinubu will not even come second in Kano & Atiku will come second in Bayelsa, but even then it will be insignificant because it won't be more than 20% of the votes.